Aston Villa v Manchester United — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 11 February 2024 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
23 – 17
On target
9 – 5
Shots in box
18 – 13
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.14
Set-piece xG
1.32 – 0.77
Goals − xG
-2.06 – -0.45
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Aston Villa 3.06 xGManchester United 2.45 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Aston Villa attacking right
Manchester United attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9' |
 Manchester United |
Harry Maguire | 0.05 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Bruno Fernandes |
| 10' |
Manchester United |
Harry Maguire | 0.05 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Bruno Fernandes |
| 11' |
Manchester United |
Rasmus Højlund | 0.43 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Bruno Fernandes |
| 12' |
Manchester United |
Alejandro Garnacho | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Kobbie Mainoo |
| 14' |
 Aston Villa |
John McGinn | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 15' |
Manchester United |
Raphael Varane | 0.04 | Set Piece | — | Blocked Shot | Luke Shaw |
| 16' |
Manchester United |
Rasmus Højlund | 0.63 | From Corner | Left Foot | Goal | Harry Maguire |
| 20' |
Aston Villa |
Jacob Ramsey | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Álex Moreno |
| 21' |
Aston Villa |
Leon Bailey | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | John McGinn |
| 23' |
Aston Villa |
John McGinn | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Ollie Watkins |
| 24' |
Aston Villa |
Ollie Watkins | 0.37 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | John McGinn |
| 24' |
Aston Villa |
Álex Moreno | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 26' |
Aston Villa |
Jacob Ramsey | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Álex Moreno |
| 34' |
Aston Villa |
Jacob Ramsey | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Douglas Luiz |
| 37' |
Manchester United |
Marcus Rashford | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Bruno Fernandes |
| 44' |
Aston Villa |
John McGinn | 0.03 | Direct Freekick | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 45' |
Manchester United |
Marcus Rashford | 0.34 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Kobbie Mainoo |
| 47' |
Aston Villa |
Ollie Watkins | 0.46 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Matthew Cash |
| 49' |
Aston Villa |
John McGinn | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 50' |
Manchester United |
Alejandro Garnacho | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Kobbie Mainoo |
| 50' |
Manchester United |
Casemiro | 0.01 | From Corner | — | Blocked Shot | Bruno Fernandes |
| 56' |
Aston Villa |
Matthew Cash | 0.02 | From Corner | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Álex Moreno |
| 57' |
Manchester United |
Marcus Rashford | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Kobbie Mainoo |
| 60' |
Aston Villa |
Jacob Ramsey | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Leon Bailey |
| 65' |
Aston Villa |
Clement Lenglet | 0.63 | From Corner | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 65' |
Aston Villa |
Moussa Diaby | 0.02 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Leon Bailey |
| 66' |
Aston Villa |
Douglas Luiz | 0.58 | From Corner | Right Foot | Goal | — |
| 66' |
Aston Villa |
Leon Bailey | 0.04 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 69' |
Manchester United |
Alejandro Garnacho | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Bruno Fernandes |
| 71' |
Aston Villa |
Douglas Luiz | 0.08 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Moussa Diaby |
| 75' |
Manchester United |
Alejandro Garnacho | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Diogo Dalot |
| 75' |
Manchester United |
Casemiro | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Bruno Fernandes |
| 76' |
Aston Villa |
Douglas Luiz | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 78' |
Aston Villa |
Moussa Diaby | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | John McGinn |
| 81' |
Manchester United |
Alejandro Garnacho | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Bruno Fernandes |
| 85' |
Manchester United |
Scott McTominay | 0.40 | Open Play | — | Goal | Diogo Dalot |
| 89' |
Aston Villa |
Ollie Watkins | 0.04 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Matthew Cash |
| 91' |
Aston Villa |
Matthew Cash | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Youri Tielemans |
| 93' |
Manchester United |
Alejandro Garnacho | 0.08 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Casemiro |
| 94' |
Aston Villa |
Jacob Ramsey | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
Players
Aston Villa
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Watkins FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.86 | 0.05 | 0.91 |
| Douglas Luiz DMC | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.75 | 0.08 | 0.43 |
| Clement Lenglet DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| Jacob Ramsey AML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.74 |
| John McGinn AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0.22 | 0.49 | 0.87 |
| Álex Moreno DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.28 |
| Matthew Cash DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.04 | 0.50 | 0.78 |
| Emiliano Martinez GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| Diego Carlos DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| Leon Bailey AMR | 77 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| Boubacar Kamara DMC | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.21 |
| Moussa Diaby Sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| Youri Tielemans Sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| Nicolo Zaniolo Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lucas Digne Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
Manchester United
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Højlund FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.06 | 0.00 | 0.43 |
| Alejandro Garnacho AMR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.45 |
| Harry Maguire DC | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.63 | 0.48 |
| Raphael Varane DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.46 |
| Casemiro DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| André Onana GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Bruno Fernandes AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.00 | 0.78 | 1.15 |
| Diogo Dalot DR | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| Kobbie Mainoo DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.00 | 0.48 | 0.98 |
| Marcus Rashford AML | 77 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.53 |
| Luke Shaw DL | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Victor Lindelöf Sub | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Scott McTominay Sub | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.46 |
| Jonny Evans Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Sofyan Amrabat Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |