Alianza Atlético v Juan Pablo II — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Alianza Atlético

18:00 UTC

Juan Pablo II

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 127h before kick-off

Alianza Atlético win

55.8%

model 59.2%

Draw

22.1%

model 20.7%

Juan Pablo II win

22.1%

model 20.1%

562222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.9%
1-0 9.9%
1-1 9.6%
2-0 9.4%
3-1 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.6%	Under 2.5	41.4%
BTTS yes	55.9%	BTTS no	44.1%
Alianza Atlético 1+	86.2%	Alianza Atlético 2+	58.9%
Juan Pablo II 1+	65.3%	Juan Pablo II 2+	28.6%

Expected goals 1.98 – 1.06. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

92%

★ Best pick

Over 1.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 73%

81.1% fair odds 1.23

moderate signal · 1833 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 4340 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Alianza Atlético carry the stronger rating, 1562 Elo against 1440.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Alianza Atlético have an estimated 55.8% win probability, against 22.1% for the draw and 22.1% for Juan Pablo II. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.98 for Alianza Atlético and 1.06 for Juan Pablo II.

Why Alianza Atlético

Alianza Atlético carry the stronger rating, 1562 Elo against 1440. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.1%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Juan Pablo II can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Alianza Atlético, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Juan Pablo II, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Alianza Atlético: 39% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Juan Pablo II: 50% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Alianza Atlético are the model's most likely outcome at 55.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.9%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	592120	1.98–1.06	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	671815	2.24–0.94	2-0 10%	62%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético to win	67.1%	64.7%	49.8%	1.30×	1.55
Draw	18.1%	19.4%	25.0%	0.78×	5.15
Juan Pablo II to win	14.9%	13.5%	25.4%	0.53×	7.41

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético & not both score	35.1%	33.3%	26.4%	1.26×	3.00
Alianza Atlético & both teams score	32.0%	29.6%	23.6%	1.26×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	14.3%	13.3%	17.4%	0.76×	7.54
Juan Pablo II & both teams score	8.0%	8.3%	13.2%	0.63×	12.00
Juan Pablo II & not both score	6.8%	8.3%	12.3%	0.68×	12.00
Draw & not both score	3.8%	4.9%	7.8%	0.63×	20.50

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético & over 1.5	57.5%	54.8%	38.0%	1.44×	1.82
Alianza Atlético & over 2.5	47.1%	45.0%	30.8%	1.46×	2.22
Alianza Atlético & under 3.5	37.6%	34.9%	33.7%	1.04×	2.87
Alianza Atlético & over 3.5	29.5%	26.1%	16.3%	1.60×	3.84
Alianza Atlético & under 2.5	20.0%	21.6%	19.2%	1.13×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	14.3%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	12.2%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	12.2%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
Juan Pablo II & over 1.5	10.6%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
Juan Pablo II & under 3.5	10.8%	12.8%	19.4%	0.66×	7.79
Alianza Atlético & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.62
Juan Pablo II & over 2.5	8.8%	7.9%	14.5%	0.55×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.9%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.9%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Juan Pablo II & under 2.5	6.1%	7.9%	11.1%	0.72×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	3.8%	4.8%	7.8%	0.62×	20.82
Juan Pablo II & under 1.5	4.2%	4.8%	8.2%	0.59×	20.82
Juan Pablo II & over 3.5	4.1%	4.8%	6.2%	0.78×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (1UP)	78.2%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Juan Pablo II (1UP)	33.0%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (2UP)	67.1%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Juan Pablo II (2UP)	14.9%	14.2%	—	—	7.06

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético to win 2nd half	54.1%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
2nd half drawn	29.3%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Juan Pablo II to win 2nd half	16.6%	17.8%	—	—	5.62

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.9%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.8%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.2%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.1%	12.8%	—	—	7.82

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.1%	74.4%	—	—	1.35
Alianza Atlético under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Alianza Atlético over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Alianza Atlético under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (+0.5)	85.1%	88.4%	74.6%	1.19×	1.13
Juan Pablo II (+2.5)	76.5%	78.5%	88.6%	0.89×	1.27
Alianza Atlético (-0.5)	67.1%	68.7%	49.8%	1.38×	1.46
Juan Pablo II (+1.5)	56.5%	57.1%	75.4%	0.76×	1.75
Alianza Atlético (-1.5)	43.5%	42.9%	24.6%	1.74×	2.33
Juan Pablo II (+0.5)	32.9%	31.3%	50.2%	0.62×	3.19
Alianza Atlético (-2.5)	23.5%	21.5%	11.4%	1.89×	4.65
Juan Pablo II (-0.5)	14.9%	11.6%	25.4%	0.46×	8.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to concede	89.4%	86.3%	80.1%	1.08×	1.16
Juan Pablo II clean sheet	10.6%	13.7%	19.9%	0.69×	7.31

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to concede in 1st half	61.9%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Juan Pablo II clean sheet in 1st half	38.1%	35.4%	—	—	2.83

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to concede in 2nd half	72.1%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Juan Pablo II clean sheet in 2nd half	27.9%	28.7%	—	—	3.49

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II under 6.5 corners	88.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Juan Pablo II under 5.5 corners	79.8%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Juan Pablo II over 2.5 corners	67.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Juan Pablo II under 4.5 corners	67.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Juan Pablo II under 3.5 corners	51.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Juan Pablo II over 3.5 corners	48.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Juan Pablo II under 2.5 corners	32.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Juan Pablo II over 4.5 corners	32.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Juan Pablo II over 5.5 corners	20.2%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Juan Pablo II over 6.5 corners	11.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II under 3.5 goals	98.4%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Juan Pablo II under 2.5 goals	93.0%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 goals	75.6%	76.2%	71.6%	1.07×	1.31
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 goals	61.1%	63.2%	65.9%	0.96×	1.58
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 goals	38.9%	36.8%	34.1%	1.08×	2.72
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 goals	24.4%	23.8%	28.4%	0.84×	4.21
Juan Pablo II over 2.5 goals	7.0%	7.6%	8.0%	0.96×	13.08
Juan Pablo II over 3.5 goals	1.6%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 in 1st half	94.4%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 in 1st half	68.6%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 in 1st half	31.5%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 in 1st half	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.65

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II scores equally in both	47.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Juan Pablo II scores more in 2nd half	32.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Juan Pablo II scores more in 1st half	19.7%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (away no bet)	78.8%	73.5%	66.6%	1.10×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	21.2%	26.5%	33.4%	0.79×	3.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II even goals	57.6%	56.9%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76
Juan Pablo II odd goals	42.4%	43.1%	43.1%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.7%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	21.3%	18.9%	—	—	5.28

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	27.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	67.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Alianza Atlético to score 2+ in a row	58.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Either team to score 3+ in a row	32.0%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Alianza Atlético to score 3+ in a row	29.3%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Juan Pablo II to score 2+ in a row	15.6%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
Juan Pablo II to score 3+ in a row	3.0%	2.6%	—	—	39.10

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético corners (+3.5)	91.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Alianza Atlético corners (+2.5)	85.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Alianza Atlético corners (+1.5)	78.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Juan Pablo II corners (+3.5)	75.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Juan Pablo II corners (+2.5)	66.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Juan Pablo II corners (+1.5)	54.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Alianza Atlético corners (-1.5)	45.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Alianza Atlético corners (-2.5)	34.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Alianza Atlético corners (-3.5)	24.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Juan Pablo II corners (-1.5)	21.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Juan Pablo II corners (-2.5)	14.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Juan Pablo II corners (-3.5)	8.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	52.0%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	20.1%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.0%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	79.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	72.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	62.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	59.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	52.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	48.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	40.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	37.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	27.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	20.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	14.0%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	10.4%	11.5%	7.4%	1.54×	8.72
1-0	9.6%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.51
1-1	8.4%	7.4%	11.2%	0.66×	13.51
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
3-0	7.8%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.51
3-1	7.3%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
Any other score	7.9%	7.4%	2.7%	2.72×	13.51
0-0	3.8%	1.7%	7.8%	0.22×	58.30
0-1	4.2%	1.7%	8.2%	0.21×	58.30
0-2	1.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
0-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.32
1-2	4.1%	1.7%	7.6%	0.23×	58.30
1-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
2-2	4.6%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.29
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-2	3.5%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-0	4.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.29
4-1	4.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.30
4-2	1.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (2nd half DNB)	76.5%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Juan Pablo II (2nd half DNB)	23.5%	20.6%	—	—	4.86

