Aris v Panetolikos — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · GRE-Super League · 2627

GRE-Super League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Aris

20:00 UTC

Panetolikos

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 321h before kick-off

Aris win

53.1%

model 51.4%

Draw

27.8%

model 30.0%

Panetolikos win

19.1%

model 18.7%

532819

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.1%
1-0 12.0%
0-0 11.3%
2-0 10.8%
2-1 9.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	42.7%	Under 2.5	57.3%
BTTS yes	47.1%	BTTS no	52.9%
Aris 1+	78.5%	Aris 2+	45.5%
Panetolikos 1+	57.3%	Panetolikos 2+	21.0%

Expected goals 1.54 – 0.85. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

82/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Aris (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 66%

82.8% fair odds 1.21

strong signal · 1330 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Panetolikos not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Aris carry the stronger rating, 1605 Elo against 1437.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Aris have an estimated 53.1% win probability, against 27.8% for the draw and 19.1% for Panetolikos. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.54 for Aris and 0.85 for Panetolikos.

Why Aris

Aris carry the stronger rating, 1605 Elo against 1437. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.8%. A combined 2.39 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Panetolikos can win

Nothing in the data singles out Panetolikos.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Aris, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Panetolikos, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Aris: 54% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 9.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Panetolikos: 51% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Aris are the model's most likely outcome at 53.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.1%. Confidence 82/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	513019	1.54–0.85	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	463420	1.27–0.78	0-0 15%	34%	41%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris to win	45.9%	47.3%	41.4%	1.14×	2.11
Draw	33.6%	30.4%	25.0%	1.22×	3.29
Panetolikos to win	20.4%	24.4%	33.8%	0.72×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris & not both score	30.9%	29.6%	24.0%	1.23×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Aris & both teams score	15.0%	18.0%	17.6%	1.02×	5.57
Draw & not both score	15.1%	18.0%	8.4%	2.14×	5.57
Panetolikos & not both score	12.9%	13.3%	19.7%	0.67×	7.54
Panetolikos & both teams score	7.6%	8.3%	14.3%	0.58×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris & under 3.5	37.1%	34.9%	29.7%	1.17×	2.87
Aris & over 1.5	31.8%	30.7%	32.4%	0.95×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	30.1%	30.7%	21.3%	1.44×	3.25
Draw & under 3.5	30.1%	30.7%	21.3%	1.44×	3.25
Aris & under 2.5	24.6%	21.6%	15.2%	1.42×	4.63
Aris & over 2.5	21.3%	21.6%	26.4%	0.82×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Panetolikos & under 3.5	17.6%	18.0%	26.8%	0.67×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	15.1%	18.0%	8.4%	2.14×	5.56
Aris & under 1.5	14.1%	12.8%	9.2%	1.39×	7.79
Panetolikos & over 1.5	12.7%	12.8%	24.4%	0.53×	7.79
Panetolikos & under 2.5	11.6%	12.8%	15.6%	0.82×	7.79
Aris & over 3.5	8.8%	7.9%	11.9%	0.67×	12.63
Panetolikos & over 2.5	8.8%	7.9%	18.4%	0.43×	12.63
Panetolikos & under 1.5	7.7%	7.9%	9.6%	0.82×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	3.9%	1.23×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	3.9%	1.23×	20.82
Panetolikos & over 3.5	2.9%	4.8%	7.2%	0.67×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris (1UP)	58.3%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Panetolikos (1UP)	35.1%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris (2UP)	45.9%	49.9%	—	—	2.01
Panetolikos (2UP)	20.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	43.1%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Aris to win 2nd half	36.7%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Panetolikos to win 2nd half	20.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.0%	92.2%	—	—	1.09
Panetolikos under 0.5 in 2nd half	62.8%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Panetolikos over 0.5 in 2nd half	37.2%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
Panetolikos over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.0%	7.8%	—	—	12.78

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.5%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Aris over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.6%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Aris under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.4%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Aris over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.5%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos (+2.5)	92.1%	92.1%	89.3%	1.03×	1.09
Aris (+0.5)	79.6%	78.5%	66.2%	1.19×	1.27
Panetolikos (+1.5)	77.8%	78.5%	78.9%	0.99×	1.27
Panetolikos (+0.5)	54.1%	52.4%	58.6%	0.89×	1.91
Aris (-0.5)	45.9%	47.6%	41.4%	1.15×	2.10
Aris (-1.5)	22.2%	21.5%	21.1%	1.02×	4.65
Panetolikos (-0.5)	20.4%	21.5%	33.8%	0.64×	4.65
Aris (-2.5)	7.9%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos to concede	72.0%	76.7%	72.1%	1.06×	1.30
Panetolikos clean sheet	28.0%	23.3%	27.9%	0.84×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos clean sheet in 1st half	57.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Panetolikos to concede in 1st half	42.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos to concede in 2nd half	51.6%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Panetolikos clean sheet in 2nd half	48.4%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos under 6.5 corners	94.5%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Panetolikos under 5.5 corners	89.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Panetolikos under 4.5 corners	79.4%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Panetolikos under 3.5 corners	64.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Panetolikos over 2.5 corners	55.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Panetolikos under 2.5 corners	44.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Panetolikos over 3.5 corners	35.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Panetolikos over 4.5 corners	20.6%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Panetolikos over 5.5 corners	11.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.78
Panetolikos over 6.5 corners	5.5%	10.1%	—	—	9.91

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos under 3.5 goals	99.2%	97.5%	96.7%	1.01×	1.03
Panetolikos under 2.5 goals	95.6%	97.5%	89.8%	1.09×	1.03
Panetolikos under 1.5 goals	81.7%	81.5%	67.4%	1.21×	1.23
Panetolikos over 0.5 goals	54.0%	53.5%	67.8%	0.79×	1.87
Panetolikos under 0.5 goals	46.0%	46.5%	32.2%	1.45×	2.15
Panetolikos over 1.5 goals	18.3%	18.5%	32.6%	0.57×	5.40
Panetolikos over 2.5 goals	4.4%	2.5%	10.2%	0.25×	39.84
Panetolikos over 3.5 goals	0.8%	2.5%	3.3%	0.76×	40.02

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos under 1.5 in 1st half	96.1%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
Panetolikos under 0.5 in 1st half	73.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Panetolikos over 0.5 in 1st half	26.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Panetolikos over 1.5 in 1st half	3.9%	3.9%	—	—	25.49

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos scores equally in both	52.9%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Panetolikos scores more in 2nd half	29.2%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Panetolikos scores more in 1st half	17.9%	18.1%	—	—	5.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris (away no bet)	57.7%	57.4%	62.3%	0.92×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.3%	42.6%	37.7%	1.13×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos even goals	60.6%	59.1%	56.8%	1.04×	1.69
Panetolikos odd goals	39.4%	40.9%	43.2%	0.95×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.9%	92.3%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	—	—	13.01

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	51.3%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Not both halves under 1.5	48.7%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	42.3%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Aris to score 2+ in a row	31.2%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Panetolikos to score 2+ in a row	13.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Aris to score 3+ in a row	10.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Panetolikos to score 3+ in a row	2.6%	2.6%	—	—	39.21

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris corners (+3.5)	96.0%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Aris corners (+2.5)	92.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Aris corners (+1.5)	86.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Panetolikos corners (+3.5)	67.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Aris corners (-1.5)	56.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Panetolikos corners (+2.5)	55.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Aris corners (-2.5)	44.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Panetolikos corners (+1.5)	43.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Aris corners (-3.5)	32.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Panetolikos corners (-1.5)	13.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Panetolikos corners (-2.5)	7.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Panetolikos corners (-3.5)	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	57.1%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	26.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	16.2%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	89.1%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	83.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	76.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	67.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 8.5 corners	57.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 7.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 8.5 corners	42.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	32.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	23.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	16.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	10.9%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	15.1%	13.8%	8.4%	1.64×	7.24
1-1	15.0%	11.5%	13.1%	0.88×	8.71
1-0	14.1%	11.5%	9.2%	1.24×	8.71
2-0	10.4%	11.5%	6.1%	1.87×	8.72
0-1	7.7%	7.4%	9.6%	0.77×	13.51
2-1	8.1%	7.4%	8.6%	0.86×	13.51
1-2	4.9%	1.7%	8.6%	0.20×	58.29
0-2	3.9%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.09×	58.32
1-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.32
2-2	3.1%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
2-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.32
3-0	4.4%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.29
3-1	3.4%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.37×	58.32
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.31
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.31
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.37×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.37×	58.32
Any other score	1.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris (2nd half DNB)	64.5%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Panetolikos (2nd half DNB)	35.5%	37.0%	—	—	2.70

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris leading at HT (DNB)	66.9%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Panetolikos leading at HT (DNB)	33.1%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris or draw (1X)	79.6%	75.6%	66.2%	1.14×	1.32
Aris or Panetolikos (12)	66.4%	69.6%	75.0%	0.93×	1.44
Panetolikos or draw (X2)	54.1%	52.7%	58.6%	0.90×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris or draw at HT	83.7%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Panetolikos or draw at HT	67.0%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Aris or Panetolikos at HT	49.3%	52.8%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris or draw (1UP)	79.6%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Panetolikos or draw (1UP)	54.1%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris or draw in 2nd half	79.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Panetolikos or draw in 2nd half	63.3%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Aris or Panetolikos in 2nd half	56.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.6%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	30.4%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris (DNB)	69.2%	67.4%	55.0%	1.23×	1.48
Panetolikos (DNB)	30.8%	32.6%	45.0%	0.72×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris to score first	52.7%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Panetolikos to score first	32.1%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
No goal scored	15.1%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.9%	55.0%	51.6%	1.07×	1.82
Both teams to score	41.1%	45.0%	48.4%	0.93×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	51.4%	47.2%	38.7%	1.22×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	26.1%	33.3%	35.5%	0.94×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	15.0%	12.4%	13.1%	0.94×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	7.5%	8.3%	13.1%	0.63×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.4%	89.0%	88.9%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.6%	11.0%	11.1%	0.99×	9.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	80.0%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.0%	28.3%	—	—	3.53

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	70.5%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Both score 2nd half only	17.8%	15.1%	—	—	6.64
Both score 1st half only	9.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
Both score in both halves	2.2%	4.8%	—	—	20.68

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.4%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	11.6%	14.4%	—	—	6.96

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	58.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	41.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.8%	47.2%	50.8%	0.93×	2.12
0-1 goals	37.0%	35.1%	26.8%	1.31×	2.85
4-6 goals	14.7%	17.0%	21.7%	0.78×	5.89
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	1.0%	1.79×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos to score exactly 0	46.0%	42.9%	32.2%	1.33×	2.33
Panetolikos to score exactly 1	35.7%	35.9%	35.5%	1.01×	2.78
Panetolikos to score exactly 2	13.9%	12.9%	22.5%	0.57×	7.76
Panetolikos to score 3+	4.4%	4.6%	10.2%	0.45×	21.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris to score exactly 1	35.6%	35.6%	33.6%	1.06×	2.81
Aris to score exactly 0	28.0%	26.6%	27.9%	0.95×	3.77
Aris to score exactly 2	22.7%	23.3%	20.7%	1.13×	4.29
Aris to score 3+	13.7%	14.3%	18.2%	0.79×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	50.7%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Aris leading at HT	33.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Panetolikos leading at HT	16.3%	16.0%	—	—	6.26

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris -1: 2	54.1%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Aris -1: X	23.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Aris -1: 1	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos (0:1)	54.1%	51.4%	58.6%	0.88×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	23.7%	24.2%	20.5%	1.18×	4.13
Aris (0:1)	22.2%	24.2%	21.1%	1.15×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos (0:2)	77.8%	79.4%	78.9%	1.01×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.3%	11.0%	10.7%	1.03×	9.09
Aris (0:2)	7.9%	7.7%	10.7%	0.72×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos (0:3)	92.1%	92.7%	89.3%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.6%	5.8%	8.0%	0.73×	17.26
Aris (0:3)	2.2%	2.4%	2.9%	0.83×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos (0:4)	97.8%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	1.8%	0.66×	81.98
Aris (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.2%	0.99×	82.11

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris (1:0)	79.6%	78.6%	66.2%	1.19×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	13.6%	12.7%	20.1%	0.63×	7.87
Panetolikos (1:0)	6.9%	6.9%	13.9%	0.50×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris (2:0)	93.1%	94.0%	86.1%	1.09×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.3%	6.4%	8.4%	0.76×	15.69
Panetolikos (2:0)	1.6%	2.3%	5.7%	0.40×	43.79

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	41.8%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Halves equal	33.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
1st half highest scoring	25.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris to concede	54.0%	53.2%	67.8%	0.78×	1.88
Aris clean sheet	46.0%	46.8%	32.2%	1.45×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris clean sheet in 1st half	73.3%	66.9%	—	—	1.49
Aris to concede in 1st half	26.7%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris clean sheet in 2nd half	62.8%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Aris to concede in 2nd half	37.2%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris over 2.5 corners	83.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Aris under 6.5 corners	71.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Aris over 3.5 corners	70.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Aris under 5.5 corners	59.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Aris over 4.5 corners	55.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Aris under 4.5 corners	44.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Aris over 5.5 corners	40.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Aris under 3.5 corners	29.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Aris over 6.5 corners	28.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Aris under 2.5 corners	16.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris under 3.5 goals	96.0%	96.4%	94.3%	1.02×	1.04
Aris under 2.5 goals	86.3%	87.3%	81.8%	1.07×	1.15
Aris over 0.5 goals	72.0%	74.2%	72.1%	1.03×	1.35
Aris under 1.5 goals	63.6%	63.6%	61.3%	1.04×	1.57
Aris over 1.5 goals	36.4%	36.4%	38.7%	0.94×	2.75
Aris under 0.5 goals	28.0%	25.8%	27.9%	0.92×	3.88
Aris over 2.5 goals	13.7%	12.8%	18.2%	0.70×	7.84
Aris over 3.5 goals	4.0%	3.6%	5.7%	0.63×	27.49

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris under 1.5 in 1st half	89.5%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Aris under 0.5 in 1st half	57.8%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Aris over 0.5 in 1st half	42.2%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Aris over 1.5 in 1st half	10.5%	9.8%	—	—	10.25

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris scores equally in both	40.3%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Aris scores more in 2nd half	35.4%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Aris scores more in 1st half	24.3%	21.2%	—	—	4.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	62.2%	60.0%	42.5%	1.41×	1.67
Panetolikos (home no bet)	37.8%	40.0%	57.5%	0.70×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris even goals	53.9%	50.7%	52.9%	0.96×	1.97
Aris odd goals	46.1%	49.3%	47.1%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	42.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
HT 1-0	22.8%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	12.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	7.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 2-0	6.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 0-2	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
Any other HT score	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.19

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris at HT / Aris at FT	26.8%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	24.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Aris at FT	17.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Panetolikos at HT / Panetolikos at FT	10.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / Panetolikos at FT	9.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.39
Aris at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Panetolikos at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Panetolikos at HT / Aris at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Aris at HT / Panetolikos at FT	1.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris to score last	53.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Panetolikos to score last	31.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
No goal scored	15.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.96

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	84.9%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Aris to lead by 1 at any time	58.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	36.1%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Panetolikos to lead by 1 at any time	35.1%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Aris to lead by 2 at any time	26.4%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Panetolikos to lead by 2 at any time	9.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.85
Aris to lead by 3 at any time	9.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.88
Panetolikos to lead by 3 at any time	2.1%	1.6%	—	—	62.94

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris most corners	68.5%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Panetolikos most corners	21.1%	25.9%	—	—	3.87
Corners level	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.0%	83.4%	88.5%	0.94×	1.20
1-4 goals	79.1%	78.7%	80.1%	0.98×	1.27
1-3 goals	69.7%	68.8%	69.3%	0.99×	1.45
2-6 goals	62.5%	63.3%	72.3%	0.88×	1.58
2-5 goals	61.1%	63.3%	70.1%	0.90×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.2%	59.1%	61.7%	0.96×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.2%	53.2%	43.4%	1.22×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.8%	48.5%	50.8%	0.95×	2.06
3-6 goals	33.1%	35.2%	47.5%	0.74×	2.84
3-5 goals	31.8%	35.2%	45.3%	0.78×	2.84
3-4 goals	27.9%	30.2%	36.9%	0.82×	3.31
4-6 goals	14.7%	14.8%	21.7%	0.68×	6.75
4-5 goals	13.3%	14.8%	19.5%	0.76×	6.75
5-6 goals	5.2%	8.9%	10.9%	0.82×	11.29
7+ goals	0.5%	2.5%	1.0%	2.49×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris never behind	49.7%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Panetolikos never behind	26.5%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	55.3%	50.5%	46.3%	1.09×	1.98
Odd number of goals	44.7%	49.5%	53.7%	0.92×	2.02

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	40.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	56.2%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Odd goals in 2nd half	43.8%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.2%	95.4%	96.7%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.3%	92.3%	88.3%	1.04×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	84.9%	82.3%	91.6%	0.90×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	84.8%	82.3%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	66.3%	66.3%	51.6%	1.28×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	63.0%	61.7%	73.2%	0.84×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	37.0%	38.3%	26.8%	1.43×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	33.7%	33.7%	48.4%	0.70×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	15.2%	17.7%	22.5%	0.78×	5.66
Under 0.5 goals	15.1%	17.7%	8.4%	2.10×	5.66
Over 4.5 goals	5.7%	7.7%	11.7%	0.66×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	1.8%	4.6%	3.3%	1.39×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.5%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.1%	97.2%	96.4%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.7%	92.4%	86.9%	1.06×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	81.4%	81.1%	69.6%	1.16×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	52.4%	51.9%	35.7%	1.45×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.6%	48.1%	64.3%	0.75×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	18.6%	18.9%	30.4%	0.62×	5.28
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.3%	7.6%	13.1%	0.58×	13.18
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.9%	2.8%	3.6%	0.78×	35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.5%	2.8%	1.0%	2.68×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.4%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	78.4%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	57.2%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	42.8%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	21.6%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.6%	7.2%	—	—	13.87

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.1%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	68.8%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	65.8%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	34.2%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.2%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	11.9%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos not to score in both halves	90.1%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Aris not to score in both halves	78.3%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Aris to score in both halves	21.8%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
Panetolikos to score in both halves	9.9%	10.1%	—	—	9.90

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	41.1%	46.5%	48.4%	0.96×	2.15
Only Aris scores	30.9%	33.3%	24.0%	1.39×	3.01
Neither team scores	15.1%	16.0%	8.4%	1.91×	6.24
Only Panetolikos scores	12.9%	11.0%	19.7%	0.56×	9.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	29.3%	24.9%	25.0%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	21.9%	22.6%	18.6%	1.21×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	18.5%	17.5%	26.0%	0.67×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	15.1%	17.5%	8.4%	2.08×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	9.5%	7.6%	11.1%	0.69×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	3.9%	4.5%	8.6%	0.52×	22.36
6 or more goals	1.8%	4.5%	3.3%	1.36×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	42.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
1 goal in 1st half	35.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	16.0%	15.6%	—	—	6.43
3+ goals in 1st half	5.6%	7.2%	—	—	13.87

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	34.7%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
2+ goals in 2nd half	34.2%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	31.2%	33.7%	—	—	2.97

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos not to win both halves	96.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Aris not to win both halves	87.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Aris to win both halves	12.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Panetolikos to win both halves	3.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.56

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos to win neither half	67.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Aris to win either half	57.2%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Aris to win neither half	42.8%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Panetolikos to win either half	33.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panetolikos not to win to nil	87.1%	88.1%	80.3%	1.10×	1.14
Aris not to win to nil	69.1%	69.7%	76.0%	0.92×	1.44
Aris to win to nil	30.9%	30.3%	24.0%	1.26×	3.30
Panetolikos to win to nil	12.9%	11.9%	19.7%	0.60×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	33.6%	27.7%	25.0%	1.11×	3.61
Aris by 1	23.7%	24.1%	20.5%	1.18×	4.15
Aris by 2	14.3%	11.8%	10.7%	1.10×	8.51
Panetolikos by 1	13.6%	11.8%	20.1%	0.59×	8.51
Aris by 3+	7.9%	7.2%	10.7%	0.68×	13.90
Panetolikos by 2	5.3%	7.2%	8.4%	0.86×	13.92
Panetolikos by 3+	1.6%	2.7%	5.7%	0.47×	36.88