Atlético Bucaramanga v Atlético Nacional — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Atlético Bucaramanga

23:10 UTC

Atlético Nacional

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 132h before kick-off

Atlético Bucaramanga win

28.0%

model 29.9%

Draw

27.9%

model 27.3%

Atlético Nacional win

44.1%

model 42.8%

282844

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.0%
1-2 9.1%
0-1 8.9%
0-0 7.5%
0-2 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.2%	Under 2.5	48.8%
BTTS yes	55.8%	BTTS no	44.2%
Atlético Bucaramanga 1+	70.5%	Atlético Bucaramanga 2+	34.5%
Atlético Nacional 1+	77.8%	Atlético Nacional 2+	44.4%

Expected goals 1.22 – 1.50. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

83/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Atlético Nacional (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 35%

60.8% fair odds 1.64

strong signal · 349 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 4341 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Atlético Nacional carry the stronger rating, 1704 Elo against 1550.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Atlético Nacional have an estimated 44.1% win probability, against 28.0% for Atlético Bucaramanga and 27.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.22 for Atlético Bucaramanga and 1.50 for Atlético Nacional.

Why Atlético Bucaramanga

Nothing in the data singles out Atlético Bucaramanga.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.9%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Atlético Nacional can win

Atlético Nacional carry the stronger rating, 1704 Elo against 1550. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Atlético Bucaramanga, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Atlético Nacional, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Atlético Bucaramanga: 50% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 10.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Atlético Nacional: 60% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Atlético Nacional are the model's most likely outcome at 44.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.0%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	302743	1.22–1.50	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	312939	1.13–1.29	1-1 14%	44%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional to win	39.1%	36.4%	24.8%	1.47×	2.75
Atlético Bucaramanga to win	31.4%	30.4%	45.8%	0.66×	3.29
Draw	29.5%	27.9%	29.5%	0.95×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional & not both score	22.3%	21.8%	13.4%	1.62×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.6%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.56
Atlético Bucaramanga & not both score	17.6%	18.0%	27.1%	0.66×	5.56
Atlético Nacional & both teams score	16.8%	18.0%	11.5%	1.56×	5.57
Atlético Bucaramanga & both teams score	13.8%	13.3%	18.8%	0.70×	7.54
Draw & not both score	9.9%	8.3%	10.8%	0.77×	11.99

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional & under 3.5	29.3%	26.1%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
Atlético Nacional & over 1.5	28.7%	26.1%	16.5%	1.58×	3.84
Atlético Bucaramanga & under 3.5	24.1%	21.6%	35.7%	0.60×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	23.9%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	23.9%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Atlético Bucaramanga & over 1.5	22.4%	21.6%	33.8%	0.64×	4.63
Atlético Nacional & over 2.5	21.3%	21.6%	12.9%	1.68×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.6%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.55
Atlético Nacional & under 2.5	17.8%	18.0%	12.1%	1.49×	5.56
Atlético Bucaramanga & over 2.5	16.8%	18.0%	25.5%	0.71×	5.56
Atlético Bucaramanga & under 2.5	14.6%	12.8%	20.5%	0.63×	7.79
Atlético Nacional & under 1.5	10.4%	12.8%	8.4%	1.52×	7.79
Atlético Bucaramanga & under 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	9.9%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.63
Atlético Nacional & over 3.5	9.8%	7.9%	5.0%	1.59×	12.63
Atlético Bucaramanga & over 3.5	7.3%	7.9%	10.2%	0.77×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.6%	7.9%	6.0%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.6%	7.9%	6.0%	1.33×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (1UP)	54.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Atlético Bucaramanga (1UP)	47.8%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (2UP)	39.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Atlético Bucaramanga (2UP)	31.4%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	38.6%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Atlético Nacional to win 2nd half	34.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Atlético Bucaramanga to win 2nd half	26.9%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.8%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Atlético Nacional over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Atlético Nacional under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Atlético Nacional over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.2%	15.9%	—	—	6.28

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.3%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Atlético Bucaramanga under 0.5 in 2nd half	52.4%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Atlético Bucaramanga over 0.5 in 2nd half	47.6%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Atlético Bucaramanga over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.7%	11.3%	—	—	8.83

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (+2.5)	95.9%	96.3%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Atlético Nacional (+1.5)	86.9%	88.5%	79.6%	1.11×	1.13
Atlético Nacional (+0.5)	68.6%	68.7%	54.2%	1.27×	1.46
Atlético Bucaramanga (+0.5)	60.9%	62.9%	75.2%	0.84×	1.59
Atlético Nacional (-0.5)	39.1%	37.1%	24.8%	1.49×	2.70
Atlético Bucaramanga (-0.5)	31.4%	31.3%	45.8%	0.68×	3.19
Atlético Bucaramanga (-1.5)	13.1%	11.5%	20.4%	0.57×	8.67
Atlético Bucaramanga (-2.5)	4.1%	3.7%	8.2%	0.45×	27.08

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional to concede	67.8%	72.3%	75.9%	0.95×	1.38
Atlético Nacional clean sheet	32.2%	27.7%	24.1%	1.15×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional clean sheet in 1st half	61.4%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Atlético Nacional to concede in 1st half	38.6%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional clean sheet in 2nd half	52.4%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Atlético Nacional to concede in 2nd half	47.6%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional under 6.5 corners	84.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Atlético Nacional under 5.5 corners	74.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Atlético Nacional over 2.5 corners	70.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Atlético Nacional under 4.5 corners	62.1%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Atlético Nacional over 3.5 corners	53.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Atlético Nacional under 3.5 corners	46.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Atlético Nacional over 4.5 corners	37.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Atlético Nacional under 2.5 corners	29.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Atlético Nacional over 5.5 corners	25.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Atlético Nacional over 6.5 corners	15.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional under 3.5 goals	95.8%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Atlético Nacional under 2.5 goals	85.9%	87.8%	92.9%	0.94×	1.14
Atlético Nacional over 0.5 goals	72.5%	71.8%	62.2%	1.16×	1.39
Atlético Nacional under 1.5 goals	63.0%	63.2%	74.2%	0.85×	1.58
Atlético Nacional over 1.5 goals	37.0%	36.8%	25.8%	1.43×	2.72
Atlético Nacional under 0.5 goals	27.5%	28.2%	37.8%	0.75×	3.55
Atlético Nacional over 2.5 goals	14.1%	12.2%	7.1%	1.73×	8.19
Atlético Nacional over 3.5 goals	4.2%	2.5%	1.9%	1.30×	39.75

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional under 1.5 in 1st half	90.5%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Atlético Nacional under 0.5 in 1st half	59.6%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Atlético Nacional over 0.5 in 1st half	40.4%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Atlético Nacional over 1.5 in 1st half	9.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.29

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional scores equally in both	39.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Atlético Nacional scores more in 2nd half	38.2%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Atlético Nacional scores more in 1st half	22.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (away no bet)	51.6%	51.7%	60.8%	0.85×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	48.4%	48.3%	39.2%	1.23×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional even goals	53.8%	52.6%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Atlético Nacional odd goals	46.2%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.0%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.32

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	57.6%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	42.4%	39.6%	—	—	2.52

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.5%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Atlético Nacional to score 2+ in a row	29.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Atlético Bucaramanga to score 2+ in a row	24.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.6%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
Atlético Nacional to score 3+ in a row	9.3%	5.5%	—	—	18.04
Atlético Bucaramanga to score 3+ in a row	6.5%	5.5%	—	—	18.26

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (+3.5)	86.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Atlético Nacional corners (+3.5)	81.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (+2.5)	79.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Atlético Nacional corners (+2.5)	73.4%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (+1.5)	70.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Atlético Nacional corners (+1.5)	63.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (-1.5)	36.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Atlético Nacional corners (-1.5)	29.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (-2.5)	26.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Atlético Nacional corners (-2.5)	20.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (-3.5)	18.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Atlético Nacional corners (-3.5)	13.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	53.8%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	26.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	19.6%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.2%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	80.5%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	73.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	57.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	53.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	46.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	42.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	35.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	26.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.6%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	13.8%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.0%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.71
0-1	10.4%	11.5%	8.4%	1.36×	8.72
0-0	9.9%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
1-0	9.0%	7.4%	12.2%	0.61×	13.51
1-2	8.4%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
0-2	7.4%	7.4%	3.7%	1.98×	13.51
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.51
2-0	5.7%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.29
0-3	3.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.30
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.31
1-3	3.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.30
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.31
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
3-0	2.1%	1.7%	4.6%	0.38×	58.31
3-1	2.8%	1.7%	3.5%	0.50×	58.30
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.19×	58.32
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.32
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.31
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
Any other score	1.6%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (2nd half DNB)	56.3%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Atlético Bucaramanga (2nd half DNB)	43.7%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional leading at HT (DNB)	51.9%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Atlético Bucaramanga leading at HT (DNB)	48.1%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga or Atlético Nacional (12)	70.5%	72.1%	70.5%	1.02×	1.39
Atlético Nacional or draw (X2)	68.6%	69.6%	54.2%	1.29×	1.44
Atlético Bucaramanga or draw (1X)	60.9%	63.6%	75.2%	0.85×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional or draw at HT	74.4%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Atlético Bucaramanga or draw at HT	72.4%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Atlético Bucaramanga or Atlético Nacional at HT	53.2%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional or draw (1UP)	68.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Atlético Bucaramanga or draw (1UP)	60.9%	71.5%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional or draw in 2nd half	73.1%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Atlético Bucaramanga or draw in 2nd half	65.4%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Atlético Bucaramanga or Atlético Nacional in 2nd half	61.4%	63.5%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.2%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	33.8%	31.9%	—	—	3.13

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (DNB)	55.4%	58.0%	35.1%	1.65×	1.72
Atlético Bucaramanga (DNB)	44.6%	42.0%	64.9%	0.65×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional to score first	48.0%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Atlético Bucaramanga to score first	42.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	9.9%	7.7%	—	—	13.07

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.2%	51.3%	48.9%	1.05×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.8%	48.7%	51.1%	0.95×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.3%	41.6%	43.1%	0.97×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	36.2%	38.4%	36.0%	1.07×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	14.0%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.5%	8.3%	8.2%	1.01×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.4%	85.6%	88.6%	0.97×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.6%	14.4%	11.4%	1.27×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.0%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	22.0%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	11.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	4.0%	4.9%	—	—	20.34

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.3%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	15.7%	16.5%	—	—	6.07

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	48.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.1%	47.2%	48.1%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	29.2%	26.6%	31.2%	0.85×	3.76
4-6 goals	21.4%	22.9%	19.5%	1.17×	4.36
7+ goals	1.2%	1.8%	1.5%	1.21×	54.44

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.79
Atlético Nacional to score exactly 0	27.5%	27.5%	37.8%	0.73×	3.64
Atlético Nacional to score exactly 2	22.9%	22.3%	18.8%	1.18×	4.49
Atlético Nacional to score 3+	14.1%	12.9%	7.1%	1.83×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.5%	34.5%	1.03×	2.81
Atlético Bucaramanga to score exactly 0	32.2%	32.6%	24.1%	1.35×	3.07
Atlético Bucaramanga to score exactly 2	20.7%	23.3%	26.2%	0.89×	4.30
Atlético Bucaramanga to score 3+	10.6%	14.3%	15.5%	0.92×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.8%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Atlético Nacional leading at HT	27.6%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Atlético Bucaramanga leading at HT	25.6%	25.4%	—	—	3.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional -1: 1	60.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Atlético Nacional -1: X	21.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Atlético Nacional -1: 2	18.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (0:1)	68.6%	65.3%	54.2%	1.21×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	18.3%	17.8%	25.6%	0.70×	5.61
Atlético Bucaramanga (0:1)	13.1%	13.7%	20.4%	0.67×	7.30

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (0:2)	86.9%	87.1%	79.6%	1.09×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.0%	7.7%	12.3%	0.62×	13.04
Atlético Bucaramanga (0:2)	4.1%	3.8%	8.2%	0.46×	26.66

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (0:3)	95.9%	96.6%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.1%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.01
Atlético Bucaramanga (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	2.9%	0.82×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (0:4)	99.0%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.9%	0.63×	81.88
Atlético Bucaramanga (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	81.95

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (1:0)	60.9%	65.2%	75.2%	0.87×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	21.1%	21.7%	17.3%	1.25×	4.61
Atlético Nacional (1:0)	18.0%	17.1%	7.6%	2.25×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (2:0)	82.0%	84.6%	92.4%	0.92×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.7%	10.3%	5.0%	2.06×	9.72
Atlético Nacional (2:0)	6.3%	6.4%	2.8%	2.30×	15.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.7%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	28.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to concede	72.5%	73.0%	62.2%	1.17×	1.37
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet	27.5%	27.0%	37.8%	0.71×	3.70

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet in 1st half	59.6%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Atlético Bucaramanga to concede in 1st half	40.4%	37.5%	—	—	2.67

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to concede in 2nd half	53.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet in 2nd half	46.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga under 6.5 corners	80.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Atlético Bucaramanga over 2.5 corners	74.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Atlético Bucaramanga under 5.5 corners	69.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Atlético Bucaramanga over 3.5 corners	59.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Atlético Bucaramanga under 4.5 corners	56.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Atlético Bucaramanga over 4.5 corners	43.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Atlético Bucaramanga under 3.5 corners	41.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Atlético Bucaramanga over 5.5 corners	30.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Atlético Bucaramanga under 2.5 corners	25.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Atlético Bucaramanga over 6.5 corners	20.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga under 3.5 goals	97.2%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Atlético Bucaramanga under 2.5 goals	89.4%	87.3%	84.5%	1.03×	1.15
Atlético Bucaramanga under 1.5 goals	68.7%	67.9%	58.4%	1.16×	1.47
Atlético Bucaramanga over 0.5 goals	67.8%	67.9%	75.9%	0.90×	1.47
Atlético Bucaramanga under 0.5 goals	32.2%	32.1%	24.1%	1.33×	3.12
Atlético Bucaramanga over 1.5 goals	31.3%	32.1%	41.6%	0.77×	3.12
Atlético Bucaramanga over 2.5 goals	10.6%	12.7%	15.5%	0.82×	7.86
Atlético Bucaramanga over 3.5 goals	2.8%	3.6%	4.7%	0.77×	27.56

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga under 1.5 in 1st half	91.4%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Atlético Bucaramanga under 0.5 in 1st half	61.4%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Atlético Bucaramanga over 0.5 in 1st half	38.6%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
Atlético Bucaramanga over 1.5 in 1st half	8.6%	5.3%	—	—	18.76

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga scores equally in both	43.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Atlético Bucaramanga scores more in 2nd half	33.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Atlético Bucaramanga scores more in 1st half	23.3%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (home no bet)	57.0%	56.4%	45.7%	1.23×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	43.0%	43.6%	54.3%	0.80×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga even goals	55.2%	55.3%	53.3%	1.04×	1.81
Atlético Bucaramanga odd goals	44.8%	44.7%	46.7%	0.96×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
HT 0-1	18.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	17.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 0-2	4.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-0	4.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
Any other HT score	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 1-2	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 2-1	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional at HT / Atlético Nacional at FT	21.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Atlético Bucaramanga at HT / Atlético Bucaramanga at FT	17.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Atlético Nacional at FT	15.6%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Atlético Bucaramanga at FT	12.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Atlético Bucaramanga at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Atlético Nacional at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Atlético Bucaramanga at HT / Atlético Nacional at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Atlético Nacional at HT / Atlético Bucaramanga at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional to score last	48.0%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
Atlético Bucaramanga to score last	42.1%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	9.9%	7.7%	—	—	13.07

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.1%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Atlético Nacional to lead by 1 at any time	54.5%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Atlético Bucaramanga to lead by 1 at any time	47.8%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.1%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Atlético Nacional to lead by 2 at any time	23.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Atlético Bucaramanga to lead by 2 at any time	17.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.42
Atlético Nacional to lead by 3 at any time	7.8%	6.7%	—	—	15.02
Atlético Bucaramanga to lead by 3 at any time	5.3%	6.6%	—	—	15.14

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga most corners	48.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Atlético Nacional most corners	40.3%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.4%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.2%	83.4%	80.1%	1.04×	1.20
2-6 goals	69.5%	68.8%	67.5%	1.02×	1.45
1-3 goals	67.4%	68.8%	68.4%	1.01×	1.45
2-5 goals	67.0%	68.8%	65.4%	1.05×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.9%	63.3%	59.7%	1.06×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.1%	48.4%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
1-2 goals	46.4%	48.4%	45.3%	1.07×	2.06
3-6 goals	42.5%	43.6%	42.7%	1.02×	2.29
3-5 goals	40.0%	39.2%	40.6%	0.97×	2.55
3-4 goals	33.8%	35.2%	34.9%	1.01×	2.84
4-6 goals	21.4%	24.4%	19.5%	1.25×	4.09
4-5 goals	18.9%	18.8%	17.5%	1.08×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.7%	8.9%	7.9%	1.13×	11.25
7+ goals	1.2%	2.6%	1.5%	1.67×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional never behind	42.3%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Atlético Bucaramanga never behind	35.6%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.5%	50.9%	50.4%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.5%	49.1%	49.6%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.3%	95.4%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.1%	92.3%	89.2%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.1%	92.3%	90.7%	1.02×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	77.4%	77.3%	79.1%	0.98×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	70.8%	72.5%	68.8%	1.05×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	56.3%	58.6%	56.0%	1.05×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	43.7%	41.4%	44.0%	0.94×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	29.2%	27.5%	31.2%	0.88×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	22.7%	22.7%	20.9%	1.09×	4.40
Under 0.5 goals	9.9%	7.7%	10.8%	0.72×	12.92
Over 4.5 goals	9.9%	7.7%	9.3%	0.83×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	3.7%	4.6%	3.6%	1.27×	21.82

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.8%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.0%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.7%	86.7%	89.5%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	71.3%	72.4%	72.8%	0.99×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	59.9%	55.8%	58.6%	0.95×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	40.1%	44.2%	41.4%	1.07×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	28.7%	27.7%	27.2%	1.02×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.3%	13.3%	10.5%	1.26×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.0%	2.8%	3.8%	0.74×	35.58
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.3%	2.8%	1.6%	1.80×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.9%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.2%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.8%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.1%	7.2%	—	—	13.82

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.8%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.5%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	58.1%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	41.9%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.5%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.2%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga not to score in both halves	81.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Atlético Nacional not to score in both halves	78.2%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Atlético Nacional to score in both halves	21.8%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Atlético Bucaramanga to score in both halves	18.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.2%	53.8%	48.9%	1.10×	1.86
Only Atlético Nacional scores	22.3%	22.2%	13.4%	1.66×	4.50
Only Atlético Bucaramanga scores	17.6%	16.0%	27.1%	0.59×	6.23
Neither team scores	9.9%	7.2%	10.8%	0.66×	13.98

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.1%	24.9%	24.9%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.0%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	19.3%	17.5%	20.5%	0.85×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	12.7%	12.1%	11.8%	1.03×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	9.9%	7.6%	10.8%	0.71×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.2%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.7%	4.5%	3.6%	1.24×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	18.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	8.1%	7.2%	—	—	13.82

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	41.9%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.6%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	24.5%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga not to win both halves	93.0%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Atlético Nacional not to win both halves	90.3%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Atlético Nacional to win both halves	9.7%	5.9%	—	—	16.96
Atlético Bucaramanga to win both halves	7.0%	5.8%	—	—	17.15

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to win neither half	54.6%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Atlético Nacional to win either half	52.5%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Atlético Nacional to win neither half	47.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Atlético Bucaramanga to win either half	45.4%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga not to win to nil	82.4%	83.1%	72.9%	1.14×	1.20
Atlético Nacional not to win to nil	77.7%	78.1%	86.6%	0.90×	1.28
Atlético Nacional to win to nil	22.3%	21.9%	13.4%	1.63×	4.57
Atlético Bucaramanga to win to nil	17.6%	16.9%	27.1%	0.62×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.5%	27.9%	29.5%	0.95×	3.59
Atlético Nacional by 1	21.1%	24.1%	17.3%	1.39×	4.15
Atlético Bucaramanga by 1	18.3%	17.1%	25.6%	0.67×	5.87
Atlético Nacional by 2	11.7%	11.8%	5.0%	2.36×	8.51
Atlético Bucaramanga by 2	9.0%	7.2%	12.3%	0.58×	13.90
Atlético Nacional by 3+	6.3%	7.2%	2.8%	2.59×	13.91
Atlético Bucaramanga by 3+	4.1%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	36.84