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Angers v Lens — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 18 August 2024 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

0–1
0.30 – 1.04 xG
Shots
8 – 10
On target
3 – 4
Shots in box
3 – 7
xG per shot
0.04 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
0.09 – 0.04
Goals − xG
-0.30 – -0.04
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.30.60.91.20'15'30'45'60'75'90'Wesley Said 27' — goal
Angers 0.30 xGLens 1.04 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Facundo Medina 0' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Wesley Said 24' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Jean Eudes Aholou 26' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Yassin Belkhdim 26' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Wesley Said 27' — Goal (0.37 xG, Open Play)Florian Sotoca 42' — Shot On Post (0.06 xG, Open Play)Wesley Said 42' — Shot On Post (0.13 xG, Open Play)Facundo Medina 49' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Sidiki Chérif 52' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Sidiki Chérif 68' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Florian Sotoca 70' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)David Pereira Da Costa 73' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Remy Labeau Lascary 84' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Ruben Aguilar 87' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Ibrahima Niane 90' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Florent Hanin 92' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Himad Abdelli 93' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ibrahima Niane 94' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)
Angers attacking right Lens attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' Lens Facundo Medina 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Wesley Said
24' Lens Wesley Said 0.05 Open Play Saved Shot Adrien Thomasson
26' Angers Jean Eudes Aholou 0.04 From Corner Missed Shot
26' Angers Yassin Belkhdim 0.08 Open Play Saved Shot Sidiki Chérif
27' Lens Wesley Said 0.37 Open Play Right Foot Goal Ruben Aguilar
42' Lens Florian Sotoca 0.06 Open Play Shot On Post Jhoanner Chávez
42' Lens Wesley Said 0.13 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post
49' Lens Facundo Medina 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Wesley Said
52' Angers Sidiki Chérif 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
68' Angers Sidiki Chérif 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Himad Abdelli
70' Lens Florian Sotoca 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jonathan Gradit
73' Lens David Pereira Da Costa 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Deiver Machado
84' Lens Remy Labeau Lascary 0.14 Open Play Missed Shot David Pereira Da Costa
87' Lens Ruben Aguilar 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Kevin Danso
90' Angers Ibrahima Niane 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
92' Angers Florent Hanin 0.01 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot
93' Angers Himad Abdelli 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Ibrahima Niane
94' Angers Ibrahima Niane 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Abdoulaye Bamba

Players

Angers

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Jean Eudes Aholou MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.00
Himad Abdelli FW 90 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.05 0.17
Abdoulaye Bamba DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.00
Yahia Fofana GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Cédric Hountondji DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Jordan Lefort DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Pierrick Capelle MC 82 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sidiki Chérif FW 79 0 0 2 1 0.07 0.08 0.15
Jacques Ekomie DL 79 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Carlens Arcus DR 79 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yassin Belkhdim MC 73 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Lois Diony Sub 17 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ibrahima Niane Sub 11 0 0 2 1 0.07 0.03 0.06
Florent Hanin Sub 11 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.03
Lilian Raolisoa Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Zinédine Ould Khaled Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Lens

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Florian Sotoca FW 90 0 0 2 0 0.17 0.00 0.83
Facundo Medina DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.12 0.00 0.14
Ruben Aguilar MR 90 0 1 1 1 0.04 0.37 0.50
Adrien Thomasson MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.70
Kevin Danso DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.39
Jonathan Gradit DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.11 0.48
Brice Samba GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Wesley Said FW 75 1 0 3 2 0.54 0.12 0.66
Nampalys Mendy MC 75 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.59
Jhoanner Chávez ML 68 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.00
Angelo Fulgini AMC 68 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
David Pereira Da Costa Sub 22 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.14 0.17
Deiver Machado Sub 22 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.14
Remy Labeau Lascary Sub 15 0 0 1 0 0.14 0.00 0.17
Andy Diouf Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.17
Abduqodir Khusanov Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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