Alianza Atlético v Universitario — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Alianza Atlético

18:00 UTC

Universitario

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,004h before kick-off

Alianza Atlético win

41.1%

model 40.8%

Draw

27.3%

model 25.8%

Universitario win

31.6%

model 33.4%

412732

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.3%
1-0 10.6%
0-1 9.4%
2-1 8.6%
1-2 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.9%	Under 2.5	52.1%
BTTS yes	52.3%	BTTS no	47.7%
Alianza Atlético 1+	74.7%	Alianza Atlético 2+	39.9%
Universitario 1+	70.4%	Universitario 2+	34.3%

Expected goals 1.37 – 1.22. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Alianza Atlético have an estimated 41.1% win probability, against 31.6% for Universitario and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.37 for Alianza Atlético and 1.22 for Universitario.

Why Alianza Atlético

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.37 to 1.22. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Universitario can win

Universitario carry the stronger rating, 1650 Elo against 1562. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Alianza Atlético, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Universitario, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Alianza Atlético: 39% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Universitario: 47% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Alianza Atlético are the model's most likely outcome at 41.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	412732	1.31–1.13	1-1 13%	44%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético to win	40.8%	43.0%	50.0%	0.86×	2.33
Universitario to win	32.4%	30.4%	25.1%	1.21×	3.29
Draw	26.8%	27.9%	25.1%	1.11×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético & not both score	23.8%	21.9%	26.5%	0.82×	4.57
Universitario & not both score	18.6%	17.9%	12.2%	1.47×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	17.9%	17.5%	1.03×	5.58
Alianza Atlético & both teams score	17.0%	17.9%	23.6%	0.76×	5.58
Universitario & both teams score	13.8%	13.3%	13.1%	1.01×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.5%	8.4%	7.8%	1.07×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético & under 3.5	30.8%	30.9%	33.8%	0.91×	3.24
Alianza Atlético & over 1.5	29.1%	26.0%	38.2%	0.68×	3.84
Universitario & under 3.5	25.2%	26.0%	19.1%	1.36×	3.84
Universitario & over 1.5	22.2%	21.7%	17.3%	1.25×	4.62
Alianza Atlético & over 2.5	21.7%	21.7%	30.9%	0.70×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	21.1%	21.7%	18.9%	1.15×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	21.1%	21.7%	18.9%	1.15×	4.62
Alianza Atlético & under 2.5	19.2%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Universitario & over 2.5	16.6%	18.0%	14.4%	1.25×	5.56
Universitario & under 2.5	15.8%	18.0%	10.9%	1.65×	5.56
Alianza Atlético & under 1.5	11.7%	12.9%	12.0%	1.07×	7.77
Universitario & under 1.5	10.2%	12.9%	8.0%	1.61×	7.77
Alianza Atlético & over 3.5	10.0%	7.9%	16.4%	0.48×	12.70
Universitario & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	6.2%	1.27×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	8.5%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.6%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.6%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (1UP)	55.6%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Universitario (1UP)	48.2%	43.3%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (2UP)	40.8%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Universitario (2UP)	32.4%	30.8%	—	—	3.24

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.7%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Alianza Atlético to win 2nd half	33.1%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Universitario to win 2nd half	29.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (+2.5)	93.5%	92.1%	88.5%	1.04×	1.09
Universitario (+1.5)	81.6%	82.4%	75.3%	1.09×	1.21
Alianza Atlético (+0.5)	67.6%	68.7%	74.9%	0.92×	1.46
Universitario (+0.5)	59.2%	57.0%	50.0%	1.14×	1.75
Alianza Atlético (-0.5)	40.8%	43.0%	50.0%	0.86×	2.33
Universitario (-0.5)	32.4%	31.3%	25.1%	1.25×	3.20
Alianza Atlético (-1.5)	18.4%	17.6%	24.7%	0.71×	5.69
Alianza Atlético (-2.5)	6.5%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to concede	72.9%	76.5%	80.2%	0.95×	1.31
Universitario clean sheet	27.1%	23.5%	19.8%	1.19×	4.25

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario clean sheet in 1st half	57.1%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Universitario to concede in 1st half	42.9%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario over 2.5 corners	79.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Universitario under 6.5 corners	76.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Universitario under 5.5 corners	65.3%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Universitario over 3.5 corners	64.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Universitario under 4.5 corners	51.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Universitario over 4.5 corners	48.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Universitario under 3.5 corners	35.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Universitario over 5.5 corners	34.7%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Universitario over 6.5 corners	23.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Universitario under 2.5 corners	20.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario under 3.5 goals	97.2%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Universitario under 2.5 goals	89.4%	87.9%	92.0%	0.96×	1.14
Universitario under 1.5 goals	68.8%	68.0%	71.6%	0.95×	1.47
Universitario over 0.5 goals	67.7%	68.0%	65.8%	1.03×	1.47
Universitario under 0.5 goals	32.3%	32.0%	34.2%	0.94×	3.12
Universitario over 1.5 goals	31.2%	32.0%	28.4%	1.13×	3.12
Universitario over 2.5 goals	10.6%	12.1%	8.0%	1.51×	8.27
Universitario over 3.5 goals	2.8%	2.5%	2.5%	0.96×	40.73

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario under 1.5 in 1st half	92.4%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Universitario under 0.5 in 1st half	63.6%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Universitario over 0.5 in 1st half	36.4%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
Universitario over 1.5 in 1st half	7.6%	5.8%	—	—	17.17

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (away no bet)	60.4%	62.0%	66.6%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	39.6%	38.0%	33.4%	1.14×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario even goals	55.2%	56.8%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76
Universitario odd goals	44.8%	43.2%	43.1%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.8%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.21

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	57.2%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	42.9%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.7%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Alianza Atlético to score 2+ in a row	30.3%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Universitario to score 2+ in a row	24.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.7%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Alianza Atlético to score 3+ in a row	9.5%	5.7%	—	—	17.57
Universitario to score 3+ in a row	6.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.81

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario corners (+3.5)	93.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Universitario corners (+2.5)	88.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Universitario corners (+1.5)	81.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Alianza Atlético corners (+3.5)	74.1%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Alianza Atlético corners (+2.5)	63.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Alianza Atlético corners (+1.5)	51.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Universitario corners (-1.5)	48.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Universitario corners (-2.5)	36.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Universitario corners (-3.5)	25.9%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Alianza Atlético corners (-1.5)	18.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Alianza Atlético corners (-2.5)	11.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Alianza Atlético corners (-3.5)	6.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	58.7%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
9-11 corners	25.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	15.4%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	89.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	84.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	77.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	69.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 8.5 corners	58.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	52.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 7.5 corners	47.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	41.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	30.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 10.5 corners	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 11.5 corners	15.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Over 12.5 corners	10.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.6%	11.5%	11.3%	1.02×	8.73
1-0	11.7%	11.5%	12.0%	0.95×	8.73
0-1	10.2%	11.5%	8.0%	1.43×	8.73
0-0	8.5%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.48
2-1	8.4%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.48
1-2	7.3%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.48
2-0	7.5%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.48
0-2	5.6%	7.4%	3.1%	2.40×	13.48
2-2	4.8%	1.7%	5.6%	0.30×	58.46
0-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.48
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.13×	58.49
1-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.47
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.49
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.48
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.49
3-0	3.2%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.47
3-1	3.7%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.47
3-2	2.1%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.48
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.49
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.35×	58.49
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.48
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.67×	58.48
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.49
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.70×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.40×	58.49
Any other score	1.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético leading at HT (DNB)	56.8%	58.3%	—	—	1.71
Universitario leading at HT (DNB)	43.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético or Universitario (12)	73.2%	72.1%	74.9%	0.96×	1.39
Alianza Atlético or draw (1X)	67.6%	69.6%	74.9%	0.93×	1.44
Universitario or draw (X2)	59.2%	57.0%	50.0%	1.14×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético or draw at HT	76.7%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Universitario or draw at HT	69.4%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Alianza Atlético or Universitario at HT	54.0%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético or draw (1UP)	67.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Universitario or draw (1UP)	59.2%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético or draw in 2nd half	70.8%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Universitario or draw in 2nd half	66.9%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Alianza Atlético or Universitario in 2nd half	62.3%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.7%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	33.3%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (DNB)	55.8%	58.2%	66.6%	0.87×	1.72
Universitario (DNB)	44.2%	41.8%	33.4%	1.25×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético to score first	49.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Universitario to score first	42.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	8.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.26

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.9%	51.4%	46.2%	1.11×	1.95
Both teams to score	49.1%	48.6%	53.8%	0.90×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	43.4%	41.6%	37.6%	1.11×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	36.4%	38.5%	42.7%	0.90×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.6%	12.3%	11.3%	1.09×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	7.5%	8.4%	8.7%	0.96×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.3%	85.6%	85.6%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.7%	14.4%	14.4%	1.00×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.3%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.7%	25.9%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.7%	66.5%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	21.7%	20.8%	—	—	4.80
Both score 1st half only	11.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	4.0%	5.0%	—	—	19.91

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.4%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	15.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	48.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.8%	47.4%	44.2%	1.07×	2.11
0-1 goals	30.4%	30.7%	27.5%	1.12×	3.25
4-6 goals	21.6%	22.8%	26.9%	0.85×	4.38
7+ goals	1.2%	1.8%	1.8%	1.01×	54.68

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	37.6%	0.96×	2.78
Universitario to score exactly 0	32.3%	33.8%	34.2%	0.99×	2.96
Universitario to score exactly 2	20.6%	22.4%	20.5%	1.09×	4.46
Universitario to score 3+	10.6%	12.8%	8.0%	1.60×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético to score exactly 1	35.4%	35.6%	32.9%	1.08×	2.81
Alianza Atlético to score exactly 0	27.1%	26.5%	19.8%	1.34×	3.77
Alianza Atlético to score exactly 2	23.1%	23.2%	25.1%	0.93×	4.30
Alianza Atlético to score 3+	14.4%	14.3%	22.5%	0.64×	6.97

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.0%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Alianza Atlético leading at HT	30.6%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
Universitario leading at HT	23.3%	20.1%	—	—	4.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético -1: 2	59.2%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Alianza Atlético -1: X	22.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Alianza Atlético -1: 1	18.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (0:1)	59.2%	55.9%	50.0%	1.12×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	22.5%	24.3%	25.5%	0.95×	4.12
Alianza Atlético (0:1)	18.4%	17.8%	24.7%	0.72×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (0:2)	81.6%	82.8%	75.3%	1.10×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.9%	11.0%	13.5%	0.81×	9.13
Alianza Atlético (0:2)	6.5%	7.7%	11.5%	0.67×	12.96

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (0:3)	93.5%	92.6%	88.5%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.6%	2.4%	7.6%	0.31×	42.07
Alianza Atlético (0:3)	1.9%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (0:4)	98.1%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	2.5%	0.47×	83.59
Alianza Atlético (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.6%	0.73×	83.70

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (1:0)	67.6%	70.0%	74.9%	0.93×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	19.5%	17.1%	17.6%	0.97×	5.87
Universitario (1:0)	12.9%	12.8%	7.6%	1.68×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (2:0)	87.1%	88.4%	92.4%	0.96×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.9%	6.5%	5.6%	1.15×	15.48
Universitario (2:0)	4.0%	2.3%	2.2%	1.04×	44.13

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	26.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético to concede	67.7%	66.5%	65.8%	1.01×	1.50
Alianza Atlético clean sheet	32.3%	33.5%	34.2%	0.98×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético clean sheet in 1st half	63.6%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Alianza Atlético to concede in 1st half	36.4%	35.8%	—	—	2.79

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético under 6.5 corners	92.2%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Alianza Atlético under 5.5 corners	85.4%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Alianza Atlético under 4.5 corners	74.6%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Alianza Atlético over 2.5 corners	60.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Alianza Atlético under 3.5 corners	59.0%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Alianza Atlético over 3.5 corners	41.0%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Alianza Atlético under 2.5 corners	39.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Alianza Atlético over 4.5 corners	25.4%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Alianza Atlético over 5.5 corners	14.6%	13.7%	—	—	7.29
Alianza Atlético over 6.5 corners	7.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético under 3.5 goals	95.6%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Alianza Atlético under 2.5 goals	85.6%	87.2%	77.5%	1.13×	1.15
Alianza Atlético over 0.5 goals	72.9%	74.2%	80.2%	0.93×	1.35
Alianza Atlético under 1.5 goals	62.5%	63.5%	52.5%	1.21×	1.58
Alianza Atlético over 1.5 goals	37.5%	36.5%	47.5%	0.77×	2.74
Alianza Atlético under 0.5 goals	27.1%	25.8%	19.8%	1.30×	3.87
Alianza Atlético over 2.5 goals	14.4%	12.8%	22.5%	0.57×	7.84
Alianza Atlético over 3.5 goals	4.4%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.43

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético under 1.5 in 1st half	89.1%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Alianza Atlético under 0.5 in 1st half	57.1%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Alianza Atlético over 0.5 in 1st half	42.9%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Alianza Atlético over 1.5 in 1st half	10.9%	10.1%	—	—	9.87

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (home no bet)	54.8%	51.6%	50.0%	1.03×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	45.2%	48.4%	50.0%	0.97×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético even goals	53.7%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Alianza Atlético odd goals	46.3%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
HT 1-0	20.4%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	16.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	9.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
HT 2-0	5.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 0-2	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.43
Any other HT score	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 2-1	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.51
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.55
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.66

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético at HT / Alianza Atlético at FT	23.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Universitario at HT / Universitario at FT	16.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Alianza Atlético at FT	15.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Universitario at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Alianza Atlético at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Universitario at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.75
Alianza Atlético at HT / Universitario at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Universitario at HT / Alianza Atlético at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético to score last	49.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Universitario to score last	42.5%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	8.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.26

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.5%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Alianza Atlético to lead by 1 at any time	55.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Universitario to lead by 1 at any time	48.2%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.3%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Alianza Atlético to lead by 2 at any time	23.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Universitario to lead by 2 at any time	17.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Alianza Atlético to lead by 3 at any time	8.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.07
Universitario to lead by 3 at any time	5.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.21

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario most corners	60.5%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Alianza Atlético most corners	28.0%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.5%	83.5%	78.0%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	68.7%	69.0%	63.8%	1.08×	1.45
2-6 goals	68.4%	69.0%	70.9%	0.97×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.9%	68.9%	67.5%	1.02×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.6%	59.2%	58.4%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	47.6%	48.7%	41.1%	1.18×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.8%	48.7%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	42.7%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.30
3-5 goals	40.2%	43.6%	46.2%	0.94×	2.30
3-4 goals	33.9%	35.4%	37.1%	0.95×	2.83
4-6 goals	21.6%	24.5%	26.9%	0.91×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.1%	18.6%	23.5%	0.80×	5.36
5-6 goals	8.8%	8.7%	12.7%	0.69×	11.44
7+ goals	1.2%	2.5%	1.8%	1.40×	39.29

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético never behind	43.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Universitario never behind	35.9%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.8%	50.8%	46.9%	1.08×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.2%	49.2%	53.1%	0.93×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.2%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.0%	87.7%	85.6%	1.02×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	77.1%	77.3%	71.5%	1.08×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	69.6%	66.2%	72.5%	0.91×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	56.1%	58.8%	48.7%	1.21×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	43.9%	41.2%	51.3%	0.80×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	30.4%	33.8%	27.5%	1.23×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	22.9%	22.7%	28.5%	0.79×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	10.0%	12.3%	14.4%	0.86×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	3.8%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.7%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.0%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.5%	86.8%	83.3%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	71.0%	72.6%	63.1%	1.15×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	59.1%	55.5%	65.1%	0.85×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	40.9%	44.5%	34.9%	1.28×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	29.0%	27.4%	36.9%	0.74×	3.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.5%	13.2%	16.7%	0.79×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.0%	2.8%	5.8%	0.48×	36.12
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.3%	2.8%	1.9%	1.47×	36.20

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.1%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.7%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.9%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.62

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.8%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	58.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	41.5%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario not to score in both halves	82.1%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Alianza Atlético not to score in both halves	77.5%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Alianza Atlético to score in both halves	22.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Universitario to score in both halves	17.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.1%	50.5%	53.8%	0.94×	1.98
Only Alianza Atlético scores	23.8%	22.3%	26.5%	0.84×	4.48
Only Universitario scores	18.6%	16.1%	12.2%	1.32×	6.22
Neither team scores	8.5%	7.2%	7.8%	0.92×	13.90

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.7%	25.0%	21.5%	1.16×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	21.9%	22.6%	19.8%	1.14×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	21.1%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	12.8%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	8.5%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.09
Exactly 5 goals	6.2%	7.6%	9.3%	0.82×	13.09
6 or more goals	3.8%	4.4%	5.3%	0.84×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	41.5%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
1 goal in 2nd half	34.5%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	24.0%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario not to win both halves	93.2%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Alianza Atlético not to win both halves	89.9%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Alianza Atlético to win both halves	10.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Universitario to win both halves	6.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.64

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to win neither half	54.3%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Alianza Atlético to win either half	53.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Alianza Atlético to win neither half	46.4%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Universitario to win either half	45.7%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario not to win to nil	81.4%	83.0%	87.8%	0.95×	1.20
Alianza Atlético not to win to nil	76.2%	78.0%	73.5%	1.06×	1.28
Alianza Atlético to win to nil	23.8%	22.0%	26.5%	0.83×	4.56
Universitario to win to nil	18.6%	17.0%	12.2%	1.39×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.8%	27.8%	25.1%	1.11×	3.59
Alianza Atlético by 1	22.5%	24.2%	25.5%	0.95×	4.14
Universitario by 1	19.5%	16.9%	17.6%	0.96×	5.91
Alianza Atlético by 2	11.9%	11.8%	13.5%	0.88×	8.48
Universitario by 2	8.9%	7.3%	5.6%	1.29×	13.78
Alianza Atlético by 3+	6.5%	7.3%	11.5%	0.63×	13.79
Universitario by 3+	4.0%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	36.97