Angers v Nice — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627

Ligue 1 xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Angers

14:00 UTC

Nice

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 387h before kick-off

Angers win

30.8%

model 31.7%

Draw

23.8%

model 24.7%

Nice win

45.3%

model 43.6%

312445

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.6%
1-2 9.1%
0-1 9.0%
2-1 7.5%
1-0 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.4%	Under 2.5	45.6%
BTTS yes	57.4%	BTTS no	42.6%
Angers 1+	72.6%	Angers 2+	37.2%
Nice 1+	79.0%	Nice 2+	46.3%

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.56. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

94/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nice (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 54%

68.8% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Angers not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 76%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nice carry the stronger rating, 1483 Elo against 1424.
Nice have created 1.28 xG a match over their last five while Angers have allowed 2.15.
Away from home Nice average 1.17 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Nice have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 30.8% for Angers and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.30 for Angers and 1.56 for Nice.

Why Angers

Angers have created 1.54 xG a match over their last five while Nice have allowed 1.52. At home Angers average 1.74 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Nice can win

Nice carry the stronger rating, 1483 Elo against 1424. Nice have created 1.28 xG a match over their last five while Angers have allowed 2.15. Away from home Nice average 1.17 xG a match.

Key players

Angers's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Amine Sbaï (0.40), Amine El Ouazzani (0.32), Jim Allevinah (0.26). Nice's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Sepe Elye Wahi (0.33), Jonathan Clauss (0.30), Mohamed Ali-Cho (0.29).

Availability

1 of Angers's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Angers's last eleven are new to the club this window. Reported unavailable for Angers: Jordan Lefort (suspended). 45% of Nice's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Angers: 49% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 18.4 faced, 0.38 xG a match from set pieces. Nice: 53% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.21 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Nice are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%. Confidence 94/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Angers are finishing below their chances — 3.4 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

LDDLWLDWLL last 10 scored 12 from 15.4 xG conceded 20 from 21.5 xG

Nice are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.8 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 3.2 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

DLDDLDLWWL last 10 scored 8 from 12.8 xG conceded 12 from 15.2 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	322544	1.30–1.56	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	312545	1.27–1.59	1-1 12%	54%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers to win	39.9%	36.4%	46.2%	0.79×	2.75
Nice to win	35.1%	36.3%	31.3%	1.16×	2.75
Draw	25.0%	24.4%	22.6%	1.08×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers & both teams score	20.3%	21.8%	22.7%	0.96×	4.59
Angers & not both score	19.6%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	19.2%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Nice & both teams score	18.1%	18.0%	15.8%	1.14×	5.57
Nice & not both score	17.0%	18.0%	15.7%	1.15×	5.57
Draw & not both score	5.8%	8.3%	6.4%	1.31×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers & over 1.5	31.3%	30.8%	36.2%	0.85×	3.25
Nice & over 1.5	27.2%	26.1%	25.3%	1.03×	3.84
Angers & under 3.5	26.6%	26.1%	29.5%	0.88×	3.84
Angers & over 2.5	25.0%	26.1%	28.8%	0.90×	3.84
Nice & under 3.5	23.9%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.63
Nice & over 2.5	21.8%	21.6%	19.8%	1.09×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.2%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.5%	18.0%	16.1%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.5%	18.0%	16.1%	1.12×	5.56
Angers & under 2.5	14.8%	12.8%	17.6%	0.73×	7.79
Nice & under 2.5	13.4%	12.8%	11.7%	1.10×	7.79
Angers & over 3.5	13.3%	12.8%	16.8%	0.76×	7.79
Nice & over 3.5	11.2%	12.8%	11.2%	1.14×	7.79
Angers & under 1.5	8.5%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.5%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.5%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63
Nice & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	6.2%	1.28×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	6.4%	1.25×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers (1UP)	57.0%	58.0%	59.0%	0.98×	1.72
Nice (1UP)	53.0%	52.6%	48.8%	1.08×	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers (2UP)	39.9%	37.6%	48.2%	0.78×	2.66
Nice (2UP)	35.1%	37.3%	33.6%	1.11×	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers to win 2nd half	44.4%	42.0%	42.0%	1.00×	2.38
2nd half drawn	34.8%	34.4%	31.3%	1.10×	2.91
Nice to win 2nd half	20.8%	24.1%	26.9%	0.90×	4.14

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.7%	86.9%	82.3%	1.06×	1.15
Nice under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.5%	54.5%	49.8%	1.10×	1.83
Nice over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.5%	45.5%	50.2%	0.91×	2.20
Nice over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.3%	13.1%	17.7%	0.74×	7.62

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.2%	74.0%	75.5%	0.98×	1.35
Angers over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.6%	63.2%	62.2%	1.02×	1.58
Angers under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.4%	36.8%	37.8%	0.97×	2.72
Angers over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.8%	26.0%	24.5%	1.06×	3.85

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (+2.5)	92.6%	92.1%	90.1%	1.02×	1.09
Nice (+1.5)	80.8%	82.5%	75.5%	1.09×	1.21
Angers (+0.5)	64.9%	63.0%	68.7%	0.92×	1.59
Nice (+0.5)	60.1%	62.9%	53.8%	1.17×	1.59
Angers (-0.5)	39.9%	37.1%	46.2%	0.80×	2.70
Nice (-0.5)	35.1%	37.0%	31.3%	1.18×	2.70
Angers (-1.5)	19.2%	17.5%	24.5%	0.71×	5.72
Angers (-2.5)	7.4%	7.9%	9.9%	0.80×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice to concede	77.2%	78.8%	78.1%	1.01×	1.27
Nice clean sheet	22.8%	21.2%	21.9%	0.97×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice clean sheet in 1st half	61.0%	65.0%	51.8%	1.25×	1.54
Nice to concede in 1st half	39.0%	35.0%	48.2%	0.73×	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice to concede in 2nd half	62.6%	61.7%	62.2%	0.99×	1.62
Nice clean sheet in 2nd half	37.4%	38.3%	37.8%	1.01×	2.61

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice over 2.5 corners	80.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Nice under 6.5 corners	72.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Nice over 3.5 corners	66.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Nice under 5.5 corners	61.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Nice over 4.5 corners	52.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Nice under 4.5 corners	47.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Nice over 5.5 corners	39.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Nice under 3.5 corners	33.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Nice over 6.5 corners	27.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Nice under 2.5 corners	19.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice under 3.5 goals	94.9%	92.4%	93.6%	0.99×	1.08
Nice under 2.5 goals	84.0%	81.5%	84.5%	0.96×	1.23
Nice over 0.5 goals	74.7%	71.9%	70.2%	1.02×	1.39
Nice under 1.5 goals	60.1%	63.1%	63.2%	1.00×	1.58
Nice over 1.5 goals	39.9%	36.9%	36.8%	1.00×	2.71
Nice under 0.5 goals	25.3%	28.1%	29.8%	0.94×	3.56
Nice over 2.5 goals	16.0%	18.5%	15.5%	1.19×	5.40
Nice over 3.5 goals	5.1%	7.6%	6.4%	1.20×	13.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice under 1.5 in 1st half	80.8%	82.8%	87.7%	0.94×	1.21
Nice over 0.5 in 1st half	55.2%	61.8%	42.1%	1.47×	1.62
Nice under 0.5 in 1st half	44.8%	38.2%	57.9%	0.66×	2.62
Nice over 1.5 in 1st half	19.2%	17.2%	12.3%	1.41×	5.80

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice scores equally in both	38.3%	37.4%	41.1%	0.91×	2.68
Nice scores more in 1st half	37.8%	37.3%	24.7%	1.51×	2.68
Nice scores more in 2nd half	23.9%	22.0%	34.4%	0.64×	4.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers (away no bet)	61.5%	61.9%	67.2%	0.92×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	38.5%	38.1%	32.8%	1.16×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice even goals	53.2%	52.6%	55.7%	0.94×	1.90
Nice odd goals	46.8%	47.4%	44.3%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.9%	82.7%	82.6%	1.00×	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.1%	17.3%	17.4%	0.99×	5.80

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.1%	68.3%	65.9%	1.04×	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.9%	31.7%	34.1%	0.93×	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.8%	55.2%	60.5%	0.91×	1.81
Angers to score 2+ in a row	34.3%	29.3%	38.6%	0.76×	3.42
Nice to score 2+ in a row	30.7%	29.1%	28.0%	1.04×	3.43
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.6%	19.6%	22.3%	0.88×	5.11
Angers to score 3+ in a row	11.5%	12.0%	13.8%	0.87×	8.32
Nice to score 3+ in a row	9.4%	5.6%	9.2%	0.61×	17.79

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers corners (+3.5)	81.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Nice corners (+3.5)	80.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Angers corners (+2.5)	73.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Nice corners (+2.5)	73.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Angers corners (+1.5)	65.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Nice corners (+1.5)	64.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Angers corners (-1.5)	35.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Nice corners (-1.5)	34.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Angers corners (-2.5)	26.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Nice corners (-2.5)	26.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Angers corners (-3.5)	19.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Nice corners (-3.5)	19.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	34.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	27.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	73.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	71.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	62.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	52.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	47.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	37.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	34.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	28.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	27.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.7%	11.5%	9.9%	1.16×	8.72
1-0	8.5%	7.4%	10.2%	0.73×	13.50
2-1	8.7%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.50
0-1	7.9%	7.4%	6.2%	1.19×	13.50
1-2	8.1%	7.4%	6.4%	1.17×	13.50
0-0	5.8%	7.4%	6.4%	1.17×	13.51
0-2	5.4%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.51
2-0	6.3%	7.4%	7.5%	0.98×	13.51
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
0-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
1-3	3.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.30
1-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.31
3-0	3.1%	1.7%	3.5%	0.48×	58.30
3-1	4.3%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
3-2	2.9%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.30
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.32
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.31
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.31
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	3.87×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.80×	58.32
Any other score	3.0%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers (2nd half DNB)	68.1%	67.4%	60.9%	1.11×	1.48
Nice (2nd half DNB)	31.9%	32.6%	39.1%	0.83×	3.07

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice leading at HT (DNB)	65.5%	73.6%	45.9%	1.60×	1.36
Angers leading at HT (DNB)	34.5%	26.4%	54.1%	0.49×	3.79

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers or Nice (12)	75.0%	75.6%	77.4%	0.98×	1.32
Angers or draw (1X)	64.9%	63.7%	68.7%	0.93×	1.57
Nice or draw (X2)	60.1%	63.6%	53.8%	1.18×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice or draw at HT	79.1%	79.2%	66.6%	1.19×	1.26
Angers or Nice at HT	60.7%	61.6%	61.6%	1.00×	1.63
Angers or draw at HT	60.2%	61.5%	71.6%	0.86×	1.63

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers or draw (1UP)	64.9%	71.8%	73.1%	0.98×	1.39
Nice or draw (1UP)	60.1%	71.5%	61.5%	1.16×	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers or draw in 2nd half	79.2%	75.9%	73.1%	1.04×	1.32
Angers or Nice in 2nd half	65.2%	65.6%	68.7%	0.96×	1.52
Nice or draw in 2nd half	55.6%	58.0%	58.1%	1.00×	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.4%	61.3%	57.0%	1.08×	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.6%	38.7%	43.0%	0.90×	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers (DNB)	53.1%	51.0%	59.6%	0.85×	1.96
Nice (DNB)	46.9%	49.0%	40.4%	1.21×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers to score first	48.9%	46.1%	50.3%	0.92×	2.17
Nice to score first	45.4%	45.9%	43.5%	1.06×	2.18
No goal scored	5.8%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.51

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.7%	55.0%	54.7%	1.01×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.3%	45.0%	45.3%	0.99×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.9%	44.3%	44.9%	0.99×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	34.0%	34.5%	35.3%	0.98×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	11.7%	12.4%	9.9%	1.25×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	10.2%	0.81×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.6%	82.6%	84.5%	0.98×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.4%	17.4%	15.5%	1.12×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.7%	73.8%	69.4%	1.06×	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.3%	26.2%	30.6%	0.86×	3.82

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.1%	60.0%	57.2%	1.05×	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	21.4%	21.0%	24.2%	0.87×	4.75
Both score 1st half only	15.7%	15.0%	12.4%	1.21×	6.69
Both score in both halves	5.9%	6.8%	6.5%	1.04×	14.77

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.5%	81.2%	81.2%	1.00×	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.5%	18.8%	18.8%	1.00×	5.33

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.3%	57.4%	59.7%	0.96×	1.74
A half without a goal	42.7%	42.6%	40.3%	1.06×	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.8%	47.2%	43.3%	1.09×	2.12
4-6 goals	29.3%	26.6%	30.9%	0.86×	3.76
0-1 goals	22.2%	22.9%	22.5%	1.02×	4.37
7+ goals	2.7%	1.8%	3.7%	0.50×	54.24

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice to score exactly 1	34.8%	33.9%	33.5%	1.01×	2.95
Nice to score exactly 0	25.3%	27.4%	29.8%	0.92×	3.66
Nice to score exactly 2	23.9%	22.3%	21.4%	1.04×	4.48
Nice to score 3+	16.0%	19.6%	15.5%	1.26×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers to score exactly 1	33.7%	32.6%	31.8%	1.03×	3.07
Angers to score exactly 2	24.9%	23.3%	24.1%	0.97×	4.29
Angers to score exactly 0	22.8%	23.3%	21.9%	1.07×	4.29
Angers to score 3+	18.6%	18.8%	22.6%	0.83×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice leading at HT	39.8%	38.5%	28.4%	1.36×	2.60
Draw at HT	39.3%	38.5%	38.4%	1.00×	2.60
Angers leading at HT	20.9%	20.8%	33.4%	0.62×	4.80

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers -1: 2	60.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Angers -1: X	20.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Angers -1: 1	19.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (0:1)	60.1%	61.3%	53.8%	1.14×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.7%	24.2%	21.9%	1.11×	4.13
Angers (0:1)	19.2%	17.8%	24.5%	0.73×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (0:2)	80.8%	82.9%	75.5%	1.10×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.8%	11.0%	14.8%	0.74×	9.10
Angers (0:2)	7.4%	7.7%	9.9%	0.77×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (0:3)	92.6%	92.7%	90.1%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.0%	5.8%	5.9%	0.98×	17.25
Angers (0:3)	2.3%	2.4%	4.1%	0.57×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (0:4)	97.7%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	2.8%	0.44×	81.91
Angers (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	82.04

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers (1:0)	64.9%	65.4%	68.7%	0.95×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	19.2%	17.1%	14.6%	1.17×	5.85
Nice (1:0)	15.9%	17.1%	16.8%	1.01×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers (2:0)	84.1%	84.6%	83.2%	1.02×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.2%	10.3%	9.9%	1.04×	9.74
Nice (2:0)	5.7%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.71

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.4%	45.0%	48.2%	0.94×	2.22
1st half highest scoring	31.8%	29.9%	26.0%	1.15×	3.34
Halves equal	24.8%	24.4%	26.0%	0.94×	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers to concede	74.7%	73.2%	70.2%	1.04×	1.37
Angers clean sheet	25.3%	26.8%	29.8%	0.90×	3.74

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers to concede in 1st half	55.2%	61.8%	42.1%	1.47×	1.62
Angers clean sheet in 1st half	44.8%	38.2%	57.9%	0.66×	2.62

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers clean sheet in 2nd half	56.5%	54.8%	49.8%	1.10×	1.82
Angers to concede in 2nd half	43.5%	45.2%	50.2%	0.90×	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers over 2.5 corners	80.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Angers under 6.5 corners	71.6%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Angers over 3.5 corners	66.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Angers under 5.5 corners	60.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Angers over 4.5 corners	52.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Angers under 4.5 corners	47.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Angers over 5.5 corners	39.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Angers under 3.5 corners	33.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Angers over 6.5 corners	28.4%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Angers under 2.5 corners	19.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers under 3.5 goals	93.7%	92.2%	91.6%	1.01×	1.08
Angers under 2.5 goals	81.4%	82.2%	77.4%	1.06×	1.22
Angers over 0.5 goals	77.2%	77.7%	78.1%	0.99×	1.29
Angers under 1.5 goals	56.5%	58.6%	53.5%	1.10×	1.71
Angers over 1.5 goals	43.5%	41.4%	46.5%	0.89×	2.42
Angers under 0.5 goals	22.8%	22.3%	21.9%	1.02×	4.49
Angers over 2.5 goals	18.6%	17.8%	22.6%	0.79×	5.62
Angers over 3.5 goals	6.3%	7.8%	8.4%	0.92×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers under 1.5 in 1st half	91.1%	94.7%	87.1%	1.09×	1.06
Angers under 0.5 in 1st half	61.0%	64.8%	51.8%	1.25×	1.54
Angers over 0.5 in 1st half	39.0%	35.2%	48.2%	0.73×	2.84
Angers over 1.5 in 1st half	8.9%	5.3%	12.9%	0.42×	18.73

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers scores more in 2nd half	46.6%	47.3%	40.9%	1.16×	2.11
Angers scores equally in both	35.3%	37.9%	36.6%	1.03×	2.64
Angers scores more in 1st half	18.1%	15.6%	22.6%	0.69×	6.43

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (home no bet)	58.5%	56.4%	58.1%	0.97×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	41.5%	43.6%	41.9%	1.04×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers even goals	52.6%	50.7%	51.8%	0.98×	1.97
Angers odd goals	47.4%	49.3%	48.2%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.3%	28.0%	28.5%	0.98×	3.58
HT 0-1	21.9%	24.4%	16.8%	1.45×	4.10
HT 1-0	13.5%	11.0%	21.4%	0.52×	9.06
HT 1-1	10.9%	11.0%	9.5%	1.16×	9.09
HT 0-2	8.8%	6.9%	5.2%	1.34×	14.46
Any other HT score	6.1%	6.9%	4.6%	1.51×	14.51
HT 1-2	4.4%	2.4%	4.4%	0.54×	41.99
HT 2-0	3.3%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	42.06
HT 2-1	2.7%	2.4%	3.3%	0.73×	42.10
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.4%	0.7%	3.21×	42.21

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice at HT / Nice at FT	26.1%	27.1%	18.9%	1.44×	3.68
Draw at HT / Angers at FT	17.5%	16.7%	15.1%	1.11×	5.98
Angers at HT / Angers at FT	17.3%	16.7%	27.8%	0.60×	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.7%	12.7%	12.7%	1.00×	7.90
Nice at HT / Draw at FT	8.6%	6.0%	6.1%	1.00×	16.59
Draw at HT / Nice at FT	8.2%	6.0%	10.9%	0.55×	16.60
Nice at HT / Angers at FT	5.1%	6.0%	3.7%	1.62×	16.68
Angers at HT / Draw at FT	2.8%	3.5%	4.1%	0.84×	28.66
Angers at HT / Nice at FT	0.9%	3.5%	1.8%	1.96×	28.73

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers to score last	48.9%	46.6%	53.0%	0.88×	2.15
Nice to score last	45.4%	46.4%	40.8%	1.14×	2.16
No goal scored	5.8%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.51

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.2%	92.7%	93.6%	0.99×	1.08
Angers to lead by 1 at any time	57.0%	54.9%	59.0%	0.93×	1.82
Nice to lead by 1 at any time	53.0%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.9%	44.6%	51.6%	0.86×	2.24
Angers to lead by 2 at any time	25.8%	25.5%	30.0%	0.85×	3.93
Nice to lead by 2 at any time	22.3%	19.6%	21.7%	0.90×	5.09
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.0%	14.9%	19.8%	0.75×	6.69
Angers to lead by 3 at any time	9.5%	6.8%	11.7%	0.58×	14.82
Nice to lead by 3 at any time	7.6%	6.7%	8.3%	0.81×	14.90

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers most corners	45.4%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Nice most corners	44.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.3%	87.4%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.2%	78.7%	76.8%	1.02×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.1%	78.7%	74.0%	1.06×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.8%	72.4%	69.1%	1.05×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.3%	63.3%	59.4%	1.07×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.7%	63.3%	60.7%	1.04×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.6%	53.2%	51.4%	1.03×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.3%	48.5%	46.5%	1.04×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.8%	48.5%	43.3%	1.12×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.9%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.2%	39.2%	38.1%	1.03×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.3%	30.2%	30.9%	0.98×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.0%	24.5%	26.0%	0.94×	4.08
5-6 goals	13.4%	14.8%	13.4%	1.10×	6.75
7+ goals	2.7%	2.6%	3.7%	0.69×	39.10

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers never behind	41.3%	48.4%	51.2%	0.95×	2.07
Nice never behind	37.2%	44.0%	41.0%	1.07×	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	47.7%	1.07×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	52.3%	0.94×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.7%	51.7%	51.6%	1.00×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.3%	48.3%	48.4%	1.00×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	51.9%	50.1%	1.04×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	48.1%	49.9%	0.96×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.2%	92.3%	93.6%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	91.4%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.0%	82.3%	83.0%	0.99×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	77.8%	77.3%	77.5%	1.00×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.0%	66.3%	65.6%	1.01×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	54.3%	52.5%	54.9%	0.96×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	45.7%	47.5%	45.1%	1.05×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	32.0%	33.7%	34.4%	0.98×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	22.2%	22.7%	22.5%	1.01×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	16.0%	17.7%	17.0%	1.04×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	8.6%	0.90×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	5.8%	7.7%	6.4%	1.22×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.2%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.3%	92.4%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.9%	81.1%	79.4%	1.02×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.9%	72.4%	71.0%	1.02×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.9%	55.8%	56.7%	0.98×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.1%	44.2%	43.3%	1.02×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.1%	27.6%	29.0%	0.95×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.1%	18.9%	20.6%	0.92×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.7%	7.6%	9.4%	0.81×	13.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.8%	2.8%	3.9%	0.72×	35.58

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.8%	89.1%	87.4%	1.02×	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.7%	71.8%	71.5%	1.00×	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.8%	63.2%	66.5%	0.95×	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.2%	36.8%	33.5%	1.10×	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.3%	28.2%	28.5%	0.99×	3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.2%	10.9%	12.6%	0.87×	9.20

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.5%	79.4%	75.3%	1.05×	1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.9%	79.4%	81.8%	0.97×	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.0%	53.2%	50.2%	1.06×	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.0%	46.8%	49.8%	0.94×	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.1%	20.6%	18.2%	1.13×	4.86
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.5%	20.6%	24.7%	0.83×	4.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice not to score in both halves	76.0%	78.4%	77.8%	1.01×	1.28
Angers not to score in both halves	75.6%	78.3%	67.8%	1.16×	1.28
Angers to score in both halves	24.4%	21.7%	32.2%	0.67×	4.62
Nice to score in both halves	24.0%	21.6%	22.2%	0.98×	4.62

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.7%	58.6%	54.7%	1.07×	1.71
Only Angers scores	19.6%	16.0%	23.6%	0.68×	6.24
Only Nice scores	17.0%	16.0%	15.7%	1.02×	6.24
Neither team scores	5.8%	7.1%	6.4%	1.12×	14.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.5%	22.6%	22.7%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	20.7%	1.09×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	16.5%	17.5%	16.2%	1.07×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.9%	17.5%	17.6%	0.99×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.1%	7.6%	8.6%	0.89×	13.13
6 or more goals	7.0%	7.6%	8.6%	0.89×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.8%	7.6%	6.4%	1.20×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.5%	37.4%	38.1%	0.98×	2.68
No goals in 1st half	27.3%	28.2%	28.5%	0.99×	3.54
2 goals in 1st half	23.0%	21.5%	21.1%	1.02×	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	14.2%	10.8%	12.6%	0.86×	9.27

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.0%	45.1%	49.8%	0.91×	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	32.8%	33.8%	32.2%	1.05×	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	21.1%	22.7%	18.2%	1.25×	4.40

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice not to win both halves	91.7%	94.1%	90.7%	1.04×	1.06
Angers not to win both halves	90.7%	94.1%	83.6%	1.13×	1.06
Angers to win both halves	9.3%	5.9%	16.4%	0.36×	16.85
Nice to win both halves	8.3%	5.9%	9.3%	0.64×	16.92

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers to win either half	56.0%	59.0%	58.9%	1.00×	1.70
Nice to win either half	52.3%	54.3%	45.9%	1.18×	1.84
Nice to win neither half	47.7%	45.7%	54.1%	0.85×	2.19
Angers to win neither half	44.0%	41.0%	41.1%	1.00×	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice not to win to nil	83.0%	83.1%	84.3%	0.99×	1.20
Angers not to win to nil	80.5%	83.1%	76.4%	1.09×	1.20
Angers to win to nil	19.6%	16.9%	23.6%	0.72×	5.91
Nice to win to nil	17.0%	16.9%	15.7%	1.08×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.0%	24.1%	22.6%	1.07×	4.15
Angers by 1	20.7%	24.1%	21.9%	1.10×	4.15
Nice by 1	19.2%	17.1%	14.6%	1.17×	5.86
Angers by 2	11.8%	11.8%	14.8%	0.80×	8.51
Nice by 2	10.2%	11.7%	9.9%	1.19×	8.51
Angers by 3+	7.4%	7.2%	9.9%	0.73×	13.91
Nice by 3+	5.7%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.92