Atlanta United v Toronto — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Atlanta United

21:30 UTC

Toronto

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 155h before kick-off

Atlanta United win

36.6%

model 35.4%

Draw

26.7%

model 27.3%

Toronto win

36.7%

model 37.3%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.0%
0-1 8.7%
1-0 8.4%
1-2 8.4%
2-1 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.0%	Under 2.5	50.0%
BTTS yes	55.0%	BTTS no	45.0%
Atlanta United 1+	73.2%	Atlanta United 2+	37.9%
Toronto 1+	74.3%	Toronto 2+	39.4%

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.36. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

59/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 40%

52.8% fair odds 1.89

strong signal · 1367 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Toronto (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 77%

83.7% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Toronto carry the stronger rating, 1494 Elo against 1358.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Toronto have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.6% for Atlanta United and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.32 for Atlanta United and 1.36 for Toronto.

Why Atlanta United

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.32 to 1.36. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Toronto can win

Toronto carry the stronger rating, 1494 Elo against 1358. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Atlanta United, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Toronto, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Atlanta United: 47% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Toronto: 39% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Toronto are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.0%. Confidence 59/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	352737	1.32–1.36	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	322740	1.24–1.41	1-1 13%	49%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto to win	40.2%	42.9%	30.0%	1.43×	2.33
Atlanta United to win	32.5%	30.4%	45.3%	0.67×	3.29
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	24.8%	1.13×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto & not both score	21.2%	21.8%	12.1%	1.81×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.6%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Toronto & both teams score	19.0%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.56
Atlanta United & not both score	16.8%	18.0%	21.1%	0.85×	5.57
Atlanta United & both teams score	15.7%	18.0%	24.4%	0.74×	5.57
Draw & not both score	7.8%	8.3%	5.8%	1.45×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto & over 1.5	30.9%	30.7%	23.7%	1.30×	3.25
Toronto & under 3.5	28.3%	26.1%	18.8%	1.38×	3.84
Atlanta United & over 1.5	24.3%	21.6%	37.2%	0.58×	4.63
Atlanta United & under 3.5	23.5%	21.6%	28.4%	0.76×	4.63
Toronto & over 2.5	23.8%	21.6%	20.5%	1.05×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.8%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.8%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Atlanta United & over 2.5	18.9%	18.0%	31.0%	0.58×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	19.6%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.55
Toronto & under 2.5	16.3%	18.0%	9.6%	1.88×	5.56
Atlanta United & under 2.5	13.6%	12.8%	14.4%	0.89×	7.79
Toronto & over 3.5	11.9%	12.8%	11.3%	1.14×	7.79
Atlanta United & over 3.5	8.9%	7.9%	17.0%	0.47×	12.63
Toronto & under 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.63
Atlanta United & under 1.5	8.2%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	5.8%	1.38×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (1UP)	56.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Atlanta United (1UP)	49.8%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (2UP)	40.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Atlanta United (2UP)	32.5%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Toronto to win 2nd half	35.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Atlanta United to win 2nd half	27.9%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Toronto over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.0%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Toronto under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Toronto over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.7%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.2%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Atlanta United over 0.5 in 2nd half	50.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Atlanta United under 0.5 in 2nd half	49.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Atlanta United over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.73

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (+2.5)	95.3%	96.3%	89.4%	1.08×	1.04
Toronto (+1.5)	85.9%	88.5%	76.8%	1.15×	1.13
Toronto (+0.5)	67.5%	68.7%	54.7%	1.26×	1.46
Atlanta United (+0.5)	59.8%	57.1%	70.0%	0.82×	1.75
Toronto (-0.5)	40.2%	42.9%	30.0%	1.43×	2.33
Atlanta United (-0.5)	32.5%	31.3%	45.3%	0.69×	3.19
Atlanta United (-1.5)	14.1%	11.5%	23.2%	0.50×	8.66
Atlanta United (-2.5)	4.7%	3.7%	10.6%	0.35×	27.04

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto to concede	71.0%	76.6%	82.3%	0.93×	1.31
Toronto clean sheet	29.0%	23.4%	17.7%	1.32×	4.28

