Almere City v Vitesse — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 18 December 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Almere City

19:00 UTC

Vitesse

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 21 Oct, 11:05 · 1,400h before kick-off

Almere City win

57.8%

model 58.0%

Draw

19.1%

model 19.5%

Vitesse win

23.0%

model 22.6%

581923

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.4%
1-1 8.1%
2-0 7.0%
3-1 7.0%
1-0 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	69.2%	Under 2.5	30.8%
BTTS yes	65.5%	BTTS no	34.5%
Almere City 1+	89.3%	Almere City 2+	65.3%
Vitesse 1+	73.7%	Vitesse 2+	38.6%

Expected goals 2.23 – 1.34. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

59/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Almere City (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 45%

57.1% fair odds 1.75

strong signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Vitesse (0:3)

Handicap 0:3 · usually 88%

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 296 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Almere City carry the stronger rating, 1574 Elo against 1528.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Almere City have an estimated 57.8% win probability, against 23.0% for Vitesse and 19.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.23 for Almere City and 1.34 for Vitesse.

Why Almere City

Almere City carry the stronger rating, 1574 Elo against 1528. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.1%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Vitesse can win

Nothing in the data singles out Vitesse.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Almere City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Vitesse, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Almere City: 41% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Vitesse: 45% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 18.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Almere City's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Almere City are the model's most likely outcome at 57.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.4%. Confidence 59/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	581923	2.23–1.34	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	611921	2.34–1.32	2-1 9%	71%	66%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to win	60.6%	58.1%	44.5%	1.31×	1.72
Vitesse to win	20.8%	24.4%	33.5%	0.73×	4.09
Draw	18.7%	19.4%	22.1%	0.88×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City & both teams score	36.1%	33.3%	22.0%	1.51×	3.00
Almere City & not both score	24.5%	21.8%	22.6%	0.97×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	16.4%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
Vitesse & both teams score	13.5%	13.3%	19.7%	0.68×	7.53
Vitesse & not both score	7.3%	8.3%	14.0%	0.59×	12.01
Draw & not both score	2.3%	4.8%	4.8%	1.01×	20.62

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City & over 1.5	54.3%	48.9%	37.0%	1.32×	2.04
Almere City & over 2.5	47.2%	45.1%	30.8%	1.46×	2.22
Almere City & over 3.5	32.4%	30.8%	18.9%	1.63×	3.25
Almere City & under 3.5	28.2%	26.1%	25.7%	1.01×	3.84
Vitesse & over 1.5	17.1%	18.0%	27.4%	0.66×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.4%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Vitesse & over 2.5	14.9%	12.8%	23.7%	0.54×	7.79
Almere City & under 2.5	13.4%	12.8%	13.8%	0.93×	7.79
Vitesse & under 3.5	12.1%	12.8%	19.8%	0.65×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	10.0%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	10.0%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	8.7%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Vitesse & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.63
Almere City & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.63
Vitesse & under 2.5	5.9%	7.9%	10.0%	0.80×	12.63
Vitesse & under 1.5	3.7%	4.8%	6.3%	0.77×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	2.3%	4.8%	4.8%	1.00×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (1UP)	75.4%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Vitesse (1UP)	42.4%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (2UP)	60.6%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Vitesse (2UP)	20.8%	23.2%	—	—	4.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to win 2nd half	49.7%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
2nd half drawn	28.1%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Vitesse to win 2nd half	22.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.2%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Vitesse over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.6%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Vitesse under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.4%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Vitesse over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.7%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Almere City under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Almere City over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.6%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Almere City under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.3%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (+0.5)	79.2%	78.5%	66.5%	1.18×	1.27
Vitesse (+2.5)	79.1%	78.5%	88.2%	0.89×	1.27
Vitesse (+1.5)	61.3%	62.9%	75.6%	0.83×	1.59
Almere City (-0.5)	60.6%	62.9%	44.5%	1.41×	1.59
Vitesse (+0.5)	39.4%	37.1%	55.5%	0.67×	2.70
Almere City (-1.5)	38.7%	37.1%	24.4%	1.52×	2.70
Almere City (-2.5)	20.9%	21.5%	11.8%	1.82×	4.65
Vitesse (-0.5)	20.8%	21.5%	33.5%	0.64×	4.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse to concede	90.4%	91.8%	81.3%	1.13×	1.09
Vitesse clean sheet	9.6%	8.2%	18.7%	0.44×	12.14

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse to concede in 1st half	63.5%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
Vitesse clean sheet in 1st half	36.5%	34.8%	—	—	2.88

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse to concede in 2nd half	73.7%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Vitesse clean sheet in 2nd half	26.3%	28.9%	—	—	3.46

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse under 6.5 corners	80.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Vitesse over 2.5 corners	78.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Vitesse under 5.5 corners	68.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Vitesse over 3.5 corners	62.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Vitesse under 4.5 corners	54.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Vitesse over 4.5 corners	45.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Vitesse under 3.5 corners	37.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Vitesse over 5.5 corners	31.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Vitesse under 2.5 corners	21.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Vitesse over 6.5 corners	19.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse under 3.5 goals	95.5%	97.5%	93.0%	1.05×	1.03
Vitesse under 2.5 goals	85.3%	87.8%	81.5%	1.08×	1.14
Vitesse over 0.5 goals	73.2%	71.9%	72.7%	0.99×	1.39
Vitesse under 1.5 goals	62.1%	63.2%	58.0%	1.09×	1.58
Vitesse over 1.5 goals	37.9%	36.8%	42.0%	0.88×	2.72
Vitesse under 0.5 goals	26.8%	28.1%	27.3%	1.03×	3.56
Vitesse over 2.5 goals	14.7%	12.2%	18.6%	0.66×	8.19
Vitesse over 3.5 goals	4.5%	2.5%	7.0%	0.36×	39.80

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse under 1.5 in 1st half	90.2%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Vitesse under 0.5 in 1st half	59.0%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Vitesse over 0.5 in 1st half	41.0%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Vitesse over 1.5 in 1st half	9.8%	6.2%	—	—	16.16

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse scores equally in both	39.2%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Vitesse scores more in 2nd half	38.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Vitesse scores more in 1st half	22.4%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (away no bet)	76.4%	73.5%	66.8%	1.10×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	23.6%	26.5%	33.2%	0.80×	3.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse even goals	53.6%	52.6%	57.0%	0.92×	1.90
Vitesse odd goals	46.4%	47.4%	43.0%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	71.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Both halves over 1.5 goals	28.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	79.5%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	20.5%	27.4%	—	—	3.65

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	72.2%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Almere City to score 2+ in a row	58.0%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row	34.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Almere City to score 3+ in a row	28.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Vitesse to score 2+ in a row	25.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Vitesse to score 3+ in a row	6.5%	5.5%	—	—	18.02

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City corners (+3.5)	90.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Almere City corners (+2.5)	85.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Almere City corners (+1.5)	78.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Vitesse corners (+3.5)	72.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Vitesse corners (+2.5)	62.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Vitesse corners (+1.5)	52.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Almere City corners (-1.5)	48.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Almere City corners (-2.5)	37.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Almere City corners (-3.5)	27.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Vitesse corners (-1.5)	22.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Vitesse corners (-2.5)	14.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.44
Vitesse corners (-3.5)	9.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	36.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	32.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	72.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	67.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	63.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	56.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	53.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	46.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	43.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	36.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	32.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	27.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	23.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.50
Any other score	9.9%	7.4%	4.7%	1.59×	13.50
1-1	7.7%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.50
2-0	7.1%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.51
3-1	7.3%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.51
1-0	6.3%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
1-2	5.2%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-2	6.1%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
3-0	5.5%	7.4%	4.1%	1.83×	13.51
3-2	4.8%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.29
0-0	2.3%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.31
0-1	3.7%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.30
0-2	2.2%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
1-3	2.3%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.32
4-0	3.2%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.30
4-1	4.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.30
4-2	2.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.30
4-3	1.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	13.96×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (2nd half DNB)	69.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Vitesse (2nd half DNB)	30.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.08

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City leading at HT (DNB)	71.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Vitesse leading at HT (DNB)	28.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.80

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City or Vitesse (12)	81.3%	80.6%	77.9%	1.03×	1.24
Almere City or draw (1X)	79.2%	75.6%	66.5%	1.14×	1.32
Vitesse or draw (X2)	39.4%	41.9%	55.5%	0.75×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City or draw at HT	81.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Almere City or Vitesse at HT	65.5%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Vitesse or draw at HT	53.5%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City or draw (1UP)	79.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Vitesse or draw (1UP)	42.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City or draw in 2nd half	77.8%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Almere City or Vitesse in 2nd half	71.9%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Vitesse or draw in 2nd half	50.3%	53.9%	—	—	1.86

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	53.2%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Neither half drawn	46.8%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (DNB)	74.5%	71.6%	57.0%	1.26×	1.40
Vitesse (DNB)	25.5%	28.4%	43.0%	0.66×	3.52

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to score first	62.6%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Vitesse to score first	35.1%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	2.3%	4.2%	—	—	23.57

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.9%	58.4%	58.8%	0.99×	1.71
Not both teams to score	34.1%	41.6%	41.2%	1.01×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	58.2%	47.6%	49.5%	0.96×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	21.6%	27.8%	28.3%	0.98×	3.60
Not both score & over 2.5	12.5%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	7.7%	8.3%	9.5%	0.88×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	74.3%	80.6%	79.0%	1.02×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	25.7%	19.4%	21.0%	0.92×	5.16

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	59.8%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	40.2%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	44.3%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Both score 2nd half only	29.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Both score 1st half only	15.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Both score in both halves	10.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.39

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	74.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	26.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	69.0%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
A half without a goal	31.0%	33.4%	—	—	2.99

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	42.0%	42.1%	37.6%	1.12×	2.37
2-3 goals	38.0%	35.1%	41.0%	0.86×	2.85
0-1 goals	12.3%	16.9%	18.4%	0.92×	5.92
7+ goals	7.8%	7.6%	3.2%	2.39×	13.11

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.9%	30.8%	1.17×	2.78
Vitesse to score exactly 0	26.8%	27.4%	27.3%	1.00×	3.66
Vitesse to score exactly 2	23.2%	22.3%	23.6%	0.95×	4.48
Vitesse to score 3+	14.7%	12.9%	18.6%	0.70×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to score 3+	41.5%	35.3%	25.6%	1.38×	2.84
Almere City to score exactly 2	26.4%	26.5%	25.8%	1.03×	3.77
Almere City to score exactly 1	22.5%	23.3%	30.2%	0.77×	4.29
Almere City to score exactly 0	9.6%	10.3%	18.7%	0.55×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City leading at HT	46.5%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Draw at HT	34.5%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
Vitesse leading at HT	18.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City -1: 2	39.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Almere City -1: 1	38.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Almere City -1: X	21.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse (0:1)	39.4%	37.4%	55.5%	0.67×	2.68
Almere City (0:1)	38.7%	37.4%	24.4%	1.53×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	21.8%	24.2%	20.1%	1.20×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse (0:2)	61.3%	67.0%	75.6%	0.89×	1.49
Almere City (0:2)	20.9%	20.3%	11.8%	1.72×	4.93
Draw (0:2)	17.8%	15.3%	12.8%	1.20×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse (0:3)	79.1%	80.6%	88.2%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	11.3%	9.9%	5.7%	1.76×	10.07
Almere City (0:3)	9.6%	5.8%	6.3%	0.93×	17.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse (0:4)	90.4%	94.5%	93.7%	1.01×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.8%	4.6%	4.3%	1.07×	21.76
Almere City (0:4)	3.7%	1.2%	2.1%	0.59×	81.69

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (1:0)	79.2%	78.7%	66.5%	1.18×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	12.4%	12.7%	18.2%	0.70×	7.87
Vitesse (1:0)	8.4%	6.9%	15.5%	0.45×	14.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (2:0)	91.6%	94.0%	84.5%	1.11×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.6%	6.4%	8.8%	0.72×	15.71
Vitesse (2:0)	2.8%	2.3%	6.8%	0.34×	43.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.5%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	20.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to concede	73.2%	73.2%	72.7%	1.01×	1.37
Almere City clean sheet	26.8%	26.8%	27.3%	0.98×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City clean sheet in 1st half	59.0%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Almere City to concede in 1st half	41.0%	37.9%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to concede in 2nd half	54.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Almere City clean sheet in 2nd half	45.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City over 2.5 corners	89.4%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Almere City over 3.5 corners	78.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Almere City over 4.5 corners	65.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Almere City under 6.5 corners	62.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Almere City over 5.5 corners	51.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Almere City under 5.5 corners	48.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Almere City over 6.5 corners	38.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Almere City under 4.5 corners	34.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Almere City under 3.5 corners	21.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Almere City under 2.5 corners	10.6%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City over 0.5 goals	90.4%	92.2%	81.3%	1.13×	1.08
Almere City under 3.5 goals	79.1%	77.7%	89.9%	0.86×	1.29
Almere City over 1.5 goals	67.9%	68.0%	51.2%	1.33×	1.47
Almere City under 2.5 goals	58.5%	58.6%	74.4%	0.79×	1.71
Almere City over 2.5 goals	41.5%	41.4%	25.6%	1.62×	2.42
Almere City under 1.5 goals	32.1%	32.0%	48.8%	0.66×	3.12
Almere City over 3.5 goals	20.9%	22.3%	10.1%	2.21×	4.49
Almere City under 0.5 goals	9.6%	7.8%	18.7%	0.42×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City under 1.5 in 1st half	73.3%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Almere City over 0.5 in 1st half	63.5%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Almere City under 0.5 in 1st half	36.5%	35.0%	—	—	2.85
Almere City over 1.5 in 1st half	26.7%	20.8%	—	—	4.81

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City scores more in 2nd half	44.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Almere City scores more in 1st half	28.2%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
Almere City scores equally in both	27.6%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse (home no bet)	52.7%	51.4%	60.3%	0.85×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	47.3%	48.6%	39.7%	1.22×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City even goals	50.5%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Almere City odd goals	49.5%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	21.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-0	21.5%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	11.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	11.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 2-0	10.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
Any other HT score	9.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 2-1	5.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 0-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 2-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.18

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City at HT / Almere City at FT	39.5%	41.9%	—	—	2.38
Draw at HT / Almere City at FT	17.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Vitesse at HT / Vitesse at FT	10.8%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
Draw at HT / Vitesse at FT	7.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.61
Almere City at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.58
Vitesse at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Vitesse at HT / Almere City at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
Almere City at HT / Vitesse at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.69

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to score last	62.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Vitesse to score last	35.2%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	2.3%	4.2%	—	—	23.57

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.7%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Almere City to lead by 1 at any time	75.4%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	61.9%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Almere City to lead by 2 at any time	47.5%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Vitesse to lead by 1 at any time	42.4%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	29.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Almere City to lead by 3 at any time	25.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Vitesse to lead by 2 at any time	15.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Vitesse to lead by 3 at any time	4.5%	1.7%	—	—	60.41

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City most corners	58.9%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Vitesse most corners	30.9%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	81.3%	83.4%	86.4%	0.97×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.0%	78.7%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.4%	72.4%	72.7%	0.99×	1.38
1-4 goals	67.2%	68.8%	74.1%	0.93×	1.45
3-6 goals	63.0%	63.3%	59.3%	1.07×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.3%	59.1%	60.4%	0.98×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.4%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
1-3 goals	48.0%	48.5%	54.7%	0.89×	2.06
4-6 goals	42.0%	43.6%	37.6%	1.16×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	41.3%	1.06×	2.30
2-3 goals	38.0%	39.2%	41.0%	0.96×	2.55
4-5 goals	33.3%	35.2%	31.8%	1.11×	2.84
1-2 goals	26.9%	30.2%	32.9%	0.92×	3.31
5-6 goals	22.7%	24.5%	18.2%	1.35×	4.08
7+ goals	7.8%	8.9%	3.2%	2.78×	11.26

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City never behind	55.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Vitesse never behind	22.3%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.5%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.5%	49.1%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.2%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.8%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.7%	95.4%	95.2%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	87.7%	87.6%	81.6%	1.07×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	83.6%	82.3%	91.0%	0.90×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	70.8%	72.5%	62.4%	1.16×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	69.5%	66.3%	78.7%	0.84×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	50.3%	52.5%	59.3%	0.88×	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	49.7%	47.5%	40.7%	1.17×	2.11
Over 4.5 goals	30.5%	33.7%	21.3%	1.58×	2.97
Under 2.5 goals	29.2%	27.5%	37.6%	0.73×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	16.4%	17.7%	9.0%	1.97×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	12.3%	12.4%	18.4%	0.67×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	2.3%	4.6%	4.8%	0.95×	21.88

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	91.5%	92.4%	96.6%	0.96×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	85.2%	86.7%	77.2%	1.12×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	80.9%	81.1%	89.8%	0.90×	1.23
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	63.0%	61.9%	52.0%	1.19×	1.62
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	62.2%	61.9%	73.6%	0.84×	1.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	37.8%	38.1%	26.4%	1.44×	2.63
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.0%	38.1%	48.0%	0.79×	2.63
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	19.1%	18.9%	10.2%	1.85×	5.28
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	14.8%	13.3%	22.8%	0.58×	7.52
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	8.5%	7.6%	3.4%	2.24×	13.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	80.0%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	78.5%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	54.7%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Over 1.5 in 1st half	45.3%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Under 0.5 in 1st half	21.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Over 2.5 in 1st half	20.0%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	88.2%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	64.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	62.6%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	37.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	35.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	11.8%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse not to score in both halves	77.6%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Almere City not to score in both halves	53.2%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Almere City to score in both halves	46.8%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Vitesse to score in both halves	22.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.64

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.9%	59.9%	58.8%	1.02×	1.67
Only Almere City scores	24.5%	22.3%	22.6%	0.99×	4.49
Only Vitesse scores	7.3%	7.1%	14.0%	0.51×	14.04
Neither team scores	2.3%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.75

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.0%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.3%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	17.0%	17.5%	19.3%	0.91×	5.73
6 or more goals	16.4%	17.5%	9.0%	1.95×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	14.1%	12.1%	12.4%	0.98×	8.24
Exactly 1 goals	10.0%	7.6%	13.8%	0.55×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	2.3%	4.5%	4.8%	0.93×	22.40

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.2%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	25.3%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
No goals in 1st half	21.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	20.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	62.6%	58.7%	—	—	1.71
1 goal in 2nd half	25.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
No goals in 2nd half	11.8%	14.2%	—	—	7.02

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse not to win both halves	95.8%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
Almere City not to win both halves	76.9%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Almere City to win both halves	23.1%	24.6%	—	—	4.07
Vitesse to win both halves	4.2%	2.9%	—	—	35.06

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to win either half	73.2%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Vitesse to win neither half	63.0%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Vitesse to win either half	37.0%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Almere City to win neither half	26.8%	26.9%	—	—	3.71

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse not to win to nil	92.7%	92.1%	86.0%	1.07×	1.09
Almere City not to win to nil	75.5%	78.1%	77.4%	1.01×	1.28
Almere City to win to nil	24.5%	21.9%	22.6%	0.97×	4.57
Vitesse to win to nil	7.3%	7.9%	14.0%	0.56×	12.66

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City by 1	21.8%	24.1%	20.1%	1.20×	4.15
Almere City by 3+	20.9%	24.1%	11.8%	2.04×	4.15
Draw	18.7%	17.1%	22.1%	0.77×	5.86
Almere City by 2	17.8%	17.1%	12.8%	1.33×	5.87
Vitesse by 1	12.4%	11.8%	18.2%	0.65×	8.51
Vitesse by 2	5.6%	7.2%	8.8%	0.81×	13.92
Vitesse by 3+	2.8%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.82