América de Cali v Cúcuta Deportivo — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 24 October 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627
COL-Primera A
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (637 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 2-0 14.1%
- 1-0 11.4%
- 3-0 10.9%
- 2-1 8.9%
- 1-1 8.3%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 56.8% | Under 2.5 | 43.2% |
| BTTS yes | 42.9% | BTTS no | 57.1% |
| América de Cali 1+ | 90.3% | América de Cali 2+ | 67.6% |
| Cúcuta Deportivo 1+ | 46.7% | Cúcuta Deportivo 2+ | 13.2% |
Expected goals 2.33 – 0.63. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- América de Cali carry the stronger rating, 1645 Elo against 1430.
- Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
América de Cali have an estimated 74.2% win probability, against 18.5% for the draw and 7.3% for Cúcuta Deportivo. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.33 for América de Cali and 0.63 for Cúcuta Deportivo.
Why América de Cali
América de Cali carry the stronger rating, 1645 Elo against 1430. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 18.5%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.
Why Cúcuta Deportivo can win
Nothing in the data singles out Cúcuta Deportivo.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for América de Cali, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cúcuta Deportivo, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
América de Cali: 55% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cúcuta Deportivo: 46% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. América de Cali's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
América de Cali are the model's most likely outcome at 74.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 14.1%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 2.36–0.61 | 2-0 14% | 57% | 42% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.