Arsenal v Leeds United — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 23 August 2025 · ENG-Premier League · 2526
Premier League
xG
Shots
18 – 3
On target
5 – 1
Shots in box
13 – 2
xG per shot
0.15 – 0.05
Set-piece xG
1.40 – 0.08
Goals − xG
+2.23 – -0.16
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Arsenal 2.77 xGLeeds United 0.16 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Arsenal attacking right
Leeds United attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4' |
 Arsenal |
Martin Odegaard | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Noni Madueke |
| 7' |
Arsenal |
Martin Odegaard | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Bukayo Saka |
| 10' |
 Leeds United |
Daniel James | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Anton Stach |
| 14' |
Arsenal |
Gabriel | 0.03 | Set Piece | — | Missed Shot | Declan Rice |
| 15' |
Arsenal |
Viktor Gyokeres | 0.48 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 18' |
Leeds United |
Daniel James | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Anton Stach |
| 19' |
Leeds United |
Pascal Struijk | 0.08 | From Corner | — | Saved Shot | Anton Stach |
| 33' |
Arsenal |
Jurriën Timber | 0.13 | From Corner | — | Goal | Declan Rice |
| 37' |
Arsenal |
Martín Zubimendi | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 45' |
Arsenal |
Bukayo Saka | 0.26 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Jurriën Timber |
| 47' |
Arsenal |
Viktor Gyokeres | 0.18 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Riccardo Calafiori |
| 50' |
Arsenal |
Riccardo Calafiori | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Bukayo Saka |
| 54' |
Arsenal |
Ethan Nwaneri | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Jurriën Timber |
| 55' |
Arsenal |
Jurriën Timber | 0.16 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Declan Rice |
| 55' |
Arsenal |
Jurriën Timber | 0.17 | From Corner | Right Foot | Goal | Riccardo Calafiori |
| 55' |
Arsenal |
Riccardo Calafiori | 0.12 | From Corner | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Jurriën Timber |
| 61' |
Arsenal |
Leandro Trossard | 0.14 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Noni Madueke |
| 61' |
Arsenal |
Riccardo Calafiori | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 74' |
Arsenal |
Max Dowman | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Leandro Trossard |
| 80' |
Arsenal |
Max Dowman | 0.02 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 94' |
Arsenal |
Viktor Gyokeres | 0.76 | Right Foot | Goal | — |
Players
Arsenal
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Gyokeres FW | 90 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1.42 | 0.00 | 0.70 |
| Martín Zubimendi MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| Gabriel DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.41 |
| William Saliba DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.46 |
| David Raya GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.21 |
| Declan Rice MC | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| Jurriën Timber DR | 67 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0.47 | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| Riccardo Calafiori DL | 67 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0.24 | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| Noni Madueke FWL | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.38 |
| Bukayo Saka FWR | 56 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.26 | 0.08 | 0.34 |
| Ethan Nwaneri Sub | 53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| Martin Odegaard MC | 37 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Leandro Trossard Sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.07 | 0.21 |
| Max Dowman Sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Myles Lewis-Skelly Sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Cristhian Mosquera Sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Leeds United
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Struijk DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Lucas Perri GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Joe Rodon DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ilia Gruev MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Gabriel Gudmundsson DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Anton Stach MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| Jayden Bogle DR | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Daniel James FWR | 69 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Wilfried Gnonto FWL | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Ao Tanaka MC | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Joël Piroe FW | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Sean Longstaff Sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lukas Nmecha Sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Noah Okafor Sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Brenden Aaronson Sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Sam Byram Sub | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |