Alianza Lima v FC Cajamarca — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 November 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Alianza Lima

20:00 UTC

FC Cajamarca

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 465h before kick-off

Alianza Lima win

81.2%

model 75.4%

Draw

11.0%

model 14.7%

FC Cajamarca win

7.8%

model 9.9%

81118

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (68 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 11.2%
3-0 9.6%
2-1 9.1%
1-0 9.0%
3-1 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	65.7%	Under 2.5	34.3%
BTTS yes	51.2%	BTTS no	48.8%
Alianza Lima 1+	92.3%	Alianza Lima 2+	72.6%
FC Cajamarca 1+	55.8%	FC Cajamarca 2+	19.7%

Expected goals 2.57 – 0.82. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Alianza Lima (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 25%

52.2% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

FC Cajamarca not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Alianza Lima carry the stronger rating, 1676 Elo against 1446.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Alianza Lima have an estimated 81.2% win probability, against 11.0% for the draw and 7.8% for FC Cajamarca. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.56 for Alianza Lima and 0.82 for FC Cajamarca.

Why Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima carry the stronger rating, 1676 Elo against 1446.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 11.0%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why FC Cajamarca can win

Nothing in the data singles out FC Cajamarca.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Alianza Lima, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Cajamarca, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Alianza Lima: 64% possession, 19.8 shots a match, 7.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Cajamarca: 48% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Alianza Lima's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Alianza Lima are the model's most likely outcome at 81.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.2%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	751510	2.57–0.82	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	77149	2.65–0.81	2-0 11%	67%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to win	76.7%	78.1%	49.8%	1.57×	1.28
Draw	14.0%	13.5%	25.0%	0.54×	7.42
FC Cajamarca to win	9.3%	8.2%	25.4%	0.32×	12.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima & not both score	41.5%	40.1%	26.4%	1.51×	2.50
Alianza Lima & both teams score	35.2%	33.3%	23.6%	1.41×	3.00
Draw & both teams score	11.1%	13.3%	17.4%	0.76×	7.54
FC Cajamarca & both teams score	5.1%	8.3%	13.2%	0.63×	12.01
FC Cajamarca & not both score	4.2%	4.9%	12.3%	0.40×	20.49
Draw & not both score	2.9%	4.9%	7.8%	0.63×	20.53

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima & over 1.5	68.2%	67.8%	38.0%	1.78×	1.47
Alianza Lima & over 2.5	57.2%	54.8%	30.8%	1.78×	1.83
Alianza Lima & over 3.5	38.5%	34.9%	16.3%	2.14×	2.87
Alianza Lima & under 3.5	38.2%	34.9%	33.7%	1.04×	2.87
Alianza Lima & under 2.5	19.6%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	11.1%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	18.8%	0.42×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	18.8%	0.42×	12.63
Alianza Lima & under 1.5	8.6%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.63
FC Cajamarca & over 1.5	6.5%	7.9%	17.4%	0.46×	12.63
FC Cajamarca & under 3.5	6.9%	7.9%	19.4%	0.41×	12.63
FC Cajamarca & over 2.5	5.5%	7.9%	14.5%	0.55×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.6%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.6%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.81
FC Cajamarca & under 2.5	3.8%	4.8%	11.1%	0.43×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	2.9%	4.8%	7.8%	0.62×	20.82
FC Cajamarca & under 1.5	2.8%	4.8%	8.2%	0.59×	20.82
FC Cajamarca & over 3.5	2.4%	4.8%	6.2%	0.78×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (1UP)	85.0%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
FC Cajamarca (1UP)	26.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (2UP)	76.7%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
FC Cajamarca (2UP)	9.3%	8.8%	—	—	11.40

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to win 2nd half	62.8%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
2nd half drawn	25.3%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
FC Cajamarca to win 2nd half	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.08

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.3%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
FC Cajamarca under 0.5 in 2nd half	61.4%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
FC Cajamarca over 0.5 in 2nd half	38.6%	39.8%	—	—	2.52
FC Cajamarca over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.95

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.9%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Alianza Lima under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.4%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Alianza Lima over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.6%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Alianza Lima under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.1%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (+0.5)	90.7%	92.1%	74.6%	1.23×	1.09
Alianza Lima (-0.5)	76.7%	78.5%	49.8%	1.58×	1.27
FC Cajamarca (+2.5)	66.0%	68.7%	88.6%	0.78×	1.46
Alianza Lima (-1.5)	55.4%	57.0%	24.6%	2.32×	1.75
FC Cajamarca (+1.5)	44.6%	43.0%	75.4%	0.57×	2.33
Alianza Lima (-2.5)	34.0%	31.3%	11.4%	2.75×	3.19
FC Cajamarca (+0.5)	23.3%	21.5%	50.2%	0.43×	4.65
FC Cajamarca (-0.5)	9.3%	7.9%	25.4%	0.31×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to concede	93.0%	91.7%	80.1%	1.15×	1.09
FC Cajamarca clean sheet	7.0%	8.3%	19.9%	0.42×	12.05

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to concede in 1st half	68.1%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
FC Cajamarca clean sheet in 1st half	31.9%	28.6%	—	—	3.50

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to concede in 2nd half	77.9%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
FC Cajamarca clean sheet in 2nd half	22.1%	25.0%	—	—	3.99

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca under 6.5 corners	98.7%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
FC Cajamarca under 5.5 corners	96.5%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
FC Cajamarca under 4.5 corners	91.8%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
FC Cajamarca under 3.5 corners	82.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
FC Cajamarca under 2.5 corners	64.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Cajamarca over 2.5 corners	35.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.61
FC Cajamarca over 3.5 corners	18.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
FC Cajamarca over 4.5 corners	8.3%	10.1%	—	—	9.89
FC Cajamarca over 5.5 corners	3.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.12
FC Cajamarca over 6.5 corners	1.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca under 3.5 goals	99.0%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
FC Cajamarca under 2.5 goals	95.1%	97.5%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
FC Cajamarca under 1.5 goals	80.4%	81.5%	71.6%	1.14×	1.23
FC Cajamarca over 0.5 goals	55.6%	59.4%	65.9%	0.90×	1.68
FC Cajamarca under 0.5 goals	44.4%	40.6%	34.1%	1.19×	2.46
FC Cajamarca over 1.5 goals	19.6%	18.5%	28.4%	0.65×	5.40
FC Cajamarca over 2.5 goals	4.9%	2.5%	8.0%	0.32×	39.72
FC Cajamarca over 3.5 goals	1.0%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.92

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca under 1.5 in 1st half	95.7%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
FC Cajamarca under 0.5 in 1st half	72.2%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
FC Cajamarca over 0.5 in 1st half	27.8%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
FC Cajamarca over 1.5 in 1st half	4.3%	4.0%	—	—	25.11

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca scores equally in both	51.7%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
FC Cajamarca scores more in 2nd half	30.0%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
FC Cajamarca scores more in 1st half	18.4%	18.1%	—	—	5.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (away no bet)	84.6%	82.9%	66.6%	1.24×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	15.4%	17.1%	33.4%	0.51×	5.84

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca even goals	59.8%	56.9%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76
FC Cajamarca odd goals	40.2%	43.1%	43.1%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	74.4%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	25.6%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	76.7%	72.2%	—	—	1.39
Both halves under 1.5 goals	23.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	73.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Alianza Lima to score 2+ in a row	68.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	41.3%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Alianza Lima to score 3+ in a row	39.7%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
FC Cajamarca to score 2+ in a row	11.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
FC Cajamarca to score 3+ in a row	1.8%	2.5%	—	—	39.84

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima corners (+3.5)	98.9%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Alianza Lima corners (+2.5)	97.5%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Alianza Lima corners (+1.5)	94.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Alianza Lima corners (-1.5)	71.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Alianza Lima corners (-2.5)	59.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
FC Cajamarca corners (+3.5)	52.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Alianza Lima corners (-3.5)	47.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
FC Cajamarca corners (+2.5)	40.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
FC Cajamarca corners (+1.5)	28.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Cajamarca corners (-1.5)	5.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
FC Cajamarca corners (-2.5)	2.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.49
FC Cajamarca corners (-3.5)	1.1%	4.2%	—	—	23.54

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	62.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
9-11 corners	24.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
12+ corners	13.7%	21.2%	—	—	4.73

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	90.8%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	86.3%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 10.5 corners	80.1%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 9.5 corners	72.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	62.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 7.5 corners	50.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 7.5 corners	49.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	37.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	28.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 10.5 corners	19.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 11.5 corners	13.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.91
Over 12.5 corners	9.2%	16.6%	—	—	6.02

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	13.1%	11.5%	2.7%	4.22×	8.71
2-0	11.0%	11.5%	7.4%	1.54×	8.72
1-0	8.6%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.51
2-1	8.9%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
3-0	9.7%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.51
1-1	6.5%	7.4%	11.2%	0.66×	13.51
3-1	7.9%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
4-0	6.5%	7.4%	1.6%	4.54×	13.51
4-1	5.3%	7.4%	2.5%	2.92×	13.51
0-0	2.9%	1.7%	7.8%	0.22×	58.30
0-1	2.8%	1.7%	8.2%	0.21×	58.30
0-2	1.0%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.32
1-2	2.7%	1.7%	7.6%	0.23×	58.30
1-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.32
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
2-2	3.6%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
2-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-2	3.2%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-2	2.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (2nd half DNB)	84.1%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
FC Cajamarca (2nd half DNB)	15.9%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima leading at HT (DNB)	84.4%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
FC Cajamarca leading at HT (DNB)	15.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw (1X)	90.7%	91.8%	74.6%	1.23×	1.09
Alianza Lima or FC Cajamarca (12)	86.0%	86.5%	75.0%	1.15×	1.16
FC Cajamarca or draw (X2)	23.3%	21.9%	50.2%	0.44×	4.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw at HT	89.4%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Alianza Lima or FC Cajamarca at HT	67.6%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
FC Cajamarca or draw at HT	42.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw (1UP)	90.7%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
FC Cajamarca or draw (1UP)	26.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw in 2nd half	88.1%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Alianza Lima or FC Cajamarca in 2nd half	74.7%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
FC Cajamarca or draw in 2nd half	37.2%	40.9%	—	—	2.44

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	49.8%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	50.2%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (DNB)	89.2%	87.2%	66.3%	1.32×	1.15
FC Cajamarca (DNB)	10.8%	12.8%	33.7%	0.38×	7.83

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score first	74.4%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
FC Cajamarca to score first	22.8%	22.8%	—	—	4.39
No goal scored	2.9%	4.4%	—	—	22.98

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.5%	51.3%	53.8%	0.95×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.5%	48.7%	46.2%	1.06×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.0%	41.6%	42.8%	0.97×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	26.3%	33.3%	37.7%	0.88×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	22.3%	27.8%	8.7%	3.20×	3.59
Both score & under 2.5	6.5%	8.3%	11.2%	0.74×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.5%	85.6%	85.7%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.5%	14.4%	14.3%	1.01×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.0%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.8%	60.1%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	24.3%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	13.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	5.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.82

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.2%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.8%	16.6%	—	—	6.01

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	66.4%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
A half without a goal	33.6%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	40.2%	42.2%	44.2%	0.95×	2.37
4-6 goals	39.4%	35.0%	26.8%	1.31×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.2%	17.0%	27.5%	0.62×	5.90
7+ goals	6.2%	7.6%	1.8%	4.20×	13.15

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to score exactly 0	44.4%	37.4%	34.1%	1.10×	2.68
FC Cajamarca to score exactly 1	36.1%	35.9%	37.7%	0.95×	2.78
FC Cajamarca to score exactly 2	14.7%	12.9%	20.7%	0.62×	7.75
FC Cajamarca to score 3+	4.9%	4.6%	8.0%	0.58×	21.74

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score 3+	49.4%	37.7%	22.5%	1.68×	2.65
Alianza Lima to score exactly 2	24.8%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Alianza Lima to score exactly 1	18.7%	18.8%	33.0%	0.57×	5.32
Alianza Lima to score exactly 0	7.0%	10.3%	19.9%	0.52×	9.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima leading at HT	57.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Draw at HT	32.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
FC Cajamarca leading at HT	10.6%	11.4%	—	—	8.76

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima -1: 1	55.4%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Alianza Lima -1: 2	23.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Alianza Lima -1: X	21.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (0:1)	55.4%	55.8%	24.6%	2.26×	1.79
FC Cajamarca (0:1)	23.3%	24.2%	50.2%	0.48×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	21.4%	24.2%	25.4%	0.95×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (0:2)	44.6%	39.1%	75.4%	0.52×	2.56
Alianza Lima (0:2)	34.0%	29.1%	11.4%	2.55×	3.43
Draw (0:2)	21.4%	20.3%	13.4%	1.51×	4.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (0:3)	66.0%	71.3%	88.6%	0.81×	1.40
Alianza Lima (0:3)	17.7%	16.3%	4.0%	4.08×	6.15
Draw (0:3)	16.3%	16.2%	7.6%	2.13×	6.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (0:4)	82.3%	86.9%	96.0%	0.91×	1.15
Draw (0:4)	9.8%	4.7%	2.5%	1.85×	21.32
Alianza Lima (0:4)	7.9%	4.7%	1.6%	2.85×	21.48

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (1:0)	90.7%	92.6%	74.6%	1.24×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	6.7%	6.9%	17.9%	0.38×	14.51
FC Cajamarca (1:0)	2.6%	3.3%	7.6%	0.43×	30.72

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (2:0)	97.4%	96.8%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.0%	2.3%	5.6%	0.41×	43.80
FC Cajamarca (2:0)	0.6%	2.3%	2.2%	1.05×	43.89

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.3%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
1st half highest scoring	28.5%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	21.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to concede	55.6%	60.6%	65.9%	0.92×	1.65
Alianza Lima clean sheet	44.4%	39.4%	34.1%	1.16×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima clean sheet in 1st half	72.2%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
Alianza Lima to concede in 1st half	27.8%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima clean sheet in 2nd half	61.4%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Alianza Lima to concede in 2nd half	38.6%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima over 2.5 corners	86.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Alianza Lima over 3.5 corners	74.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Alianza Lima under 6.5 corners	65.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Alianza Lima over 4.5 corners	60.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Alianza Lima under 5.5 corners	52.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Alianza Lima over 5.5 corners	47.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Alianza Lima under 4.5 corners	39.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Alianza Lima over 6.5 corners	34.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Alianza Lima under 3.5 corners	25.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Alianza Lima under 2.5 corners	13.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima over 0.5 goals	93.0%	92.2%	80.1%	1.15×	1.08
Alianza Lima over 1.5 goals	74.3%	74.2%	47.3%	1.57×	1.35
Alianza Lima under 3.5 goals	72.5%	74.2%	92.4%	0.80×	1.35
Alianza Lima under 2.5 goals	50.6%	53.2%	77.5%	0.69×	1.88
Alianza Lima over 2.5 goals	49.4%	46.8%	22.5%	2.08×	2.14
Alianza Lima over 3.5 goals	27.5%	25.8%	7.6%	3.39×	3.88
Alianza Lima under 1.5 goals	25.7%	25.8%	52.7%	0.49×	3.88
Alianza Lima under 0.5 goals	7.0%	7.8%	19.9%	0.39×	12.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima under 1.5 in 1st half	68.4%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Alianza Lima over 0.5 in 1st half	68.1%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Alianza Lima under 0.5 in 1st half	31.9%	30.5%	—	—	3.28
Alianza Lima over 1.5 in 1st half	31.6%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima scores more in 2nd half	45.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Alianza Lima scores more in 1st half	28.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
Alianza Lima scores equally in both	25.6%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	60.0%	59.9%	49.6%	1.21×	1.67
FC Cajamarca (home no bet)	40.0%	40.1%	50.4%	0.80×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima even goals	50.3%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Alianza Lima odd goals	49.7%	49.3%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	26.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 0-0	23.0%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 2-0	15.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
Any other HT score	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	8.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 0-1	7.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 2-1	4.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 0-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.32
HT 1-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.35

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	53.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Draw at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	20.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	7.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.47
FC Cajamarca at HT / FC Cajamarca at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Draw at HT / FC Cajamarca at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Alianza Lima at HT / Draw at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
FC Cajamarca at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
FC Cajamarca at HT / Draw at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Alianza Lima at HT / FC Cajamarca at FT	0.8%	3.4%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score last	74.3%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
FC Cajamarca to score last	22.9%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
No goal scored	2.9%	4.4%	—	—	22.98

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.1%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Alianza Lima to lead by 1 at any time	85.0%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	66.8%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Alianza Lima to lead by 2 at any time	61.4%	61.2%	—	—	1.64
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	38.6%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Alianza Lima to lead by 3 at any time	37.5%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
FC Cajamarca to lead by 1 at any time	26.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
FC Cajamarca to lead by 2 at any time	5.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.12
FC Cajamarca to lead by 3 at any time	1.1%	1.6%	—	—	64.18

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima most corners	81.9%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
FC Cajamarca most corners	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Corners level	7.7%	8.3%	—	—	11.99

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.4%	83.4%	87.1%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.6%	78.7%	70.8%	1.11×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.3%	67.4%	1.07×	1.38
1-4 goals	70.4%	72.3%	78.1%	0.93×	1.38
3-6 goals	61.1%	63.3%	49.6%	1.28×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.0%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.6%	53.2%	46.2%	1.15×	1.88
1-3 goals	51.6%	53.2%	63.9%	0.83×	1.88
2-3 goals	40.2%	43.6%	44.2%	0.99×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	37.1%	1.17×	2.29
4-6 goals	39.4%	39.2%	26.8%	1.46×	2.55
4-5 goals	31.9%	35.2%	23.4%	1.51×	2.84
1-2 goals	29.9%	30.2%	41.1%	0.73×	3.31
5-6 goals	20.6%	24.4%	12.7%	1.93×	4.09
7+ goals	6.2%	8.9%	1.8%	4.90×	11.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima never behind	71.0%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
FC Cajamarca never behind	12.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.31

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.5%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.5%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.1%	95.4%	92.2%	1.03×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	86.3%	87.6%	94.7%	0.92×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.8%	87.6%	72.5%	1.21×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	73.3%	72.5%	85.7%	0.85×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	67.3%	66.3%	51.3%	1.29×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	54.4%	52.5%	71.6%	0.73×	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	45.6%	47.5%	28.4%	1.67×	2.11
Under 2.5 goals	32.7%	33.7%	48.7%	0.69×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	26.7%	27.5%	14.3%	1.92×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	14.2%	12.4%	27.5%	0.45×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	13.7%	12.4%	5.3%	2.36×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	2.9%	4.6%	7.8%	0.59×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.3%	92.4%	98.1%	0.94×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	84.2%	81.1%	94.2%	0.86×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	82.5%	81.1%	65.1%	1.25×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	67.1%	67.5%	83.3%	0.81×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.2%	55.8%	36.9%	1.51×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.8%	44.2%	63.1%	0.70×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	32.9%	32.5%	16.7%	1.95×	3.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	17.5%	18.9%	34.9%	0.54×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	15.8%	18.9%	5.8%	3.27×	5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.7%	7.6%	1.9%	4.04×	13.19

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	81.7%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	77.0%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	57.0%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Over 1.5 in 1st half	43.0%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Over 2.5 in 1st half	18.3%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.6%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	67.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.3%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	40.7%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	32.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.4%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca not to score in both halves	89.3%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Alianza Lima to score in both halves	53.0%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Alianza Lima not to score in both halves	47.0%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
FC Cajamarca to score in both halves	10.7%	14.3%	—	—	7.01

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.5%	53.8%	53.8%	1.00×	1.86
Only Alianza Lima scores	41.5%	46.6%	26.4%	1.76×	2.15
Only FC Cajamarca scores	4.2%	4.6%	12.3%	0.38×	21.55
Neither team scores	2.9%	4.6%	7.8%	0.59×	21.60

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.7%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	18.5%	17.5%	21.4%	0.82×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.8%	17.5%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
6 or more goals	13.7%	12.1%	5.3%	2.31×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	13.0%	12.1%	9.2%	1.31×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	11.4%	12.1%	19.9%	0.61×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	2.9%	4.5%	7.8%	0.57×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.9%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	24.8%	21.4%	—	—	4.66
No goals in 1st half	23.0%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	18.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.3%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	27.3%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
No goals in 2nd half	13.4%	14.6%	—	—	6.87

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca not to win both halves	98.8%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Alianza Lima not to win both halves	64.3%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Alianza Lima to win both halves	35.7%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
FC Cajamarca to win both halves	1.2%	2.7%	—	—	36.70

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to win either half	84.1%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
FC Cajamarca to win neither half	78.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Cajamarca to win either half	21.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Alianza Lima to win neither half	15.9%	16.1%	—	—	6.20

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca not to win to nil	95.8%	96.1%	87.7%	1.10×	1.04
Alianza Lima not to win to nil	58.5%	59.2%	73.6%	0.80×	1.69
Alianza Lima to win to nil	41.5%	40.9%	26.4%	1.54×	2.45
FC Cajamarca to win to nil	4.2%	3.9%	12.3%	0.32×	25.70

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima by 3+	34.0%	27.7%	11.4%	2.43×	3.61
Alianza Lima by 1	21.4%	24.1%	25.4%	0.95×	4.15
Alianza Lima by 2	21.4%	24.1%	13.4%	1.80×	4.15
Draw	14.0%	11.8%	25.0%	0.47×	8.50
FC Cajamarca by 1	6.7%	7.2%	17.9%	0.40×	13.91
FC Cajamarca by 2	2.0%	2.7%	5.6%	0.48×	36.91
FC Cajamarca by 3+	0.6%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	36.95