Ascoli v Sampdoria — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 27 October 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Ascoli

18:00 UTC

Sampdoria

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 7h before kick-off

Ascoli win

50.2%

Draw

27.8%

Sampdoria win

22.0%

502822

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.3%
1-0 10.6%
2-0 9.6%
2-1 9.5%
0-0 8.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.0%	Under 2.5	52.0%
BTTS yes	51.6%	BTTS no	48.4%
Ascoli 1+	79.9%	Ascoli 2+	47.6%
Sampdoria 1+	62.9%	Sampdoria 2+	26.1%

Expected goals 1.60 – 0.99. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

37/100

Data quality

40/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Ascoli carry the stronger rating, 1515 Elo against 1399.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 40/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Ascoli have only 2 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Ascoli have an estimated 50.2% win probability, against 27.8% for the draw and 22.0% for Sampdoria. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.60 for Ascoli and 0.99 for Sampdoria.

Why Ascoli

Ascoli carry the stronger rating, 1515 Elo against 1399. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.8%. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Sampdoria can win

Nothing in the data singles out Sampdoria.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Ascoli, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sampdoria, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Ascoli: 63% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 21.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sampdoria: 57% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Ascoli are the model's most likely outcome at 50.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.3%. Confidence 37/100, data quality 40/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

No channel's listings name this match. That is the guide being silent rather than the match being off — most listings say "Live: Premier League" or the name of a studio show, not who is playing. Open the 333 sports channels →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	502822	1.60–0.99	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	513019	1.40–0.76	1-0 15%	37%	42%
deep	513019	1.40–0.76	1-0 15%	37%	42%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli to win	50.5%	51.5%	42.7%	1.21×	1.94
Draw	30.4%	30.4%	31.9%	0.95×	3.29
Sampdoria to win	19.0%	19.4%	25.5%	0.76×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli & not both score	33.6%	29.6%	23.9%	1.24×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	17.4%	18.0%	22.9%	0.78×	5.57
Ascoli & both teams score	16.9%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.57
Draw & not both score	13.0%	13.3%	9.1%	1.46×	7.54
Sampdoria & not both score	11.8%	13.3%	13.3%	1.00×	7.54
Sampdoria & both teams score	7.3%	8.3%	12.3%	0.68×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli & under 3.5	39.7%	34.9%	31.9%	1.09×	2.87
Ascoli & over 1.5	35.9%	34.9%	31.8%	1.10×	2.87
Draw & under 2.5	26.7%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.7%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Ascoli & under 2.5	25.9%	26.0%	18.4%	1.41×	3.84
Ascoli & over 2.5	24.6%	21.6%	24.4%	0.89×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	17.4%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.55
Sampdoria & under 3.5	16.3%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Ascoli & under 1.5	14.7%	12.8%	11.1%	1.16×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	13.0%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Sampdoria & over 1.5	11.7%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
Sampdoria & under 2.5	10.7%	12.8%	10.6%	1.21×	7.79
Ascoli & over 3.5	10.8%	12.8%	11.0%	1.17×	7.79
Sampdoria & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Sampdoria & over 2.5	8.3%	7.9%	15.1%	0.53×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.7%	4.8%	8.3%	0.58×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.7%	4.8%	8.3%	0.58×	20.82
Sampdoria & over 3.5	2.8%	4.8%	5.7%	0.84×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli (1UP)	62.3%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Sampdoria (1UP)	33.8%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli (2UP)	50.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Sampdoria (2UP)	19.0%	17.2%	—	—	5.83

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.9%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Ascoli to win 2nd half	40.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Sampdoria to win 2nd half	19.1%	18.0%	—	—	5.56

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.2%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Sampdoria under 0.5 in 2nd half	63.2%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Sampdoria over 0.5 in 2nd half	36.8%	39.6%	—	—	2.52
Sampdoria over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.8%	8.3%	—	—	12.10

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.0%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Ascoli over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.9%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Ascoli under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.1%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Ascoli over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.0%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (+2.5)	90.2%	92.1%	93.3%	0.99×	1.09
Ascoli (+0.5)	81.0%	82.6%	74.5%	1.11×	1.21
Sampdoria (+1.5)	74.4%	73.7%	80.3%	0.92×	1.36
Ascoli (-0.5)	50.5%	52.4%	42.7%	1.23×	1.91
Sampdoria (+0.5)	49.5%	47.6%	57.3%	0.83×	2.10
Ascoli (-1.5)	25.6%	26.3%	19.7%	1.34×	3.80
Sampdoria (-0.5)	19.0%	17.4%	25.5%	0.68×	5.73
Ascoli (-2.5)	9.8%	7.9%	6.7%	1.17×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria to concede	75.2%	78.7%	77.7%	1.01×	1.27
Sampdoria clean sheet	24.8%	21.3%	22.3%	0.95×	4.70

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria clean sheet in 1st half	54.9%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Sampdoria to concede in 1st half	45.1%	49.0%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria to concede in 2nd half	54.9%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Sampdoria clean sheet in 2nd half	45.1%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria under 3.5 goals	99.2%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Sampdoria under 2.5 goals	95.8%	97.5%	90.8%	1.07×	1.03
Sampdoria under 1.5 goals	82.2%	81.5%	69.4%	1.18×	1.23
Sampdoria over 0.5 goals	53.4%	53.5%	67.1%	0.80×	1.87
Sampdoria under 0.5 goals	46.6%	46.5%	32.9%	1.41×	2.15
Sampdoria over 1.5 goals	17.8%	18.5%	30.6%	0.60×	5.41
Sampdoria over 2.5 goals	4.2%	2.5%	9.2%	0.27×	39.75
Sampdoria over 3.5 goals	0.8%	2.5%	1.9%	1.34×	39.93

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria under 1.5 in 1st half	96.2%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
Sampdoria under 0.5 in 1st half	73.7%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Sampdoria over 0.5 in 1st half	26.3%	31.8%	—	—	3.14
Sampdoria over 1.5 in 1st half	3.8%	3.9%	—	—	25.51

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria scores equally in both	53.4%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Sampdoria scores more in 2nd half	28.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Sampdoria scores more in 1st half	17.8%	18.0%	—	—	5.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli (away no bet)	62.4%	61.9%	57.3%	1.08×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	37.6%	38.1%	42.7%	0.89×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria even goals	60.9%	59.1%	55.4%	1.07×	1.69
Sampdoria odd goals	39.1%	40.9%	44.6%	0.92×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.8%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.2%	8.5%	—	—	11.79

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	51.2%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Both halves under 1.5 goals	48.8%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	45.4%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Ascoli to score 2+ in a row	35.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Sampdoria to score 2+ in a row	13.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Ascoli to score 3+ in a row	12.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.23
Sampdoria to score 3+ in a row	2.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.49

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	14.7%	11.5%	11.1%	1.04×	8.71
1-1	13.8%	11.5%	14.7%	0.78×	8.71
0-0	13.0%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.71
2-0	11.2%	11.5%	7.5%	1.54×	8.72
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
0-1	7.4%	7.4%	6.8%	1.08×	13.51
3-0	5.2%	7.4%	4.0%	1.86×	13.51
2-2	3.3%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.30
2-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	13.72×	58.32
3-1	4.0%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.58×	58.32
4-0	1.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.31
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.31
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	6.89×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	13.72×	58.32
Any other score	1.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31
0-2	3.4%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.30
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.32
1-2	4.7%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.29
1-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.58×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli (2nd half DNB)	67.7%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Sampdoria (2nd half DNB)	32.3%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli leading at HT (DNB)	69.8%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Sampdoria leading at HT (DNB)	30.2%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli or draw (1X)	81.0%	80.6%	74.5%	1.08×	1.24
Ascoli or Sampdoria (12)	69.6%	69.6%	68.1%	1.02×	1.44
Sampdoria or draw (X2)	49.5%	48.5%	57.3%	0.85×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli or draw at HT	84.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Sampdoria or draw at HT	64.2%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Ascoli or Sampdoria at HT	51.3%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli or draw (1UP)	81.0%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Sampdoria or draw (1UP)	49.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli or draw in 2nd half	80.9%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Sampdoria or draw in 2nd half	60.0%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Ascoli or Sampdoria in 2nd half	59.1%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.2%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	31.8%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli (DNB)	72.6%	71.4%	62.6%	1.14×	1.40
Sampdoria (DNB)	27.4%	28.6%	37.4%	0.76×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli to score first	56.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Sampdoria to score first	30.8%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
No goal scored	13.0%	10.0%	—	—	10.00

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.4%	55.0%	46.1%	1.19×	1.82
Both teams to score	41.6%	45.0%	53.9%	0.83×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	49.6%	44.3%	37.9%	1.17×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	27.9%	33.3%	39.4%	0.85×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	13.8%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.3%	8.3%	0.99×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.8%	89.0%	86.1%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.2%	11.0%	13.9%	0.79×	9.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.3%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	69.6%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
Both score 2nd half only	18.3%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Both score 1st half only	9.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.61
Both score in both halves	2.4%	4.8%	—	—	20.68

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.9%	85.1%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	12.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.69

