Aston Villa v Luton — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 29 October 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
18 – 8
On target
6 – 1
Shots in box
13 – 5
xG per shot
0.19 – 0.06
Set-piece xG
0.33 – 0.34
Goals − xG
-0.42 – +0.54
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Aston Villa 3.42 xGLuton 0.46 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Aston Villa attacking right
Luton attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1' |
 Aston Villa |
John McGinn | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Douglas Luiz |
| 1' |
Aston Villa |
Nicolo Zaniolo | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Lucas Digne |
| 3' |
Aston Villa |
Nicolo Zaniolo | 0.10 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Ollie Watkins |
| 8' |
Aston Villa |
Nicolo Zaniolo | 0.14 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Lucas Digne |
| 11' |
Aston Villa |
Ollie Watkins | 0.48 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Matthew Cash |
| 11' |
Aston Villa |
Ollie Watkins | 0.71 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 16' |
Aston Villa |
John McGinn | 0.10 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Goal | Douglas Luiz |
| 19' |
Aston Villa |
Nicolo Zaniolo | 0.59 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Ollie Watkins |
| 20' |
Aston Villa |
Pau Torres | 0.08 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Douglas Luiz |
| 23' |
Aston Villa |
Nicolo Zaniolo | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Matthew Cash |
| 39' |
Aston Villa |
Pau Torres | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Boubacar Kamara |
| 43' |
Aston Villa |
Ezri Konsa Ngoyo | 0.09 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Nicolo Zaniolo |
| 43' |
Aston Villa |
Moussa Diaby | 0.02 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Ezri Konsa Ngoyo |
| 43' |
Aston Villa |
Nicolo Zaniolo | 0.04 | Set Piece | — | Missed Shot | Lucas Digne |
| 48' |
Aston Villa |
Moussa Diaby | 0.13 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Leon Bailey |
| 60' |
 Luton |
Ross Barkley | 0.02 | From Corner | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Alfie Doughty |
| 61' |
Luton |
Tom Lockyer | 0.00 | Open Play | Left Foot | Own Goal | — |
| 67' |
Luton |
Tahith Chong | 0.04 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Alfie Doughty |
| 72' |
Luton |
Ross Barkley | 0.05 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Andros Townsend |
| 75' |
Aston Villa |
Leon Bailey | 0.33 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Moussa Diaby |
| 79' |
Aston Villa |
John McGinn | 0.51 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Leon Bailey |
| 82' |
Aston Villa |
Emiliano Martinez | 0.00 | Open Play | — | Own Goal | — |
| 86' |
Luton |
Teden Mengi | 0.13 | Set Piece | — | Missed Shot | Andros Townsend |
| 92' |
Luton |
Elijah Adebayo | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 92' |
Luton |
Ross Barkley | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 93' |
Luton |
Ross Barkley | 0.10 | From Corner | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
Players
Luton
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Barkley MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Teden Mengi DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Tom Lockyer DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Thomas Kaminski GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Issa Kabore DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Chiedozie Ogbene MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alfie Doughty DL | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| Carlton Morris FW | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Marvelous Nakamba MC | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jacob Brown FW | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Gabriel Osho DC | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Andros Townsend Sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0.00 |
| Tahith Chong Sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Elijah Adebayo Sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu Sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ryan John Giles Sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Aston Villa
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Watkins FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1.19 | 0.68 | 1.88 |
| John McGinn MR | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 1.28 |
| Moussa Diaby FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| Pau Torres DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 1.31 |
| Ezri Konsa Ngoyo DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 1.29 |
| Emiliano Martinez GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.48 |
| Lucas Digne DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 0.98 |
| Douglas Luiz MC | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.79 |
| Boubacar Kamara MC | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.87 |
| Matthew Cash DR | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.52 | 1.67 |
| Nicolo Zaniolo ML | 47 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.93 | 0.09 | 0.91 |
| Leon Bailey Sub | 43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.33 | 0.64 | 0.97 |
| Youri Tielemans Sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| Diego Carlos Sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Leander Dendoncker Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Bertrand Traoré Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |