Anderlecht v Lyon — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 16 September 2026 · EUR-Europa League · 2627

Europa League results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Anderlecht

19:00 UTC

Lyon

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 203h before kick-off

Anderlecht win

27.9%

model 27.8%

Draw

22.3%

model 22.9%

Lyon win

49.8%

model 49.3%

282250

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (476 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.4%
1-2 9.5%
0-1 7.9%
0-2 7.2%
2-1 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	60.6%	Under 2.5	39.4%
BTTS yes	61.3%	BTTS no	38.7%
Anderlecht 1+	73.2%	Anderlecht 2+	37.9%
Lyon 1+	83.7%	Lyon 2+	54.2%

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.82. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

29/100

Data quality

45/100

★ Best pick

Lyon over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 34%

53.6% fair odds 1.87

strong signal · 7084 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Lyon under 1.5 in 1st half

Away goals O/U 1HT · usually 89%

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 361 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Lyon carry the stronger rating, 1648 Elo against 1502.
Away from home Lyon average 1.04 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 45/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Lyon have an estimated 49.8% win probability, against 27.9% for Anderlecht and 22.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.32 for Anderlecht and 1.82 for Lyon.

Why Anderlecht

Nothing in the data singles out Anderlecht.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.3%.

Why Lyon can win

Lyon carry the stronger rating, 1648 Elo against 1502. Away from home Lyon average 1.04 xG a match.

Key players

Lyon's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Loïs Openda (0.70), Endrick (0.56), Corentin Tolisso (0.40).

Availability

No lineup on record for Anderlecht, so availability is unknown. 1 of Lyon's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Lyon's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Anderlecht: 44% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Lyon: 58% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Lyon are the model's most likely outcome at 49.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%. Confidence 29/100, data quality 45/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Lyon are conceding fewer than expected — 2.1 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

DWWWWLLWDW last 10 scored 18 from 17.0 xG conceded 13 from 15.1 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	282349	1.32–1.82	0%	0%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon to win	49.2%	47.8%	30.6%	1.56×	2.09
Anderlecht to win	27.8%	27.3%	44.4%	0.61×	3.66
Draw	22.9%	23.5%	25.0%	0.94×	4.26

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon & both teams score	26.8%	26.5%	14.6%	1.81×	3.78
Lyon & not both score	22.5%	21.5%	16.0%	1.35×	4.65
Draw & both teams score	18.6%	18.2%	17.7%	1.03×	5.49
Anderlecht & both teams score	15.9%	18.2%	20.1%	0.91×	5.49
Anderlecht & not both score	11.9%	12.6%	24.4%	0.52×	7.91
Draw & not both score	4.4%	4.1%	7.3%	0.56×	24.25

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon & over 1.5	41.3%	42.8%	23.1%	1.86×	2.34
Lyon & over 2.5	34.1%	31.8%	18.4%	1.73×	3.15
Lyon & under 3.5	29.0%	26.5%	21.6%	1.23×	3.78
Anderlecht & over 1.5	22.1%	21.8%	34.1%	0.64×	4.59
Lyon & over 3.5	20.3%	21.8%	9.0%	2.43×	4.59
Anderlecht & over 2.5	18.3%	17.7%	26.9%	0.66×	5.66
Anderlecht & under 3.5	18.0%	17.7%	30.3%	0.58×	5.66
Draw & over 1.5	18.6%	17.7%	17.7%	1.00×	5.66
Lyon & under 2.5	15.1%	17.7%	12.2%	1.44×	5.66
Draw & under 2.5	14.8%	12.5%	18.8%	0.66×	8.03
Draw & under 3.5	14.8%	12.5%	18.8%	0.66×	8.03
Anderlecht & under 2.5	9.5%	7.6%	17.5%	0.43×	13.17
Anderlecht & over 3.5	9.8%	7.6%	14.2%	0.54×	13.17
Draw & over 2.5	8.2%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.17
Draw & over 3.5	8.2%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.17
Lyon & under 1.5	7.9%	7.6%	7.5%	1.01×	13.17
Anderlecht & under 1.5	5.7%	7.6%	10.4%	0.73×	13.17
Draw & under 1.5	4.4%	4.3%	7.3%	0.60×	22.99

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon (1UP)	65.7%	69.8%	50.4%	1.38×	1.43
Anderlecht (1UP)	47.5%	48.2%	59.8%	0.81×	2.08

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon (2UP)	49.2%	51.5%	34.2%	1.51×	1.94
Anderlecht (2UP)	27.8%	27.4%	45.2%	0.61×	3.65

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon to win 2nd half	43.3%	40.9%	29.7%	1.38×	2.45
2nd half drawn	31.8%	32.4%	32.7%	0.99×	3.09
Anderlecht to win 2nd half	24.9%	22.4%	37.7%	0.60×	4.46

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon (+2.5)	96.0%	96.6%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Lyon (+1.5)	88.1%	87.4%	77.7%	1.12×	1.14
Lyon (+0.5)	72.2%	72.8%	55.6%	1.31×	1.37
Anderlecht (+0.5)	50.8%	52.0%	69.4%	0.75×	1.92
Lyon (-0.5)	49.2%	48.0%	30.6%	1.57×	2.08
Anderlecht (-0.5)	27.8%	27.2%	44.4%	0.61×	3.68
Anderlecht (-1.5)	11.9%	12.6%	22.3%	0.57×	7.93
Anderlecht (-2.5)	4.0%	3.4%	9.9%	0.34×	29.51

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon to concede	73.2%	75.5%	76.7%	0.98×	1.32
Lyon clean sheet	26.8%	24.5%	23.3%	1.05×	4.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon clean sheet in 1st half	56.8%	58.0%	51.8%	1.12×	1.72
Lyon to concede in 1st half	43.2%	42.0%	48.2%	0.87×	2.38

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon over 2.5 corners	88.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Lyon over 3.5 corners	75.5%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Lyon under 6.5 corners	74.1%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Lyon under 5.5 corners	59.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Lyon over 4.5 corners	58.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Lyon under 4.5 corners	41.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Lyon over 5.5 corners	40.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Lyon over 6.5 corners	25.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Lyon under 3.5 corners	24.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
Lyon under 2.5 corners	11.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon under 3.5 goals	88.9%	87.2%	95.7%	0.91×	1.15
Lyon over 0.5 goals	83.8%	82.4%	68.3%	1.21×	1.21
Lyon under 2.5 goals	72.6%	71.3%	87.0%	0.82×	1.40
Lyon over 1.5 goals	54.2%	53.6%	33.7%	1.59×	1.87
Lyon under 1.5 goals	45.8%	46.4%	66.3%	0.70×	2.16
Lyon over 2.5 goals	27.4%	28.7%	13.0%	2.22×	3.48
Lyon under 0.5 goals	16.2%	17.6%	31.7%	0.55×	5.70
Lyon over 3.5 goals	11.1%	12.8%	4.3%	2.95×	7.81

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon under 1.5 in 1st half	83.5%	84.4%	89.4%	0.94×	1.19
Lyon over 0.5 in 1st half	51.7%	52.4%	41.0%	1.28×	1.91
Lyon under 0.5 in 1st half	48.3%	47.6%	59.0%	0.81×	2.10
Lyon over 1.5 in 1st half	16.5%	15.6%	10.6%	1.47×	6.41

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht (away no bet)	54.8%	52.1%	64.0%	0.81×	1.92
Draw (away no bet)	45.2%	47.9%	36.0%	1.33×	2.09

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon even goals	51.3%	53.5%	55.7%	0.96×	1.87
Lyon odd goals	48.7%	46.5%	44.3%	1.05×	2.15

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.7%	78.5%	82.7%	0.95×	1.27
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.3%	21.5%	17.3%	1.24×	4.66

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.6%	69.3%	66.2%	1.05×	1.44
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.4%	30.7%	33.8%	0.91×	3.25

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.2%	59.5%	58.6%	1.02×	1.68
Lyon to score 2+ in a row	44.5%	45.2%	28.6%	1.58×	2.21
Anderlecht to score 2+ in a row	27.4%	27.1%	36.9%	0.73×	3.69
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.1%	27.0%	22.9%	1.18×	3.70
Lyon to score 3+ in a row	17.8%	17.4%	9.1%	1.91×	5.76
Anderlecht to score 3+ in a row	7.7%	7.8%	14.2%	0.55×	12.78

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht corners (+3.5)	91.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Anderlecht corners (+2.5)	86.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Anderlecht corners (+1.5)	78.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Lyon corners (+3.5)	76.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Lyon corners (+2.5)	65.8%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Lyon corners (+1.5)	54.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Anderlecht corners (-1.5)	45.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Anderlecht corners (-2.5)	34.2%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Anderlecht corners (-3.5)	24.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Lyon corners (-1.5)	21.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Lyon corners (-2.5)	13.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Lyon corners (-3.5)	8.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	47.3%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	33.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
0-8 corners	19.5%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	88.3%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 8.5 corners	80.5%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Over 9.5 corners	70.6%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	63.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 10.5 corners	59.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	52.7%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	47.3%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 10.5 corners	40.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 12.5 corners	36.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 9.5 corners	29.4%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 8.5 corners	19.5%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Under 7.5 corners	11.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.4%	11.2%	11.5%	0.98×	8.90
0-1	7.9%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.48
0-2	7.2%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.48
1-0	5.7%	7.4%	10.4%	0.72×	13.49
1-2	9.5%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.48
1-3	5.7%	7.4%	2.8%	2.69×	13.49
2-1	6.9%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.49
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	5.1%	1.45×	13.49
0-0	4.4%	1.7%	7.3%	0.24×	58.10
0-3	4.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.10
0-4	2.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.94×	58.11
1-4	2.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.70×	58.10
2-0	3.8%	1.7%	7.2%	0.24×	58.10
2-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.10
2-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.90×	58.11
3-0	1.7%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.11
3-1	3.0%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.10
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.67×	58.10
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.73×	58.11
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.4%	4.66×	58.11
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.8%	0.98×	58.11
4-1	1.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.11
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.11
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.63×	58.11
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	16.22×	58.11
Any other score	4.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.10

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon leading at HT (DNB)	58.3%	55.2%	43.3%	1.27×	1.81
Anderlecht leading at HT (DNB)	41.7%	44.8%	56.7%	0.79×	2.23

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht or Lyon (12)	77.1%	76.5%	75.0%	1.02×	1.31
Lyon or draw (X2)	72.2%	72.7%	55.6%	1.31×	1.38
Anderlecht or draw (1X)	50.8%	52.2%	69.4%	0.75×	1.92

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon or draw at HT	75.0%	71.3%	66.2%	1.08×	1.40
Anderlecht or draw at HT	65.0%	62.8%	74.1%	0.85×	1.59
Anderlecht or Lyon at HT	60.0%	62.6%	59.7%	1.05×	1.60

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon or draw (1UP)	72.2%	79.5%	63.9%	1.24×	1.26
Anderlecht or draw (1UP)	50.8%	60.2%	74.2%	0.81×	1.66

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon or draw in 2nd half	75.1%	77.6%	62.3%	1.24×	1.29
Anderlecht or Lyon in 2nd half	68.2%	67.6%	67.3%	1.00×	1.48
Anderlecht or draw in 2nd half	56.7%	59.1%	70.3%	0.84×	1.69

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.0%	55.2%	58.9%	0.94×	1.81
Neither half drawn	41.0%	44.8%	41.1%	1.09×	2.23

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon (DNB)	63.9%	61.7%	40.8%	1.51×	1.62
Anderlecht (DNB)	36.1%	38.3%	59.2%	0.65×	2.61

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon to score first	55.5%	59.3%	42.9%	1.38×	1.69
Anderlecht to score first	40.2%	44.1%	51.2%	0.86×	2.27
No goal scored	4.4%	4.5%	5.9%	0.76×	22.17

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.3%	58.6%	52.3%	1.12×	1.71
Not both teams to score	38.7%	41.4%	47.7%	0.87×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	50.9%	48.2%	40.9%	1.18×	2.08
Not both score & under 2.5	29.0%	31.4%	37.1%	0.85×	3.18
Both score & under 2.5	10.4%	11.9%	11.5%	1.04×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	9.7%	8.5%	10.6%	0.80×	11.81

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.5%	79.8%	86.0%	0.93×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	20.5%	20.2%	14.0%	1.44×	4.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.0%	65.3%	70.2%	0.93×	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.0%	34.7%	29.8%	1.17×	2.88

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	50.5%	54.0%	57.8%	0.94×	1.85
Both score 2nd half only	27.2%	25.9%	23.8%	1.09×	3.86
Both score 1st half only	14.5%	11.9%	12.5%	0.96×	8.38
Both score in both halves	7.8%	7.1%	6.0%	1.18×	14.02

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.7%	79.5%	81.5%	0.98×	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	22.3%	20.5%	18.5%	1.11×	4.89

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.0%	62.4%	58.9%	1.06×	1.60
A half without a goal	39.0%	37.6%	41.1%	0.92×	2.66

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.7%	43.4%	45.4%	0.95×	2.31
4-6 goals	34.2%	30.9%	26.9%	1.15×	3.24
0-1 goals	18.0%	19.2%	25.2%	0.76×	5.22
7+ goals	4.1%	2.0%	2.4%	0.82×	50.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon to score exactly 1	29.5%	27.4%	34.6%	0.79×	3.65
Lyon to score 3+	27.4%	27.4%	13.0%	2.11×	3.66
Lyon to score exactly 2	26.8%	27.4%	20.8%	1.32×	3.66
Lyon to score exactly 0	16.2%	18.4%	31.7%	0.58×	5.43

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht to score exactly 1	35.3%	36.5%	33.1%	1.10×	2.74
Anderlecht to score exactly 0	26.8%	26.4%	23.3%	1.13×	3.79
Anderlecht to score exactly 2	23.2%	22.9%	23.9%	0.96×	4.37
Anderlecht to score 3+	14.6%	13.2%	19.7%	0.67×	7.58

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.0%	37.4%	40.3%	0.93×	2.68
Lyon leading at HT	35.0%	37.2%	25.9%	1.44×	2.69
Anderlecht leading at HT	25.0%	28.7%	33.8%	0.85×	3.48

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon -1: 1	50.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Lyon -1: 2	27.2%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Lyon -1: X	22.0%	23.2%	—	—	4.30

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon (0:1)	72.2%	72.1%	55.6%	1.30×	1.39
Draw (0:1)	15.9%	18.2%	22.2%	0.82×	5.51
Anderlecht (0:1)	11.9%	13.2%	22.3%	0.59×	7.60

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon (0:2)	88.1%	86.7%	77.7%	1.12×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.8%	7.7%	12.4%	0.63×	12.95
Anderlecht (0:2)	4.0%	3.5%	9.9%	0.35×	28.78

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon (0:3)	96.0%	96.7%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.9%	2.6%	5.9%	0.44×	38.97
Anderlecht (0:3)	1.1%	2.6%	4.1%	0.63×	38.99

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon (0:4)	98.9%	97.7%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.4%	2.5%	0.56×	70.59
Anderlecht (0:4)	0.3%	1.4%	1.5%	0.94×	70.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht (1:0)	50.8%	52.1%	69.4%	0.75×	1.92
Lyon (1:0)	27.2%	25.2%	13.6%	1.86×	3.96
Draw (1:0)	22.0%	21.9%	17.0%	1.29×	4.56

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht (2:0)	72.8%	74.7%	86.4%	0.86×	1.34
Draw (2:0)	15.0%	11.5%	8.1%	1.42×	8.66
Lyon (2:0)	12.3%	11.5%	5.4%	2.12×	8.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.3%	51.3%	48.6%	1.06×	1.95
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.2%	26.3%	1.00×	3.82
Halves equal	22.8%	23.2%	25.2%	0.92×	4.31

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht to concede	83.8%	82.6%	68.3%	1.21×	1.21
Anderlecht clean sheet	16.2%	17.4%	31.7%	0.55×	5.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht to concede in 1st half	51.7%	52.4%	41.0%	1.28×	1.91
Anderlecht clean sheet in 1st half	48.3%	47.6%	59.0%	0.81×	2.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht over 2.5 corners	95.0%	94.8%	—	—	1.06
Anderlecht over 3.5 corners	87.4%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Anderlecht over 4.5 corners	75.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Anderlecht over 5.5 corners	60.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Anderlecht under 6.5 corners	55.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Anderlecht over 6.5 corners	44.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Anderlecht under 5.5 corners	39.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Anderlecht under 4.5 corners	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Anderlecht under 3.5 corners	12.6%	13.7%	—	—	7.29
Anderlecht under 2.5 corners	5.0%	5.2%	—	—	19.23

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht under 3.5 goals	95.5%	96.6%	92.4%	1.05×	1.04
Anderlecht under 2.5 goals	85.4%	87.5%	80.3%	1.09×	1.14
Anderlecht over 0.5 goals	73.2%	73.2%	76.7%	0.95×	1.37
Anderlecht under 1.5 goals	62.1%	62.4%	56.3%	1.11×	1.60
Anderlecht over 1.5 goals	37.9%	37.6%	43.7%	0.86×	2.66
Anderlecht under 0.5 goals	26.8%	26.8%	23.3%	1.15×	3.73
Anderlecht over 2.5 goals	14.6%	12.5%	19.7%	0.64×	7.97
Anderlecht over 3.5 goals	4.5%	3.4%	7.6%	0.45×	29.04

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht under 1.5 in 1st half	88.9%	87.3%	85.9%	1.02×	1.15
Anderlecht under 0.5 in 1st half	56.8%	58.1%	51.8%	1.12×	1.72
Anderlecht over 0.5 in 1st half	43.2%	41.9%	48.2%	0.87×	2.39
Anderlecht over 1.5 in 1st half	11.1%	12.7%	14.1%	0.89×	7.90

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon (home no bet)	68.2%	64.6%	55.1%	1.17×	1.55
Draw (home no bet)	31.8%	35.4%	44.9%	0.79×	2.83

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht even goals	53.6%	50.9%	52.8%	0.97×	1.96
Anderlecht odd goals	46.4%	49.1%	47.2%	1.04×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.5%	26.0%	29.3%	0.89×	3.84
HT 0-1	20.0%	20.1%	16.3%	1.23×	4.98
HT 1-0	15.5%	20.0%	20.7%	0.97×	5.00
HT 1-1	11.3%	10.9%	10.2%	1.07×	9.15
HT 0-2	7.3%	8.0%	4.9%	1.64×	12.46
Any other HT score	5.7%	8.0%	4.7%	1.70×	12.48
HT 1-2	4.1%	2.5%	2.8%	0.89×	40.36
HT 2-0	4.4%	2.5%	7.1%	0.35×	40.35
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.5%	3.3%	0.76×	40.40
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.5%	0.9%	2.76×	40.50

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon at HT / Lyon at FT	28.3%	26.3%	17.4%	1.51×	3.81
Draw at HT / Lyon at FT	17.3%	17.2%	11.6%	1.49×	5.82
Anderlecht at HT / Anderlecht at FT	15.9%	17.2%	25.8%	0.67×	5.82
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.7%	12.2%	14.1%	0.86×	8.21
Draw at HT / Anderlecht at FT	10.0%	6.5%	14.7%	0.44×	15.50
Anderlecht at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.4%	5.1%	1.25×	15.59
Lyon at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.7%	5.6%	0.65×	27.26
Anderlecht at HT / Lyon at FT	3.7%	3.7%	3.0%	1.23×	27.29
Lyon at HT / Anderlecht at FT	2.0%	3.7%	2.9%	1.26×	27.34