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	56.7%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A goal in each half	43.3%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.7%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12
0-1 goals	35.0%	35.0%	26.8%	1.31×	2.86
4-6 goals	16.6%	20.2%	23.5%	0.86×	4.95
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	1.4%	1.34×	54.50

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria to score exactly 0	46.6%	42.9%	32.9%	1.31×	2.33
Sampdoria to score exactly 1	35.6%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Sampdoria to score exactly 2	13.6%	12.9%	21.5%	0.60×	7.75
Sampdoria to score 3+	4.2%	4.6%	9.2%	0.50×	21.79

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli to score exactly 1	34.6%	32.6%	35.9%	0.91×	3.07
Ascoli to score exactly 0	24.8%	23.3%	22.3%	1.05×	4.29
Ascoli to score exactly 2	24.1%	23.3%	25.9%	0.90×	4.29
Ascoli to score 3+	16.5%	18.8%	16.2%	1.16×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.7%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Ascoli leading at HT	35.8%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
Sampdoria leading at HT	15.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli -1: 2	49.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Ascoli -1: 1	25.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Ascoli -1: X	24.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (0:1)	49.5%	46.1%	57.3%	0.81×	2.17
Ascoli (0:1)	25.6%	27.0%	19.7%	1.37×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	24.9%	24.2%	23.2%	1.05×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (0:2)	74.4%	75.7%	80.3%	0.94×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.8%	15.2%	13.1%	1.16×	6.57
Ascoli (0:2)	9.8%	7.7%	6.7%	1.14×	13.03

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (0:3)	90.2%	92.7%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.8%	5.8%	4.6%	1.26×	17.25
Ascoli (0:3)	3.0%	2.4%	2.2%	1.06×	42.01

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria (0:4)	97.0%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	1.4%	0.89×	81.65
Ascoli (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.0%	1.23×	81.82

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli (1:0)	81.0%	81.4%	74.5%	1.09×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	13.0%	12.7%	15.7%	0.81×	7.87
Sampdoria (1:0)	6.1%	6.9%	10.0%	0.69×	14.52

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli (2:0)	93.9%	94.0%	90.0%	1.04×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.7%	2.3%	6.5%	0.35×	43.63
Sampdoria (2:0)	1.3%	2.3%	3.6%	0.63×	43.84

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.1%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Halves equal	31.0%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
1st half highest scoring	25.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli to concede	53.4%	53.2%	67.1%	0.79×	1.88
Ascoli clean sheet	46.6%	46.8%	32.9%	1.42×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli clean sheet in 1st half	73.7%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Ascoli to concede in 1st half	26.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli clean sheet in 2nd half	63.2%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Ascoli to concede in 2nd half	36.8%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli under 3.5 goals	94.7%	92.2%	95.9%	0.96×	1.08
Ascoli under 2.5 goals	83.5%	82.2%	83.8%	0.98×	1.22
Ascoli over 0.5 goals	75.2%	77.7%	77.7%	1.00×	1.29
Ascoli under 1.5 goals	59.3%	58.7%	58.0%	1.01×	1.71
Ascoli over 1.5 goals	40.7%	41.3%	42.0%	0.99×	2.42
Ascoli under 0.5 goals	24.8%	22.3%	22.3%	1.00×	4.49
Ascoli over 2.5 goals	16.5%	17.8%	16.2%	1.10×	5.62
Ascoli over 3.5 goals	5.3%	7.8%	4.1%	1.89×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli under 1.5 in 1st half	87.8%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Ascoli under 0.5 in 1st half	54.9%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Ascoli over 0.5 in 1st half	45.1%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Ascoli over 1.5 in 1st half	12.2%	9.8%	—	—	10.19

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli scores equally in both	38.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Ascoli scores more in 2nd half	36.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Ascoli scores more in 1st half	25.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	61.5%	60.0%	55.5%	1.08×	1.67
Sampdoria (home no bet)	38.5%	40.0%	44.5%	0.90×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli even goals	53.1%	50.8%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
Ascoli odd goals	46.9%	49.2%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	40.7%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	24.0%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	12.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	7.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 2-0	7.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-1	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 0-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.33
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli at HT / Ascoli at FT	29.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	21.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Ascoli at FT	18.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Sampdoria at HT / Sampdoria at FT	9.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.43
Draw at HT / Sampdoria at FT	8.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.45
Ascoli at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Sampdoria at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Sampdoria at HT / Ascoli at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Ascoli at HT / Sampdoria at FT	1.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli to score last	56.4%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Sampdoria to score last	30.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
No goal scored	13.0%	9.4%	—	—	10.64

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.0%	91.2%	—	—	1.10
Ascoli to lead by 1 at any time	62.3%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.0%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Sampdoria to lead by 1 at any time	33.8%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Ascoli to lead by 2 at any time	30.1%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.42
Ascoli to lead by 3 at any time	11.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.45
Sampdoria to lead by 2 at any time	9.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.97
Sampdoria to lead by 3 at any time	1.8%	1.6%	—	—	63.43

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.7%	83.4%	87.3%	0.96×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.2%	83.4%	82.1%	1.02×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.7%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-6 goals	64.3%	63.3%	72.0%	0.88×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.7%	63.3%	69.6%	0.91×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.2%	59.1%	64.4%	0.92×	1.69
1-2 goals	50.4%	53.1%	43.5%	1.22×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.7%	48.4%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
3-6 goals	35.9%	39.2%	46.3%	0.85×	2.55
3-5 goals	34.3%	35.2%	44.0%	0.80×	2.84
3-4 goals	29.8%	30.2%	38.7%	0.78×	3.31
4-6 goals	16.6%	18.8%	23.5%	0.80×	5.31
4-5 goals	15.0%	14.8%	21.2%	0.70×	6.75
5-6 goals	6.1%	8.9%	7.7%	1.15×	11.27
7+ goals	0.7%	2.5%	1.4%	1.86×	39.24

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ascoli never behind	53.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Sampdoria never behind	24.7%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.4%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.6%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.1%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.9%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.7%	95.4%	96.3%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	87.0%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	82.7%	82.3%	75.2%	1.09×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	65.0%	61.7%	73.2%	0.84×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	63.4%	61.7%	52.4%	1.18×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	36.6%	38.3%	47.6%	0.80×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	35.0%	38.3%	26.8%	1.43×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	17.3%	17.7%	24.8%	0.71×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	13.0%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	9.0%	0.86×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.3%	4.6%	3.7%	1.23×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.6%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.4%	92.4%	89.3%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	78.6%	75.9%	67.9%	1.12×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	51.1%	51.9%	64.0%	0.81×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	48.9%	48.1%	36.0%	1.34×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	21.4%	24.1%	32.1%	0.75×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.6%	7.6%	10.7%	0.71×	13.19
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.4%	2.8%	3.9%	0.71×	35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	1.4%	2.00×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.6%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.8%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	59.3%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Under 0.5 in 1st half	40.7%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.8%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.0%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.8%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.2%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.0%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.2%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria not to score in both halves	90.3%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Ascoli not to score in both halves	75.2%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Ascoli to score in both halves	24.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Sampdoria to score in both halves	9.7%	9.9%	—	—	10.08

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	41.6%	46.6%	53.9%	0.86×	2.15
Only Ascoli scores	33.6%	33.3%	23.9%	1.39×	3.00
Neither team scores	13.0%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.06
Only Sampdoria scores	11.8%	11.0%	13.3%	0.83×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.4%	24.9%	25.8%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	22.0%	22.6%	17.8%	1.27×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.4%	17.5%	22.9%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	13.0%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	10.5%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	4.5%	4.5%	5.4%	0.84×	22.33
6 or more goals	2.3%	4.5%	3.7%	1.20×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	40.7%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	16.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.06

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	36.2%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
1 goal in 2nd half	34.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
No goals in 2nd half	29.0%	29.1%	—	—	3.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria not to win both halves	96.9%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Ascoli not to win both halves	85.4%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Ascoli to win both halves	14.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Sampdoria to win both halves	3.1%	2.8%	—	—	35.94

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria to win neither half	68.5%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Ascoli to win either half	61.2%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Ascoli to win neither half	38.8%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Sampdoria to win either half	31.5%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sampdoria not to win to nil	88.2%	88.1%	86.7%	1.02×	1.14
Ascoli not to win to nil	66.4%	69.7%	76.1%	0.92×	1.44
Ascoli to win to nil	33.6%	30.3%	23.9%	1.27×	3.30
Sampdoria to win to nil	11.8%	11.9%	13.3%	0.89×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.4%	27.7%	31.9%	0.87×	3.61
Ascoli by 1	24.9%	24.1%	23.2%	1.04×	4.15
Ascoli by 2	15.8%	17.0%	13.1%	1.30×	5.87
Sampdoria by 1	13.0%	11.8%	15.7%	0.75×	8.50
Ascoli by 3+	9.8%	7.2%	6.7%	1.07×	13.90
Sampdoria by 2	4.7%	2.7%	6.5%	0.42×	36.82
Sampdoria by 3+	1.3%	2.7%	3.6%	0.75×	36.93