Ankara Keçiörengücü v Sivasspor — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 20 September 2026 · TUR-1. Lig · 2627
TUR-1. Lig
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,549 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 13.1%
- 1-0 11.3%
- 2-0 10.7%
- 2-1 9.6%
- 0-0 9.3%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 47.2% | Under 2.5 | 52.8% |
| BTTS yes | 49.6% | BTTS no | 50.4% |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü 1+ | 81.1% | Ankara Keçiörengücü 2+ | 49.6% |
| Sivasspor 1+ | 59.2% | Sivasspor 2+ | 22.6% |
Expected goals 1.67 – 0.90. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Ankara Keçiörengücü carry the stronger rating, 1520 Elo against 1419.
- Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Ankara Keçiörengücü have only 1 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Ankara Keçiörengücü have an estimated 53.2% win probability, against 28.2% for the draw and 18.6% for Sivasspor. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.67 for Ankara Keçiörengücü and 0.90 for Sivasspor.
Why Ankara Keçiörengücü
Ankara Keçiörengücü carry the stronger rating, 1520 Elo against 1419. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 28.2%.
Why Sivasspor can win
Nothing in the data singles out Sivasspor.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Ankara Keçiörengücü, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sivasspor, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Ankara Keçiörengücü: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sivasspor: 42% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·
Ankara Keçiörengücü are the model's most likely outcome at 53.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.67–0.90 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.54–0.82 | 1-1 14% | 42% | 46% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to win | 53.9% | 51.2% | 45.5% | 1.13× | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27.5% | 27.1% | 23.0% | 1.18× | 3.69 |
| Sivasspor to win | 18.6% | 17.9% | 32.0% | 0.56× | 5.59 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü & not both score | 31.5% | 30.8% | 27.5% | 1.12× | 3.24 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü & both teams score | 22.4% | 21.7% | 18.5% | 1.17× | 4.61 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.2% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 1.12× | 5.52 |
| Draw & not both score | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 1.06× | 13.07 |
| Sivasspor & both teams score | 9.0% | 7.7% | 16.7% | 0.46× | 13.07 |
| Sivasspor & not both score | 9.6% | 7.7% | 15.8% | 0.49× | 13.07 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü & over 1.5 | 42.6% | 42.9% | 37.4% | 1.15× | 2.33 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü & under 3.5 | 37.5% | 36.6% | 25.2% | 1.45× | 2.74 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü & over 2.5 | 31.9% | 31.8% | 30.2% | 1.05× | 3.15 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü & under 2.5 | 22.0% | 21.8% | 15.8% | 1.39× | 4.58 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 22.4% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 1.13× | 4.58 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 22.4% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 1.13× | 4.58 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.2% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 1.09× | 5.64 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü & over 3.5 | 16.4% | 17.7% | 20.7% | 0.86× | 5.64 |
| Sivasspor & under 3.5 | 14.6% | 12.4% | 19.8% | 0.63× | 8.05 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü & under 1.5 | 11.3% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 1.45× | 8.06 |
| Sivasspor & over 1.5 | 13.3% | 12.4% | 26.6% | 0.47× | 8.06 |
| Sivasspor & over 2.5 | 10.2% | 12.4% | 23.9% | 0.52× | 8.06 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 1.05× | 13.20 |
| Sivasspor & under 2.5 | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 0.88× | 13.20 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 5.1% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.87× | 13.21 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 5.1% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.87× | 13.21 |
| Sivasspor & under 1.5 | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.29× | 13.21 |
| Sivasspor & over 3.5 | 4.1% | 4.4% | 12.6% | 0.35× | 22.79 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (1UP) | 67.0% | 69.8% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Sivasspor (1UP) | 35.8% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (2UP) | 53.9% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Sivasspor (2UP) | 18.6% | 19.8% | — | — | 5.05 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to win 2nd half | 43.6% | 41.4% | — | — | 2.41 |
| 2nd half drawn | 36.8% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Sivasspor to win 2nd half | 19.6% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor under 1.5 in 2nd half | 89.8% | 86.0% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Sivasspor under 0.5 in 2nd half | 58.4% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Sivasspor over 0.5 in 2nd half | 41.6% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Sivasspor over 1.5 in 2nd half | 10.2% | 14.0% | — | — | 7.15 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü under 1.5 in 2nd half | 75.5% | 78.1% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü over 0.5 in 2nd half | 61.3% | 63.3% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü under 0.5 in 2nd half | 38.7% | 36.7% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü over 1.5 in 2nd half | 24.5% | 21.9% | — | — | 4.57 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor (+2.5) | 86.8% | 87.4% | 82.9% | 1.05× | 1.14 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (+0.5) | 81.4% | 83.2% | 68.0% | 1.22× | 1.20 |
| Sivasspor (+1.5) | 69.7% | 67.9% | 69.8% | 0.97× | 1.47 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (-0.5) | 53.9% | 51.8% | 45.5% | 1.14× | 1.93 |
| Sivasspor (+0.5) | 46.1% | 48.2% | 54.5% | 0.88× | 2.07 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (-1.5) | 30.3% | 32.1% | 30.2% | 1.06× | 3.12 |
| Sivasspor (-0.5) | 18.6% | 16.8% | 32.0% | 0.53× | 5.95 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (-2.5) | 13.2% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 0.74× | 7.94 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor to concede | 81.1% | 82.8% | 77.5% | 1.07× | 1.21 |
| Sivasspor clean sheet | 18.9% | 17.2% | 22.5% | 0.76× | 5.82 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor to concede in 1st half | 51.1% | 53.8% | — | — | 1.86 |
| Sivasspor clean sheet in 1st half | 48.9% | 46.2% | — | — | 2.16 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor to concede in 2nd half | 61.3% | 61.3% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Sivasspor clean sheet in 2nd half | 38.7% | 38.7% | — | — | 2.58 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor under 3.5 goals | 98.7% | 97.3% | 92.3% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Sivasspor under 2.5 goals | 93.8% | 92.2% | 81.5% | 1.13× | 1.09 |
| Sivasspor under 1.5 goals | 77.3% | 76.4% | 67.1% | 1.14× | 1.31 |
| Sivasspor over 0.5 goals | 59.2% | 58.9% | 65.8% | 0.90× | 1.70 |
| Sivasspor under 0.5 goals | 40.8% | 41.1% | 34.2% | 1.20× | 2.43 |
| Sivasspor over 1.5 goals | 22.7% | 23.6% | 32.9% | 0.72× | 4.23 |
| Sivasspor over 2.5 goals | 6.2% | 7.8% | 18.5% | 0.42× | 12.75 |
| Sivasspor over 3.5 goals | 1.3% | 2.7% | 7.7% | 0.35× | 37.15 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor under 1.5 in 1st half | 94.9% | 93.9% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Sivasspor under 0.5 in 1st half | 69.8% | 68.0% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Sivasspor over 0.5 in 1st half | 30.2% | 32.0% | — | — | 3.13 |
| Sivasspor over 1.5 in 1st half | 5.1% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.36 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor scores equally in both | 49.0% | 45.6% | — | — | 2.19 |
| Sivasspor scores more in 2nd half | 31.7% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| Sivasspor scores more in 1st half | 19.3% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (away no bet) | 66.2% | 66.9% | 66.4% | 1.01× | 1.50 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 33.8% | 33.1% | 33.6% | 0.99× | 3.02 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor even goals | 58.3% | 56.4% | 54.5% | 1.03× | 1.77 |
| Sivasspor odd goals | 41.7% | 43.6% | 45.5% | 0.96× | 2.29 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 87.2% | 86.8% | — | — | 1.15 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 12.8% | 13.2% | — | — | 7.60 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 61.0% | 64.4% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 39.0% | 35.6% | — | — | 2.81 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 54.2% | 51.5% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score 2+ in a row | 42.8% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 20.2% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.61 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score 3+ in a row | 17.1% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.88 |
| Sivasspor to score 2+ in a row | 15.9% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.89 |
| Sivasspor to score 3+ in a row | 3.3% | 3.1% | — | — | 31.91 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.1% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 0.89× | 8.91 |
| 1-0 | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 1.31× | 8.91 |
| 2-0 | 10.7% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 1.47× | 8.91 |
| 0-0 | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 1.03× | 13.45 |
| 0-1 | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.27× | 13.45 |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.18× | 13.45 |
| 3-0 | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.83× | 13.45 |
| 3-1 | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.50× | 13.45 |
| 1-2 | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 1.03× | 13.45 |
| 0-2 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 0.54× | 58.34 |
| 0-3 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 0.35× | 58.35 |
| 0-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.27× | 58.35 |
| 1-3 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.34 |
| 1-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.63× | 58.35 |
| 2-2 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.34 |
| 2-3 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.76× | 58.34 |
| 2-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.90× | 58.35 |
| 3-2 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.90× | 58.34 |
| 3-3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.90× | 58.35 |
| 3-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.27× | 58.35 |
| 4-0 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 5.4% | 0.32× | 58.34 |
| 4-1 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 0.38× | 58.34 |
| 4-2 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.95× | 58.35 |
| 4-3 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.27× | 58.35 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.80× | 58.35 |
| Any other score | 3.0% | 1.7% | 7.2% | 0.24× | 58.34 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (2nd half DNB) | 68.9% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Sivasspor (2nd half DNB) | 31.1% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.01 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü leading at HT (DNB) | 70.8% | 74.1% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Sivasspor leading at HT (DNB) | 29.2% | 26.0% | — | — | 3.85 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü or draw (1X) | 81.4% | 82.1% | 68.0% | 1.21× | 1.22 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü or Sivasspor (12) | 72.5% | 72.9% | 77.0% | 0.95× | 1.37 |
| Sivasspor or draw (X2) | 46.1% | 48.8% | 54.5% | 0.89× | 2.05 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü or draw at HT | 83.7% | 83.9% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Sivasspor or draw at HT | 60.4% | 62.8% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü or Sivasspor at HT | 56.0% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü or draw (1UP) | 81.4% | 86.1% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Sivasspor or draw (1UP) | 46.1% | 55.2% | — | — | 1.81 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü or draw in 2nd half | 80.4% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü or Sivasspor in 2nd half | 63.2% | 63.5% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Sivasspor or draw in 2nd half | 56.4% | 58.6% | — | — | 1.71 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 62.9% | 60.5% | — | — | 1.65 |
| Neither half drawn | 37.1% | 39.5% | — | — | 2.53 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (DNB) | 74.3% | 72.6% | 58.7% | 1.24× | 1.38 |
| Sivasspor (DNB) | 25.7% | 27.4% | 41.3% | 0.66× | 3.65 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score first | 58.9% | 61.1% | — | — | 1.64 |
| Sivasspor to score first | 31.8% | 31.6% | — | — | 3.16 |
| No goal scored | 9.3% | 6.4% | — | — | 15.56 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 50.4% | 51.6% | 49.6% | 1.04× | 1.94 |
| Both teams to score | 49.6% | 48.4% | 50.5% | 0.96× | 2.07 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 39.7% | 38.0% | 30.6% | 1.24× | 2.63 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 36.5% | 38.0% | 38.3% | 0.99× | 2.63 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 0.94× | 8.41 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 10.7% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 0.61× | 8.41 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 88.8% | 85.7% | 90.1% | 0.95× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 11.2% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 1.44× | 7.01 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 73.9% | 70.9% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 26.1% | 29.1% | — | — | 3.44 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 62.2% | 60.6% | — | — | 1.65 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 22.1% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.28 |
| Both score 1st half only | 11.8% | 11.9% | — | — | 8.42 |
| Both score in both halves | 3.9% | 4.9% | — | — | 20.58 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 84.3% | 82.7% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 15.7% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 51.7% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| A half without a goal | 48.3% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 48.5% | 46.5% | 43.2% | 1.08× | 2.15 |
| 0-1 goals | 25.9% | 27.0% | 20.7% | 1.30× | 3.71 |
| 4-6 goals | 24.0% | 23.5% | 32.9% | 0.71× | 4.25 |
| 7+ goals | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 0.50× | 49.77 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor to score exactly 0 | 40.8% | 39.4% | 34.2% | 1.15× | 2.54 |
| Sivasspor to score exactly 1 | 36.6% | 36.0% | 33.3% | 1.08× | 2.78 |
| Sivasspor to score exactly 2 | 16.4% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 1.23× | 5.49 |
| Sivasspor to score 3+ | 6.2% | 8.6% | 18.5% | 0.47× | 11.64 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score exactly 1 | 31.5% | 32.2% | 33.8% | 0.95× | 3.10 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score exactly 2 | 26.2% | 26.4% | 18.9% | 1.40× | 3.78 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score 3+ | 23.3% | 22.9% | 25.7% | 0.89× | 4.38 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score exactly 0 | 18.9% | 18.1% | 22.5% | 0.81× | 5.51 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 44.0% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü leading at HT | 39.6% | 37.2% | — | — | 2.69 |
| Sivasspor leading at HT | 16.3% | 16.1% | — | — | 6.21 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü -1: 2 | 46.1% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü -1: 1 | 30.3% | 30.4% | — | — | 3.29 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü -1: X | 23.6% | 23.3% | — | — | 4.29 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor (0:1) | 46.1% | 47.5% | 54.5% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (0:1) | 30.3% | 31.0% | 30.2% | 1.03× | 3.23 |
| Draw (0:1) | 23.6% | 23.6% | 15.8% | 1.49× | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor (0:2) | 69.7% | 69.9% | 69.8% | 1.00× | 1.43 |
| Draw (0:2) | 17.1% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 1.16× | 6.38 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (0:2) | 13.2% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 0.66× | 8.81 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor (0:3) | 86.8% | 88.6% | 82.9% | 1.07× | 1.13 |
| Draw (0:3) | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 0.80× | 15.39 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (0:3) | 4.7% | 2.6% | 9.5% | 0.27× | 39.14 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor (0:4) | 95.3% | 97.7% | 90.5% | 1.08× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 3.3% | 1.4% | 5.9% | 0.24× | 70.66 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (0:4) | 1.4% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 0.35× | 70.72 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (1:0) | 81.4% | 83.0% | 68.0% | 1.22× | 1.21 |
| Draw (1:0) | 12.0% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 0.82× | 7.97 |
| Sivasspor (1:0) | 6.6% | 7.5% | 17.1% | 0.44× | 13.40 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (2:0) | 93.4% | 92.9% | 82.9% | 1.12× | 1.08 |
| Draw (2:0) | 5.0% | 2.8% | 6.8% | 0.41× | 35.87 |
| Sivasspor (2:0) | 1.7% | 2.8% | 10.8% | 0.26× | 35.93 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 45.4% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
| Halves equal | 28.3% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.3% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to concede | 59.2% | 59.9% | 65.8% | 0.91× | 1.67 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü clean sheet | 40.8% | 40.1% | 34.2% | 1.17× | 2.49 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü clean sheet in 1st half | 69.8% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to concede in 1st half | 30.2% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü clean sheet in 2nd half | 58.4% | 54.6% | — | — | 1.83 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to concede in 2nd half | 41.6% | 45.4% | — | — | 2.21 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü under 3.5 goals | 91.2% | 92.3% | 84.2% | 1.10× | 1.08 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü over 0.5 goals | 81.1% | 82.3% | 77.5% | 1.06× | 1.22 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü under 2.5 goals | 76.7% | 78.2% | 74.3% | 1.05× | 1.28 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü under 1.5 goals | 50.4% | 52.8% | 55.9% | 0.95× | 1.89 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü over 1.5 goals | 49.6% | 47.2% | 44.1% | 1.07× | 2.12 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü over 2.5 goals | 23.3% | 21.8% | 25.7% | 0.85× | 4.58 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü under 0.5 goals | 18.9% | 17.7% | 22.5% | 0.79× | 5.65 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü over 3.5 goals | 8.8% | 7.7% | 15.8% | 0.49× | 13.06 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü under 1.5 in 1st half | 83.9% | 81.1% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü over 0.5 in 1st half | 51.1% | 53.8% | — | — | 1.86 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü under 0.5 in 1st half | 48.9% | 46.2% | — | — | 2.17 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü over 1.5 in 1st half | 16.1% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.28 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü scores more in 2nd half | 39.5% | 37.2% | — | — | 2.69 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü scores equally in both | 34.1% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü scores more in 1st half | 26.4% | 27.8% | — | — | 3.60 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 59.6% | 56.0% | 41.8% | 1.34× | 1.79 |
| Sivasspor (home no bet) | 40.4% | 44.0% | 58.2% | 0.76× | 2.27 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü even goals | 51.8% | 50.9% | 53.6% | 0.95× | 1.96 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü odd goals | 48.2% | 49.1% | 46.4% | 1.06× | 2.04 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 34.4% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.10 |
| HT 1-0 | 24.2% | 22.5% | — | — | 4.44 |
| HT 0-1 | 12.0% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.16 |
| HT 1-1 | 9.0% | 8.0% | — | — | 12.53 |
| HT 2-0 | 8.7% | 8.0% | — | — | 12.53 |
| Any other HT score | 4.2% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.39 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.1% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.44 |
| HT 0-2 | 2.2% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.48 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.6% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.51 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.6% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.56 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü at HT / Ankara Keçiörengücü at FT | 33.2% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.93 |
| Draw at HT / Ankara Keçiörengücü at FT | 18.3% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.77 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 17.9% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
| Sivasspor at HT / Sivasspor at FT | 9.4% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.43 |
| Draw at HT / Sivasspor at FT | 7.8% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.46 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü at HT / Draw at FT | 5.1% | 6.4% | — | — | 15.51 |
| Sivasspor at HT / Draw at FT | 4.5% | 3.6% | — | — | 27.51 |
| Sivasspor at HT / Ankara Keçiörengücü at FT | 2.4% | 3.6% | — | — | 27.57 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü at HT / Sivasspor at FT | 1.4% | 3.6% | — | — | 27.60 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score last | 59.2% | 56.6% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Sivasspor to score last | 31.5% | 34.1% | — | — | 2.93 |
| No goal scored | 9.3% | 6.4% | — | — | 15.56 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 90.7% | 93.5% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to lead by 1 at any time | 67.0% | 68.9% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 46.4% | 46.5% | — | — | 2.15 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to lead by 2 at any time | 36.1% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Sivasspor to lead by 1 at any time | 35.8% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 17.8% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.68 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to lead by 3 at any time | 15.4% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.69 |
| Sivasspor to lead by 2 at any time | 10.5% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.09 |
| Sivasspor to lead by 3 at any time | 2.4% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.31 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.1% | 87.1% | 85.1% | 1.02× | 1.15 |
| 1-4 goals | 79.0% | 77.9% | 73.4% | 1.06× | 1.28 |
| 2-6 goals | 72.5% | 72.2% | 75.7% | 0.95× | 1.39 |
| 2-5 goals | 69.5% | 68.2% | 71.6% | 0.95× | 1.47 |
| 1-3 goals | 65.1% | 68.2% | 56.8% | 1.20× | 1.47 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.4% | 62.7% | 59.9% | 1.05× | 1.60 |
| 2-3 goals | 48.5% | 47.4% | 43.2% | 1.10× | 2.11 |
| 3-6 goals | 45.6% | 47.4% | 53.6% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| 1-2 goals | 43.5% | 43.6% | 36.0% | 1.21× | 2.30 |
| 3-5 goals | 42.6% | 43.6% | 49.6% | 0.88× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 35.5% | 39.0% | 37.8% | 1.03× | 2.56 |
| 4-6 goals | 24.0% | 23.7% | 32.9% | 0.72× | 4.22 |
| 4-5 goals | 21.0% | 23.7% | 28.8% | 0.82× | 4.22 |
| 5-6 goals | 10.1% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 0.83× | 7.42 |
| 7+ goals | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 0.56× | 44.27 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü never behind | 55.0% | 61.3% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Sivasspor never behind | 23.7% | 25.9% | — | — | 3.87 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 53.4% | 50.1% | 50.0% | 1.00× | 2.00 |
| Odd number of goals | 46.6% | 49.9% | 50.0% | 1.00× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 56.4% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 43.6% | 44.9% | — | — | 2.23 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 53.6% | 51.6% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 46.4% | 48.4% | — | — | 2.07 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 95.4% | 96.0% | 91.9% | 1.05× | 1.04 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 90.7% | 92.3% | 92.8% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88.3% | 87.8% | 80.2% | 1.10× | 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74.4% | 72.4% | 63.5% | 1.14× | 1.38 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.1% | 72.4% | 79.3% | 0.91× | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52.8% | 51.8% | 42.8% | 1.21× | 1.93 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.2% | 48.2% | 57.2% | 0.84× | 2.08 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25.9% | 27.6% | 20.7% | 1.33× | 3.62 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.6% | 27.6% | 36.5% | 0.76× | 3.62 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11.7% | 12.2% | 19.8% | 0.61× | 8.21 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 1.08× | 12.91 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 4.6% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 0.49× | 25.18 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 98.4% | 97.3% | 95.8% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 95.0% | 97.3% | 90.8% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 86.4% | 86.6% | 76.2% | 1.14× | 1.15 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 67.4% | 67.1% | 54.0% | 1.24× | 1.49 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 64.6% | 62.3% | 73.4% | 0.85× | 1.60 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 35.4% | 37.7% | 26.6% | 1.42× | 2.65 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 32.6% | 32.9% | 46.0% | 0.72× | 3.04 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 13.6% | 13.4% | 23.8% | 0.56× | 7.48 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 5.0% | 2.7% | 9.2% | 0.30× | 36.67 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 0.64× | 36.71 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 90.5% | 91.8% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 70.6% | 73.8% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 65.6% | 67.0% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 34.4% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 29.4% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.81 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 9.5% | 8.2% | — | — | 12.21 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 81.2% | 82.5% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 76.9% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 55.7% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 44.3% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 23.1% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 18.8% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.71 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor not to score in both halves | 87.4% | 85.6% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü not to score in both halves | 68.7% | 68.3% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score in both halves | 31.3% | 31.7% | — | — | 3.16 |
| Sivasspor to score in both halves | 12.6% | 14.4% | — | — | 6.94 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 49.6% | 50.8% | 50.5% | 1.01× | 1.97 |
| Only Ankara Keçiörengücü scores | 31.5% | 31.4% | 27.5% | 1.14× | 3.18 |
| Neither team scores | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 0.99× | 14.08 |
| Only Sivasspor scores | 9.6% | 7.1% | 15.8% | 0.45× | 14.08 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 26.9% | 25.0% | 22.5% | 1.11× | 4.00 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.6% | 22.3% | 21.2% | 1.05× | 4.49 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 16.6% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 1.26× | 5.68 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 13.9% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 0.72× | 8.14 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 1.08× | 12.88 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 7.1% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 0.64× | 12.88 |
| 6 or more goals | 4.6% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 0.50× | 24.72 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 36.1% | 36.9% | — | — | 2.71 |
| No goals in 1st half | 34.4% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.91 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 20.0% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.30 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 9.5% | 8.2% | — | — | 12.21 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 44.3% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.31 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 32.5% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.91 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 23.1% | 20.6% | — | — | 4.86 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor not to win both halves | 96.7% | 97.3% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü not to win both halves | 82.4% | 81.9% | — | — | 1.22 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to win both halves | 17.6% | 18.1% | — | — | 5.53 |
| Sivasspor to win both halves | 3.4% | 2.7% | — | — | 36.93 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor to win neither half | 67.4% | 68.7% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to win either half | 65.6% | 68.6% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to win neither half | 34.4% | 31.4% | — | — | 3.19 |
| Sivasspor to win either half | 32.6% | 31.3% | — | — | 3.20 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor not to win to nil | 90.4% | 92.3% | 84.2% | 1.10× | 1.08 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü not to win to nil | 68.5% | 69.5% | 72.5% | 0.96× | 1.44 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to win to nil | 31.5% | 30.5% | 27.5% | 1.11× | 3.28 |
| Sivasspor to win to nil | 9.6% | 7.7% | 15.8% | 0.49× | 13.06 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 27.5% | 27.3% | 23.0% | 1.19× | 3.66 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü by 1 | 23.6% | 23.4% | 15.8% | 1.48× | 4.27 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü by 2 | 17.1% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 1.28× | 5.80 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü by 3+ | 13.2% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 0.69× | 8.44 |
| Sivasspor by 1 | 12.0% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 0.77× | 8.45 |
| Sivasspor by 2 | 5.0% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 0.44× | 33.43 |
| Sivasspor by 3+ | 1.7% | 3.0% | 10.8% | 0.28× | 33.47 |