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético leading at HT (DNB)	77.6%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Juan Pablo II leading at HT (DNB)	22.4%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético or draw (1X)	85.1%	86.5%	74.6%	1.16×	1.16
Alianza Atlético or Juan Pablo II (12)	81.9%	80.6%	75.0%	1.07×	1.24
Juan Pablo II or draw (X2)	32.9%	35.3%	50.2%	0.70×	2.84

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético or draw at HT	85.8%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
Alianza Atlético or Juan Pablo II at HT	63.6%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Juan Pablo II or draw at HT	50.6%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético or draw (1UP)	85.1%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Juan Pablo II or draw (1UP)	33.0%	39.3%	—	—	2.55

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético or draw in 2nd half	83.4%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Alianza Atlético or Juan Pablo II in 2nd half	70.7%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Juan Pablo II or draw in 2nd half	45.9%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.4%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	44.6%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (DNB)	81.9%	80.4%	66.3%	1.21×	1.25
Juan Pablo II (DNB)	18.1%	19.7%	33.7%	0.58×	5.09

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético to score first	67.7%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Juan Pablo II to score first	28.5%	28.0%	—	—	3.57
No goal scored	3.8%	4.4%	—	—	22.84

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.3%	51.3%	53.8%	0.95×	1.95
Not both teams to score	45.7%	48.7%	46.2%	1.05×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.9%	44.3%	42.8%	1.04×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	29.9%	33.3%	37.7%	0.88×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	15.9%	21.5%	8.7%	2.47×	4.66
Both score & under 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	11.2%	0.74×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.0%	82.7%	85.7%	0.96×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	16.0%	17.3%	14.3%	1.21×	5.77

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.9%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.1%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.6%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	25.0%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
Both score 1st half only	13.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	6.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.80

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.6%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.4%	16.7%	—	—	6.00

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	62.0%	59.4%	—	—	1.69
A half without a goal	38.0%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.9%	42.2%	44.2%	0.95×	2.37
4-6 goals	35.1%	35.0%	26.8%	1.31×	2.86
0-1 goals	17.6%	20.2%	27.5%	0.73×	4.94
7+ goals	4.3%	1.8%	1.8%	1.02×	54.12

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 0	38.9%	35.9%	34.1%	1.05×	2.78
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	37.7%	0.95×	2.78
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 2	17.3%	19.5%	20.7%	0.95×	5.12
Juan Pablo II to score 3+	7.0%	8.5%	8.0%	1.07×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético to score 3+	38.9%	35.6%	22.5%	1.58×	2.81
Alianza Atlético to score exactly 2	26.7%	26.6%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Alianza Atlético to score exactly 1	23.8%	23.3%	33.0%	0.71×	4.29
Alianza Atlético to score exactly 0	10.6%	14.3%	19.9%	0.72×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético leading at HT	49.4%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Draw at HT	36.4%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
Juan Pablo II leading at HT	14.2%	11.8%	—	—	8.47

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético -1: 1	43.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Alianza Atlético -1: 2	32.9%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Alianza Atlético -1: X	23.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (0:1)	43.5%	42.6%	24.6%	1.73×	2.35
Juan Pablo II (0:1)	32.9%	30.1%	50.2%	0.60×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	23.6%	24.2%	25.4%	0.96×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (0:2)	56.5%	63.2%	75.4%	0.84×	1.58
Alianza Atlético (0:2)	23.5%	20.3%	11.4%	1.78×	4.92
Draw (0:2)	20.0%	15.3%	13.4%	1.14×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (0:3)	76.5%	80.6%	88.6%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.9%	9.9%	7.6%	1.30×	10.10
Alianza Atlético (0:3)	10.7%	9.9%	4.0%	2.47×	10.14

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (0:4)	89.3%	92.1%	96.0%	0.96×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	6.6%	4.6%	2.5%	1.83×	21.60
Alianza Atlético (0:4)	4.1%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.45

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (1:0)	85.1%	86.0%	74.6%	1.15×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	10.1%	12.7%	17.9%	0.71×	7.88
Juan Pablo II (1:0)	4.7%	3.3%	7.6%	0.43×	30.40

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (2:0)	95.3%	96.8%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.5%	2.3%	5.6%	0.41×	43.71
Juan Pablo II (2:0)	1.2%	2.3%	2.2%	1.05×	43.85

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.6%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	28.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.2%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético to concede	61.1%	63.6%	65.9%	0.96×	1.57
Alianza Atlético clean sheet	38.9%	36.4%	34.1%	1.07×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético clean sheet in 1st half	68.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Alianza Atlético to concede in 1st half	31.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético clean sheet in 2nd half	56.8%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Alianza Atlético to concede in 2nd half	43.2%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético over 2.5 corners	80.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Alianza Atlético under 6.5 corners	74.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Alianza Atlético over 3.5 corners	66.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Alianza Atlético under 5.5 corners	63.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Alianza Atlético over 4.5 corners	51.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Alianza Atlético under 4.5 corners	49.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Alianza Atlético over 5.5 corners	36.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Alianza Atlético under 3.5 corners	33.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Alianza Atlético over 6.5 corners	25.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Alianza Atlético under 2.5 corners	19.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético over 0.5 goals	89.4%	87.3%	80.1%	1.09×	1.15
Alianza Atlético under 3.5 goals	81.1%	82.2%	92.4%	0.89×	1.22
Alianza Atlético over 1.5 goals	65.6%	67.9%	47.3%	1.44×	1.47
Alianza Atlético under 2.5 goals	61.1%	63.6%	77.5%	0.82×	1.57
Alianza Atlético over 2.5 goals	38.9%	36.4%	22.5%	1.62×	2.75
Alianza Atlético under 1.5 goals	34.4%	32.1%	52.7%	0.61×	3.12
Alianza Atlético over 3.5 goals	18.9%	17.8%	7.6%	2.34×	5.61
Alianza Atlético under 0.5 goals	10.6%	12.7%	19.9%	0.64×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético under 1.5 in 1st half	74.9%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Alianza Atlético over 0.5 in 1st half	61.9%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Alianza Atlético under 0.5 in 1st half	38.1%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
Alianza Atlético over 1.5 in 1st half	25.1%	20.5%	—	—	4.89

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético scores more in 2nd half	43.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Alianza Atlético scores equally in both	28.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
Alianza Atlético scores more in 1st half	28.0%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.8%	51.5%	49.6%	1.04×	1.94
Juan Pablo II (home no bet)	45.2%	48.5%	50.4%	0.96×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético even goals	50.6%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Alianza Atlético odd goals	49.4%	49.3%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 1-0	25.3%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
HT 2-0	12.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 0-1	9.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 1-1	9.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
Any other HT score	8.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
HT 2-1	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 0-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.35

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético at HT / Alianza Atlético at FT	43.9%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Draw at HT / Alianza Atlético at FT	19.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.3%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Juan Pablo II at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT	7.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Draw at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT	6.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.51
Alianza Atlético at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Juan Pablo II at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Juan Pablo II at HT / Alianza Atlético at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Alianza Atlético at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético to score last	67.6%	70.2%	—	—	1.42
Juan Pablo II to score last	28.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
No goal scored	3.8%	4.4%	—	—	22.84

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.2%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Alianza Atlético to lead by 1 at any time	78.2%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	58.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Alianza Atlético to lead by 2 at any time	50.3%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Juan Pablo II to lead by 1 at any time	33.0%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	28.9%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Alianza Atlético to lead by 3 at any time	26.9%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Juan Pablo II to lead by 2 at any time	8.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.97
Juan Pablo II to lead by 3 at any time	2.0%	1.6%	—	—	63.26

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético most corners	57.0%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Juan Pablo II most corners	31.7%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.9%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.0%	78.7%	70.8%	1.11×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.5%	72.3%	78.1%	0.93×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.0%	72.3%	67.4%	1.07×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.7%	63.3%	58.3%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	57.4%	59.1%	49.6%	1.19×	1.69
1-3 goals	56.8%	59.1%	63.9%	0.92×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.4%	53.2%	46.2%	1.15×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.9%	43.6%	44.2%	0.99×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.0%	43.6%	37.1%	1.17×	2.29
4-6 goals	35.1%	39.2%	26.8%	1.46×	2.55
1-2 goals	34.5%	35.2%	41.1%	0.86×	2.84
4-5 goals	29.1%	30.2%	23.4%	1.29×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.3%	18.8%	12.7%	1.48×	5.31
7+ goals	4.3%	2.6%	1.8%	1.41×	39.07

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético never behind	63.2%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Juan Pablo II never behind	18.0%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.2%	95.4%	92.2%	1.03×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	89.6%	87.6%	94.7%	0.92×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	82.4%	82.3%	72.5%	1.14×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	78.3%	77.3%	85.7%	0.90×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	61.7%	61.7%	51.3%	1.20×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	60.6%	61.7%	71.6%	0.86×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	39.4%	38.3%	28.4%	1.35×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	38.3%	38.3%	48.7%	0.79×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	21.7%	22.7%	14.3%	1.59×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	17.6%	17.7%	27.5%	0.64×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	10.4%	12.4%	5.3%	2.36×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	3.8%	4.6%	7.8%	0.59×	21.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.4%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.3%	86.7%	94.2%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	77.8%	75.9%	65.1%	1.17×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	73.6%	72.4%	83.3%	0.87×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.7%	51.8%	36.9%	1.41×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.3%	48.2%	63.1%	0.76×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	26.4%	27.6%	16.7%	1.66×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	22.2%	24.1%	34.9%	0.69×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.7%	13.3%	5.8%	2.29×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.6%	2.8%	1.9%	1.50×	35.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.7%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.9%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	61.3%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	38.7%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.1%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.3%	14.2%	—	—	7.05

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.3%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.9%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	54.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.1%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II not to score in both halves	86.4%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Alianza Atlético not to score in both halves	55.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Alianza Atlético to score in both halves	44.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Juan Pablo II to score in both halves	13.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.3%	53.8%	53.8%	1.00×	1.86
Only Alianza Atlético scores	35.1%	39.9%	26.4%	1.51×	2.51
Only Juan Pablo II scores	6.8%	7.1%	12.3%	0.58×	14.01
Neither team scores	3.8%	4.6%	7.8%	0.60×	21.56

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.6%	22.6%	21.4%	1.06×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.8%	17.5%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.9%	12.1%	19.9%	0.61×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	11.3%	12.1%	9.2%	1.31×	8.26
6 or more goals	10.4%	12.1%	5.3%	2.31×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	3.8%	4.5%	7.8%	0.57×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	26.1%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	23.5%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	15.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	54.9%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	29.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	15.7%	16.7%	—	—	6.00

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II not to win both halves	97.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Alianza Atlético not to win both halves	73.4%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Alianza Atlético to win both halves	26.6%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Juan Pablo II to win both halves	2.3%	2.8%	—	—	36.24

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético to win either half	76.9%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Juan Pablo II to win neither half	71.5%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Juan Pablo II to win either half	28.5%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Alianza Atlético to win neither half	23.1%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II not to win to nil	93.2%	92.1%	87.7%	1.05×	1.09
Alianza Atlético not to win to nil	64.9%	66.6%	73.6%	0.91×	1.50
Alianza Atlético to win to nil	35.1%	33.4%	26.4%	1.26×	2.99
Juan Pablo II to win to nil	6.8%	7.9%	12.3%	0.64×	12.66

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético by 1	23.6%	24.1%	25.4%	0.95×	4.15
Alianza Atlético by 3+	23.5%	24.1%	11.4%	2.11×	4.15
Alianza Atlético by 2	20.0%	17.1%	13.4%	1.27×	5.87
Draw	18.1%	17.0%	25.0%	0.68×	5.87
Juan Pablo II by 1	10.1%	11.8%	17.9%	0.66×	8.51
Juan Pablo II by 2	3.5%	2.7%	5.6%	0.48×	36.86
Juan Pablo II by 3+	1.2%	2.7%	2.2%	1.25×	36.93