Almere City v FC Volendam — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 3 October 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 18:39 UTC

Almere City

18:00 UTC

FC Volendam

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 634h before kick-off

Almere City win

47.1%

model 44.3%

Draw

22.7%

model 20.9%

FC Volendam win

30.2%

model 34.8%

472330

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 8.4%
1-1 8.3%
1-2 7.4%
2-2 7.1%
1-0 5.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	70.1%	Under 2.5	29.9%
BTTS yes	69.3%	BTTS no	30.7%
Almere City 1+	85.5%	Almere City 2+	57.4%
FC Volendam 1+	81.6%	FC Volendam 2+	50.5%

Expected goals 1.93 – 1.69. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

52/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 59%

62.7% fair odds 1.60

moderate signal · 3105 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Almere City to concede

Home clean sheet · usually 73%

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 244 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Almere City carry the stronger rating, 1554 Elo against 1461.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Almere City have an estimated 47.1% win probability, against 30.2% for FC Volendam and 22.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.93 for Almere City and 1.69 for FC Volendam.

Why Almere City

Almere City carry the stronger rating, 1554 Elo against 1461. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.93 to 1.69. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why FC Volendam can win

Nothing in the data singles out FC Volendam.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Almere City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Volendam, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Almere City: 44% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Volendam: 52% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Almere City are the model's most likely outcome at 47.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 8.4%. Confidence 52/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	442135	1.93–1.69	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	402040	1.99–2.01	1-2 7%	76%	74%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win	40.4%	43.0%	33.5%	1.29×	2.33
Almere City to win	39.6%	36.5%	44.4%	0.82×	2.74
Draw	20.0%	19.4%	22.3%	0.87×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam & both teams score	28.2%	25.2%	19.7%	1.28×	3.97
Almere City & both teams score	27.7%	25.2%	21.6%	1.16×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
Almere City & not both score	11.9%	13.3%	22.9%	0.58×	7.55
FC Volendam & not both score	12.2%	13.3%	13.9%	0.95×	7.55
Draw & not both score	1.5%	4.8%	4.7%	1.03×	20.64

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam & over 1.5	36.3%	34.9%	27.2%	1.28×	2.87
Almere City & over 1.5	35.7%	34.9%	36.8%	0.95×	2.87
FC Volendam & over 2.5	32.7%	30.9%	23.6%	1.31×	3.24
Almere City & over 2.5	32.0%	30.9%	30.6%	1.01×	3.24
FC Volendam & over 3.5	22.8%	21.7%	13.8%	1.57×	4.62
Almere City & over 3.5	22.3%	21.7%	18.7%	1.16×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.56
FC Volendam & under 3.5	17.5%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
Almere City & under 3.5	17.3%	18.0%	25.9%	0.70×	5.56
Draw & over 2.5	11.6%	12.9%	8.2%	1.57×	7.77
Draw & over 3.5	11.6%	12.9%	8.2%	1.57×	7.77
Almere City & under 2.5	7.6%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.70
Draw & under 2.5	8.4%	7.9%	14.2%	0.56×	12.70
Draw & under 3.5	8.4%	7.9%	14.2%	0.56×	12.70
FC Volendam & under 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.70
Almere City & under 1.5	4.0%	4.8%	7.7%	0.62×	20.94
FC Volendam & under 1.5	4.0%	4.8%	6.3%	0.75×	20.94
Draw & under 1.5	1.5%	4.8%	4.7%	1.01×	20.96

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (1UP)	61.9%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Almere City (1UP)	61.3%	63.1%	—	—	1.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (2UP)	40.4%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Almere City (2UP)	39.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win 2nd half	37.8%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Almere City to win 2nd half	34.4%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
2nd half drawn	27.8%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (+2.5)	90.2%	92.1%	88.1%	1.05×	1.09
FC Volendam (+1.5)	78.5%	78.4%	75.6%	1.04×	1.28
FC Volendam (+0.5)	60.4%	62.9%	55.6%	1.13×	1.59
Almere City (+0.5)	59.6%	57.0%	66.5%	0.86×	1.75
FC Volendam (-0.5)	40.4%	43.0%	33.5%	1.28×	2.33
Almere City (-0.5)	39.6%	37.1%	44.4%	0.84×	2.70
Almere City (-1.5)	21.5%	21.6%	24.4%	0.88×	4.64
Almere City (-2.5)	9.8%	7.9%	11.9%	0.66×	12.61

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to concede	86.4%	86.4%	81.5%	1.06×	1.16
FC Volendam clean sheet	13.6%	13.6%	18.5%	0.73×	7.37

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to concede in 1st half	57.6%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
FC Volendam clean sheet in 1st half	42.4%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam under 6.5 corners	84.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
FC Volendam over 2.5 corners	74.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
FC Volendam under 5.5 corners	74.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
FC Volendam under 4.5 corners	60.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Volendam over 3.5 corners	56.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Volendam under 3.5 corners	43.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Volendam over 4.5 corners	39.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Volendam under 2.5 corners	25.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
FC Volendam over 5.5 corners	25.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
FC Volendam over 6.5 corners	15.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam over 0.5 goals	86.6%	87.9%	72.5%	1.21×	1.14
FC Volendam under 3.5 goals	85.5%	87.9%	93.0%	0.94×	1.14
FC Volendam under 2.5 goals	67.4%	67.9%	81.5%	0.83×	1.47
FC Volendam over 1.5 goals	59.7%	59.5%	41.9%	1.42×	1.68
FC Volendam under 1.5 goals	40.3%	40.5%	58.1%	0.70×	2.47
FC Volendam over 2.5 goals	32.6%	32.1%	18.5%	1.73×	3.12
FC Volendam over 3.5 goals	14.5%	12.1%	7.0%	1.74×	8.24
FC Volendam under 0.5 goals	13.4%	12.1%	27.5%	0.44×	8.25

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam under 1.5 in 1st half	80.7%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
FC Volendam over 0.5 in 1st half	55.3%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
FC Volendam under 0.5 in 1st half	44.7%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
FC Volendam over 1.5 in 1st half	19.3%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (away no bet)	66.5%	66.4%	66.6%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	33.5%	33.6%	33.4%	1.01×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam even goals	50.9%	52.8%	57.1%	0.92×	1.89
FC Volendam odd goals	49.1%	47.2%	42.9%	1.10×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	66.4%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Both halves over 1.5 goals	33.6%	28.7%	—	—	3.49

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	83.6%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Both halves under 1.5 goals	16.4%	22.0%	—	—	4.54

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	74.8%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
FC Volendam to score 2+ in a row	45.9%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Almere City to score 2+ in a row	45.3%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row	34.1%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
FC Volendam to score 3+ in a row	18.0%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Almere City to score 3+ in a row	17.5%	16.3%	—	—	6.13

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City corners (+3.5)	95.1%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Almere City corners (+2.5)	91.7%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Almere City corners (+1.5)	86.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Almere City corners (-1.5)	62.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
FC Volendam corners (+3.5)	57.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Almere City corners (-2.5)	52.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
FC Volendam corners (+2.5)	47.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Almere City corners (-3.5)	42.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Volendam corners (+1.5)	37.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
FC Volendam corners (-1.5)	13.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
FC Volendam corners (-2.5)	8.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
FC Volendam corners (-3.5)	4.9%	4.2%	—	—	23.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	43.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
0-8 corners	26.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	81.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	73.5%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	65.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 9.5 corners	63.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	56.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	53.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	46.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	43.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	36.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	34.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 8.5 corners	26.5%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 7.5 corners	18.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	10.3%	11.5%	4.7%	2.42×	8.73
1-1	7.0%	7.4%	9.6%	0.77×	13.48
1-2	7.4%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.48
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.48
2-2	7.3%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.48
1-3	4.9%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.46
2-3	4.9%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.46
3-1	4.8%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.46
3-2	4.9%	1.7%	4.2%	0.40×	58.46
0-0	1.5%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.48
0-1	4.0%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.47
0-2	3.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.47
0-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.48
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.48
1-0	4.0%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.47
1-4	2.5%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.48
2-0	3.6%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.47
2-4	2.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
3-0	2.4%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.48
3-3	3.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.47
3-4	1.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.48
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.48
4-1	2.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.48
4-2	2.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
4-3	1.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.44×	58.48
4-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.1%	13.75×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City leading at HT (DNB)	52.2%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
FC Volendam leading at HT (DNB)	47.8%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City or FC Volendam (12)	80.0%	80.6%	77.7%	1.04×	1.24
FC Volendam or draw (X2)	60.4%	63.5%	55.6%	1.14×	1.57
Almere City or draw (1X)	59.6%	57.0%	66.5%	0.86×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City or draw at HT	68.7%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
FC Volendam or draw at HT	65.7%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Almere City or FC Volendam at HT	65.6%	66.2%	—	—	1.51

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or draw (1UP)	61.9%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Almere City or draw (1UP)	61.3%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City or FC Volendam in 2nd half	72.2%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
FC Volendam or draw in 2nd half	65.6%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Almere City or draw in 2nd half	62.2%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	46.9%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
A half drawn	53.1%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (DNB)	50.5%	50.9%	43.0%	1.19×	1.96
Almere City (DNB)	49.5%	49.1%	57.0%	0.86×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score first	49.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Almere City to score first	49.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
No goal scored	1.5%	4.2%	—	—	23.72

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	74.5%	62.5%	58.7%	1.06×	1.60
Not both teams to score	25.5%	37.5%	41.3%	0.91×	2.67

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	67.5%	57.4%	49.3%	1.16×	1.74
Not both score & under 2.5	16.8%	21.7%	28.4%	0.77×	4.61
Not both score & over 2.5	8.7%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.96
Both score & under 2.5	7.0%	8.4%	9.6%	0.87×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	64.7%	70.8%	79.0%	0.90×	1.41
Both teams to score 2+	35.4%	29.2%	21.0%	1.39×	3.42

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	52.5%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Both teams to score in 2nd half	47.5%	46.2%	—	—	2.16

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	35.9%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Both score 2nd half only	32.3%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Both score 1st half only	16.6%	15.6%	—	—	6.40
Both score in both halves	15.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.43

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	68.2%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Both teams to score by HT	31.8%	29.7%	—	—	3.36

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	73.1%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
A half without a goal	26.9%	26.9%	—	—	3.72

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	45.7%	47.4%	37.3%	1.27×	2.11
2-3 goals	33.8%	30.8%	41.2%	0.75×	3.25
7+ goals	11.1%	16.9%	3.2%	5.23×	5.92
0-1 goals	9.5%	7.6%	18.5%	0.41×	13.12

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score 3+	32.6%	33.8%	18.5%	1.82×	2.96
FC Volendam to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.4%	23.5%	1.17×	3.65
FC Volendam to score exactly 1	26.9%	27.4%	30.7%	0.89×	3.65
FC Volendam to score exactly 0	13.4%	12.8%	27.5%	0.47×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to score 3+	32.1%	32.7%	25.4%	1.29×	3.06
Almere City to score exactly 1	27.2%	26.5%	30.5%	0.87×	3.77
Almere City to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.5%	25.9%	1.03×	3.77
Almere City to score exactly 0	13.6%	14.3%	18.5%	0.77×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	34.4%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Almere City leading at HT	34.3%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
FC Volendam leading at HT	31.3%	33.7%	—	—	2.97

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam -1: 1	59.6%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
FC Volendam -1: 2	22.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
FC Volendam -1: X	18.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (0:1)	60.4%	61.5%	55.6%	1.11×	1.63
Almere City (0:1)	21.5%	24.3%	24.4%	1.00×	4.12
Draw (0:1)	18.1%	17.8%	20.1%	0.88×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (0:2)	78.5%	79.5%	75.6%	1.05×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	11.7%	11.0%	12.6%	0.87×	9.13
Almere City (0:2)	9.8%	7.7%	11.9%	0.65×	12.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (0:3)	90.2%	92.6%	88.1%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.0%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.18
Almere City (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	6.3%	0.37×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (0:4)	96.2%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.5%	1.2%	4.4%	0.28×	83.45
Almere City (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	83.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (1:0)	59.6%	58.2%	66.5%	0.87×	1.72
FC Volendam (1:0)	22.1%	21.8%	15.4%	1.41×	4.59
Draw (1:0)	18.3%	17.0%	18.2%	0.94×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (2:0)	77.9%	80.3%	84.6%	0.95×	1.25
Draw (2:0)	11.9%	10.4%	8.8%	1.17×	9.64
FC Volendam (2:0)	10.2%	10.4%	6.7%	1.54×	9.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	53.4%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	19.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.19

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to concede	86.6%	86.0%	72.5%	1.19×	1.16
Almere City clean sheet	13.4%	14.0%	27.5%	0.51×	7.16

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to concede in 1st half	55.3%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Almere City clean sheet in 1st half	44.7%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City over 2.5 corners	94.0%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Almere City over 3.5 corners	86.9%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Almere City over 4.5 corners	77.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Almere City over 5.5 corners	65.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Almere City over 6.5 corners	52.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Almere City under 6.5 corners	47.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Almere City under 5.5 corners	35.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Almere City under 4.5 corners	23.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Almere City under 3.5 corners	13.1%	13.7%	—	—	7.30
Almere City under 2.5 corners	6.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City over 0.5 goals	86.4%	87.3%	81.5%	1.07×	1.15
Almere City under 3.5 goals	85.9%	87.2%	89.8%	0.97×	1.15
Almere City under 2.5 goals	67.9%	67.9%	74.6%	0.91×	1.47
Almere City over 1.5 goals	59.2%	58.8%	51.1%	1.15×	1.70
Almere City under 1.5 goals	40.8%	41.2%	48.9%	0.84×	2.43
Almere City over 2.5 goals	32.1%	32.1%	25.4%	1.27×	3.11
Almere City over 3.5 goals	14.1%	12.8%	10.2%	1.25×	7.84
Almere City under 0.5 goals	13.6%	12.7%	18.5%	0.69×	7.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City under 1.5 in 1st half	78.8%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Almere City over 0.5 in 1st half	57.6%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Almere City under 0.5 in 1st half	42.4%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Almere City over 1.5 in 1st half	21.2%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (home no bet)	66.9%	63.9%	60.0%	1.06×	1.57
Draw (home no bet)	33.1%	36.1%	40.0%	0.90×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City even goals	50.9%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
Almere City odd goals	49.1%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	18.9%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-0	16.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 0-1	15.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	13.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
Any other HT score	10.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 2-0	7.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 0-2	6.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 2-1	5.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 1-2	5.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-2	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.54

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City at HT / Almere City at FT	24.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
FC Volendam at HT / FC Volendam at FT	23.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / FC Volendam at FT	13.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Almere City at FT	12.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.61
Almere City at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.71
FC Volendam at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.74
Almere City at HT / FC Volendam at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.76
FC Volendam at HT / Almere City at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.79

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score last	49.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Almere City to score last	49.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
No goal scored	1.5%	4.2%	—	—	23.72

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.5%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	62.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
FC Volendam to lead by 1 at any time	61.9%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Almere City to lead by 1 at any time	61.3%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
FC Volendam to lead by 2 at any time	32.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Almere City to lead by 2 at any time	31.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	27.8%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
FC Volendam to lead by 3 at any time	14.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Almere City to lead by 3 at any time	13.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.53

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City most corners	72.2%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
FC Volendam most corners	19.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.23
Corners level	8.2%	8.4%	—	—	11.90

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	79.4%	78.6%	78.4%	1.00×	1.27
1-5 goals	77.0%	78.6%	86.3%	0.91×	1.27
2-5 goals	69.0%	69.0%	72.5%	0.95×	1.45
3-6 goals	65.2%	68.9%	59.1%	1.17×	1.45
1-4 goals	61.4%	63.4%	74.1%	0.86×	1.58
3-5 goals	54.7%	53.2%	53.2%	1.00×	1.88
2-4 goals	53.3%	53.2%	60.3%	0.88×	1.88
4-6 goals	45.7%	48.7%	37.3%	1.30×	2.06
1-3 goals	41.8%	43.6%	55.0%	0.79×	2.30
3-4 goals	39.1%	39.2%	41.0%	0.95×	2.55
4-5 goals	35.2%	39.1%	31.5%	1.24×	2.56
2-3 goals	33.8%	35.4%	41.2%	0.86×	2.83
5-6 goals	26.1%	30.2%	18.2%	1.67×	3.31
1-2 goals	22.3%	24.5%	33.2%	0.74×	4.09
7+ goals	11.1%	14.9%	3.2%	4.60×	6.73

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam never behind	37.2%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Almere City never behind	36.6%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.3%	50.8%	49.5%	1.03×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.7%	49.2%	50.5%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.7%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.5%	95.5%	95.3%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	90.5%	92.3%	81.5%	1.13×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	78.5%	77.3%	90.9%	0.85×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	76.3%	77.3%	62.2%	1.24×	1.29
Under 4.5 goals	62.8%	61.8%	78.7%	0.78×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	56.7%	58.8%	40.4%	1.46×	1.70
Under 3.5 goals	43.3%	41.2%	59.6%	0.69×	2.43
Over 4.5 goals	37.2%	38.2%	21.3%	1.80×	2.62
Under 2.5 goals	23.7%	22.7%	37.8%	0.60×	4.41
Over 5.5 goals	21.5%	22.7%	9.1%	2.50×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	9.5%	7.7%	18.5%	0.42×	12.92
Under 0.5 goals	1.5%	4.5%	4.7%	0.95×	22.25

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	88.9%	86.8%	77.0%	1.13×	1.15
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	87.6%	86.7%	96.6%	0.90×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	74.5%	72.6%	89.7%	0.81×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	70.5%	72.6%	51.7%	1.40×	1.38
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	53.8%	51.8%	73.7%	0.70×	1.93
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	46.2%	48.2%	26.3%	1.83×	2.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	29.5%	27.4%	48.3%	0.57×	3.64
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	25.5%	27.4%	10.3%	2.65×	3.65
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	12.4%	13.3%	3.4%	3.86×	7.54
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	11.1%	13.2%	23.0%	0.58×	7.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	81.1%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Under 2.5 in 1st half	76.7%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	50.6%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Over 1.5 in 1st half	49.4%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Over 2.5 in 1st half	23.3%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	18.9%	13.8%	—	—	7.24

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	90.5%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	67.8%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	58.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	41.5%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	32.2%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	9.5%	11.3%	—	—	8.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam not to score in both halves	61.3%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Almere City not to score in both halves	60.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Almere City to score in both halves	39.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
FC Volendam to score in both halves	38.7%	36.7%	—	—	2.73

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	74.5%	66.7%	58.7%	1.14×	1.50
Only FC Volendam scores	12.2%	10.9%	13.9%	0.78×	9.15
Only Almere City scores	11.9%	10.9%	22.9%	0.48×	9.15
Neither team scores	1.5%	4.6%	4.7%	0.96×	21.94

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	21.5%	22.6%	9.1%	2.49×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	19.5%	17.4%	21.9%	0.80×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	17.4%	19.3%	0.90×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	15.7%	17.4%	12.3%	1.42×	5.74
Exactly 2 goals	14.3%	12.1%	19.4%	0.62×	8.27
Exactly 1 goals	8.0%	7.6%	13.9%	0.55×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	1.5%	4.4%	4.7%	0.93×	22.70

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	67.8%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
1 goal in 2nd half	22.8%	23.1%	—	—	4.34
No goals in 2nd half	9.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.30

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City not to win both halves	88.3%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
FC Volendam not to win both halves	88.2%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
FC Volendam to win both halves	11.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.30
Almere City to win both halves	11.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.30

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win either half	57.4%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Almere City to win either half	56.9%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Almere City to win neither half	43.1%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
FC Volendam to win neither half	42.6%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City not to win to nil	88.1%	88.2%	77.1%	1.14×	1.13
FC Volendam not to win to nil	87.8%	88.2%	86.1%	1.03×	1.13
FC Volendam to win to nil	12.2%	11.8%	13.9%	0.85×	8.49
Almere City to win to nil	11.9%	11.8%	22.9%	0.51×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	20.0%	16.9%	22.3%	0.76×	5.90
FC Volendam by 1	18.3%	16.9%	18.2%	0.93×	5.91
Almere City by 1	18.1%	16.9%	20.1%	0.84×	5.91
Almere City by 2	11.7%	11.8%	12.6%	0.94×	8.48
FC Volendam by 2	11.9%	11.8%	8.8%	1.34×	8.48
FC Volendam by 3+	10.2%	11.8%	6.7%	1.76×	8.48
Almere City by 3+	9.8%	7.3%	11.9%	0.61×	13.78