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto clean sheet in 1st half	58.7%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Toronto to concede in 1st half	41.3%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto to concede in 2nd half	50.6%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Toronto clean sheet in 2nd half	49.4%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto under 6.5 corners	79.4%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Toronto over 2.5 corners	76.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Toronto under 5.5 corners	68.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Toronto over 3.5 corners	61.1%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Toronto under 4.5 corners	54.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Toronto over 4.5 corners	45.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Toronto under 3.5 corners	38.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Toronto over 5.5 corners	31.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Toronto under 2.5 corners	23.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Toronto over 6.5 corners	20.6%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto under 3.5 goals	94.6%	92.4%	94.0%	0.98×	1.08
Toronto under 2.5 goals	83.2%	81.5%	83.3%	0.98×	1.23
Toronto over 0.5 goals	75.5%	76.2%	73.3%	1.04×	1.31
Toronto under 1.5 goals	59.0%	59.4%	61.2%	0.97×	1.68
Toronto over 1.5 goals	41.0%	40.6%	38.8%	1.05×	2.47
Toronto under 0.5 goals	24.5%	23.8%	26.7%	0.89×	4.21
Toronto over 2.5 goals	16.8%	18.5%	16.7%	1.11×	5.41
Toronto over 3.5 goals	5.4%	7.6%	6.0%	1.28×	13.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto under 1.5 in 1st half	89.0%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Toronto under 0.5 in 1st half	57.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Toronto over 0.5 in 1st half	43.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Toronto over 1.5 in 1st half	11.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto scores more in 2nd half	39.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Toronto scores equally in both	37.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Toronto scores more in 1st half	22.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (away no bet)	54.3%	51.7%	64.6%	0.80×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	45.7%	48.3%	35.4%	1.36×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto even goals	53.0%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Toronto odd goals	47.0%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.3%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.21

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.9%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Toronto to score 2+ in a row	32.8%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Atlanta United to score 2+ in a row	27.0%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.2%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Toronto to score 3+ in a row	10.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Atlanta United to score 3+ in a row	7.7%	5.5%	—	—	18.15

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United corners (+3.5)	89.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Atlanta United corners (+2.5)	84.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Atlanta United corners (+1.5)	77.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Toronto corners (+3.5)	70.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Toronto corners (+2.5)	61.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Toronto corners (+1.5)	51.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Atlanta United corners (-1.5)	48.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Atlanta United corners (-2.5)	38.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Atlanta United corners (-3.5)	29.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Toronto corners (-1.5)	22.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Toronto corners (-2.5)	15.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Toronto corners (-3.5)	10.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	37.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	33.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	70.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	66.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	62.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	53.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	46.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	37.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	33.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	29.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	24.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.0%	11.5%	10.4%	1.11×	8.71
0-1	9.3%	7.4%	6.4%	1.15×	13.51
1-2	8.7%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.51
0-0	7.8%	7.4%	5.8%	1.29×	13.51
0-2	7.0%	7.4%	3.3%	2.26×	13.51
1-0	8.2%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.51
2-1	7.7%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
2-0	5.5%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.51
2-2	5.4%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.51
0-3	3.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.30
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.31
1-3	4.1%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.30
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
3-0	2.3%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.31
3-1	3.2%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.30
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.32
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.32
4-1	1.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.31
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32
Any other score	2.3%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (2nd half DNB)	56.2%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Atlanta United (2nd half DNB)	43.8%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto leading at HT (DNB)	51.7%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Atlanta United leading at HT (DNB)	48.3%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United or Toronto (12)	72.7%	72.1%	75.2%	0.96×	1.39
Toronto or draw (X2)	67.5%	69.6%	54.7%	1.27×	1.44
Atlanta United or draw (1X)	59.8%	57.1%	70.0%	0.82×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto or draw at HT	73.2%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Atlanta United or draw at HT	71.3%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Atlanta United or Toronto at HT	55.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto or draw (1UP)	67.5%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Atlanta United or draw (1UP)	59.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto or draw in 2nd half	72.1%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Atlanta United or draw in 2nd half	64.2%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Atlanta United or Toronto in 2nd half	63.7%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.0%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	36.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (DNB)	55.3%	58.0%	39.8%	1.46×	1.72
Atlanta United (DNB)	44.7%	42.0%	60.2%	0.70×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto to score first	49.0%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Atlanta United to score first	43.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	7.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.19

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.3%	51.3%	61.3%	0.84×	1.95
Not both teams to score	45.7%	48.7%	38.7%	1.26×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.2%	41.6%	51.1%	0.81×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	37.7%	38.5%	29.5%	1.30×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.0%	12.4%	10.4%	1.19×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.0%	8.3%	9.2%	0.90×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.6%	85.6%	79.5%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.4%	14.4%	20.5%	0.70×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.9%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.1%	26.4%	—	—	3.78

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.2%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.9%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	5.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.85

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.1%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.9%	16.6%	—	—	6.02

