Alianza FC v Llaneros — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 3 November 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Alianza FC

21:10 UTC

Llaneros

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 202h before kick-off

Alianza FC win

39.0%

model 37.6%

Draw

30.5%

model 31.5%

Llaneros win

30.5%

model 30.9%

393130

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.5%
0-0 12.6%
1-0 12.1%
0-1 10.6%
2-1 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	36.7%	Under 2.5	63.3%
BTTS yes	44.6%	BTTS no	55.4%
Alianza FC 1+	68.3%	Alianza FC 2+	31.9%
Llaneros 1+	63.8%	Llaneros 2+	27.0%

Expected goals 1.15 – 1.02. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

82/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

1-2 goals

Multi goal · usually 45%

52.2% fair odds 1.92

moderate signal · 1994 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Llaneros (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%

83.7% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Alianza FC.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Alianza FC have an estimated 39.0% win probability, against 30.5% for the draw and 30.5% for Llaneros. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.15 for Alianza FC and 1.01 for Llaneros.

Why Alianza FC

Nothing in the data singles out Alianza FC.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.5%. A combined 2.16 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.15 to 1.01. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Llaneros can win

Llaneros carry the stronger rating, 1453 Elo against 1383.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Alianza FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Llaneros, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Alianza FC: 45% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Llaneros: 41% possession, 8.8 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Alianza FC are the model's most likely outcome at 39.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.5%. Confidence 82/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	383231	1.15–1.02	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	333334	0.97–1.00	0-0 15%	31%	40%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros to win	34.1%	30.4%	24.8%	1.23×	3.29
Draw	33.4%	30.4%	29.5%	1.03×	3.29
Alianza FC to win	32.5%	30.4%	45.8%	0.66×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros & not both score	22.9%	21.8%	13.4%	1.62×	4.59
Alianza FC & not both score	21.8%	21.8%	27.1%	0.80×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.56
Draw & not both score	15.1%	18.0%	10.8%	1.66×	5.57
Llaneros & both teams score	11.2%	13.3%	11.5%	1.15×	7.54
Alianza FC & both teams score	10.8%	13.3%	18.8%	0.70×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & under 2.5	29.7%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	29.7%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Llaneros & under 3.5	28.9%	26.1%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
Alianza FC & under 3.5	27.7%	26.1%	35.7%	0.73×	3.84
Llaneros & over 1.5	21.2%	21.6%	16.5%	1.31×	4.63
Alianza FC & over 1.5	20.1%	21.6%	33.8%	0.64×	4.63
Llaneros & under 2.5	19.8%	18.0%	12.1%	1.49×	5.55
Alianza FC & under 2.5	19.0%	18.0%	20.5%	0.88×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.55
Draw & under 1.5	15.1%	18.0%	10.8%	1.67×	5.56
Llaneros & over 2.5	14.2%	12.8%	12.9%	1.00×	7.79
Alianza FC & over 2.5	13.5%	12.8%	25.5%	0.50×	7.79
Llaneros & under 1.5	12.9%	12.8%	8.4%	1.52×	7.79
Alianza FC & under 1.5	12.5%	12.8%	12.2%	1.05×	7.79
Llaneros & over 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	5.0%	1.59×	12.63
Alianza FC & over 3.5	4.8%	4.8%	10.2%	0.47×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	3.6%	4.8%	6.0%	0.81×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.6%	4.8%	6.0%	0.81×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros (1UP)	47.4%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Alianza FC (1UP)	46.0%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros (2UP)	34.1%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
Alianza FC (2UP)	32.5%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	43.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Llaneros to win 2nd half	29.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Alianza FC to win 2nd half	26.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.9%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Llaneros under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Llaneros over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Llaneros over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.1%	12.9%	—	—	7.78

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.4%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Alianza FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.6%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Alianza FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.4%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Alianza FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.07

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros (+2.5)	96.6%	96.3%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Llaneros (+1.5)	87.6%	88.5%	79.6%	1.11×	1.13
Llaneros (+0.5)	67.5%	68.7%	54.2%	1.27×	1.46
Alianza FC (+0.5)	65.9%	68.7%	75.2%	0.91×	1.46
Llaneros (-0.5)	34.1%	31.3%	24.8%	1.26×	3.19
Alianza FC (-0.5)	32.5%	31.3%	45.8%	0.68×	3.19
Alianza FC (-1.5)	12.4%	11.5%	20.4%	0.57×	8.67
Alianza FC (-2.5)	3.4%	3.7%	8.2%	0.45×	27.12

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros to concede	62.0%	67.6%	75.9%	0.89×	1.48
Llaneros clean sheet	38.0%	32.4%	24.1%	1.35×	3.08

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros clean sheet in 1st half	66.0%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Llaneros to concede in 1st half	34.0%	28.9%	—	—	3.46

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros clean sheet in 2nd half	57.6%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Llaneros to concede in 2nd half	42.4%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros under 6.5 corners	84.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Llaneros under 5.5 corners	74.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Llaneros over 2.5 corners	70.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Llaneros under 4.5 corners	62.1%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Llaneros over 3.5 corners	53.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Llaneros under 3.5 corners	46.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Llaneros over 4.5 corners	37.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Llaneros under 2.5 corners	29.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Llaneros over 5.5 corners	25.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Llaneros over 6.5 corners	15.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros under 3.5 goals	98.1%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Llaneros under 2.5 goals	92.0%	92.3%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Llaneros under 1.5 goals	73.7%	71.9%	74.2%	0.97×	1.39
Llaneros over 0.5 goals	63.1%	63.2%	62.2%	1.02×	1.58
Llaneros under 0.5 goals	36.9%	36.8%	37.8%	0.97×	2.72
Llaneros over 1.5 goals	26.3%	28.1%	25.8%	1.09×	3.55
Llaneros over 2.5 goals	8.0%	7.7%	7.1%	1.08×	13.07
Llaneros over 3.5 goals	1.9%	2.5%	1.9%	1.29×	39.87

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros under 1.5 in 1st half	93.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Llaneros under 0.5 in 1st half	67.1%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Llaneros over 0.5 in 1st half	32.9%	29.7%	—	—	3.36
Llaneros over 1.5 in 1st half	6.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.60

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros scores equally in both	46.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Llaneros scores more in 2nd half	33.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Llaneros scores more in 1st half	20.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	50.6%	51.6%	39.2%	1.32×	1.94
Alianza FC (away no bet)	49.4%	48.4%	60.8%	0.79×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros even goals	56.8%	56.9%	57.6%	0.99×	1.76
Llaneros odd goals	43.2%	43.1%	42.4%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.7%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.3%	8.1%	—	—	12.41

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	54.1%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
Not both halves under 1.5	45.9%	48.8%	—	—	2.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	39.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Llaneros to score 2+ in a row	21.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Alianza FC to score 2+ in a row	20.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	10.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Llaneros to score 3+ in a row	5.4%	5.5%	—	—	18.33
Alianza FC to score 3+ in a row	5.0%	5.4%	—	—	18.37

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC corners (+3.5)	90.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Alianza FC corners (+2.5)	84.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Alianza FC corners (+1.5)	77.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Llaneros corners (+3.5)	71.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Llaneros corners (+2.5)	62.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Llaneros corners (+1.5)	52.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Alianza FC corners (-1.5)	48.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Alianza FC corners (-2.5)	37.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Alianza FC corners (-3.5)	28.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Llaneros corners (-1.5)	22.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Llaneros corners (-2.5)	15.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Llaneros corners (-3.5)	9.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
12+ corners	28.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
9-11 corners	28.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	67.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	53.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	46.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	32.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	28.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	21.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	15.1%	13.8%	10.8%	1.28×	7.24
1-1	14.6%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.71
0-1	12.9%	11.5%	8.4%	1.36×	8.71
1-0	12.5%	11.5%	12.2%	0.94×	8.71
0-2	7.0%	7.4%	3.7%	1.98×	13.51
1-2	6.7%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
2-0	6.6%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
2-1	6.5%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.51
0-3	2.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.31
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
1-3	2.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
2-2	3.3%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
2-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
3-0	2.1%	1.7%	4.6%	0.38×	58.31
3-1	2.1%	1.7%	3.5%	0.50×	58.31
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.19×	58.32
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.32
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
Any other score	0.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros (2nd half DNB)	52.7%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Alianza FC (2nd half DNB)	47.3%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC leading at HT (DNB)	51.3%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Llaneros leading at HT (DNB)	48.7%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros or draw (X2)	67.5%	69.6%	54.2%	1.29×	1.44
Alianza FC or Llaneros (12)	66.6%	69.6%	70.5%	0.99×	1.44
Alianza FC or draw (1X)	65.9%	69.6%	75.2%	0.93×	1.44

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC or draw at HT	76.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Llaneros or draw at HT	75.5%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Alianza FC or Llaneros at HT	47.7%	51.2%	—	—	1.95

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros or draw (1UP)	67.5%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Alianza FC or draw (1UP)	65.9%	76.3%	—	—	1.31

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros or draw in 2nd half	73.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Alianza FC or draw in 2nd half	70.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Alianza FC or Llaneros in 2nd half	56.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	72.1%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Neither half drawn	27.9%	29.4%	—	—	3.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros (DNB)	51.1%	50.9%	35.1%	1.45×	1.97
Alianza FC (DNB)	48.9%	49.1%	64.9%	0.76×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros to score first	43.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Alianza FC to score first	41.8%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	15.1%	16.5%	—	—	6.06

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	59.8%	55.0%	51.1%	1.08×	1.82
Both teams to score	40.2%	45.0%	48.9%	0.92×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	54.0%	47.3%	43.1%	1.10×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	25.6%	33.3%	36.0%	0.92×	3.01
Both score & under 2.5	14.6%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	5.8%	8.3%	8.2%	1.01×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.4%	89.0%	88.6%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.6%	11.0%	11.4%	0.97×	9.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	80.5%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Both teams to score in 2nd half	19.5%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	71.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Both score 2nd half only	17.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Both score 1st half only	9.2%	6.8%	—	—	14.64
Both score in both halves	2.1%	4.8%	—	—	20.74

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	11.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.74

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	61.4%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
A goal in each half	38.6%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.9%	47.2%	48.1%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	40.5%	42.2%	31.2%	1.35×	2.37
4-6 goals	13.2%	17.0%	19.5%	0.87×	5.90
7+ goals	0.4%	1.8%	1.5%	1.20×	54.52

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros to score exactly 0	36.9%	35.9%	37.8%	0.95×	2.78
Llaneros to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Llaneros to score exactly 2	18.3%	19.5%	18.8%	1.04×	5.12
Llaneros to score 3+	8.0%	8.5%	7.1%	1.21×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC to score exactly 0	38.0%	35.5%	24.1%	1.48×	2.81
Alianza FC to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.5%	34.5%	1.03×	2.81
Alianza FC to score exactly 2	17.8%	18.8%	26.2%	0.72×	5.32
Alianza FC to score 3+	7.5%	10.3%	15.5%	0.67×	9.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	52.3%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Alianza FC leading at HT	24.5%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Llaneros leading at HT	23.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros -1: 1	65.9%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Llaneros -1: X	20.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Llaneros -1: 2	13.3%	14.0%	—	—	7.17

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros (0:1)	67.5%	65.3%	54.2%	1.20×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	20.2%	24.2%	25.6%	0.95×	4.13
Alianza FC (0:1)	12.4%	13.7%	20.4%	0.67×	7.30

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros (0:2)	87.6%	87.1%	79.6%	1.09×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.0%	7.7%	12.3%	0.62×	13.04
Alianza FC (0:2)	3.4%	3.7%	8.2%	0.46×	26.70

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros (0:3)	96.6%	96.6%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.02
Alianza FC (0:3)	0.8%	2.4%	2.9%	0.82×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros (0:4)	99.2%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.9%	0.63×	81.83
Alianza FC (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	81.89

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC (1:0)	65.9%	70.1%	75.2%	0.93×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	20.8%	21.7%	17.3%	1.25×	4.61
Llaneros (1:0)	13.3%	12.7%	7.6%	1.67×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC (2:0)	86.7%	88.5%	92.4%	0.96×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.5%	6.4%	5.0%	1.28×	15.63
Llaneros (2:0)	3.8%	2.3%	2.8%	0.83×	43.69

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.6%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Halves equal	32.2%	31.9%	—	—	3.14
1st half highest scoring	25.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC to concede	63.1%	63.7%	62.2%	1.02×	1.57
Alianza FC clean sheet	36.9%	36.3%	37.8%	0.96×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC clean sheet in 1st half	67.1%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Alianza FC to concede in 1st half	32.9%	29.4%	—	—	3.40

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC clean sheet in 2nd half	55.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Alianza FC to concede in 2nd half	45.0%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC over 2.5 corners	84.0%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Alianza FC over 3.5 corners	71.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Alianza FC under 6.5 corners	67.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Alianza FC over 4.5 corners	58.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Alianza FC under 5.5 corners	55.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Alianza FC over 5.5 corners	44.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Alianza FC under 4.5 corners	42.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Alianza FC over 6.5 corners	32.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Alianza FC under 3.5 corners	28.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Alianza FC under 2.5 corners	16.0%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC under 3.5 goals	98.3%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Alianza FC under 2.5 goals	92.5%	92.2%	84.5%	1.09×	1.09
Alianza FC under 1.5 goals	74.8%	74.2%	58.4%	1.27×	1.35
Alianza FC over 0.5 goals	62.0%	63.6%	75.9%	0.84×	1.57
Alianza FC under 0.5 goals	38.0%	36.4%	24.1%	1.51×	2.75
Alianza FC over 1.5 goals	25.2%	25.8%	41.6%	0.62×	3.88
Alianza FC over 2.5 goals	7.5%	7.8%	15.5%	0.50×	12.83
Alianza FC over 3.5 goals	1.7%	3.6%	4.7%	0.77×	27.61

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC under 1.5 in 1st half	93.4%	94.8%	—	—	1.06
Alianza FC under 0.5 in 1st half	66.0%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Alianza FC over 0.5 in 1st half	34.0%	30.7%	—	—	3.26
Alianza FC over 1.5 in 1st half	6.6%	5.2%	—	—	19.33

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC scores equally in both	47.2%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Alianza FC scores more in 2nd half	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Alianza FC scores more in 1st half	21.8%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros (home no bet)	50.5%	51.4%	45.7%	1.13×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	49.5%	48.6%	54.3%	0.89×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC even goals	57.2%	55.3%	53.3%	1.04×	1.81
Alianza FC odd goals	42.8%	44.7%	46.7%	0.96×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	44.5%	40.4%	—	—	2.47
HT 1-0	18.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	17.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	7.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 2-0	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 0-2	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 2-1	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.30
Any other HT score	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	24.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Alianza FC at HT / Alianza FC at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Llaneros at HT / Llaneros at FT	17.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Llaneros at FT	14.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Alianza FC at FT	13.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Alianza FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Llaneros at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Alianza FC at HT / Llaneros at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.96
Llaneros at HT / Alianza FC at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros to score last	43.1%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
Alianza FC to score last	41.8%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	15.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.96

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	84.9%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Llaneros to lead by 1 at any time	47.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Alianza FC to lead by 1 at any time	46.0%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	32.8%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Llaneros to lead by 2 at any time	16.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Alianza FC to lead by 2 at any time	16.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	8.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.98
Llaneros to lead by 3 at any time	4.6%	1.6%	—	—	60.80
Alianza FC to lead by 3 at any time	4.2%	1.6%	—	—	61.16

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC most corners	58.7%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Llaneros most corners	31.1%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.4%	83.4%	85.7%	0.97×	1.20
1-4 goals	79.9%	78.7%	80.1%	0.98×	1.27
1-3 goals	71.2%	72.3%	68.4%	1.06×	1.38
2-6 goals	59.1%	59.1%	67.5%	0.88×	1.69
2-5 goals	58.0%	59.1%	65.4%	0.90×	1.69
2-4 goals	54.6%	53.2%	59.7%	0.89×	1.88
1-2 goals	53.5%	53.2%	45.3%	1.17×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.9%	48.4%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
3-6 goals	31.0%	35.2%	42.7%	0.82×	2.84
3-5 goals	29.9%	30.2%	40.6%	0.74×	3.31
3-4 goals	26.4%	30.2%	34.9%	0.87×	3.31
4-6 goals	13.2%	14.8%	19.5%	0.76×	6.75
4-5 goals	12.1%	14.8%	17.5%	0.85×	6.76
5-6 goals	4.5%	2.6%	7.9%	0.32×	39.06
7+ goals	0.4%	2.5%	1.5%	1.67×	39.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Llaneros never behind	38.9%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Alianza FC never behind	37.5%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.8%	50.9%	50.4%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.2%	49.1%	49.6%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	60.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	39.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.8%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.2%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.5%	95.4%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	95.0%	95.4%	90.7%	1.05×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	86.3%	87.6%	79.1%	1.11×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	84.9%	82.3%	89.2%	0.92×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	68.6%	66.3%	56.0%	1.19×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	59.5%	58.7%	68.8%	0.85×	1.71
Under 1.5 goals	40.5%	41.3%	31.2%	1.33×	2.42
Over 2.5 goals	31.4%	33.7%	44.0%	0.76×	2.97
Under 0.5 goals	15.1%	17.7%	10.8%	1.64×	5.65
Over 3.5 goals	13.7%	12.4%	20.9%	0.59×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	5.0%	4.6%	9.3%	0.49×	21.80
Over 5.5 goals	1.5%	4.6%	3.6%	1.27×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.6%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.4%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	94.6%	92.4%	89.5%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	83.4%	81.1%	72.8%	1.11×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.3%	55.8%	41.4%	1.35×	1.79
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.7%	44.2%	58.6%	0.76×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	16.6%	18.9%	27.2%	0.69×	5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	5.4%	7.6%	10.5%	0.72×	13.20
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.6%	2.8%	3.8%	0.74×	35.64
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.4%	2.8%	1.6%	1.80×	35.67

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.0%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half	80.1%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	55.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Under 0.5 in 1st half	44.5%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Over 1.5 in 1st half	19.9%	14.4%	—	—	6.95
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.0%	4.1%	—	—	24.69

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	89.0%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	68.0%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	32.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.0%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	11.0%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC not to score in both halves	85.6%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Llaneros not to score in both halves	85.2%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Llaneros to score in both halves	14.8%	14.6%	—	—	6.87
Alianza FC to score in both halves	14.4%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	40.2%	46.5%	48.9%	0.95×	2.15
Only Llaneros scores	22.9%	22.3%	13.4%	1.66×	4.49
Only Alianza FC scores	21.8%	22.2%	27.1%	0.82×	4.50
Neither team scores	15.1%	16.0%	10.8%	1.48×	6.24

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.2%	24.9%	24.9%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	25.3%	24.9%	20.5%	1.21×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	17.7%	17.5%	23.3%	0.75×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	15.1%	17.4%	10.8%	1.62×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	8.7%	7.6%	11.8%	0.65×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	3.4%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.35
6 or more goals	1.5%	4.5%	3.6%	1.24×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	44.5%	40.4%	—	—	2.47
1 goal in 1st half	35.7%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	14.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
3+ goals in 1st half	5.0%	4.1%	—	—	24.69

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.7%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
2+ goals in 2nd half	32.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	32.0%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC not to win both halves	93.3%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Llaneros not to win both halves	93.0%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Llaneros to win both halves	7.0%	5.8%	—	—	17.15
Alianza FC to win both halves	6.7%	5.8%	—	—	17.18

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC to win neither half	55.6%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Llaneros to win neither half	54.2%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Llaneros to win either half	45.8%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Alianza FC to win either half	44.4%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC not to win to nil	78.2%	78.1%	72.9%	1.07×	1.28
Llaneros not to win to nil	77.1%	78.1%	86.6%	0.90×	1.28
Llaneros to win to nil	22.9%	21.9%	13.4%	1.63×	4.57
Alianza FC to win to nil	21.8%	21.9%	27.1%	0.81×	4.57

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	33.4%	27.7%	29.5%	0.94×	3.61
Llaneros by 1	20.8%	24.1%	17.3%	1.39×	4.15
Alianza FC by 1	20.2%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.15
Llaneros by 2	9.5%	7.2%	5.0%	1.44×	13.90
Alianza FC by 2	9.0%	7.2%	12.3%	0.58×	13.90
Alianza FC by 3+	3.4%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	36.86
Llaneros by 3+	3.8%	2.7%	2.8%	0.98×	36.85