Arsenal v Luton — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 3 April 2024 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
13 – 6
On target
4 – 1
Shots in box
9 – 3
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.05
Set-piece xG
0.08 – 0.06
Goals − xG
+0.81 – -0.29
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Arsenal 1.19 xGLuton 0.29 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Arsenal attacking right
Luton attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7' |
 Arsenal |
Kai Havertz | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Emile Smith-Rowe |
| 7' |
Arsenal |
Oleksandr Zinchenko | 0.03 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Martin Odegaard |
| 12' |
Arsenal |
Martin Odegaard | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Emile Smith-Rowe |
| 19' |
Arsenal |
Emile Smith-Rowe | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 22' |
Arsenal |
Leandro Trossard | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 23' |
Arsenal |
Martin Odegaard | 0.36 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Kai Havertz |
| 29' |
 Luton |
Jordan Clark | 0.03 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Andros Townsend |
| 33' |
Arsenal |
Emile Smith-Rowe | 0.13 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Martin Odegaard |
| 33' |
Arsenal |
Martin Odegaard | 0.13 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 33' |
Arsenal |
Reiss Nelson | 0.14 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 40' |
Arsenal |
Kai Havertz | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Reiss Nelson |
| 41' |
Arsenal |
Leandro Trossard | 0.06 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Oleksandr Zinchenko |
| 43' |
Luton |
Daiki Hashioka | 0.00 | Open Play | Right Foot | Own Goal | — |
| 50' |
Luton |
Ross Barkley | 0.06 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 79' |
Arsenal |
Takehiro Tomiyasu | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Leandro Trossard |
| 86' |
Luton |
Daiki Hashioka | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 87' |
Arsenal |
Eddie Nketiah | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Jorginho |
| 89' |
Luton |
Luke Berry | 0.04 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Issa Kabore |
| 93' |
Luton |
Ross Barkley | 0.13 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Daiki Hashioka |
Players
Arsenal
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Odegaard MC | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.51 | 0.16 | 0.66 |
| Emile Smith-Rowe MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.08 | 0.64 |
| Leandro Trossard FWL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 0.21 |
| Ben White DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| William Saliba DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Gabriel DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| David Raya GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Reiss Nelson FWR | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.07 | 0.42 |
| Oleksandr Zinchenko DL | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.22 |
| Thomas Partey MC | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Kai Havertz FW | 71 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.36 | 0.51 |
| Eddie Nketiah Sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Declan Rice Sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu Sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Gabriel Martinelli Sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jorginho Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
Luton
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Barkley MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Daiki Hashioka DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| Jordan Clark AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Teden Mengi DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Issa Kabore DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| Carlton Morris FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Alfie Doughty DML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Thomas Kaminski GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Andros Townsend AMC | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Fred Onyedinma DMR | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu MC | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Tahith Chong Sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Cauley Woodrow Sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Luke Berry Sub | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 |