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.7%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	47.3%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.4%	47.2%	43.0%	1.10×	2.12
4-6 goals	25.5%	26.6%	33.0%	0.80×	3.76
0-1 goals	25.2%	26.6%	20.2%	1.32×	3.76
7+ goals	1.9%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.38

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto to score exactly 1	34.5%	33.8%	34.6%	0.98×	2.96
Toronto to score exactly 0	24.5%	22.3%	26.7%	0.83×	4.49
Toronto to score exactly 2	24.2%	22.3%	22.2%	1.00×	4.49
Toronto to score 3+	16.8%	19.5%	16.7%	1.17×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.5%	31.1%	1.14×	2.81
Atlanta United to score exactly 0	29.0%	26.6%	17.7%	1.50×	3.77
Atlanta United to score exactly 2	22.2%	23.3%	26.4%	0.88×	4.29
Atlanta United to score 3+	12.9%	14.3%	25.0%	0.57×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Toronto leading at HT	28.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Atlanta United leading at HT	26.8%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto -1: 1	59.8%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Toronto -1: X	20.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Toronto -1: 2	19.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (0:1)	67.5%	65.3%	54.7%	1.19×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	18.4%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.61
Atlanta United (0:1)	14.1%	13.7%	23.2%	0.59×	7.29

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (0:2)	85.9%	87.1%	76.8%	1.13×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.4%	7.7%	12.7%	0.60×	13.04
Atlanta United (0:2)	4.7%	3.8%	10.6%	0.35×	26.63

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (0:3)	95.3%	96.6%	89.4%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.4%	2.4%	6.7%	0.36×	41.99
Atlanta United (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	4.1%	0.59×	42.08

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (0:4)	98.7%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	2.0%	0.60×	81.79
Atlanta United (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	81.87

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (1:0)	59.8%	58.4%	70.0%	0.83×	1.71
Draw (1:0)	20.9%	21.7%	17.1%	1.26×	4.61
Toronto (1:0)	19.2%	17.1%	13.0%	1.32×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (2:0)	80.8%	84.5%	87.0%	0.97×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.1%	10.3%	8.6%	1.20×	9.72
Toronto (2:0)	7.2%	6.4%	4.5%	1.42×	15.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.3%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	26.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United to concede	75.5%	76.0%	73.3%	1.04×	1.32
Atlanta United clean sheet	24.5%	24.0%	26.7%	0.90×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United clean sheet in 1st half	57.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Atlanta United to concede in 1st half	43.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United to concede in 2nd half	57.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Atlanta United clean sheet in 2nd half	43.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United over 2.5 corners	88.1%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Atlanta United over 3.5 corners	77.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Atlanta United over 4.5 corners	64.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Atlanta United under 6.5 corners	60.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Atlanta United over 5.5 corners	51.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Atlanta United under 5.5 corners	48.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Atlanta United over 6.5 corners	39.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Atlanta United under 4.5 corners	35.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Atlanta United under 3.5 corners	22.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Atlanta United under 2.5 corners	11.9%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United under 3.5 goals	96.3%	96.4%	90.6%	1.06×	1.04
Atlanta United under 2.5 goals	87.1%	87.3%	75.0%	1.16×	1.15
Atlanta United over 0.5 goals	71.0%	74.2%	82.3%	0.90×	1.35
Atlanta United under 1.5 goals	64.9%	63.6%	48.7%	1.31×	1.57
Atlanta United over 1.5 goals	35.1%	36.4%	51.3%	0.71×	2.75
Atlanta United under 0.5 goals	29.0%	25.8%	17.7%	1.46×	3.88
Atlanta United over 2.5 goals	12.9%	12.7%	25.0%	0.51×	7.85
Atlanta United over 3.5 goals	3.7%	3.6%	9.4%	0.39×	27.52

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United under 1.5 in 1st half	90.0%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Atlanta United under 0.5 in 1st half	58.7%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Atlanta United over 0.5 in 1st half	41.3%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Atlanta United over 1.5 in 1st half	10.0%	9.7%	—	—	10.30

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United scores equally in both	40.9%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Atlanta United scores more in 2nd half	35.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Atlanta United scores more in 1st half	24.1%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (home no bet)	59.5%	56.4%	54.7%	1.03×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	40.5%	43.6%	45.3%	0.96×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United even goals	54.2%	50.8%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
Atlanta United odd goals	45.8%	49.2%	49.0%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.6%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
HT 0-1	18.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	17.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	10.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	5.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-0	4.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
Any other HT score	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 1-2	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-1	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.35

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto at HT / Toronto at FT	22.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Atlanta United at HT / Atlanta United at FT	18.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Toronto at FT	15.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Atlanta United at FT	12.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Atlanta United at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.53
Toronto at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Atlanta United at HT / Toronto at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Toronto at HT / Atlanta United at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto to score last	49.0%	46.4%	—	—	2.15
Atlanta United to score last	43.2%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	7.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.19

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.2%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Toronto to lead by 1 at any time	56.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Atlanta United to lead by 1 at any time	49.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Toronto to lead by 2 at any time	25.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Atlanta United to lead by 2 at any time	19.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Toronto to lead by 3 at any time	9.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.97
Atlanta United to lead by 3 at any time	6.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.10

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United most corners	59.0%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Toronto most corners	31.3%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	9.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.0%	87.4%	83.4%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.4%	78.7%	73.2%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.9%	72.3%	75.9%	0.95×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.5%	68.8%	69.0%	1.00×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.9%	63.3%	57.4%	1.10×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.9%	63.3%	58.7%	1.08×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.4%	48.4%	43.0%	1.13×	2.06
3-6 goals	47.4%	48.4%	56.3%	0.86×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.0%	43.6%	49.4%	0.88×	2.29
1-2 goals	43.0%	43.6%	34.2%	1.28×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.4%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	25.5%	30.2%	33.0%	0.91×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.1%	24.5%	26.2%	0.93×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.0%	14.8%	17.2%	0.86×	6.76
7+ goals	1.9%	2.6%	4.1%	0.63×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto never behind	42.5%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Atlanta United never behind	35.8%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.4%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.6%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	89.1%	1.04×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.1%	87.6%	78.8%	1.11×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.8%	72.5%	79.8%	0.91×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	72.6%	72.5%	63.0%	1.15×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.7%	52.5%	39.8%	1.32×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	49.3%	47.5%	60.2%	0.79×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	27.4%	27.5%	37.0%	0.74×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	25.2%	27.5%	20.2%	1.36×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	12.9%	12.4%	21.2%	0.59×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	10.9%	0.71×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.1%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.3%	92.4%	87.8%	1.05×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.9%	81.1%	74.8%	1.08×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.1%	67.5%	74.9%	0.90×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.0%	61.9%	51.8%	1.20×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.0%	38.1%	48.2%	0.79×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.9%	32.5%	25.1%	1.30×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.1%	18.9%	25.2%	0.75×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.7%	7.6%	12.2%	0.62×	13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.9%	2.8%	4.4%	0.64×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.1%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.4%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.6%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.59

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.6%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.5%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.5%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.4%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United not to score in both halves	79.1%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Toronto not to score in both halves	75.5%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Toronto to score in both halves	24.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Atlanta United to score in both halves	20.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.3%	53.8%	61.3%	0.88×	1.86
Only Toronto scores	21.2%	22.2%	12.1%	1.84×	4.50
Only Atlanta United scores	16.8%	16.0%	21.1%	0.76×	6.24
Neither team scores	7.8%	7.1%	5.8%	1.24×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.5%	24.9%	19.7%	1.26×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	17.5%	17.5%	14.5%	1.20×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.5%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	7.8%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	7.7%	7.6%	10.4%	0.73×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.2%	7.6%	10.9%	0.70×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	33.6%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	20.2%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
3+ goals in 1st half	9.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.59

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.1%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.5%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	21.5%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United not to win both halves	92.4%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Toronto not to win both halves	89.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Toronto to win both halves	10.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Atlanta United to win both halves	7.6%	5.8%	—	—	17.11

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto to win either half	54.1%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Atlanta United to win neither half	52.9%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Atlanta United to win either half	47.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Toronto to win neither half	45.9%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United not to win to nil	83.2%	83.1%	78.9%	1.05×	1.20
Toronto not to win to nil	78.8%	78.1%	87.9%	0.89×	1.28
Toronto to win to nil	21.2%	21.9%	12.1%	1.81×	4.58
Atlanta United to win to nil	16.8%	16.9%	21.1%	0.80×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	24.8%	1.12×	3.59
Toronto by 1	20.9%	24.1%	17.1%	1.41×	4.15
Atlanta United by 1	18.4%	17.0%	22.2%	0.77×	5.87
Toronto by 2	12.1%	11.8%	8.6%	1.37×	8.51
Atlanta United by 2	9.4%	7.2%	12.7%	0.56×	13.90
Toronto by 3+	7.2%	7.2%	4.5%	1.59×	13.91
Atlanta United by 3+	4.7%	2.7%	10.6%	0.26×	36.83