Alianza Lima v Cienciano del Cusco — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Alianza Lima

18:00 UTC

Cienciano del Cusco

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 103h before kick-off

Alianza Lima win

69.8%

model 68.8%

Draw

19.2%

model 18.4%

Cienciano del Cusco win

11.0%

model 12.8%

701911

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 12.5%
1-0 12.2%
2-1 9.6%
3-0 8.8%
1-1 8.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.1%	Under 2.5	44.9%
BTTS yes	46.9%	BTTS no	53.1%
Alianza Lima 1+	87.9%	Alianza Lima 2+	62.4%
Cienciano del Cusco 1+	53.8%	Cienciano del Cusco 2+	18.1%

Expected goals 2.11 – 0.77. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Alianza Lima (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 50%

68.8% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Alianza Lima leading at HT (DNB)

DNB half time

83.7% fair odds 1.20

weak signal · 70 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Alianza Lima carry the stronger rating, 1676 Elo against 1502.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Alianza Lima have an estimated 69.8% win probability, against 19.2% for the draw and 11.0% for Cienciano del Cusco. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.11 for Alianza Lima and 0.77 for Cienciano del Cusco.

Why Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima carry the stronger rating, 1676 Elo against 1502.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.2%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Cienciano del Cusco can win

Nothing in the data singles out Cienciano del Cusco.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Alianza Lima, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cienciano del Cusco, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Alianza Lima: 64% possession, 19.8 shots a match, 7.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cienciano del Cusco: 55% possession, 17.4 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Alianza Lima are the model's most likely outcome at 69.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 12.5%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	691813	2.11–0.77	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	691812	2.10–0.73	2-0 13%	54%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to win	69.4%	64.9%	49.8%	1.30×	1.54
Draw	18.4%	19.4%	25.0%	0.78×	5.16
Cienciano del Cusco to win	12.2%	13.4%	25.4%	0.53×	7.45

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima & not both score	42.5%	40.1%	26.4%	1.52×	2.49
Alianza Lima & both teams score	26.9%	25.2%	23.6%	1.07×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	12.9%	13.3%	17.4%	0.76×	7.54
Cienciano del Cusco & not both score	6.8%	8.3%	12.3%	0.68×	12.00
Draw & not both score	5.5%	8.3%	7.8%	1.07×	12.01
Cienciano del Cusco & both teams score	5.5%	8.3%	13.2%	0.63×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima & over 1.5	56.6%	54.8%	38.0%	1.44×	1.82
Alianza Lima & under 3.5	44.3%	40.3%	33.7%	1.20×	2.48
Alianza Lima & over 2.5	43.6%	40.3%	30.8%	1.31×	2.48
Alianza Lima & under 2.5	25.7%	26.1%	19.2%	1.36×	3.84
Alianza Lima & over 3.5	25.0%	26.1%	16.3%	1.60×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	14.3%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.3%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
Alianza Lima & under 1.5	12.7%	12.8%	12.0%	1.07×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	12.9%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
Cienciano del Cusco & under 3.5	10.0%	7.9%	19.4%	0.41×	12.63
Cienciano del Cusco & over 1.5	7.5%	7.9%	17.4%	0.46×	12.63
Cienciano del Cusco & over 2.5	6.0%	7.9%	14.5%	0.55×	12.63
Cienciano del Cusco & under 2.5	6.3%	7.9%	11.1%	0.72×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	7.8%	1.02×	12.63
Cienciano del Cusco & under 1.5	4.7%	4.8%	8.2%	0.59×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	4.1%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	4.1%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.82
Cienciano del Cusco & over 3.5	2.2%	4.8%	6.2%	0.78×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (1UP)	78.5%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Cienciano del Cusco (1UP)	27.6%	26.6%	—	—	3.75

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (2UP)	69.4%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Cienciano del Cusco (2UP)	12.2%	13.8%	—	—	7.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to win 2nd half	55.3%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
2nd half drawn	30.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Cienciano del Cusco to win 2nd half	13.8%	11.3%	—	—	8.85

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.7%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Cienciano del Cusco under 0.5 in 2nd half	64.4%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Cienciano del Cusco over 0.5 in 2nd half	35.6%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
Cienciano del Cusco over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.3%	8.2%	—	—	12.19

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.7%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Alianza Lima under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Alianza Lima over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Alianza Lima under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.3%	29.1%	—	—	3.43

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (+0.5)	87.8%	88.5%	74.6%	1.19×	1.13
Cienciano del Cusco (+2.5)	76.7%	78.5%	88.6%	0.89×	1.27
Alianza Lima (-0.5)	69.4%	68.7%	49.8%	1.38×	1.46
Cienciano del Cusco (+1.5)	55.7%	57.0%	75.4%	0.76×	1.75
Alianza Lima (-1.5)	44.3%	43.0%	24.6%	1.74×	2.33
Cienciano del Cusco (+0.5)	30.6%	31.3%	50.2%	0.62×	3.19
Alianza Lima (-2.5)	23.3%	21.5%	11.4%	1.89×	4.65
Cienciano del Cusco (-0.5)	12.2%	11.5%	25.4%	0.45×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to concede	87.7%	86.3%	80.1%	1.08×	1.16
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet	12.3%	13.7%	19.9%	0.69×	7.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to concede in 1st half	59.4%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet in 1st half	40.6%	43.4%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to concede in 2nd half	69.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet in 2nd half	30.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.94

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco under 6.5 corners	93.2%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Cienciano del Cusco under 5.5 corners	86.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Cienciano del Cusco under 4.5 corners	76.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Cienciano del Cusco under 3.5 corners	61.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Cienciano del Cusco over 2.5 corners	58.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Cienciano del Cusco under 2.5 corners	42.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Cienciano del Cusco over 3.5 corners	38.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Cienciano del Cusco over 4.5 corners	23.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Cienciano del Cusco over 5.5 corners	13.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
Cienciano del Cusco over 6.5 corners	6.8%	10.1%	—	—	9.91

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco under 3.5 goals	99.3%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Cienciano del Cusco under 2.5 goals	96.2%	97.5%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Cienciano del Cusco under 1.5 goals	83.3%	81.5%	71.6%	1.14×	1.23
Cienciano del Cusco over 0.5 goals	52.0%	53.5%	65.9%	0.81×	1.87
Cienciano del Cusco under 0.5 goals	48.0%	46.5%	34.1%	1.36×	2.15
Cienciano del Cusco over 1.5 goals	16.7%	18.5%	28.4%	0.65×	5.41
Cienciano del Cusco over 2.5 goals	3.8%	2.5%	8.0%	0.32×	39.77
Cienciano del Cusco over 3.5 goals	0.7%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.94

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco under 1.5 in 1st half	96.5%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
Cienciano del Cusco under 0.5 in 1st half	74.6%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Cienciano del Cusco over 0.5 in 1st half	25.4%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
Cienciano del Cusco over 1.5 in 1st half	3.5%	3.9%	—	—	25.75

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco scores equally in both	54.4%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Cienciano del Cusco scores more in 2nd half	28.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Cienciano del Cusco scores more in 1st half	17.4%	18.0%	—	—	5.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (away no bet)	79.0%	73.6%	66.6%	1.10×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	21.0%	26.4%	33.4%	0.79×	3.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco even goals	61.5%	59.1%	56.9%	1.04×	1.69
Cienciano del Cusco odd goals	38.5%	40.9%	43.1%	0.95×	2.45

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.7%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.5%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Alianza Lima to score 2+ in a row	56.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Either team to score 3+ in a row	29.3%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Alianza Lima to score 3+ in a row	27.7%	25.0%	—	—	4.01
Cienciano del Cusco to score 2+ in a row	10.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Cienciano del Cusco to score 3+ in a row	1.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.93

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima corners (+3.5)	93.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Alianza Lima corners (+2.5)	88.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Alianza Lima corners (+1.5)	81.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Cienciano del Cusco corners (+3.5)	76.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Cienciano del Cusco corners (+2.5)	65.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Cienciano del Cusco corners (+1.5)	53.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Alianza Lima corners (-1.5)	46.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Alianza Lima corners (-2.5)	34.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Alianza Lima corners (-3.5)	24.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Cienciano del Cusco corners (-1.5)	18.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Cienciano del Cusco corners (-2.5)	11.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Cienciano del Cusco corners (-3.5)	6.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	63.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
9-11 corners	24.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
12+ corners	12.6%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	91.8%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	87.4%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 10.5 corners	81.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 9.5 corners	73.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	63.3%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 7.5 corners	51.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 7.5 corners	48.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	36.7%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	26.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 10.5 corners	18.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 11.5 corners	12.6%	16.9%	—	—	5.91
Over 12.5 corners	8.2%	16.6%	—	—	6.03

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	12.7%	11.5%	12.0%	0.96×	8.71
2-0	13.0%	11.5%	7.4%	1.55×	8.71
1-1	8.7%	7.4%	11.2%	0.66×	13.51
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
3-0	9.1%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.51
3-1	6.6%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
0-0	5.5%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.51
Any other score	6.2%	7.4%	2.7%	2.72×	13.51
4-0	4.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.29
0-1	4.7%	1.7%	8.2%	0.21×	58.29
0-2	1.6%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
0-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.32
1-2	3.3%	1.7%	7.6%	0.23×	58.30
1-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
2-2	3.5%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-1	3.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.30
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (2nd half DNB)	80.1%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Cienciano del Cusco (2nd half DNB)	19.9%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima leading at HT (DNB)	80.9%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Cienciano del Cusco leading at HT (DNB)	19.1%	15.4%	—	—	6.49

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw (1X)	87.8%	86.6%	74.6%	1.16×	1.16
Alianza Lima or Cienciano del Cusco (12)	81.6%	80.6%	75.0%	1.07×	1.24
Cienciano del Cusco or draw (X2)	30.6%	35.1%	50.2%	0.70×	2.85

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw at HT	88.3%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Alianza Lima or Cienciano del Cusco at HT	61.3%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Cienciano del Cusco or draw at HT	50.4%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw (1UP)	87.8%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Cienciano del Cusco or draw (1UP)	30.6%	38.9%	—	—	2.57

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw in 2nd half	86.2%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Alianza Lima or Cienciano del Cusco in 2nd half	69.1%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
Cienciano del Cusco or draw in 2nd half	44.7%	38.9%	—	—	2.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.1%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	41.9%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (DNB)	85.0%	86.9%	66.3%	1.31×	1.15
Cienciano del Cusco (DNB)	15.0%	13.1%	33.7%	0.39×	7.66

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score first	70.0%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Cienciano del Cusco to score first	24.5%	23.2%	—	—	4.32
No goal scored	5.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.8%	51.3%	46.2%	1.11×	1.95
Both teams to score	45.2%	48.7%	53.8%	0.91×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	37.6%	38.5%	37.7%	1.02×	2.60
Both score & over 2.5	36.5%	38.4%	42.8%	0.90×	2.60
Not both score & over 2.5	17.2%	21.5%	8.7%	2.47×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	8.7%	8.3%	11.2%	0.74×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.6%	85.6%	85.7%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.4%	14.4%	14.3%	1.00×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.3%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.0%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	20.9%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	11.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	3.7%	4.9%	—	—	20.39

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.0%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	15.0%	16.5%	—	—	6.08

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.9%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	44.1%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.6%	47.2%	44.2%	1.07×	2.12
4-6 goals	28.9%	26.6%	26.8%	0.99×	3.76
0-1 goals	23.0%	22.9%	27.5%	0.83×	4.36
7+ goals	2.5%	1.8%	1.8%	1.02×	54.31

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to score exactly 0	48.0%	43.0%	34.1%	1.26×	2.33
Cienciano del Cusco to score exactly 1	35.2%	35.9%	37.7%	0.95×	2.79
Cienciano del Cusco to score exactly 2	12.9%	12.9%	20.7%	0.62×	7.76
Cienciano del Cusco to score 3+	3.8%	4.6%	8.0%	0.58×	21.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score 3+	34.9%	32.6%	22.5%	1.45×	3.07
Alianza Lima to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.6%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Alianza Lima to score exactly 1	25.8%	26.6%	33.0%	0.81×	3.77
Alianza Lima to score exactly 0	12.3%	14.3%	19.9%	0.72×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima leading at HT	49.6%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Draw at HT	38.7%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Cienciano del Cusco leading at HT	11.7%	11.6%	—	—	8.60

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima -1: 1	44.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Alianza Lima -1: 2	30.6%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Alianza Lima -1: X	25.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (0:1)	44.3%	42.7%	24.6%	1.73×	2.35
Cienciano del Cusco (0:1)	30.6%	30.1%	50.2%	0.60×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	25.0%	27.0%	25.4%	1.06×	3.71

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (0:2)	55.7%	63.0%	75.4%	0.84×	1.59
Alianza Lima (0:2)	23.3%	20.3%	11.4%	1.78×	4.93
Draw (0:2)	21.0%	20.2%	13.4%	1.51×	4.94

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (0:3)	76.7%	80.6%	88.6%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	13.1%	9.9%	7.6%	1.30×	10.11
Alianza Lima (0:3)	10.1%	9.8%	4.0%	2.47×	10.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (0:4)	89.9%	92.1%	96.0%	0.96×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	6.4%	4.6%	2.5%	1.82×	21.62
Alianza Lima (0:4)	3.7%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.56

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (1:0)	87.8%	86.1%	74.6%	1.15×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	9.0%	6.9%	17.9%	0.39×	14.47
Cienciano del Cusco (1:0)	3.2%	3.3%	7.6%	0.43×	30.62

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (2:0)	96.8%	96.8%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.6%	2.3%	5.6%	0.41×	43.77
Cienciano del Cusco (2:0)	0.7%	2.3%	2.2%	1.05×	43.88

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.9%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	28.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.9%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to concede	52.0%	53.1%	65.9%	0.81×	1.88
Alianza Lima clean sheet	48.0%	46.9%	34.1%	1.38×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima clean sheet in 1st half	74.6%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Alianza Lima to concede in 1st half	25.4%	32.7%	—	—	3.05

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima clean sheet in 2nd half	64.4%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Alianza Lima to concede in 2nd half	35.6%	40.1%	—	—	2.50

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima under 6.5 corners	79.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Alianza Lima over 2.5 corners	76.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Alianza Lima under 5.5 corners	69.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Alianza Lima over 3.5 corners	60.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Alianza Lima under 4.5 corners	55.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Alianza Lima over 4.5 corners	44.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Alianza Lima under 3.5 corners	39.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Alianza Lima over 5.5 corners	30.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Alianza Lima under 2.5 corners	23.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Alianza Lima over 6.5 corners	20.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima over 0.5 goals	87.7%	87.3%	80.1%	1.09×	1.15
Alianza Lima under 3.5 goals	84.0%	82.2%	92.4%	0.89×	1.22
Alianza Lima under 2.5 goals	65.1%	67.9%	77.5%	0.88×	1.47
Alianza Lima over 1.5 goals	61.9%	63.6%	47.3%	1.35×	1.57
Alianza Lima under 1.5 goals	38.1%	36.4%	52.7%	0.69×	2.75
Alianza Lima over 2.5 goals	34.9%	32.1%	22.5%	1.43×	3.12
Alianza Lima over 3.5 goals	16.0%	17.8%	7.6%	2.34×	5.62
Alianza Lima under 0.5 goals	12.3%	12.7%	19.9%	0.64×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima under 1.5 in 1st half	77.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Alianza Lima over 0.5 in 1st half	59.4%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Alianza Lima under 0.5 in 1st half	40.6%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Alianza Lima over 1.5 in 1st half	22.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima scores more in 2nd half	42.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Alianza Lima scores equally in both	29.6%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
Alianza Lima scores more in 1st half	27.7%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	60.1%	59.9%	49.6%	1.21×	1.67
Cienciano del Cusco (home no bet)	39.9%	40.1%	50.4%	0.80×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima even goals	50.8%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Alianza Lima odd goals	49.2%	49.3%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
HT 1-0	27.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 2-0	12.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 0-1	8.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 1-1	7.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
Any other HT score	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 2-1	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 0-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.34
HT 1-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.34
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	45.1%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Draw at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	21.6%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Cienciano del Cusco at HT / Cienciano del Cusco at FT	5.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.53
Draw at HT / Cienciano del Cusco at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Alianza Lima at HT / Draw at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Cienciano del Cusco at HT / Draw at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Cienciano del Cusco at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Alianza Lima at HT / Cienciano del Cusco at FT	0.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.01

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score last	69.9%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Cienciano del Cusco to score last	24.6%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
No goal scored	5.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.5%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Alianza Lima to lead by 1 at any time	78.5%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.7%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Alianza Lima to lead by 2 at any time	49.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Cienciano del Cusco to lead by 1 at any time	27.6%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	27.0%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Alianza Lima to lead by 3 at any time	25.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Cienciano del Cusco to lead by 2 at any time	6.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.10
Cienciano del Cusco to lead by 3 at any time	1.1%	1.6%	—	—	64.20

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima most corners	59.2%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Cienciano del Cusco most corners	28.8%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	12.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.8%	78.7%	78.1%	1.01×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.5%	72.3%	70.8%	1.02×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.3%	72.3%	67.4%	1.07×	1.38
1-3 goals	63.0%	63.3%	63.9%	0.99×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.4%	63.3%	58.3%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.2%	53.1%	49.6%	1.07×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.0%	48.4%	46.2%	1.05×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.6%	48.4%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.7%	43.6%	41.1%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	38.1%	39.2%	37.1%	1.05×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.9%	30.2%	26.8%	1.13×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.7%	24.5%	23.4%	1.05×	4.09
5-6 goals	13.1%	14.8%	12.7%	1.17×	6.75
7+ goals	2.5%	2.6%	1.8%	1.41×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima never behind	66.9%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Cienciano del Cusco never behind	16.0%	18.1%	—	—	5.52

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.5%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.5%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.3%	82.3%	85.7%	0.96×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	77.0%	77.3%	72.5%	1.07×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.6%	66.3%	71.6%	0.93×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.7%	52.5%	51.3%	1.02×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	46.3%	47.5%	48.7%	0.97×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	31.4%	33.7%	28.4%	1.18×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	23.0%	22.7%	27.5%	0.82×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	15.7%	17.7%	14.3%	1.24×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	6.7%	7.7%	5.3%	1.47×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.4%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.6%	92.4%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.4%	81.1%	83.3%	0.97×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.0%	72.3%	65.1%	1.11×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.5%	55.8%	63.1%	0.88×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.5%	44.2%	36.9%	1.20×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	30.0%	27.7%	34.9%	0.79×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.6%	18.9%	16.7%	1.14×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.4%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.6%	2.8%	1.9%	1.50×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.1%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.8%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.5%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.5%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.2%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.14

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.6%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.5%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.5%	20.4%	—	—	4.89
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco not to score in both halves	91.0%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Alianza Lima not to score in both halves	58.6%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Alianza Lima to score in both halves	41.4%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Cienciano del Cusco to score in both halves	9.0%	9.8%	—	—	10.23

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.2%	50.6%	53.8%	0.94×	1.98
Only Alianza Lima scores	42.5%	46.6%	26.4%	1.76×	2.15
Only Cienciano del Cusco scores	6.8%	7.1%	12.3%	0.58×	14.01
Neither team scores	5.5%	7.1%	7.8%	0.92×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.3%	22.6%	21.4%	1.06×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	17.4%	17.5%	19.9%	0.88×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.8%	17.5%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.9%	7.6%	9.2%	0.82×	13.13
6 or more goals	6.7%	7.6%	5.3%	1.45×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.5%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	30.2%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	21.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.23

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.5%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	19.4%	16.9%	—	—	5.93

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco not to win both halves	98.4%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Alianza Lima not to win both halves	72.7%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Alianza Lima to win both halves	27.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Cienciano del Cusco to win both halves	1.6%	2.7%	—	—	36.58

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to win either half	77.5%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Cienciano del Cusco to win neither half	76.1%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Cienciano del Cusco to win either half	23.9%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Alianza Lima to win neither half	22.5%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco not to win to nil	93.2%	92.1%	87.7%	1.05×	1.09
Alianza Lima not to win to nil	57.5%	59.1%	73.6%	0.80×	1.69
Alianza Lima to win to nil	42.5%	40.9%	26.4%	1.55×	2.45
Cienciano del Cusco to win to nil	6.8%	7.9%	12.3%	0.64×	12.67

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima by 1	25.0%	27.9%	25.4%	1.10×	3.59
Alianza Lima by 3+	23.3%	24.1%	11.4%	2.11×	4.15
Alianza Lima by 2	21.0%	24.1%	13.4%	1.80×	4.15
Draw	18.4%	17.1%	25.0%	0.68×	5.87
Cienciano del Cusco by 1	9.0%	7.2%	17.9%	0.40×	13.90
Cienciano del Cusco by 2	2.6%	2.7%	5.6%	0.48×	36.89
Cienciano del Cusco by 3+	0.7%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	36.95