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Antalyaspor v Vanspor — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · TUR-1. Lig · 2627

TUR-1. Lig results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Antalyaspor win
52.1%
Draw
24.9%
Vanspor win
23.0%

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 11.4%
  2. 2-1 9.7%
  3. 2-0 7.8%
  4. 1-0 6.7%
  5. 3-1 6.2%

Goals

Over 2.561.4% Under 2.538.6%
BTTS yes62.1% BTTS no37.9%
Antalyaspor 1+85.5% Antalyaspor 2+57.5%
Vanspor 1+71.1% Vanspor 2+35.2%

Expected goals 1.93 – 1.24. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
20/100
Data quality
20/100
Model agreement
90%
★ Best pick
Antalyaspor over 1.5 goals
Home goals O/U · usually 44%
57.6% fair odds 1.74
strong signal · 8684 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Over 0.5 in 2nd half
Over/Under 2HT
82.7% fair odds 1.21
moderate signal · 2011 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Antalyaspor.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • Vanspor have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Antalyaspor have an estimated 52.1% win probability, against 24.9% for the draw and 23.0% for Vanspor. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.93 for Antalyaspor and 1.24 for Vanspor.

Why Antalyaspor

Nothing in the data singles out Antalyaspor.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 24.9%.

Why Vanspor can win

Vanspor carry the stronger rating, 1500 Elo against 1369. Away from home Vanspor average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Antalyaspor, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Vanspor, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Antalyaspor: 51% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Vanspor: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Antalyaspor are the model's most likely outcome at 52.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%. Confidence 20/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.93–1.24 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 2.37–1.23 2-1 9% 70% 65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor to win 61.7% 58.1% 45.5% 1.28× 1.72
Draw 20.9% 24.6% 23.0% 1.07× 4.07
Vanspor to win 17.4% 19.4% 32.0% 0.61× 5.16
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor & both teams score 36.2% 32.8% 18.5% 1.78× 3.05
Antalyaspor & not both score 25.5% 25.5% 27.5% 0.93× 3.93
Draw & both teams score 17.1% 18.0% 16.2% 1.11× 5.55
Vanspor & both teams score 11.9% 13.2% 16.7% 0.79× 7.55
Vanspor & not both score 5.5% 8.4% 15.8% 0.53× 11.95
Draw & not both score 3.8% 4.9% 7.2% 0.68× 20.28
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor & over 1.5 56.3% 54.4% 37.4% 1.46× 1.84
Antalyaspor & over 2.5 48.6% 44.8% 30.2% 1.49× 2.23
Antalyaspor & over 3.5 33.1% 31.0% 20.7% 1.50× 3.22
Antalyaspor & under 3.5 28.6% 25.9% 25.2% 1.03× 3.86
Draw & over 1.5 17.1% 18.0% 16.2% 1.11× 5.57
Vanspor & over 1.5 15.1% 18.0% 26.6% 0.68× 5.57
Antalyaspor & under 2.5 13.1% 12.9% 15.8% 0.82× 7.77
Draw & under 2.5 12.9% 12.9% 19.4% 0.66× 7.77
Draw & under 3.5 12.9% 12.9% 19.4% 0.66× 7.77
Vanspor & over 2.5 13.1% 12.9% 23.9% 0.54× 7.77
Vanspor & under 3.5 10.1% 12.9% 19.8% 0.65× 7.78
Draw & over 2.5 8.1% 8.0% 4.1% 1.96× 12.56
Draw & over 3.5 8.1% 8.0% 4.1% 1.96× 12.56
Vanspor & over 3.5 7.3% 8.0% 12.6% 0.63× 12.56
Antalyaspor & under 1.5 5.4% 8.0% 8.6% 0.93× 12.57
Draw & under 1.5 3.8% 4.9% 7.2% 0.68× 20.53
Vanspor & under 2.5 4.3% 4.9% 8.6% 0.57× 20.52
Vanspor & under 1.5 2.3% 4.9% 5.9% 0.83× 20.54
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor (1UP) 76.1% 78.7% 1.27
Vanspor (1UP) 39.2% 34.6% 2.89
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor (2UP) 61.7% 67.6% 1.48
Vanspor (2UP) 17.4% 17.4% 5.74
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor to win 2nd half 51.1% 52.1% 1.92
2nd half drawn 28.9% 26.4% 3.78
Vanspor to win 2nd half 20.0% 23.0% 4.36
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor (+0.5) 82.6% 82.6% 68.0% 1.21× 1.21
Vanspor (+2.5) 77.5% 78.3% 82.9% 0.94× 1.28
Antalyaspor (-0.5) 61.7% 63.0% 45.5% 1.39× 1.59
Vanspor (+1.5) 59.1% 57.0% 69.8% 0.82× 1.76
Antalyaspor (-1.5) 40.9% 43.0% 30.2% 1.43× 2.32
Vanspor (+0.5) 38.3% 37.0% 54.5% 0.68× 2.70
Antalyaspor (-2.5) 22.5% 21.7% 17.1% 1.27× 4.61
Vanspor (-0.5) 17.4% 17.4% 32.0% 0.54× 5.74
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vanspor to concede 90.7% 91.0% 77.5% 1.17× 1.10
Vanspor clean sheet 9.3% 9.0% 22.5% 0.40× 11.10
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vanspor to concede in 1st half 63.9% 64.9% 1.54
Vanspor clean sheet in 1st half 36.1% 35.1% 2.85
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vanspor under 3.5 goals 96.4% 97.4% 92.3% 1.06× 1.03
Vanspor under 2.5 goals 87.3% 87.9% 81.5% 1.08× 1.14
Vanspor over 0.5 goals 70.7% 71.8% 65.8% 1.09× 1.39
Vanspor under 1.5 goals 65.3% 67.8% 67.1% 1.01× 1.47
Vanspor over 1.5 goals 34.7% 32.2% 32.9% 0.98× 3.11
Vanspor under 0.5 goals 29.3% 28.2% 34.2% 0.82× 3.55
Vanspor over 2.5 goals 12.7% 12.1% 18.5% 0.66× 8.26
Vanspor over 3.5 goals 3.6% 2.6% 7.7% 0.34× 38.76
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vanspor under 1.5 in 1st half 91.2% 94.1% 1.06
Vanspor under 0.5 in 1st half 61.2% 64.0% 1.56
Vanspor over 0.5 in 1st half 38.8% 36.0% 2.78
Vanspor over 1.5 in 1st half 8.8% 5.9% 17.04
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor (away no bet) 74.7% 68.5% 66.4% 1.03× 1.46
Draw (away no bet) 25.3% 31.5% 33.6% 0.94× 3.18
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vanspor even goals 54.3% 52.8% 54.5% 0.97× 1.89
Vanspor odd goals 45.7% 47.2% 45.5% 1.04× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 72.5% 77.1% 1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals 27.5% 22.9% 4.37
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 79.4% 72.8% 1.37
Both halves under 1.5 goals 20.6% 27.2% 3.68
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 71.8% 71.9% 1.39
Antalyaspor to score 2+ in a row 59.3% 55.3% 1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row 34.7% 29.2% 3.43
Antalyaspor to score 3+ in a row 29.8% 25.1% 3.98
Vanspor to score 2+ in a row 22.8% 19.5% 5.13
Vanspor to score 3+ in a row 5.5% 5.6% 17.89
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 9.1% 7.4% 12.6% 0.59× 13.53
2-1 9.4% 7.4% 6.3% 1.17× 13.53
Any other score 10.0% 7.4% 7.2% 1.03× 13.53
2-0 7.7% 7.4% 7.7% 0.96× 13.54
3-1 7.5% 7.4% 5.0% 1.49× 13.54
1-0 5.4% 7.4% 8.6% 0.86× 13.54
2-2 5.8% 7.4% 3.6% 2.05× 13.54
3-0 6.1% 7.4% 4.1% 1.82× 13.54
0-0 3.8% 1.7% 7.2% 0.24× 57.56
0-1 2.3% 1.7% 5.9% 0.30× 57.57
0-2 2.1% 1.7% 3.2% 0.55× 57.57
0-3 0.8% 1.7% 5.0% 0.35× 57.58
0-4 0.3% 1.7% 1.4% 1.29× 57.58
1-2 4.9% 1.7% 7.2% 0.24× 57.55
1-3 2.0% 1.7% 3.6% 0.48× 57.57
1-4 0.6% 1.7% 2.7% 0.64× 57.58
2-3 2.4% 1.7% 2.3% 0.77× 57.57
2-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.9% 1.93× 57.58
3-2 4.6% 1.7% 0.9% 1.93× 57.56
3-3 1.9% 1.7% 0.9% 1.93× 57.57
3-4 0.6% 1.7% 1.4% 1.29× 57.58
4-0 3.6% 1.7% 5.4% 0.32× 57.56
4-1 4.4% 1.7% 4.5% 0.39× 57.56
4-2 2.7% 1.7% 1.8% 0.96× 57.57
4-3 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.29× 57.57
4-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.5% 3.86× 57.58
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor leading at HT (DNB) 73.4% 72.5% 1.38
Vanspor leading at HT (DNB) 26.6% 27.5% 3.64
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor or draw (1X) 82.6% 80.6% 68.0% 1.19× 1.24
Antalyaspor or Vanspor (12) 79.1% 75.4% 77.0% 0.98× 1.33
Vanspor or draw (X2) 38.3% 41.9% 54.5% 0.77× 2.39
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor or draw at HT 82.7% 84.4% 1.18
Antalyaspor or Vanspor at HT 65.0% 66.2% 1.51
Vanspor or draw at HT 52.3% 47.6% 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor or draw (1UP) 82.6% 88.5% 1.13
Vanspor or draw (1UP) 39.2% 42.6% 2.35
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor or draw in 2nd half 80.0% 77.0% 1.30
Antalyaspor or Vanspor in 2nd half 71.1% 73.6% 1.36
Vanspor or draw in 2nd half 48.9% 47.9% 2.09
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half drawn 47.5% 50.1% 2.00
A half drawn 52.5% 49.9% 2.00
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor (DNB) 78.0% 74.3% 58.7% 1.27× 1.35
Vanspor (DNB) 22.0% 25.7% 41.3% 0.62× 3.90
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor to score first 63.4% 64.6% 1.55
Vanspor to score first 32.8% 27.2% 3.67
No goal scored 3.8% 4.3% 23.32
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 65.2% 57.6% 50.5% 1.14× 1.74
Not both teams to score 34.8% 42.4% 49.6% 0.86× 2.36
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 56.1% 46.8% 38.3% 1.22× 2.14
Not both score & under 2.5 21.2% 28.4% 30.6% 0.93× 3.53
Not both score & over 2.5 13.6% 12.3% 19.4% 0.63× 8.15
Both score & under 2.5 9.1% 8.4% 12.6% 0.66× 11.93
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 76.2% 80.0% 90.1% 0.89× 1.25
Both teams to score 2+ 23.8% 20.0% 9.9% 2.02× 5.01
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 61.0% 65.8% 1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half 39.0% 34.2% 2.93
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 45.6% 53.1% 1.88
Both score 2nd half only 29.4% 26.7% 3.75
Both score 1st half only 15.4% 15.6% 6.43
Both score in both halves 9.6% 6.8% 14.65
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 75.0% 80.1% 1.25
Both teams to score by HT 25.0% 19.9% 5.03
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 68.8% 67.0% 1.49
A half without a goal 31.2% 33.0% 3.03
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
4-6 goals 41.2% 41.9% 32.9% 1.27× 2.39
2-3 goals 40.1% 41.9% 43.2% 0.97× 2.39
0-1 goals 11.5% 17.1% 20.7% 0.83× 5.84
7+ goals 7.3% 7.7% 4.1% 1.89× 13.07
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vanspor to score exactly 1 36.0% 35.8% 33.3% 1.07× 2.80
Vanspor to score exactly 0 29.3% 27.6% 34.2% 0.81× 3.62
Vanspor to score exactly 2 22.1% 22.5% 14.9% 1.51× 4.44
Vanspor to score 3+ 12.7% 13.0% 18.5% 0.70× 7.70
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor to score 3+ 42.3% 35.4% 25.7% 1.38× 2.82
Antalyaspor to score exactly 2 26.3% 26.1% 18.9% 1.38× 3.83
Antalyaspor to score exactly 1 22.1% 23.3% 33.8% 0.69× 4.28
Antalyaspor to score exactly 0 9.3% 10.5% 22.5% 0.47× 9.52
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor leading at HT 47.7% 52.4% 1.91
Draw at HT 35.0% 33.8% 2.96
Vanspor leading at HT 17.3% 15.6% 6.43
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor -1: 1 40.9% 42.9% 2.33
Antalyaspor -1: 2 38.3% 37.3% 2.68
Antalyaspor -1: X 20.7% 23.6% 4.23
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor (0:1) 40.9% 42.5% 30.2% 1.41× 2.35
Vanspor (0:1) 38.3% 37.3% 54.5% 0.69× 2.68
Draw (0:1) 20.7% 24.4% 15.8% 1.55× 4.10
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vanspor (0:2) 59.1% 63.5% 69.8% 0.91× 1.58
Antalyaspor (0:2) 22.5% 20.0% 17.1% 1.17× 5.00
Draw (0:2) 18.5% 15.0% 13.5% 1.11× 6.66
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vanspor (0:3) 77.5% 80.4% 82.9% 0.97× 1.24
Draw (0:3) 12.0% 10.0% 8.1% 1.24× 9.96
Antalyaspor (0:3) 10.4% 10.0% 9.5% 1.06× 9.98
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vanspor (0:4) 89.6% 91.7% 90.5% 1.01× 1.09
Draw (0:4) 6.3% 4.8% 5.9% 0.82× 20.72
Antalyaspor (0:4) 4.1% 1.2% 4.1% 0.30× 81.53
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor (1:0) 82.6% 81.6% 68.0% 1.20× 1.23
Draw (1:0) 10.2% 12.7% 15.3% 0.83× 7.85
Vanspor (1:0) 7.2% 7.0% 17.1% 0.41× 14.30
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor (2:0) 92.8% 93.8% 82.9% 1.13× 1.07
Draw (2:0) 5.0% 2.4% 6.8% 0.36× 41.23
Vanspor (2:0) 2.2% 2.4% 10.8% 0.22× 41.37
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 50.1% 50.2% 1.99
1st half highest scoring 27.2% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 22.7% 24.1% 4.15
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor to concede 70.7% 73.1% 65.8% 1.11× 1.37
Antalyaspor clean sheet 29.3% 26.9% 34.2% 0.79× 3.72
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor clean sheet in 1st half 61.2% 64.0% 1.56
Antalyaspor to concede in 1st half 38.8% 36.0% 2.78
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor over 0.5 goals 90.7% 92.1% 77.5% 1.19× 1.09
Antalyaspor under 3.5 goals 78.5% 77.4% 84.2% 0.92× 1.29
Antalyaspor over 1.5 goals 68.5% 67.9% 44.1% 1.54× 1.47
Antalyaspor under 2.5 goals 57.7% 58.6% 74.3% 0.79× 1.71
Antalyaspor over 2.5 goals 42.3% 41.4% 25.7% 1.61× 2.41
Antalyaspor under 1.5 goals 31.5% 32.1% 55.9% 0.58× 3.11
Antalyaspor over 3.5 goals 21.5% 22.6% 15.8% 1.43× 4.43
Antalyaspor under 0.5 goals 9.3% 7.9% 22.5% 0.35× 12.66
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor under 1.5 in 1st half 72.8% 79.9% 1.25
Antalyaspor over 0.5 in 1st half 63.9% 64.7% 1.55
Antalyaspor under 0.5 in 1st half 36.1% 35.3% 2.84
Antalyaspor over 1.5 in 1st half 27.2% 20.1% 4.98
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 54.6% 51.6% 41.8% 1.23× 1.94
Vanspor (home no bet) 45.4% 48.4% 58.2% 0.83× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor even goals 50.4% 50.4% 53.6% 0.94× 1.98
Antalyaspor odd goals 49.6% 49.6% 46.4% 1.07× 2.02
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 1-0 22.3% 24.2% 4.14
HT 0-0 22.3% 24.2% 4.14
HT 2-0 11.5% 10.9% 9.16
HT 1-1 11.2% 10.9% 9.16
HT 0-1 10.7% 10.9% 9.17
Any other HT score 9.7% 7.1% 13.99
HT 2-1 5.6% 7.1% 14.05
HT 1-2 2.7% 2.3% 43.50
HT 0-2 2.7% 2.3% 43.51
HT 2-2 1.4% 2.3% 43.60
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor at HT / Antalyaspor at FT 40.8% 42.9% 2.33
Draw at HT / Antalyaspor at FT 17.2% 16.8% 5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 11.4% 12.7% 7.90
Vanspor at HT / Vanspor at FT 9.1% 6.0% 16.61
Draw at HT / Vanspor at FT 6.4% 6.0% 16.70
Antalyaspor at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.0% 16.74
Vanspor at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.5% 28.75
Vanspor at HT / Antalyaspor at FT 3.7% 3.5% 28.78
Antalyaspor at HT / Vanspor at FT 1.9% 3.5% 28.85
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor to score last 63.5% 62.2% 1.61
Vanspor to score last 32.6% 32.9% 3.04
No goal scored 3.8% 4.3% 23.32
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.2% 95.6% 1.05
Antalyaspor to lead by 1 at any time 76.1% 78.0% 1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 62.0% 61.3% 1.63
Antalyaspor to lead by 2 at any time 49.3% 44.0% 2.27
Vanspor to lead by 1 at any time 39.2% 34.9% 2.86
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 30.3% 29.3% 3.42
Antalyaspor to lead by 3 at any time 26.6% 25.5% 3.93
Vanspor to lead by 2 at any time 13.2% 10.5% 9.54
Vanspor to lead by 3 at any time 3.7% 1.6% 60.73
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-6 goals 81.2% 83.3% 75.7% 1.10× 1.20
1-5 goals 80.6% 83.3% 85.1% 0.98× 1.20
2-5 goals 73.0% 72.3% 71.6% 1.01× 1.38
1-4 goals 66.9% 68.9% 73.4% 0.94× 1.45
3-6 goals 62.4% 63.1% 53.6% 1.18× 1.58
2-4 goals 59.2% 59.3% 59.9% 0.99× 1.69
3-5 goals 54.2% 53.4% 49.6% 1.08× 1.87
1-3 goals 47.7% 48.5% 56.8% 0.85× 2.06
4-6 goals 41.2% 43.6% 32.9% 1.33× 2.29
3-4 goals 40.4% 43.6% 37.8% 1.15× 2.29
2-3 goals 40.1% 43.6% 43.2% 1.01× 2.29
4-5 goals 32.9% 35.3% 28.8% 1.23× 2.83
1-2 goals 26.5% 30.6% 36.0% 0.85× 3.26
5-6 goals 22.0% 24.8% 16.2% 1.53× 4.03
7+ goals 7.3% 9.0% 4.1% 2.22× 11.13
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor never behind 57.0% 62.6% 1.60
Vanspor never behind 20.1% 24.1% 4.15
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.8% 50.9% 50.0% 1.02× 1.96
Even number of goals 52.2% 49.1% 50.0% 0.98× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 52.8% 51.7% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 47.2% 48.3% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.5% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.5% 48.0% 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.2% 95.4% 92.8% 1.03× 1.05
Over 1.5 goals 88.5% 87.4% 79.3% 1.10× 1.14
Under 5.5 goals 84.5% 82.1% 91.9% 0.89× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 70.7% 72.4% 80.2% 0.90× 1.38
Over 2.5 goals 69.7% 66.0% 57.2% 1.15× 1.52
Under 3.5 goals 51.6% 53.0% 63.5% 0.83× 1.89
Over 3.5 goals 48.4% 47.0% 36.5% 1.29× 2.13
Under 2.5 goals 30.3% 34.0% 42.8% 0.79× 2.94
Over 4.5 goals 29.3% 27.6% 19.8% 1.39× 3.62
Over 5.5 goals 15.5% 17.9% 8.1% 2.20× 5.60
Under 1.5 goals 11.5% 12.6% 20.7% 0.61× 7.96
Under 0.5 goals 3.8% 4.6% 7.2% 0.64× 21.71
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 92.1% 92.4% 95.8% 0.96× 1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 85.9% 86.6% 73.4% 1.18× 1.16
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 82.0% 80.5% 90.8% 0.89× 1.24
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 63.8% 61.7% 76.2% 0.81× 1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 61.5% 61.6% 46.0% 1.34× 1.62
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 38.5% 38.4% 54.0% 0.71× 2.61
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 36.2% 38.3% 23.8% 1.61× 2.61
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 18.0% 19.5% 9.2% 2.13× 5.12
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 14.1% 13.4% 26.6% 0.51× 7.44
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 7.9% 7.6% 4.2% 1.80× 13.12
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 80.6% 86.2% 1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half 77.7% 78.8% 1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half 55.2% 62.5% 1.60
Over 1.5 in 1st half 44.8% 37.5% 2.67
Under 0.5 in 1st half 22.3% 21.2% 4.73
Over 2.5 in 1st half 19.4% 13.8% 7.22
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 87.2% 85.4% 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 65.3% 67.4% 1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 62.1% 61.6% 1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 37.9% 38.4% 2.61
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 34.7% 32.6% 3.06
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 12.8% 14.6% 6.84
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vanspor not to score in both halves 79.8% 78.3% 1.28
Antalyaspor not to score in both halves 52.6% 55.7% 1.80
Antalyaspor to score in both halves 47.4% 44.3% 2.26
Vanspor to score in both halves 20.2% 21.7% 4.62
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 65.2% 60.1% 50.5% 1.19× 1.67
Only Antalyaspor scores 25.5% 26.1% 27.5% 0.95× 3.83
Only Vanspor scores 5.5% 7.1% 15.8% 0.45× 14.04
Neither team scores 3.8% 4.6% 7.2% 0.64× 21.52
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 21.3% 22.4% 21.2% 1.06× 4.46
Exactly 4 goals 19.1% 17.6% 17.1% 1.03× 5.70
Exactly 2 goals 18.8% 17.6% 22.5% 0.78× 5.70
6 or more goals 15.5% 17.5% 8.1% 2.16× 5.70
Exactly 5 goals 13.8% 12.0% 12.2% 0.99× 8.30
Exactly 1 goals 7.7% 7.8% 14.0% 0.56× 12.83
Exactly 0 goals 3.8% 4.5% 7.2% 0.63× 22.20
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 62.1% 58.4% 1.71
1 goal in 2nd half 25.1% 29.7% 3.37
No goals in 2nd half 12.8% 14.5% 6.92
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vanspor not to win both halves 96.4% 97.2% 1.03
Antalyaspor not to win both halves 75.3% 75.0% 1.33
Antalyaspor to win both halves 24.7% 25.0% 4.01
Vanspor to win both halves 3.6% 2.8% 35.75
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor to win either half 74.2% 73.0% 1.37
Vanspor to win neither half 66.2% 67.9% 1.47
Vanspor to win either half 33.8% 32.1% 3.12
Antalyaspor to win neither half 25.8% 27.0% 3.71
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vanspor not to win to nil 94.5% 92.1% 84.2% 1.09× 1.09
Antalyaspor not to win to nil 74.5% 75.2% 72.5% 1.04× 1.33
Antalyaspor to win to nil 25.5% 24.8% 27.5% 0.90× 4.03
Vanspor to win to nil 5.5% 7.9% 15.8% 0.50× 12.66
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Antalyaspor by 3+ 22.5% 24.2% 17.1% 1.41× 4.14
Antalyaspor by 1 20.7% 24.2% 15.8% 1.53× 4.14
Draw 20.9% 24.2% 23.0% 1.05× 4.14
Antalyaspor by 2 18.5% 16.9% 13.5% 1.25× 5.92
Vanspor by 1 10.2% 11.7% 15.3% 0.77× 8.53
Vanspor by 2 5.0% 2.8% 6.8% 0.42× 35.48
Vanspor by 3+ 2.2% 2.8% 10.8% 0.26× 35.55
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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