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon to score last	55.5%	57.9%	42.7%	1.35×	1.73
Anderlecht to score last	40.2%	42.5%	51.4%	0.83×	2.35
No goal scored	4.4%	4.5%	5.9%	0.76×	22.17

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.6%	95.5%	94.1%	1.01×	1.05
Lyon to lead by 1 at any time	65.7%	68.3%	50.4%	1.35×	1.46
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.9%	50.9%	48.2%	1.05×	1.97
Anderlecht to lead by 1 at any time	47.5%	46.8%	59.8%	0.78×	2.14
Lyon to lead by 2 at any time	34.9%	31.8%	20.3%	1.56×	3.15
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.0%	21.3%	19.5%	1.10×	4.69
Anderlecht to lead by 2 at any time	18.3%	17.3%	28.2%	0.61×	5.78
Lyon to lead by 3 at any time	15.2%	17.3%	7.4%	2.34×	5.79
Anderlecht to lead by 3 at any time	5.8%	7.6%	12.1%	0.62×	13.22

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht most corners	57.6%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Lyon most corners	31.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.63

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.9%	87.1%	86.4%	1.01×	1.15
2-6 goals	77.9%	77.9%	72.4%	1.08×	1.28
1-4 goals	74.9%	72.1%	78.0%	0.92×	1.39
2-5 goals	72.2%	72.1%	68.5%	1.05×	1.39
2-4 goals	61.2%	62.7%	60.1%	1.04×	1.60
1-3 goals	57.4%	58.8%	63.3%	0.93×	1.70
3-6 goals	56.5%	58.8%	49.0%	1.20×	1.70
3-5 goals	50.8%	52.9%	45.1%	1.17×	1.89
2-3 goals	43.7%	43.7%	45.4%	0.96×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.8%	39.0%	36.8%	1.06×	2.56
1-2 goals	35.1%	39.0%	41.2%	0.95×	2.56
4-6 goals	34.2%	34.6%	26.9%	1.28×	2.89
4-5 goals	28.5%	28.5%	23.0%	1.24×	3.50
5-6 goals	16.7%	18.8%	12.3%	1.53×	5.31
7+ goals	4.1%	2.2%	2.4%	0.93×	44.54

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon never behind	48.1%	55.5%	40.2%	1.38×	1.80
Anderlecht never behind	30.0%	31.1%	49.6%	0.63×	3.21

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	50.1%	50.0%	49.8%	1.00×	2.00
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.0%	50.2%	1.00×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.8%	51.5%	53.7%	0.96×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.2%	48.5%	46.3%	1.05×	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.3%	51.5%	51.1%	1.01×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.7%	48.5%	48.9%	0.99×	2.06

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.6%	96.0%	92.7%	1.04×	1.04
Under 5.5 goals	90.2%	92.3%	93.7%	0.99×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	82.0%	81.7%	74.8%	1.09×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	79.3%	77.0%	85.3%	0.90×	1.30
Under 3.5 goals	61.8%	62.3%	70.6%	0.88×	1.60
Over 2.5 goals	60.6%	62.3%	51.5%	1.21×	1.60
Under 2.5 goals	39.4%	37.7%	48.5%	0.78×	2.65
Over 3.5 goals	38.2%	37.7%	29.4%	1.28×	2.66
Over 4.5 goals	20.7%	23.0%	14.7%	1.56×	4.35
Under 1.5 goals	18.0%	18.3%	25.2%	0.73×	5.46
Over 5.5 goals	9.8%	7.7%	6.3%	1.22×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	4.4%	4.0%	7.3%	0.54×	25.24

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.7%	97.3%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.0%	86.7%	93.1%	0.93×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	77.1%	76.2%	67.1%	1.14×	1.31
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	74.9%	71.7%	82.8%	0.87×	1.39
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.8%	52.8%	62.3%	0.85×	1.90
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.2%	47.2%	37.7%	1.25×	2.12
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	25.1%	28.3%	17.2%	1.64×	3.54
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	22.9%	23.8%	32.9%	0.72×	4.20
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.0%	13.3%	6.9%	1.93×	7.49
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.3%	2.7%	2.5%	1.08×	36.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.9%	88.3%	88.4%	1.00×	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.5%	73.4%	70.7%	1.04×	1.36
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.9%	64.3%	66.3%	0.97×	1.56
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.1%	35.7%	33.7%	1.06×	2.80
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.5%	26.6%	29.3%	0.91×	3.76
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.1%	11.7%	11.6%	1.01×	8.54

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.1%	82.7%	82.3%	1.00×	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.0%	75.7%	77.5%	0.98×	1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.1%	50.1%	50.2%	1.00×	2.00
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	54.9%	49.9%	49.8%	1.00×	2.00
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.0%	24.3%	22.5%	1.08×	4.11
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.9%	17.3%	17.7%	0.98×	5.77

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht not to score in both halves	77.2%	76.3%	70.5%	1.08×	1.31
Lyon not to score in both halves	65.7%	67.0%	77.6%	0.86×	1.49
Lyon to score in both halves	34.3%	33.0%	22.4%	1.47×	3.03
Anderlecht to score in both halves	22.8%	23.7%	29.5%	0.80×	4.22

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.3%	60.8%	52.3%	1.16×	1.65
Only Lyon scores	22.5%	21.3%	16.0%	1.33×	4.70
Only Anderlecht scores	11.9%	11.1%	24.4%	0.45×	9.04
Neither team scores	4.4%	4.0%	7.3%	0.55×	25.10

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.3%	22.1%	1.01×	4.48
Exactly 2 goals	21.4%	22.3%	23.3%	0.96×	4.48
Exactly 4 goals	17.5%	17.6%	14.7%	1.20×	5.69
Exactly 1 goals	13.7%	12.3%	17.9%	0.69×	8.13
Exactly 5 goals	11.0%	12.3%	8.4%	1.47×	8.13
6 or more goals	9.8%	7.8%	6.3%	1.22×	12.88
Exactly 0 goals	4.4%	4.1%	7.3%	0.56×	24.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	54.9%	50.1%	49.8%	1.01×	2.00
1 goal in 2nd half	29.2%	26.7%	32.5%	0.82×	3.74
No goals in 2nd half	15.9%	16.5%	17.7%	0.93×	6.06

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht not to win both halves	93.8%	92.3%	86.8%	1.06×	1.08
Lyon not to win both halves	84.9%	82.6%	91.8%	0.90×	1.21
Lyon to win both halves	15.1%	17.4%	8.2%	2.12×	5.75
Anderlecht to win both halves	6.2%	7.7%	13.2%	0.58×	12.95

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lyon to win either half	63.1%	64.1%	47.4%	1.35×	1.56
Anderlecht to win neither half	56.3%	57.2%	41.7%	1.37×	1.75
Anderlecht to win either half	43.7%	42.8%	58.3%	0.74×	2.33
Lyon to win neither half	36.9%	35.9%	52.6%	0.68×	2.79

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht not to win to nil	88.1%	88.1%	75.6%	1.17×	1.14
Lyon not to win to nil	77.5%	78.7%	84.0%	0.94×	1.27
Lyon to win to nil	22.5%	21.3%	16.0%	1.33×	4.70
Anderlecht to win to nil	11.9%	11.9%	24.4%	0.49×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.9%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Lyon by 1	22.0%	23.3%	17.0%	1.37×	4.29
Anderlecht by 1	15.9%	17.3%	22.2%	0.78×	5.78
Lyon by 2	15.0%	11.8%	8.1%	1.45×	8.46
Lyon by 3+	12.3%	11.8%	5.4%	2.18×	8.46
Anderlecht by 2	7.8%	7.3%	12.4%	0.59×	13.66
Anderlecht by 3+	4.0%	3.0%	9.9%	0.30×	33.81