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Argentinos Juniors v Huracán — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Argentinos Juniors win
53.0%
model 51.2%
Draw
27.8%
model 29.3%
Huracán win
19.2%
model 19.5%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-0 16.4%
  2. 0-0 13.1%
  3. 1-1 12.8%
  4. 2-0 11.5%
  5. 0-1 8.5%

Goals

Over 2.534.3% Under 2.565.7%
BTTS yes38.7% BTTS no61.3%
Argentinos Juniors 1+74.1% Argentinos Juniors 2+39.1%
Huracán 1+51.5% Huracán 2+16.4%

Expected goals 1.35 – 0.72. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
24/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Argentinos Juniors (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 42%
52.1% fair odds 1.92
moderate signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Argentinos Juniors or draw (1UP)
Double chance 1UP
83.7% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Argentinos Juniors carry the stronger rating, 1647 Elo against 1533.

Risk factors

  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Argentinos Juniors have an estimated 53.0% win probability, against 27.8% for the draw and 19.2% for Huracán. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.35 for Argentinos Juniors and 0.72 for Huracán.

Why Argentinos Juniors

Argentinos Juniors carry the stronger rating, 1647 Elo against 1533.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.8%. A combined 2.07 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Huracán can win

Nothing in the data singles out Huracán.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Argentinos Juniors, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Huracán, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Argentinos Juniors: 63% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Huracán: 63% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Argentinos Juniors are the model's most likely outcome at 53.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 16.4%. Confidence 24/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.35–0.72 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.22–0.68 1-0 18% 30% 35%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors to win 48.4% 47.4% 41.8% 1.13× 2.11
Draw 31.3% 30.4% 30.7% 0.99× 3.29
Huracán to win 20.2% 24.5% 27.6% 0.89× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors & not both score 35.0% 33.3% 27.7% 1.20× 3.01
Draw & both teams score 15.8% 18.0% 16.0% 1.13× 5.57
Draw & not both score 15.5% 18.0% 14.8% 1.21× 5.57
Huracán & not both score 14.1% 13.3% 17.1% 0.78× 7.54
Argentinos Juniors & both teams score 13.4% 13.3% 14.3% 0.93× 7.54
Huracán & both teams score 6.2% 8.3% 10.6% 0.79× 12.01
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors & under 3.5 40.8% 40.3% 34.8% 1.16× 2.48
Argentinos Juniors & over 1.5 30.8% 30.7% 27.8% 1.11× 3.25
Argentinos Juniors & under 2.5 28.7% 26.1% 23.6% 1.10× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 28.5% 26.1% 28.2% 0.93× 3.84
Draw & under 3.5 28.5% 26.1% 28.2% 0.93× 3.84
Argentinos Juniors & over 2.5 19.7% 18.0% 18.4% 0.98× 5.55
Argentinos Juniors & under 1.5 17.6% 18.0% 14.1% 1.27× 5.56
Huracán & under 3.5 18.2% 18.0% 23.5% 0.77× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 15.8% 18.0% 16.0% 1.13× 5.56
Draw & under 1.5 15.5% 18.0% 14.8% 1.21× 5.56
Huracán & under 2.5 13.1% 12.8% 14.6% 0.88× 7.79
Huracán & over 1.5 10.6% 12.8% 17.4% 0.74× 7.79
Huracán & under 1.5 9.6% 7.9% 10.3% 0.77× 12.63
Argentinos Juniors & over 3.5 7.6% 7.9% 7.2% 1.10× 12.63
Huracán & over 2.5 7.1% 7.9% 13.1% 0.60× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 2.8% 4.8% 2.6% 1.83× 20.82
Draw & over 3.5 2.8% 4.8% 2.6% 1.83× 20.82
Huracán & over 3.5 2.1% 4.8% 4.2% 1.14× 20.83
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors (1UP) 58.9% 58.0% — — 1.72
Huracán (1UP) 32.9% 33.0% — — 3.03
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors (2UP) 48.4% 50.2% — — 1.99
Huracán (2UP) 20.2% 23.6% — — 4.24
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 43.7% 42.0% — — 2.38
Argentinos Juniors to win 2nd half 37.4% 36.4% — — 2.74
Huracán to win 2nd half 18.9% 18.0% — — 5.56
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán under 1.5 in 2nd half 93.6% 91.9% — — 1.09
Huracán under 0.5 in 2nd half 66.4% 69.5% — — 1.44
Huracán over 0.5 in 2nd half 33.6% 30.5% — — 3.28
Huracán over 1.5 in 2nd half 6.4% 8.1% — — 12.35
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors under 1.5 in 2nd half 84.6% 82.5% — — 1.21
Argentinos Juniors over 0.5 in 2nd half 50.1% 54.8% — — 1.82
Argentinos Juniors under 0.5 in 2nd half 49.9% 45.2% — — 2.21
Argentinos Juniors over 1.5 in 2nd half 15.4% 17.5% — — 5.72
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán (+2.5) 92.4% 92.1% 95.0% 0.97× 1.09
Argentinos Juniors (+0.5) 79.8% 78.5% 72.4% 1.08× 1.27
Huracán (+1.5) 77.9% 78.5% 82.3% 0.95× 1.27
Huracán (+0.5) 51.6% 52.4% 58.2% 0.90× 1.91
Argentinos Juniors (-0.5) 48.4% 47.6% 41.8% 1.14× 2.10
Argentinos Juniors (-1.5) 22.1% 21.5% 17.7% 1.22× 4.65
Huracán (-0.5) 20.2% 21.5% 27.6% 0.78× 4.65
Argentinos Juniors (-2.5) 7.6% 7.9% 5.0% 1.57× 12.70
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán to concede 70.4% 76.6% 68.2% 1.12× 1.31
Huracán clean sheet 29.6% 23.4% 31.8% 0.73× 4.28
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán clean sheet in 1st half 59.2% 56.6% — — 1.77
Huracán to concede in 1st half 40.8% 43.4% — — 2.30
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán to concede in 2nd half 50.1% 54.4% — — 1.84
Huracán clean sheet in 2nd half 49.9% 45.6% — — 2.19
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán under 6.5 corners 96.6% 95.7% — — 1.05
Huracán under 5.5 corners 92.5% 89.9% — — 1.11
Huracán under 4.5 corners 84.6% 81.4% — — 1.23
Huracán under 3.5 corners 71.2% 71.6% — — 1.40
Huracán under 2.5 corners 51.6% 53.1% — — 1.88
Huracán over 2.5 corners 48.4% 46.9% — — 2.13
Huracán over 3.5 corners 28.8% 28.4% — — 3.52
Huracán over 4.5 corners 15.4% 18.6% — — 5.38
Huracán over 5.5 corners 7.5% 10.1% — — 9.90
Huracán over 6.5 corners 3.4% 4.3% — — 23.12
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán under 3.5 goals 99.5% 97.5% 98.9% 0.99× 1.03
Huracán under 2.5 goals 96.8% 97.5% 93.4% 1.04× 1.03
Huracán under 1.5 goals 85.0% 87.8% 78.2% 1.12× 1.14
Huracán under 0.5 goals 50.5% 53.5% 42.4% 1.26× 1.87
Huracán over 0.5 goals 49.5% 46.5% 57.6% 0.81× 2.15
Huracán over 1.5 goals 15.0% 12.2% 21.8% 0.56× 8.19
Huracán over 2.5 goals 3.2% 2.5% 6.6% 0.38× 39.81
Huracán over 3.5 goals 0.5% 2.5% 1.1% 2.20× 39.94
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán under 1.5 in 1st half 96.9% 96.2% — — 1.04
Huracán under 0.5 in 1st half 76.1% 74.9% — — 1.34
Huracán over 0.5 in 1st half 23.9% 25.1% — — 3.98
Huracán over 1.5 in 1st half 3.1% 3.8% — — 26.14
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán scores equally in both 56.3% 52.9% — — 1.89
Huracán scores more in 2nd half 26.9% 26.5% — — 3.78
Huracán scores more in 1st half 16.7% 18.0% — — 5.57
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors (away no bet) 60.7% 61.9% 57.7% 1.07× 1.62
Draw (away no bet) 39.3% 38.1% 42.3% 0.90× 2.62
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán even goals 62.8% 59.1% 58.4% 1.01× 1.69
Huracán odd goals 37.2% 40.9% 41.6% 0.98× 2.45
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 94.3% 92.1% — — 1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals 5.8% 7.9% — — 12.59
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 56.2% 60.2% — — 1.66
Not both halves under 1.5 43.8% 39.8% — — 2.51
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 39.2% 36.6% — — 2.74
Argentinos Juniors to score 2+ in a row 30.0% 25.0% — — 4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row 11.4% 12.1% — — 8.25
Huracán to score 2+ in a row 11.2% 12.1% — — 8.25
Argentinos Juniors to score 3+ in a row 9.6% 5.6% — — 18.01
Huracán to score 3+ in a row 1.9% 2.5% — — 39.77
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors corners (+3.5) 98.4% 95.8% — — 1.04
Argentinos Juniors corners (+2.5) 96.6% 95.7% — — 1.04
Argentinos Juniors corners (+1.5) 93.5% 89.6% — — 1.12
Argentinos Juniors corners (-1.5) 71.9% 70.8% — — 1.41
Argentinos Juniors corners (-2.5) 61.1% 61.8% — — 1.62
Huracán corners (+3.5) 50.3% 52.4% — — 1.91
Argentinos Juniors corners (-3.5) 49.7% 47.6% — — 2.10
Huracán corners (+2.5) 38.9% 38.2% — — 2.62
Huracán corners (+1.5) 28.1% 29.2% — — 3.42
Huracán corners (-1.5) 6.5% 10.4% — — 9.60
Huracán corners (-2.5) 3.4% 4.3% — — 23.48
Huracán corners (-3.5) 1.6% 4.3% — — 23.53
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 47.6% 41.7% — — 2.40
9-11 corners 28.9% 31.2% — — 3.20
12+ corners 23.5% 25.7% — — 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 83.2% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 76.5% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 68.2% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 63.6% 63.3% — — 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 58.4% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 52.4% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 47.6% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 41.6% 42.1% — — 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 36.4% 36.7% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 31.8% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 11.5 corners 23.5% 23.4% — — 4.27
Over 12.5 corners 16.8% 19.3% — — 5.17
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 17.6% 13.8% 14.1% 0.98× 7.23
0-0 15.5% 13.8% 14.8% 0.93× 7.24
1-1 13.0% 11.5% 13.5% 0.85× 8.71
2-0 11.1% 11.5% 9.6% 1.20× 8.72
0-1 9.6% 7.4% 10.3% 0.72× 13.51
2-1 7.6% 7.4% 8.7% 0.85× 13.51
0-2 3.5% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.30
0-3 0.8% 1.7% 2.1% 0.84× 58.31
0-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.6% 3.01× 58.32
1-2 4.2% 1.7% 7.1% 0.24× 58.30
1-3 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 0.88× 58.31
1-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 5.01× 58.32
2-2 2.6% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.30
2-3 0.6% 1.7% 1.5% 1.16× 58.32
2-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.1% 15.04× 58.32
3-0 4.5% 1.7% 2.7% 0.63× 58.29
3-1 3.1% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.30
3-2 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.07× 58.31
3-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 5.01× 58.32
3-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 15.04× 58.32
4-0 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 1.50× 58.31
4-1 0.9% 1.7% 0.8% 2.15× 58.31
4-2 0.3% 1.7% 0.3% 5.01× 58.32
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 7.52× 58.32
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.2% 7.52× 58.32
Any other score 0.9% 1.7% 0.9% 1.88× 58.31
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors (2nd half DNB) 66.4% 66.9% — — 1.50
Huracán (2nd half DNB) 33.6% 33.1% — — 3.02
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors leading at HT (DNB) 68.7% 73.8% — — 1.35
Huracán leading at HT (DNB) 31.3% 26.2% — — 3.82
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors or draw (1X) 79.8% 75.5% 72.4% 1.04× 1.32
Argentinos Juniors or Huracán (12) 68.7% 69.6% 69.3% 1.00× 1.44
Huracán or draw (X2) 51.6% 52.6% 58.2% 0.90× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors or draw at HT 84.9% 84.2% — — 1.19
Huracán or draw at HT 67.0% 67.2% — — 1.49
Argentinos Juniors or Huracán at HT 48.1% 51.5% — — 1.94
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors or draw (1UP) 79.8% 83.8% — — 1.19
Huracán or draw (1UP) 51.6% 58.6% — — 1.71
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors or draw in 2nd half 81.1% 82.0% — — 1.22
Huracán or draw in 2nd half 62.6% 63.6% — — 1.57
Argentinos Juniors or Huracán in 2nd half 56.3% 58.0% — — 1.73
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 72.4% 70.8% — — 1.41
Neither half drawn 27.6% 29.2% — — 3.42
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors (DNB) 70.5% 71.4% 60.3% 1.18× 1.40
Huracán (DNB) 29.5% 28.6% 39.7% 0.72× 3.49
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors to score first 54.1% 53.4% — — 1.87
Huracán to score first 30.4% 27.6% — — 3.63
No goal scored 15.5% 16.7% — — 5.98
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 64.6% 56.7% 59.4% 0.95× 1.77
Both teams to score 35.4% 43.3% 40.6% 1.07× 2.31
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 57.4% 47.5% 52.8% 0.90× 2.11
Both score & over 2.5 22.4% 27.9% 27.3% 1.02× 3.59
Both score & under 2.5 13.0% 12.4% 13.5% 0.92× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 7.2% 8.3% 6.7% 1.23× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 94.8% 89.0% 94.1% 0.95× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 5.2% 11.0% 5.9% 1.85× 9.12
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 83.0% 73.8% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 17.0% 26.2% — — 3.82
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 74.8% 69.6% — — 1.44
Both score 2nd half only 15.4% 14.9% — — 6.72
Both score 1st half only 8.2% 6.8% — — 14.70
Both score in both halves 1.6% 4.8% — — 20.85
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 90.2% 90.4% — — 1.11
Both teams to score by HT 9.8% 9.6% — — 10.41
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 63.0% 59.4% — — 1.68
A goal in each half 37.0% 40.6% — — 2.46
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 44.7% 42.2% 47.3% 0.89× 2.37
0-1 goals 42.8% 42.2% 39.0% 1.08× 2.37
4-6 goals 12.2% 16.9% 13.5% 1.26× 5.91
7+ goals 0.3% 1.8% 0.5% 4.02× 54.53
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán to score exactly 0 50.5% 47.0% 42.4% 1.11× 2.13
Huracán to score exactly 1 34.5% 33.8% 35.9% 0.94× 2.96
Huracán to score exactly 2 11.8% 12.9% 15.3% 0.84× 7.76
Huracán to score 3+ 3.2% 4.6% 6.6% 0.69× 21.86
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors to score exactly 1 36.0% 35.5% 36.5% 0.97× 2.81
Argentinos Juniors to score exactly 0 29.6% 26.6% 31.8% 0.84× 3.76
Argentinos Juniors to score exactly 2 21.9% 23.3% 21.8% 1.07× 4.29
Argentinos Juniors to score 3+ 12.4% 14.3% 10.1% 1.41× 6.99
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 51.9% 48.5% — — 2.06
Argentinos Juniors leading at HT 33.0% 32.8% — — 3.05
Huracán leading at HT 15.1% 15.8% — — 6.33
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors -1: 2 51.6% 52.1% — — 1.92
Argentinos Juniors -1: X 26.3% 26.5% — — 3.77
Argentinos Juniors -1: 1 22.1% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán (0:1) 51.6% 51.3% 58.2% 0.88× 1.95
Draw (0:1) 26.3% 27.0% 24.3% 1.11× 3.70
Argentinos Juniors (0:1) 22.1% 24.2% 17.7% 1.37× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán (0:2) 77.9% 79.4% 82.3% 0.96× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 14.5% 11.0% 12.8% 0.86× 9.09
Argentinos Juniors (0:2) 7.6% 7.7% 5.0% 1.53× 13.05
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán (0:3) 92.4% 92.7% 95.0% 0.98× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.5% 5.8% 3.4% 1.69× 17.27
Argentinos Juniors (0:3) 2.1% 2.4% 1.7% 1.39× 42.05
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán (0:4) 97.9% 98.1% 98.3% 1.00× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.6% 1.2% 1.3% 0.97× 81.79
Argentinos Juniors (0:4) 0.5% 1.2% 0.6% 2.14× 81.92
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors (1:0) 79.8% 78.6% 72.4% 1.09× 1.27
Draw (1:0) 14.5% 12.7% 18.6% 0.68× 7.86
Huracán (1:0) 5.7% 6.9% 9.1% 0.75× 14.53
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors (2:0) 94.3% 94.0% 90.9% 1.03× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 4.6% 2.3% 6.3% 0.37× 43.64
Huracán (2:0) 1.2% 2.3% 3.0% 0.77× 43.85
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 42.1% 45.1% — — 2.22
Halves equal 32.1% 31.8% — — 3.15
1st half highest scoring 25.8% 26.2% — — 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors clean sheet 50.5% 53.1% 42.4% 1.25× 1.88
Argentinos Juniors to concede 49.5% 46.9% 57.6% 0.81× 2.13
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors clean sheet in 1st half 76.1% 77.3% — — 1.29
Argentinos Juniors to concede in 1st half 23.9% 22.7% — — 4.40
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors clean sheet in 2nd half 66.4% 66.6% — — 1.50
Argentinos Juniors to concede in 2nd half 33.6% 33.4% — — 3.00
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors over 2.5 corners 90.9% 89.2% — — 1.12
Argentinos Juniors over 3.5 corners 81.6% 81.0% — — 1.24
Argentinos Juniors over 4.5 corners 69.7% 66.7% — — 1.50
Argentinos Juniors over 5.5 corners 56.6% 57.5% — — 1.74
Argentinos Juniors under 6.5 corners 56.2% 57.5% — — 1.74
Argentinos Juniors over 6.5 corners 43.8% 42.5% — — 2.35
Argentinos Juniors under 5.5 corners 43.4% 42.5% — — 2.35
Argentinos Juniors under 4.5 corners 30.3% 33.3% — — 3.01
Argentinos Juniors under 3.5 corners 18.4% 19.0% — — 5.26
Argentinos Juniors under 2.5 corners 9.1% 10.8% — — 9.27
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors under 3.5 goals 96.5% 96.4% 97.1% 0.99× 1.04
Argentinos Juniors under 2.5 goals 87.6% 87.3% 89.9% 0.97× 1.15
Argentinos Juniors over 0.5 goals 70.4% 74.2% 68.2% 1.09× 1.35
Argentinos Juniors under 1.5 goals 65.6% 67.9% 68.2% 1.00× 1.47
Argentinos Juniors over 1.5 goals 34.4% 32.1% 31.8% 1.01× 3.12
Argentinos Juniors under 0.5 goals 29.6% 25.8% 31.8% 0.81× 3.88
Argentinos Juniors over 2.5 goals 12.4% 12.7% 10.1% 1.25× 7.85
Argentinos Juniors over 3.5 goals 3.5% 3.6% 2.9% 1.27× 27.53
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors under 1.5 in 1st half 90.3% 94.6% — — 1.06
Argentinos Juniors under 0.5 in 1st half 59.2% 56.4% — — 1.77
Argentinos Juniors over 0.5 in 1st half 40.8% 43.6% — — 2.29
Argentinos Juniors over 1.5 in 1st half 9.7% 5.4% — — 18.46
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors scores equally in both 41.4% 41.7% — — 2.40
Argentinos Juniors scores more in 2nd half 34.7% 33.3% — — 3.01
Argentinos Juniors scores more in 1st half 23.9% 21.0% — — 4.76
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 60.8% 60.0% 52.6% 1.14× 1.67
Huracán (home no bet) 39.2% 40.0% 47.4% 0.85× 2.50
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors even goals 54.4% 50.8% 55.6% 0.91× 1.97
Argentinos Juniors odd goals 45.6% 49.2% 44.4% 1.11× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 45.2% 45.6% — — 2.19
HT 1-0 23.5% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 0-1 12.2% 11.0% — — 9.10
HT 1-1 6.5% 6.9% — — 14.56
HT 2-0 6.2% 6.9% — — 14.56
HT 0-2 1.7% 2.4% — — 42.31
HT 2-1 1.7% 2.4% — — 42.31
Any other HT score 1.9% 2.4% — — 42.30
HT 1-2 0.9% 2.4% — — 42.36
HT 2-2 0.2% 2.4% — — 42.41
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors at HT / Argentinos Juniors at FT 27.8% 27.4% — — 3.65
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 23.2% 21.6% — — 4.62
Draw at HT / Argentinos Juniors at FT 19.1% 16.8% — — 5.96
Huracán at HT / Huracán at FT 9.8% 6.1% — — 16.42
Draw at HT / Huracán at FT 9.6% 6.1% — — 16.42
Argentinos Juniors at HT / Draw at FT 4.3% 3.5% — — 28.88
Huracán at HT / Draw at FT 3.8% 3.5% — — 28.90
Huracán at HT / Argentinos Juniors at FT 1.5% 3.5% — — 28.98
Argentinos Juniors at HT / Huracán at FT 0.9% 3.4% — — 29.00
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors to score last 54.2% 52.2% — — 1.92
Huracán to score last 30.3% 32.2% — — 3.10
No goal scored 15.5% 12.8% — — 7.84
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 84.5% 88.0% — — 1.14
Argentinos Juniors to lead by 1 at any time 58.9% 54.9% — — 1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 33.8% 29.8% — — 3.36
Huracán to lead by 1 at any time 32.9% 29.7% — — 3.36
Argentinos Juniors to lead by 2 at any time 25.8% 25.2% — — 3.97
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 10.2% 10.6% — — 9.48
Argentinos Juniors to lead by 3 at any time 8.6% 6.7% — — 14.99
Huracán to lead by 2 at any time 8.1% 6.7% — — 15.01
Huracán to lead by 3 at any time 1.5% 1.6% — — 63.78
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors most corners 81.3% 81.3% — — 1.23
Huracán most corners 11.5% 10.4% — — 9.59
Corners level 7.2% 8.3% — — 11.99
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 83.2% 83.4% 84.3% 0.99× 1.20
1-4 goals 80.1% 83.4% 79.9% 1.04× 1.20
1-3 goals 72.0% 72.3% 71.5% 1.01× 1.38
2-6 goals 56.9% 59.1% 60.7% 0.97× 1.69
2-5 goals 55.9% 59.1% 60.1% 0.98× 1.69
1-2 goals 54.8% 53.2% 51.4% 1.03× 1.88
2-4 goals 52.8% 53.2% 55.8% 0.95× 1.88
2-3 goals 44.7% 43.6% 47.3% 0.92× 2.29
3-6 goals 29.3% 30.2% 33.5% 0.90× 3.31
3-5 goals 28.3% 30.2% 33.0% 0.92× 3.31
3-4 goals 25.2% 30.2% 28.6% 1.06× 3.31
4-6 goals 12.2% 14.8% 13.5% 1.10× 6.76
4-5 goals 11.2% 14.8% 12.9% 1.15× 6.76
5-6 goals 4.1% 2.6% 5.0% 0.51× 39.09
7+ goals 0.3% 2.5% 0.5% 5.59× 39.26
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors never behind 51.6% 62.3% — — 1.61
Huracán never behind 25.6% 29.7% — — 3.36
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.8% 50.9% 48.9% 1.04× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.2% 49.1% 51.1% 0.96× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 60.3% 58.1% — — 1.72
Odd goals in 1st half 39.7% 41.9% — — 2.39
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 55.9% 59.1% — — 1.69
Odd goals in 2nd half 44.1% 40.9% — — 2.44
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 98.7% 95.4% 99.0% 0.96× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 95.6% 95.4% 94.6% 1.01× 1.05
Under 3.5 goals 87.5% 87.6% 86.2% 1.02× 1.14
Over 0.5 goals 84.5% 82.3% 85.2% 0.97× 1.22
Under 2.5 goals 70.3% 72.5% 66.1% 1.10× 1.38
Over 1.5 goals 57.2% 58.6% 61.0% 0.96× 1.71
Under 1.5 goals 42.8% 41.4% 39.0% 1.06× 2.42
Over 2.5 goals 29.7% 27.5% 33.9% 0.81× 3.63
Under 0.5 goals 15.5% 17.7% 14.8% 1.19× 5.65
Over 3.5 goals 12.5% 12.4% 13.8% 0.90× 8.07
Over 4.5 goals 4.4% 4.6% 5.4% 0.86× 21.80
Over 5.5 goals 1.3% 4.6% 1.0% 4.46× 21.85
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.7% 97.2% 99.5% 0.98× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 98.6% 97.2% 98.9% 0.98× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 95.2% 97.2% 94.1% 1.03× 1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 84.9% 81.1% 82.7% 0.98× 1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 59.1% 55.8% 53.5% 1.04× 1.79
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 40.9% 44.2% 46.5% 0.95× 2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 15.1% 18.9% 17.3% 1.09× 5.30
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 4.8% 2.8% 5.9% 0.48× 35.56
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 1.4% 2.8% 1.1% 2.61× 35.65
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.3% 2.8% 0.5% 6.11× 35.68
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 95.3% 96.2% — — 1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half 80.9% 85.6% — — 1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half 54.8% 53.5% — — 1.87
Under 0.5 in 1st half 45.2% 46.5% — — 2.15
Over 1.5 in 1st half 19.1% 14.4% — — 6.96
Over 2.5 in 1st half 4.7% 3.8% — — 26.07
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 90.0% 85.5% — — 1.17
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 69.6% 68.6% — — 1.46
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 66.7% 68.4% — — 1.46
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 33.3% 31.6% — — 3.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 30.4% 31.4% — — 3.19
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 10.0% 14.5% — — 6.90
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán not to score in both halves 92.0% 90.5% — — 1.11
Argentinos Juniors not to score in both halves 79.6% 78.5% — — 1.27
Argentinos Juniors to score in both halves 20.4% 21.5% — — 4.66
Huracán to score in both halves 8.0% 9.5% — — 10.48
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 35.4% 39.9% 40.6% 0.98× 2.51
Only Argentinos Juniors scores 35.0% 39.9% 27.7% 1.44× 2.51
Neither team scores 15.5% 16.0% 14.8% 1.08× 6.24
Only Huracán scores 14.1% 11.0% 17.1% 0.65× 9.06
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.6% 24.9% 27.3% 0.91× 4.02
Exactly 1 goals 27.3% 24.9% 24.3% 1.02× 4.02
Exactly 3 goals 17.1% 17.5% 20.2% 0.86× 5.73
Exactly 0 goals 15.5% 17.5% 14.8% 1.18× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 8.1% 7.6% 8.6% 0.89× 13.14
Exactly 5 goals 3.1% 4.5% 4.4% 1.01× 22.35
6 or more goals 1.3% 4.5% 1.0% 4.35× 22.38
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 45.2% 45.6% — — 2.19
1 goal in 1st half 35.7% 37.2% — — 2.69
2 goals in 1st half 14.4% 10.9% — — 9.16
3+ goals in 1st half 4.7% 3.8% — — 26.07
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 2nd half 36.2% 39.7% — — 2.52
No goals in 2nd half 33.3% 33.9% — — 2.95
2+ goals in 2nd half 30.4% 33.8% — — 2.96
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán not to win both halves 97.1% 97.2% — — 1.03
Argentinos Juniors not to win both halves 87.6% 88.0% — — 1.14
Argentinos Juniors to win both halves 12.4% 12.0% — — 8.30
Huracán to win both halves 2.9% 2.8% — — 36.04
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán to win neither half 68.9% 68.0% — — 1.47
Argentinos Juniors to win either half 58.0% 59.1% — — 1.69
Argentinos Juniors to win neither half 42.0% 40.9% — — 2.44
Huracán to win either half 31.1% 32.0% — — 3.12
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Huracán not to win to nil 85.9% 88.1% 82.9% 1.06× 1.14
Argentinos Juniors not to win to nil 65.0% 66.6% 72.3% 0.92× 1.50
Argentinos Juniors to win to nil 35.0% 33.4% 27.7% 1.21× 2.99
Huracán to win to nil 14.1% 11.9% 17.1% 0.70× 8.41
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Argentinos Juniors by 1 26.3% 27.9% 24.3% 1.15× 3.59
Draw 31.3% 27.7% 30.7% 0.90× 3.61
Huracán by 1 14.5% 11.8% 18.6% 0.63× 8.50
Argentinos Juniors by 2 14.5% 11.8% 12.8% 0.92× 8.50
Argentinos Juniors by 3+ 7.6% 7.2% 5.0% 1.43× 13.91
Huracán by 2 4.6% 2.7% 6.3% 0.43× 36.83
Huracán by 3+ 1.2% 2.7% 3.0% 0.91× 36.94
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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