betaider.com
Sign in

Arsenal v Brentford — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 9 March 2024 · ENG-Premier League · 2324

Premier League xG

2–1
1.59 – 0.73 xG
Shots
17 – 9
On target
5 – 4
Shots in box
11 – 6
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.08
Set-piece xG
0.31 – 0.15
Goals − xG
+0.41 – +0.27
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.91.31.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Declan Rice 18' — goalYoane Wissa 48' — goalKai Havertz 85' — goal
Arsenal 1.59 xGBrentford 0.73 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Yoane Wissa 3' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Christian Nørgaard 15' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Kai Havertz 17' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Martin Odegaard 17' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Declan Rice 18' — Goal (0.04 xG, Open Play)Kai Havertz 23' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Gabriel 26' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Keane Lewis-Potter 37' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Leandro Trossard 40' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Kai Havertz 42' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Martin Odegaard 45' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Bukayo Saka 48' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Yoane Wissa 48' — Goal (0.12 xG, Open Play)Yoane Wissa 49' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Vitaly Janelt 50' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Martin Odegaard 53' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Ivan Toney 54' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Gabriel 58' — Blocked Shot (0.13 xG, From Corner)Declan Rice 59' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Bukayo Saka 63' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Leandro Trossard 66' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Nathan Collins 70' — Saved Shot (0.36 xG, Open Play)Zanka 71' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Declan Rice 73' — Shot On Post (0.02 xG, From Corner)Kai Havertz 85' — Goal (0.54 xG, Open Play)Bukayo Saka 99' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)
Arsenal attacking right Brentford attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Brentford Yoane Wissa 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ivan Toney
15' Brentford Christian Nørgaard 0.08 From Corner Saved Shot Vitaly Janelt
17' Arsenal Kai Havertz 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Martin Odegaard
17' Arsenal Martin Odegaard 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Leandro Trossard
18' Arsenal Declan Rice 0.04 Open Play Goal Ben White
23' Arsenal Kai Havertz 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Martin Odegaard
26' Arsenal Gabriel 0.07 From Corner Missed Shot
37' Brentford Keane Lewis-Potter 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Yoane Wissa
40' Arsenal Leandro Trossard 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Jorginho
42' Arsenal Kai Havertz 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Leandro Trossard
45' Arsenal Martin Odegaard 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Bukayo Saka
48' Arsenal Bukayo Saka 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Leandro Trossard
48' Brentford Yoane Wissa 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Goal
49' Brentford Yoane Wissa 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Ivan Toney
50' Brentford Vitaly Janelt 0.05 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
53' Arsenal Martin Odegaard 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
54' Brentford Ivan Toney 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Vitaly Janelt
58' Arsenal Gabriel 0.13 From Corner Blocked Shot Bukayo Saka
59' Arsenal Declan Rice 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
63' Arsenal Bukayo Saka 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Ben White
66' Arsenal Leandro Trossard 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Jakub Kiwior
70' Brentford Nathan Collins 0.36 Open Play Saved Shot Kristoffer Ajer
71' Brentford Zanka 0.02 From Corner Blocked Shot Mathias Jensen
73' Arsenal Declan Rice 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Shot On Post Martin Odegaard
85' Arsenal Kai Havertz 0.54 Open Play Goal Ben White
99' Arsenal Bukayo Saka 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Reiss Nelson

Players

Arsenal

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Kai Havertz FW 90 1 0 4 0 0.82 0.00 0.82
Gabriel DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.20 0.00 0.37
Bukayo Saka FWR 90 0 0 3 2 0.17 0.19 0.47
Martin Odegaard MC 90 0 0 3 3 0.16 0.20 1.10
Declan Rice MC 90 1 0 3 0 0.10 0.00 0.22
Aaron Ramsdale GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Ben White DR 90 0 2 0 3 0.00 0.62 1.11
William Saliba DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.41
Leandro Trossard FWL 84 0 0 2 3 0.13 0.20 0.40
Jakub Kiwior DL 84 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.49
Jorginho MC 75 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.43
Gabriel Jesus Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Oleksandr Zinchenko Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Reiss Nelson Sub 6 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.10
Thomas Partey Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Brentford

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Nathan Collins DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.36 0.00 0.40
Vitaly Janelt MC 90 0 0 1 2 0.05 0.09 0.37
Keane Lewis-Potter DML 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.42
Zanka DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.01
Ivan Toney FW 90 0 0 1 2 0.01 0.04 0.10
Kristoffer Ajer DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.36 0.36
Mads Roerslev DMR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mark Flekken GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Yoane Wissa FW 83 1 0 3 1 0.16 0.05 0.21
Frank Onyeka MC 83 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mathias Jensen Sub 57 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.07
Christian Nørgaard MC 33 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.00
Neal Maupay Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yehor Yarmolyuk Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Saman Ghoddos Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mikkel Damsgaard Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide