Almería v Albacete — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 December 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Almería

20:00 UTC

Albacete

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 1,185h before kick-off

Almería win

51.1%

model 52.1%

Draw

22.2%

model 21.6%

Albacete win

26.7%

model 26.3%

512227

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.5%
2-1 9.5%
1-0 7.6%
2-0 7.2%
1-2 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	63.6%	Under 2.5	36.4%
BTTS yes	62.8%	BTTS no	37.2%
Almería 1+	85.7%	Almería 2+	57.9%
Albacete 1+	73.5%	Albacete 2+	38.3%

Expected goals 1.95 – 1.33. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Over 3 (void on exactly 3)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 36%

53.8% fair odds 1.86

strong signal · 700 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 383 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Almería carry the stronger rating, 1537 Elo against 1470.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Almería have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.7% for Albacete and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.95 for Almería and 1.33 for Albacete.

Why Almería

Almería carry the stronger rating, 1537 Elo against 1470.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Albacete can win

Nothing in the data singles out Albacete.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Almería, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Albacete, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Almería: 57% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Albacete: 47% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Almería are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.5%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	522226	1.95–1.33	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	532126	2.05–1.38	2-1 9%	67%	65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería to win	53.3%	51.5%	45.5%	1.13×	1.94
Albacete to win	25.8%	27.9%	28.1%	0.99×	3.59
Draw	20.9%	24.5%	26.5%	0.92×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería & both teams score	31.1%	29.6%	22.0%	1.34×	3.38
Almería & not both score	22.2%	21.8%	23.6%	0.92×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	17.9%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.57
Albacete & both teams score	16.0%	18.0%	14.8%	1.22×	5.57
Albacete & not both score	9.8%	8.3%	13.4%	0.62×	12.00
Draw & not both score	3.0%	4.9%	9.1%	0.53×	20.57

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería & over 1.5	46.4%	45.0%	32.6%	1.38×	2.22
Almería & over 2.5	39.6%	34.9%	26.3%	1.33×	2.87
Almería & under 3.5	27.8%	26.1%	32.2%	0.81×	3.84
Almería & over 3.5	25.5%	26.1%	13.4%	1.94×	3.84
Albacete & over 1.5	21.1%	21.6%	19.5%	1.11×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	17.9%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Albacete & over 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	16.7%	1.08×	5.56
Albacete & under 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	19.6%	0.92×	5.56
Almería & under 2.5	13.7%	12.8%	19.3%	0.67×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	12.0%	12.8%	20.2%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	12.0%	12.8%	20.2%	0.63×	7.79
Albacete & over 3.5	10.3%	12.8%	8.6%	1.49×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.9%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.9%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Albacete & under 2.5	7.8%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.63
Almería & under 1.5	6.9%	7.9%	13.0%	0.61×	12.63
Albacete & under 1.5	4.7%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	3.0%	4.8%	9.1%	0.53×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería (1UP)	69.7%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Albacete (1UP)	46.8%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería (2UP)	53.3%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Albacete (2UP)	25.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería to win 2nd half	43.9%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
2nd half drawn	30.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.94
Albacete to win 2nd half	26.0%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Albacete over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.2%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Albacete under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.8%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Albacete over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	20.6%	—	—	4.84

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería over 0.5 in 2nd half	68.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Almería under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.4%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Almería over 1.5 in 2nd half	32.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Almería under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (+2.5)	84.6%	82.6%	92.3%	0.89×	1.21
Almería (+0.5)	74.2%	73.7%	71.9%	1.02×	1.36
Albacete (+1.5)	68.6%	68.7%	80.4%	0.85×	1.46
Almería (-0.5)	53.3%	52.4%	45.5%	1.15×	1.91
Albacete (+0.5)	46.7%	47.6%	54.5%	0.87×	2.10
Almería (-1.5)	31.4%	31.3%	19.6%	1.60×	3.19
Albacete (-0.5)	25.8%	26.3%	28.1%	0.94×	3.80
Almería (-2.5)	15.4%	17.4%	7.7%	2.28×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to concede	87.1%	86.3%	77.6%	1.11×	1.16
Albacete clean sheet	12.9%	13.7%	22.4%	0.61×	7.28

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to concede in 1st half	58.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Albacete clean sheet in 1st half	41.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to concede in 2nd half	68.9%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Albacete clean sheet in 2nd half	31.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 6.5 corners	82.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Albacete over 2.5 corners	76.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Albacete under 5.5 corners	71.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Albacete over 3.5 corners	59.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Albacete under 4.5 corners	57.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Albacete over 4.5 corners	42.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Albacete under 3.5 corners	40.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Albacete over 5.5 corners	28.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Albacete under 2.5 corners	24.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Albacete over 6.5 corners	17.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 3.5 goals	94.9%	92.4%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Albacete under 2.5 goals	83.9%	81.5%	89.1%	0.91×	1.23
Albacete over 0.5 goals	74.8%	71.9%	67.4%	1.07×	1.39
Albacete under 1.5 goals	60.0%	59.5%	69.4%	0.86×	1.68
Albacete over 1.5 goals	40.0%	40.5%	30.6%	1.32×	2.47
Albacete under 0.5 goals	25.2%	28.1%	32.6%	0.86×	3.55
Albacete over 2.5 goals	16.1%	18.5%	10.9%	1.70×	5.40
Albacete over 3.5 goals	5.1%	7.6%	3.0%	2.51×	13.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 1.5 in 1st half	89.4%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Albacete under 0.5 in 1st half	57.6%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Albacete over 0.5 in 1st half	42.4%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Albacete over 1.5 in 1st half	10.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.53

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete scores more in 2nd half	39.3%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Albacete scores equally in both	38.1%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Albacete scores more in 1st half	22.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería (away no bet)	71.8%	68.4%	63.2%	1.08×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	28.2%	31.6%	36.8%	0.86×	3.16

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete even goals	53.2%	52.6%	54.6%	0.96×	1.90
Albacete odd goals	46.8%	47.4%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	75.1%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	24.9%	18.9%	—	—	5.28

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	76.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Both halves under 1.5 goals	23.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.57

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	68.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Almería to score 2+ in a row	50.5%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	29.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Albacete to score 2+ in a row	28.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Almería to score 3+ in a row	22.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Albacete to score 3+ in a row	7.9%	5.5%	—	—	18.03

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería corners (+3.5)	92.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Almería corners (+2.5)	87.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Almería corners (+1.5)	81.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Albacete corners (+3.5)	66.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Albacete corners (+2.5)	57.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Almería corners (-1.5)	53.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Albacete corners (+1.5)	46.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Almería corners (-2.5)	43.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Almería corners (-3.5)	33.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Albacete corners (-1.5)	18.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Albacete corners (-2.5)	12.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Albacete corners (-3.5)	7.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	38.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	31.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	70.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	68.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	61.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	58.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	52.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	48.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 9.5 corners	41.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	38.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	31.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	29.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	22.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.0%	7.4%	11.2%	0.66×	13.51
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.51
1-0	6.9%	7.4%	13.0%	0.57×	13.51
2-0	6.8%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.51
2-2	6.5%	7.4%	5.7%	1.31×	13.51
Any other score	7.0%	7.4%	2.7%	2.72×	13.51
1-2	6.3%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
3-1	6.4%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.51
0-0	3.0%	1.7%	9.1%	0.19×	58.30
0-1	4.7%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.29
0-2	3.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.30
0-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-3	2.9%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.05×	58.31
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.30
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
3-0	4.7%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.29
3-2	4.4%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.29
3-3	2.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
4-0	2.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-1	3.3%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.30
4-2	2.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.45×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería (2nd half DNB)	62.8%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Albacete (2nd half DNB)	37.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería leading at HT (DNB)	65.6%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Albacete leading at HT (DNB)	34.4%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería or Albacete (12)	79.1%	75.6%	73.5%	1.03×	1.32
Almería or draw (1X)	74.2%	72.1%	71.9%	1.00×	1.39
Albacete or draw (X2)	46.7%	48.5%	54.5%	0.89×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería or draw at HT	78.3%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Almería or Albacete at HT	63.1%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Albacete or draw at HT	58.6%	57.7%	—	—	1.73

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería or draw (1UP)	74.2%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Albacete or draw (1UP)	46.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería or draw in 2nd half	74.0%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Almería or Albacete in 2nd half	69.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Albacete or draw in 2nd half	56.1%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.1%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	43.9%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería (DNB)	67.4%	67.4%	61.8%	1.09×	1.48
Albacete (DNB)	32.6%	32.6%	38.2%	0.85×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería to score first	58.0%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Albacete to score first	38.9%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	3.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.20

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	64.9%	56.6%	54.1%	1.05×	1.77
Not both teams to score	35.1%	43.4%	45.9%	0.94×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	56.0%	47.5%	43.0%	1.10×	2.11
Not both score & under 2.5	24.5%	27.9%	39.7%	0.70×	3.59
Not both score & over 2.5	10.6%	12.4%	6.3%	1.97×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	9.0%	8.3%	11.2%	0.74×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.7%	79.7%	85.6%	0.93×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	24.3%	20.3%	14.4%	1.42×	4.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.1%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	29.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Both score 1st half only	15.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Both score in both halves	9.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.55

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.2%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.8%	18.9%	—	—	5.28

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	65.7%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
A half without a goal	34.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	40.6%	42.1%	41.3%	1.02×	2.37
4-6 goals	38.8%	35.1%	26.7%	1.31×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.6%	17.0%	30.6%	0.56×	5.89
7+ goals	6.0%	7.6%	1.6%	4.82×	13.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to score exactly 1	34.7%	33.8%	36.9%	0.92×	2.96
Albacete to score exactly 0	25.2%	27.4%	32.6%	0.84×	3.65
Albacete to score exactly 2	23.9%	22.3%	19.8%	1.13×	4.49
Albacete to score 3+	16.1%	19.6%	10.9%	1.79×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería to score 3+	33.7%	32.6%	17.2%	1.89×	3.07
Almería to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.5%	24.9%	1.06×	3.77
Almería to score exactly 1	26.4%	26.5%	35.6%	0.74×	3.77
Almería to score exactly 0	12.9%	14.3%	22.4%	0.64×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería leading at HT	41.4%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
Draw at HT	36.9%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Albacete leading at HT	21.7%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería -1: 2	46.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Almería -1: 1	31.4%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Almería -1: X	21.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:1)	46.7%	46.1%	54.5%	0.85×	2.17
Almería (0:1)	31.4%	30.0%	19.6%	1.53×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	21.9%	24.2%	26.0%	0.93×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:2)	68.6%	72.3%	80.4%	0.90×	1.38
Draw (0:2)	16.0%	15.3%	12.1%	1.27×	6.56
Almería (0:2)	15.4%	15.2%	7.7%	1.99×	6.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:3)	84.6%	85.4%	92.3%	0.93×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	9.1%	5.8%	5.3%	1.09×	17.20
Almería (0:3)	6.3%	5.8%	2.4%	2.41×	17.25

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:4)	93.7%	94.6%	97.6%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.1%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.71
Almería (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	0.4%	2.91×	81.92

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería (1:0)	74.2%	72.4%	71.9%	1.01×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	14.8%	12.7%	17.9%	0.71×	7.86
Albacete (1:0)	11.0%	12.7%	10.3%	1.24×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería (2:0)	89.0%	88.5%	89.7%	0.99×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.2%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.67
Albacete (2:0)	3.8%	2.3%	3.2%	0.71×	43.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.8%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	21.4%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería to concede	74.8%	73.1%	67.4%	1.09×	1.37
Almería clean sheet	25.2%	26.9%	32.6%	0.82×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería clean sheet in 1st half	57.6%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Almería to concede in 1st half	42.4%	38.0%	—	—	2.63

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería to concede in 2nd half	56.2%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Almería clean sheet in 2nd half	43.8%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería over 2.5 corners	90.6%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Almería over 3.5 corners	81.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Almería over 4.5 corners	69.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Almería under 6.5 corners	57.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Almería over 5.5 corners	55.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Almería under 5.5 corners	44.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Almería over 6.5 corners	42.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Almería under 4.5 corners	31.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Almería under 3.5 corners	18.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Almería under 2.5 corners	9.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería over 0.5 goals	87.1%	87.3%	77.6%	1.12×	1.15
Almería under 3.5 goals	84.8%	82.2%	93.7%	0.88×	1.22
Almería under 2.5 goals	66.3%	67.9%	82.8%	0.82×	1.47
Almería over 1.5 goals	60.8%	63.6%	42.0%	1.51×	1.57
Almería under 1.5 goals	39.2%	36.4%	58.0%	0.63×	2.75
Almería over 2.5 goals	33.7%	32.1%	17.2%	1.87×	3.12
Almería over 3.5 goals	15.2%	17.8%	6.3%	2.82×	5.63
Almería under 0.5 goals	12.9%	12.7%	22.4%	0.57×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería under 1.5 in 1st half	77.9%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Almería over 0.5 in 1st half	58.6%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Almería under 0.5 in 1st half	41.4%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Almería over 1.5 in 1st half	22.1%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería scores more in 2nd half	42.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Almería scores equally in both	30.0%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
Almería scores more in 1st half	27.6%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (home no bet)	55.3%	56.4%	51.4%	1.10×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.7%	43.6%	48.6%	0.90×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería even goals	50.8%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Almería odd goals	49.2%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	23.8%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	21.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 0-1	13.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	11.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	9.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
Any other HT score	7.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 2-1	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 0-2	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	41.97
HT 1-2	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.00
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.12

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería at HT / Almería at FT	33.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Draw at HT / Almería at FT	16.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Albacete at HT / Albacete at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.9%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / Albacete at FT	9.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.37
Almería at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Albacete at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Albacete at HT / Almería at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Almería at HT / Albacete at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería to score last	58.0%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Albacete to score last	39.0%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	3.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.20

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.0%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Almería to lead by 1 at any time	69.7%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Albacete to lead by 1 at any time	46.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Almería to lead by 2 at any time	39.9%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	24.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Almería to lead by 3 at any time	19.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Albacete to lead by 2 at any time	18.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Albacete to lead by 3 at any time	5.8%	6.7%	—	—	15.03

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería most corners	63.8%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Albacete most corners	26.7%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	9.5%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.7%	83.4%	85.8%	0.97×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.5%	78.7%	67.9%	1.16×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.3%	64.4%	1.12×	1.38
1-4 goals	70.9%	72.3%	78.1%	0.93×	1.38
3-6 goals	60.6%	63.3%	47.7%	1.33×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.3%	59.1%	56.6%	1.04×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.3%	53.2%	44.1%	1.20×	1.88
1-3 goals	52.2%	53.2%	62.8%	0.85×	1.88
2-3 goals	40.6%	43.6%	41.3%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	36.4%	1.20×	2.29
4-6 goals	38.8%	39.2%	26.7%	1.47×	2.55
4-5 goals	31.5%	35.2%	23.2%	1.52×	2.84
1-2 goals	30.4%	35.2%	41.8%	0.84×	2.84
5-6 goals	20.1%	24.5%	11.4%	2.14×	4.09
7+ goals	6.0%	8.9%	1.6%	5.64×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería never behind	50.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Albacete never behind	27.3%	30.0%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	48.5%	1.05×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	51.5%	0.95×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.0%	95.4%	90.9%	1.05×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	86.7%	87.6%	94.9%	0.92×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.4%	87.6%	69.4%	1.26×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	73.9%	72.5%	87.1%	0.83×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	66.6%	66.3%	49.2%	1.35×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	55.2%	58.6%	71.8%	0.82×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	44.8%	41.4%	28.2%	1.47×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	33.4%	33.7%	50.8%	0.66×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	26.1%	27.5%	12.9%	2.13×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	14.6%	12.4%	30.6%	0.41×	8.05
Over 5.5 goals	13.3%	12.4%	5.1%	2.42×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.0%	4.6%	9.1%	0.50×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.6%	92.4%	98.4%	0.94×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	84.8%	81.1%	94.4%	0.86×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	82.0%	81.1%	61.6%	1.32×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	67.9%	67.5%	84.8%	0.80×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.3%	55.8%	35.7%	1.56×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.7%	44.2%	64.3%	0.69×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	32.1%	32.5%	15.2%	2.14×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.0%	18.9%	38.4%	0.49×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	15.2%	18.9%	5.6%	3.39×	5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.4%	7.6%	1.6%	4.65×	13.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.5%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.2%	78.5%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	58.1%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	41.9%	36.2%	—	—	2.77
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.8%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Over 2.5 in 1st half	17.5%	14.2%	—	—	7.03

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.5%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	67.8%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.2%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	40.8%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	32.2%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.5%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete not to score in both halves	76.2%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Almería not to score in both halves	59.6%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Almería to score in both halves	40.4%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Albacete to score in both halves	23.8%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	64.9%	60.3%	54.1%	1.11×	1.66
Only Almería scores	22.2%	22.3%	23.6%	0.94×	4.49
Only Albacete scores	9.8%	7.1%	13.4%	0.53×	14.01
Neither team scores	3.0%	4.6%	9.1%	0.51×	21.66

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	18.9%	17.5%	20.3%	0.86×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.7%	17.5%	15.4%	1.13×	5.73
6 or more goals	13.3%	12.1%	5.1%	2.36×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	12.8%	12.1%	7.9%	1.54×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	11.5%	12.1%	21.6%	0.56×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	3.0%	4.5%	9.1%	0.49×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.3%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	24.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	23.8%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	17.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.2%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
1 goal in 2nd half	27.3%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
No goals in 2nd half	13.5%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete not to win both halves	94.4%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Almería not to win both halves	81.9%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Almería to win both halves	18.1%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
Albacete to win both halves	5.6%	5.8%	—	—	17.19

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería to win either half	67.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Albacete to win neither half	57.9%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Albacete to win either half	42.1%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Almería to win neither half	32.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete not to win to nil	90.2%	92.1%	86.6%	1.06×	1.09
Almería not to win to nil	77.8%	78.1%	76.4%	1.02×	1.28
Almería to win to nil	22.2%	21.9%	23.6%	0.93×	4.57
Albacete to win to nil	9.8%	8.0%	13.4%	0.59×	12.58

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almería by 1	21.9%	24.1%	26.0%	0.93×	4.15
Draw	20.9%	24.1%	26.5%	0.91×	4.15
Almería by 2	16.0%	17.0%	12.1%	1.41×	5.87
Almería by 3+	15.4%	17.0%	7.7%	2.23×	5.87
Albacete by 1	14.8%	11.8%	17.9%	0.66×	8.51
Albacete by 2	7.2%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.91
Albacete by 3+	3.8%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.81