Arsenal v Burnley — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 11 November 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
16 – 8
On target
6 – 5
Shots in box
12 – 4
xG per shot
0.16 – 0.04
Set-piece xG
1.12 – 0.04
Goals − xG
+0.37 – +0.67
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Arsenal 2.63 xGBurnley 0.33 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Arsenal attacking right
Burnley attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5' |
 Arsenal |
Gabriel | 0.06 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Bukayo Saka |
| 7' |
 Burnley |
Zeki Amdouni | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Louis Beyer |
| 19' |
Arsenal |
Bukayo Saka | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 19' |
Arsenal |
Takehiro Tomiyasu | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 24' |
Arsenal |
Kai Havertz | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 27' |
Burnley |
Jay Rodriguez | 0.05 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Johann Berg Gudmundsson |
| 29' |
Arsenal |
Kai Havertz | 0.09 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Bukayo Saka |
| 30' |
Burnley |
Johann Berg Gudmundsson | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 31' |
Burnley |
Jay Rodriguez | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Louis Beyer |
| 35' |
Arsenal |
Leandro Trossard | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Kai Havertz |
| 36' |
Arsenal |
Bukayo Saka | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Gabriel |
| 44' |
Arsenal |
Bukayo Saka | 0.06 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Oleksandr Zinchenko |
| 44' |
Arsenal |
Gabriel | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Jorginho |
| 45' |
Arsenal |
Leandro Trossard | 0.95 | Open Play | — | Goal | Bukayo Saka |
| 49' |
Arsenal |
Gabriel | 0.09 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Gabriel Martinelli |
| 53' |
Burnley |
Josh Brownhill | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 56' |
Arsenal |
Gabriel Martinelli | 0.12 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Declan Rice |
| 56' |
Arsenal |
William Saliba | 0.80 | From Corner | — | Goal | Leandro Trossard |
| 64' |
Burnley |
Luca Koleosho | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Josh Brownhill |
| 66' |
Arsenal |
Declan Rice | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Leandro Trossard |
| 73' |
Arsenal |
Oleksandr Zinchenko | 0.07 | From Corner | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 78' |
Arsenal |
Leandro Trossard | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Gabriel Martinelli |
| 85' |
Burnley |
Dara O'Shea | 0.04 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Johann Berg Gudmundsson |
| 99' |
Burnley |
Michael Obafemi | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Wilson Odobert |
Players
Burnley
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Rodriguez FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Johann Berg Gudmundsson MR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.27 |
| Dara O'Shea DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Vitinho DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Sander Berge MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Charlie Taylor DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Louis Beyer DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| James Trafford GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| Josh Brownhill MC | 89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.14 |
| Zeki Amdouni FW | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Luca Koleosho ML | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen Sub | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Aaron Ramsey Sub | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Michael Obafemi Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Wilson Odobert Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
Arsenal
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Saliba DC | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Gabriel DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| Gabriel Martinelli FWL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| Oleksandr Zinchenko DL | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| Declan Rice MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.12 | 0.30 |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Jorginho MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| David Raya GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Leandro Trossard FW | 85 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1.09 | 0.84 | 1.13 |
| Bukayo Saka FWR | 85 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0.14 | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| Kai Havertz MC | 63 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| Fábio Vieira Sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Eddie Nketiah Sub | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Reiss Nelson Sub | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jakub Kiwior Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |