betaider.com
Sign in

Arsenal v Coventry — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 21 August 2026 · ENG-Premier League · 2627

Premier League xG

3–0
1.85 – 0.56 xG
Shots
20 – 4
On target
5 – 1
Shots in box
10 – 1
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.14
Set-piece xG
0.22 – 0.00
Goals − xG
+1.15 – -0.56
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.51.01.62.10'15'30'45'60'75'90'Kai Havertz 14' — goalBukayo Saka 22' — goalMartin Odegaard 48' — goal
Arsenal 1.85 xGCoventry 0.56 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Christos Tzolis 4' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Bukayo Saka 6' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Christos Tzolis 7' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Declan Rice 8' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Loum Tchaouna 12' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Kai Havertz 14' — Goal (0.10 xG, Open Play)Bukayo Saka 22' — Goal (0.63 xG, Open Play)Ben White 32' — Blocked Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Riccardo Calafiori 37' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Loum Tchaouna 41' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Martin Odegaard 45' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Declan Rice 46' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Martin Odegaard 48' — Goal (0.14 xG, Open Play)Myles Lewis-Skelly 51' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Christos Tzolis 60' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Bukayo Saka 61' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Christos Tzolis 64' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Bobby Thomas 66' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Martin Odegaard 71' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Mikel Merino 77' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Gabriel 81' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Jack Rudoni 85' — Saved Shot (0.51 xG, Open Play)Mikel Merino 90' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Eberechi Eze 94' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)
Arsenal attacking right Coventry attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Arsenal Christos Tzolis 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Martin Odegaard
6' Arsenal Bukayo Saka 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Christos Tzolis
7' Arsenal Christos Tzolis 0.05 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Ben White
8' Arsenal Declan Rice 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Christos Tzolis
12' Coventry Loum Tchaouna 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Ellis Simms
14' Arsenal Kai Havertz 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Goal Riccardo Calafiori
22' Arsenal Bukayo Saka 0.63 Open Play Left Foot Goal —
32' Arsenal Ben White 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Martin Odegaard
37' Arsenal Riccardo Calafiori 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Christos Tzolis
41' Coventry Loum Tchaouna 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Bobby Thomas
45' Arsenal Martin Odegaard 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Bukayo Saka
46' Arsenal Declan Rice 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Bukayo Saka
48' Arsenal Martin Odegaard 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Goal Ben White
51' Arsenal Myles Lewis-Skelly 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Kai Havertz
60' Arsenal Christos Tzolis 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Martin Odegaard
61' Arsenal Bukayo Saka 0.05 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Myles Lewis-Skelly
64' Arsenal Christos Tzolis 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot —
66' Coventry Bobby Thomas 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
71' Arsenal Martin Odegaard 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Noni Madueke
77' Arsenal Mikel Merino 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Noni Madueke
81' Arsenal Gabriel 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Noni Madueke
85' Coventry Jack Rudoni 0.51 Open Play — Saved Shot Victor Torp
90' Arsenal Mikel Merino 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Noni Madueke
94' Arsenal Eberechi Eze 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot —

Players

Arsenal

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Ben White DR 90 0 1 1 2 0.13 0.19 0.62
Kai Havertz FW 90 1 0 1 1 0.10 0.05 0.51
Myles Lewis-Skelly DMC 90 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.05 0.60
Gabriel DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.41
Cristhian Mosquera DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.38
David Raya GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.21
Riccardo Calafiori DL 83 0 1 1 1 0.08 0.10 0.71
Christos Tzolis AML 78 0 0 4 3 0.24 0.19 0.79
Martin Odegaard AMC 78 1 0 3 3 0.23 0.29 0.64
Bukayo Saka AMR 70 1 0 3 2 0.78 0.05 1.15
Declan Rice DMC 70 0 0 2 0 0.04 0.00 0.54
Noni Madueke Sub 20 0 0 0 4 0.00 0.25 0.25
Martín Zubimendi Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Mikel Merino Sub 12 0 0 2 0 0.14 0.00 0.17
Eberechi Eze Sub 12 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.00
Piero Hincapié Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03

Coventry

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Bobby Thomas DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.03 0.04
Matt Grimes DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.52
Frank Onyeka MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Carl Rushworth GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Milan van Ewijk DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Aurèle Amenda DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.52
Jay Dasilva DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Loum Tchaouna MR 84 0 0 2 0 0.05 0.00 0.05
Ellis Simms FW 72 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.01
Brandon Thomas-Asante ML 72 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Caleb Yirenkyi MC 64 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Victor Torp Sub 26 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.51 0.51
Jack Rudoni Sub 18 0 0 1 0 0.51 0.00 0.51
Taiwo Awoniyi Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gustavo Hamer Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide