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Angers v Paris FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 17 August 2025 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2526

Ligue 1 xG

1–0
0.82 – 0.71 xG
Shots
8 – 17
On target
2 – 7
Shots in box
5 – 5
xG per shot
0.10 – 0.04
Set-piece xG
0.05 – 0.25
Goals − xG
+0.16 – -0.71
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.20.50.70.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Esteban Lepaul 8' — goal
Angers 0.84 xGParis FC 0.71 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Jean-Phillipe Krasso 3' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Esteban Lepaul 6' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Sidiki Chérif 6' — Blocked Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Esteban Lepaul 8' — Goal (0.29 xG, Open Play)Lilian Raolisoa 11' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Sidiki Chérif 13' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Ilan Kebbal 21' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Moses Simon 22' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Lohann Doucet 29' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Moses Simon 33' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Louis Mouton 37' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Ilan Kebbal 46' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Jean-Phillipe Krasso 47' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ilan Kebbal 48' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Jean-Phillipe Krasso 56' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Maxime Lopez 67' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Vincent Marchetti 68' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Ilan Kebbal 69' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Mathieu Cafaro 75' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Jim Allevinah 77' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Mathieu Cafaro 79' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Vincent Marchetti 81' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Maxime Lopez 88' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Mathieu Cafaro 89' — Missed Shot (0.17 xG, Direct Freekick)Jim Allevinah 96' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)
Angers attacking right Paris FC attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Paris FC Jean-Phillipe Krasso 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot —
6' Angers Esteban Lepaul 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Carlens Arcus
6' Angers Sidiki Chérif 0.13 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Esteban Lepaul
8' Angers Esteban Lepaul 0.29 Open Play Right Foot Goal Jordan Lefort
11' Angers Lilian Raolisoa 0.05 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot —
13' Angers Sidiki Chérif 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Florent Hanin
21' Paris FC Ilan Kebbal 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Lohann Doucet
22' Paris FC Moses Simon 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Lohann Doucet
29' Paris FC Lohann Doucet 0.03 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot Ilan Kebbal
33' Paris FC Moses Simon 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot —
37' Angers Louis Mouton 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
46' Paris FC Ilan Kebbal 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Maxime Lopez
47' Paris FC Jean-Phillipe Krasso 0.03 Open Play — Saved Shot —
48' Paris FC Ilan Kebbal 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Lohann Doucet
56' Paris FC Jean-Phillipe Krasso 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Moses Simon
67' Paris FC Maxime Lopez 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Nhoa Sangui
68' Paris FC Vincent Marchetti 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Maxime Lopez
69' Paris FC Ilan Kebbal 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Timothée Kolodziejczak
75' Paris FC Mathieu Cafaro 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Vincent Marchetti
77' Angers Jim Allevinah 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Carlens Arcus
79' Paris FC Mathieu Cafaro 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Nhoa Sangui
81' Paris FC Vincent Marchetti 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Ilan Kebbal
88' Paris FC Maxime Lopez 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
89' Paris FC Mathieu Cafaro 0.17 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot —
96' Angers Jim Allevinah 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —

Players

Angers

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Carlens Arcus DC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.17 0.22
Ousmane Camara DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kouakou Herve Koffi GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.28
Jordan Lefort DC 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.29 0.46
Haris Belkebla MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Esteban Lepaul FW 89 1 0 2 1 0.39 0.13 0.58
Yassin Belkhdim MC 89 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.22
Florent Hanin DML 76 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.16
Sidiki Chérif AMC 66 0 0 2 0 0.18 0.00 0.47
Lilian Raolisoa DMR 66 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.11
Louis Mouton AMC 61 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.33
Jim Allevinah Sub 24 0 0 2 0 0.17 0.00 0.17
Lanroy Machine Sub 24 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.17
Jacques Ekomie Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Prosper Peter Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Marius Courcoul Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Paris FC

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Ilan Kebbal MR 90 0 0 4 2 0.11 0.04 0.19
Maxime Lopez MC 90 0 0 2 2 0.05 0.13 0.33
Nhoa Sangui DL 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.04 0.17
Mamadou Mbow DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Obed Nkambadio GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Samir Chergui DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Timothée Kolodziejczak DC 89 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.21
Moses Simon ML 76 0 0 2 1 0.07 0.07 0.09
Pierre-Yves Hamel FW 75 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Jean-Phillipe Krasso FW 65 0 0 3 0 0.12 0.00 0.15
Lohann Doucet MC 65 0 0 1 3 0.03 0.07 0.14
Vincent Marchetti Sub 25 0 0 2 1 0.13 0.03 0.16
Alimami Gory Sub 25 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Julien Lopez Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Mathieu Cafaro Sub 14 0 0 3 0 0.22 0.00 0.07
Nouha Dicko Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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