Atlético Bucaramanga v Fortaleza CEIF — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Atlético Bucaramanga

20:30 UTC

Fortaleza CEIF

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 322h before kick-off

Atlético Bucaramanga win

55.3%

model 57.9%

Draw

26.5%

model 26.0%

Fortaleza CEIF win

18.2%

model 16.2%

552718

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 13.7%
2-0 12.1%
1-1 12.1%
0-0 9.7%
2-1 9.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.0%	Under 2.5	56.0%
BTTS yes	44.5%	BTTS no	55.5%
Atlético Bucaramanga 1+	81.1%	Atlético Bucaramanga 2+	49.6%
Fortaleza CEIF 1+	53.7%	Fortaleza CEIF 2+	18.0%

Expected goals 1.67 – 0.77. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Atlético Bucaramanga (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 46%

57.0% fair odds 1.75

moderate signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Atlético Bucaramanga or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Atlético Bucaramanga carry the stronger rating, 1550 Elo against 1431.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Atlético Bucaramanga have an estimated 55.3% win probability, against 26.5% for the draw and 18.2% for Fortaleza CEIF. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.67 for Atlético Bucaramanga and 0.77 for Fortaleza CEIF.

Why Atlético Bucaramanga

Atlético Bucaramanga carry the stronger rating, 1550 Elo against 1431.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Fortaleza CEIF can win

Nothing in the data singles out Fortaleza CEIF.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Atlético Bucaramanga, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Fortaleza CEIF, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Atlético Bucaramanga: 50% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 10.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Fortaleza CEIF: 45% possession, 8.8 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Atlético Bucaramanga are the model's most likely outcome at 55.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.7%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	582616	1.67–0.77	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	592615	1.63–0.69	1-0 15%	41%	41%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to win	59.0%	54.0%	45.8%	1.18×	1.85
Draw	26.3%	27.9%	29.5%	0.95×	3.58
Fortaleza CEIF to win	14.7%	13.5%	24.8%	0.54×	7.41

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga & not both score	39.4%	33.4%	27.1%	1.23×	3.00
Atlético Bucaramanga & both teams score	19.6%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	15.5%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.57
Draw & not both score	10.8%	13.3%	10.8%	1.23×	7.54
Fortaleza CEIF & not both score	8.9%	8.3%	13.4%	0.62×	12.00
Fortaleza CEIF & both teams score	5.8%	8.3%	11.5%	0.72×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga & under 3.5	44.3%	40.3%	35.7%	1.13×	2.48
Atlético Bucaramanga & over 1.5	43.9%	40.3%	33.8%	1.19×	2.48
Atlético Bucaramanga & over 2.5	30.8%	30.7%	25.5%	1.21×	3.25
Atlético Bucaramanga & under 2.5	28.2%	26.1%	20.5%	1.27×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	22.8%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.8%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	15.5%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Atlético Bucaramanga & under 1.5	15.1%	18.0%	12.2%	1.48×	5.56
Atlético Bucaramanga & over 3.5	14.7%	12.8%	10.2%	1.25×	7.79
Fortaleza CEIF & under 3.5	12.6%	12.8%	19.9%	0.64×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.8%	12.8%	10.8%	1.19×	7.79
Fortaleza CEIF & over 1.5	8.8%	7.9%	16.5%	0.48×	12.63
Fortaleza CEIF & under 2.5	8.3%	7.9%	12.1%	0.66×	12.63
Fortaleza CEIF & under 1.5	5.9%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.63
Fortaleza CEIF & over 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	12.9%	0.61×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	6.0%	0.81×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	6.0%	0.81×	20.82
Fortaleza CEIF & over 3.5	2.1%	4.8%	5.0%	0.96×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (1UP)	69.4%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Fortaleza CEIF (1UP)	29.2%	27.0%	—	—	3.70

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (2UP)	59.0%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Fortaleza CEIF (2UP)	14.7%	14.2%	—	—	7.07

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to win 2nd half	46.5%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
2nd half drawn	37.8%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Fortaleza CEIF to win 2nd half	15.7%	17.7%	—	—	5.64

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF under 1.5 in 2nd half	93.5%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Fortaleza CEIF under 0.5 in 2nd half	66.1%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Fortaleza CEIF over 0.5 in 2nd half	33.9%	30.5%	—	—	3.28
Fortaleza CEIF over 1.5 in 2nd half	6.5%	8.1%	—	—	12.33

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.3%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Atlético Bucaramanga over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.4%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Atlético Bucaramanga under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.6%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
Atlético Bucaramanga over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.7%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF (+2.5)	85.6%	88.5%	91.8%	0.96×	1.13
Atlético Bucaramanga (+0.5)	85.3%	88.5%	75.2%	1.18×	1.13
Fortaleza CEIF (+1.5)	67.0%	68.7%	79.6%	0.86×	1.46
Atlético Bucaramanga (-0.5)	59.0%	57.1%	45.8%	1.24×	1.75
Fortaleza CEIF (+0.5)	41.0%	42.9%	54.2%	0.79×	2.33
Atlético Bucaramanga (-1.5)	33.0%	31.3%	20.4%	1.54×	3.19
Fortaleza CEIF (-0.5)	14.7%	11.6%	24.8%	0.47×	8.66
Atlético Bucaramanga (-2.5)	14.4%	11.5%	8.2%	1.41×	8.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF to concede	80.3%	81.4%	75.9%	1.07×	1.23
Fortaleza CEIF clean sheet	19.7%	18.6%	24.1%	0.77×	5.39

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF to concede in 1st half	50.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Fortaleza CEIF clean sheet in 1st half	49.7%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF to concede in 2nd half	60.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Fortaleza CEIF clean sheet in 2nd half	39.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF under 6.5 corners	92.4%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Fortaleza CEIF under 5.5 corners	86.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Fortaleza CEIF under 4.5 corners	76.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Fortaleza CEIF under 3.5 corners	61.2%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Fortaleza CEIF over 2.5 corners	57.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Fortaleza CEIF under 2.5 corners	42.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Fortaleza CEIF over 3.5 corners	38.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Fortaleza CEIF over 4.5 corners	24.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Fortaleza CEIF over 5.5 corners	13.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
Fortaleza CEIF over 6.5 corners	7.6%	10.1%	—	—	9.89

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF under 3.5 goals	99.5%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Fortaleza CEIF under 2.5 goals	96.7%	97.5%	92.9%	1.05×	1.03
Fortaleza CEIF under 1.5 goals	84.8%	81.5%	74.2%	1.10×	1.23
Fortaleza CEIF under 0.5 goals	50.2%	53.5%	37.8%	1.42×	1.87
Fortaleza CEIF over 0.5 goals	49.8%	46.5%	62.2%	0.75×	2.15
Fortaleza CEIF over 1.5 goals	15.2%	18.5%	25.8%	0.72×	5.41
Fortaleza CEIF over 2.5 goals	3.3%	2.5%	7.1%	0.36×	39.80
Fortaleza CEIF over 3.5 goals	0.5%	2.5%	1.9%	1.29×	39.94

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF under 1.5 in 1st half	96.8%	96.2%	—	—	1.04
Fortaleza CEIF under 0.5 in 1st half	75.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Fortaleza CEIF over 0.5 in 1st half	24.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Fortaleza CEIF over 1.5 in 1st half	3.2%	3.8%	—	—	26.09

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF scores equally in both	56.1%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Fortaleza CEIF scores more in 2nd half	27.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Fortaleza CEIF scores more in 1st half	16.8%	18.0%	—	—	5.57

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (away no bet)	69.2%	66.5%	60.8%	1.09×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	30.8%	33.5%	39.2%	0.86×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF even goals	62.6%	59.1%	57.6%	1.03×	1.69
Fortaleza CEIF odd goals	37.4%	40.9%	42.4%	0.96×	2.45

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.1%	91.1%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.9%	8.9%	—	—	11.29

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	54.8%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Both halves under 1.5 goals	45.2%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	50.6%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Atlético Bucaramanga to score 2+ in a row	43.0%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.1%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Atlético Bucaramanga to score 3+ in a row	17.5%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Fortaleza CEIF to score 2+ in a row	10.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Fortaleza CEIF to score 3+ in a row	1.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.92

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (+3.5)	93.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (+2.5)	88.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (+1.5)	81.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Fortaleza CEIF corners (+3.5)	74.3%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Fortaleza CEIF corners (+2.5)	64.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Fortaleza CEIF corners (+1.5)	52.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (-1.5)	47.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (-2.5)	35.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (-3.5)	25.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Fortaleza CEIF corners (-1.5)	19.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Fortaleza CEIF corners (-2.5)	11.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Fortaleza CEIF corners (-3.5)	6.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	61.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
9-11 corners	24.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
12+ corners	14.3%	21.2%	—	—	4.72

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	90.3%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	85.7%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 10.5 corners	79.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	71.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	61.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 7.5 corners	50.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 7.5 corners	49.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	38.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	28.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 10.5 corners	20.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	14.3%	16.9%	—	—	5.91
Over 12.5 corners	9.7%	16.6%	—	—	6.01

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	15.1%	13.8%	12.2%	1.13×	7.24
2-0	13.0%	11.5%	8.4%	1.36×	8.71
1-1	12.0%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.71
0-0	10.8%	11.5%	10.8%	1.06×	8.72
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.51
3-0	7.1%	7.4%	4.6%	1.62×	13.51
0-1	5.9%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
3-1	4.9%	1.7%	3.5%	0.50×	58.29
0-2	2.4%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.31
0-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
1-2	3.8%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.30
1-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
2-2	3.1%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
2-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.32
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.19×	58.32
4-0	2.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.30
4-1	2.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.31
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
Any other score	2.6%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (2nd half DNB)	74.8%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Fortaleza CEIF (2nd half DNB)	25.2%	28.2%	—	—	3.55

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga leading at HT (DNB)	76.1%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Fortaleza CEIF leading at HT (DNB)	23.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga or draw (1X)	85.3%	86.5%	75.2%	1.15×	1.16
Atlético Bucaramanga or Fortaleza CEIF (12)	73.7%	72.1%	70.5%	1.02×	1.39
Fortaleza CEIF or draw (X2)	41.0%	46.0%	54.2%	0.85×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga or draw at HT	87.0%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Fortaleza CEIF or draw at HT	58.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Atlético Bucaramanga or Fortaleza CEIF at HT	54.3%	48.7%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga or draw (1UP)	85.3%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Fortaleza CEIF or draw (1UP)	41.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga or draw in 2nd half	84.3%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Atlético Bucaramanga or Fortaleza CEIF in 2nd half	62.2%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Fortaleza CEIF or draw in 2nd half	53.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.3%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	34.7%	32.0%	—	—	3.12

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (DNB)	80.0%	80.3%	64.9%	1.24×	1.25
Fortaleza CEIF (DNB)	20.0%	19.7%	35.1%	0.56×	5.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to score first	62.6%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
Fortaleza CEIF to score first	26.6%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
No goal scored	10.8%	9.4%	—	—	10.62

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	59.1%	55.0%	51.1%	1.08×	1.82
Both teams to score	40.9%	45.0%	48.9%	0.92×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	47.2%	44.3%	43.1%	1.03×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	29.0%	33.3%	36.0%	0.93×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	12.0%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	11.8%	12.4%	8.2%	1.51×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.6%	89.0%	88.6%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.4%	11.0%	11.4%	0.97×	9.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.2%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.8%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	69.4%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Both score 2nd half only	18.3%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Both score 1st half only	9.8%	6.8%	—	—	14.61
Both score in both halves	2.5%	4.8%	—	—	20.66

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.7%	85.0%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	12.3%	15.0%	—	—	6.68

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.6%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	46.4%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.8%	47.2%	48.1%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	31.8%	30.7%	31.2%	0.99×	3.25
4-6 goals	19.4%	20.2%	19.5%	1.04×	4.94
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	1.5%	1.21×	54.47

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF to score exactly 0	50.2%	47.0%	37.8%	1.24×	2.13
Fortaleza CEIF to score exactly 1	34.6%	33.8%	36.6%	0.93×	2.96
Fortaleza CEIF to score exactly 2	11.9%	12.9%	18.8%	0.68×	7.76
Fortaleza CEIF to score 3+	3.3%	4.6%	7.1%	0.65×	21.85

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to score exactly 1	32.0%	32.6%	34.5%	0.94×	3.07
Atlético Bucaramanga to score exactly 2	26.0%	26.5%	26.2%	1.01×	3.77
Atlético Bucaramanga to score 3+	22.3%	23.3%	15.5%	1.50×	4.29
Atlético Bucaramanga to score exactly 0	19.7%	18.8%	24.1%	0.78×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.7%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Atlético Bucaramanga leading at HT	41.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Fortaleza CEIF leading at HT	13.0%	11.7%	—	—	8.57

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga -1: 2	41.0%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Atlético Bucaramanga -1: 1	33.0%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Atlético Bucaramanga -1: X	26.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF (0:1)	41.0%	42.5%	54.2%	0.79×	2.35
Atlético Bucaramanga (0:1)	33.0%	30.1%	20.4%	1.48×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	26.0%	27.0%	25.6%	1.05×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF (0:2)	67.0%	72.2%	79.6%	0.91×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	18.7%	15.3%	12.3%	1.24×	6.56
Atlético Bucaramanga (0:2)	14.4%	11.0%	8.2%	1.35×	9.09

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF (0:3)	85.6%	90.6%	91.8%	0.99×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	9.3%	5.8%	5.4%	1.08×	17.21
Atlético Bucaramanga (0:3)	5.1%	5.8%	2.9%	1.99×	17.28

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF (0:4)	94.9%	94.6%	97.1%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.6%	1.2%	1.9%	0.63×	81.51
Atlético Bucaramanga (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	81.74

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (1:0)	85.3%	86.0%	75.2%	1.14×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	10.5%	12.7%	17.3%	0.73×	7.88
Fortaleza CEIF (1:0)	4.2%	3.3%	7.6%	0.43×	30.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (2:0)	95.8%	96.8%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.4%	2.3%	5.0%	0.46×	43.72
Fortaleza CEIF (2:0)	0.8%	2.3%	2.8%	0.82×	43.87

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.4%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Halves equal	29.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet	50.2%	53.1%	37.8%	1.40×	1.88
Atlético Bucaramanga to concede	49.8%	46.9%	62.2%	0.75×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet in 1st half	75.9%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Atlético Bucaramanga to concede in 1st half	24.1%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet in 2nd half	66.1%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Atlético Bucaramanga to concede in 2nd half	33.9%	33.4%	—	—	2.99

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga under 6.5 corners	77.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Atlético Bucaramanga over 2.5 corners	76.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Atlético Bucaramanga under 5.5 corners	67.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Atlético Bucaramanga over 3.5 corners	61.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Atlético Bucaramanga under 4.5 corners	53.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Atlético Bucaramanga over 4.5 corners	46.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Atlético Bucaramanga under 3.5 corners	38.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Atlético Bucaramanga over 5.5 corners	32.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Atlético Bucaramanga under 2.5 corners	23.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Atlético Bucaramanga over 6.5 corners	22.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga under 3.5 goals	91.8%	92.2%	95.3%	0.97×	1.09
Atlético Bucaramanga over 0.5 goals	80.3%	82.2%	75.9%	1.08×	1.22
Atlético Bucaramanga under 2.5 goals	77.7%	77.8%	84.5%	0.92×	1.29
Atlético Bucaramanga under 1.5 goals	51.7%	53.2%	58.4%	0.91×	1.88
Atlético Bucaramanga over 1.5 goals	48.3%	46.8%	41.6%	1.13×	2.14
Atlético Bucaramanga over 2.5 goals	22.3%	22.2%	15.5%	1.43×	4.50
Atlético Bucaramanga under 0.5 goals	19.7%	17.8%	24.1%	0.74×	5.61
Atlético Bucaramanga over 3.5 goals	8.2%	7.8%	4.7%	1.66×	12.83

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga under 1.5 in 1st half	84.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Atlético Bucaramanga over 0.5 in 1st half	50.3%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Atlético Bucaramanga under 0.5 in 1st half	49.7%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
Atlético Bucaramanga over 1.5 in 1st half	15.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga scores more in 2nd half	39.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Atlético Bucaramanga scores equally in both	34.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Atlético Bucaramanga scores more in 1st half	26.2%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	64.1%	60.1%	54.3%	1.11×	1.67
Fortaleza CEIF (home no bet)	35.9%	39.9%	45.7%	0.87×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga even goals	51.9%	50.7%	53.3%	0.95×	1.97
Atlético Bucaramanga odd goals	48.1%	49.3%	46.7%	1.06×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
HT 1-0	26.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 0-1	10.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	9.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 1-1	7.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
Any other HT score	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 2-1	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 0-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 1-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.34
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga at HT / Atlético Bucaramanga at FT	36.2%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Draw at HT / Atlético Bucaramanga at FT	20.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Fortaleza CEIF at HT / Fortaleza CEIF at FT	7.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Draw at HT / Fortaleza CEIF at FT	6.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Atlético Bucaramanga at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Fortaleza CEIF at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Fortaleza CEIF at HT / Atlético Bucaramanga at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Atlético Bucaramanga at HT / Fortaleza CEIF at FT	0.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to score last	62.8%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Fortaleza CEIF to score last	26.4%	27.1%	—	—	3.68
No goal scored	10.8%	8.8%	—	—	11.34

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.2%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Atlético Bucaramanga to lead by 1 at any time	69.4%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.4%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Atlético Bucaramanga to lead by 2 at any time	37.7%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Fortaleza CEIF to lead by 1 at any time	29.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Atlético Bucaramanga to lead by 3 at any time	16.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Fortaleza CEIF to lead by 2 at any time	6.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.07
Fortaleza CEIF to lead by 3 at any time	1.2%	1.6%	—	—	64.03

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga most corners	59.8%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Fortaleza CEIF most corners	28.6%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.1%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.7%	83.4%	80.1%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	68.9%	68.8%	68.4%	1.01×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.2%	68.8%	67.5%	1.02×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.1%	68.8%	65.4%	1.05×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.6%	59.1%	59.7%	0.99×	1.69
1-2 goals	48.4%	48.4%	45.3%	1.07×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.8%	48.4%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
3-6 goals	39.8%	39.2%	42.7%	0.92×	2.55
3-5 goals	37.7%	39.2%	40.6%	0.97×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.2%	35.2%	34.9%	1.01×	2.84
4-6 goals	19.4%	18.8%	19.5%	0.96×	5.31
4-5 goals	17.3%	18.8%	17.5%	1.08×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.6%	8.9%	7.9%	1.13×	11.26
7+ goals	1.0%	2.5%	1.5%	1.67×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga never behind	60.0%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Fortaleza CEIF never behind	19.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.7%	50.9%	50.4%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.3%	49.1%	49.6%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.9%	95.4%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	90.7%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.2%	87.6%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.6%	77.3%	79.1%	0.98×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	68.2%	66.3%	68.8%	0.96×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	59.2%	58.6%	56.0%	1.05×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	40.8%	41.4%	44.0%	0.94×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	31.8%	33.7%	31.2%	1.08×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	20.4%	22.7%	20.9%	1.09×	4.41
Under 0.5 goals	10.8%	12.4%	10.8%	1.15×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	9.3%	0.83×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.1%	4.6%	3.6%	1.27×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.7%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.3%	92.4%	89.5%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.4%	72.4%	72.8%	0.99×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.2%	55.8%	58.6%	0.95×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.8%	44.2%	41.4%	1.07×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	25.6%	27.6%	27.2%	1.02×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.7%	7.6%	10.5%	0.72×	13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.3%	2.8%	3.8%	0.74×	35.59
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.8%	1.6%	1.80×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.4%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.4%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.1%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.7%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.6%	7.2%	—	—	13.89

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.5%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.0%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.5%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF not to score in both halves	91.8%	90.4%	—	—	1.11
Atlético Bucaramanga not to score in both halves	69.6%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Atlético Bucaramanga to score in both halves	30.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Fortaleza CEIF to score in both halves	8.2%	9.6%	—	—	10.45

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	40.9%	46.6%	48.9%	0.95×	2.15
Only Atlético Bucaramanga scores	39.4%	39.9%	27.1%	1.47×	2.50
Neither team scores	10.8%	11.0%	10.8%	1.02×	9.07
Only Fortaleza CEIF scores	8.9%	7.1%	13.4%	0.53×	13.99

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.4%	24.9%	24.9%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	21.1%	22.6%	20.5%	1.10×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.4%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	11.8%	12.1%	11.8%	1.03×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	10.8%	12.1%	10.8%	1.12×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	5.5%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.1%	4.5%	3.6%	1.24×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	37.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.5%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	18.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.35
3+ goals in 1st half	7.6%	7.2%	—	—	13.89

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.0%	39.9%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	34.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
No goals in 2nd half	26.5%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF not to win both halves	97.9%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Atlético Bucaramanga not to win both halves	80.6%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Atlético Bucaramanga to win both halves	19.4%	16.7%	—	—	6.00
Fortaleza CEIF to win both halves	2.1%	2.8%	—	—	36.34

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF to win neither half	73.5%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Atlético Bucaramanga to win either half	68.4%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Atlético Bucaramanga to win neither half	31.6%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Fortaleza CEIF to win either half	26.5%	26.9%	—	—	3.72

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF not to win to nil	91.1%	92.1%	86.6%	1.06×	1.09
Atlético Bucaramanga not to win to nil	60.6%	66.5%	72.9%	0.91×	1.50
Atlético Bucaramanga to win to nil	39.4%	33.5%	27.1%	1.23×	2.98
Fortaleza CEIF to win to nil	8.9%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.62

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.3%	27.9%	29.5%	0.94×	3.59
Atlético Bucaramanga by 1	26.0%	27.9%	25.6%	1.09×	3.59
Atlético Bucaramanga by 2	18.7%	17.0%	12.3%	1.38×	5.87
Atlético Bucaramanga by 3+	14.4%	11.8%	8.2%	1.44×	8.50
Fortaleza CEIF by 1	10.5%	11.8%	17.3%	0.68×	8.51
Fortaleza CEIF by 2	3.4%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.87
Fortaleza CEIF by 3+	0.8%	2.7%	2.8%	0.98×	36.95