Atlético Grau v Universitario — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Atlético Grau

18:00 UTC

Universitario

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 103h before kick-off

Atlético Grau win

31.2%

model 33.1%

Draw

28.9%

model 27.5%

Universitario win

39.9%

model 39.4%

312940

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 13.0%
1-1 12.8%
1-0 11.7%
0-0 9.9%
1-2 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	39.4%	Under 2.5	60.6%
BTTS yes	45.2%	BTTS no	54.8%
Atlético Grau 1+	65.6%	Atlético Grau 2+	28.9%
Universitario 1+	69.7%	Universitario 2+	33.5%

Expected goals 1.07 – 1.19. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

83/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Atlético Grau under 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 53%

72.9% fair odds 1.37

strong signal · 1226 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.4% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1174 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Universitario carry the stronger rating, 1647 Elo against 1462.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Universitario have an estimated 39.9% win probability, against 31.2% for Atlético Grau and 28.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.07 for Atlético Grau and 1.19 for Universitario.

Why Atlético Grau

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.9%. A combined 2.26 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.07 to 1.19. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Universitario can win

Universitario carry the stronger rating, 1647 Elo against 1462. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Atlético Grau, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Universitario, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Atlético Grau: 44% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Universitario: 47% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Universitario are the model's most likely outcome at 39.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 13.0%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	332839	1.07–1.19	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	313138	0.86–0.98	0-1 16%	28%	36%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to win	37.6%	36.3%	25.4%	1.43×	2.75
Draw	31.3%	30.4%	25.0%	1.21×	3.29
Atlético Grau to win	31.1%	30.4%	49.8%	0.61×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario & not both score	27.0%	25.2%	12.3%	2.05×	3.97
Atlético Grau & not both score	22.2%	21.8%	26.4%	0.82×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	16.0%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
Draw & not both score	15.3%	18.0%	7.8%	2.31×	5.57
Universitario & both teams score	10.6%	13.3%	13.2%	1.00×	7.54
Atlético Grau & both teams score	8.9%	8.3%	23.6%	0.35×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario & under 3.5	32.8%	30.8%	19.4%	1.59×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	28.2%	26.1%	18.8%	1.38×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	28.2%	26.1%	18.8%	1.38×	3.84
Atlético Grau & under 3.5	27.5%	26.1%	33.7%	0.77×	3.84
Universitario & under 2.5	23.7%	21.6%	11.1%	1.96×	4.63
Universitario & over 1.5	21.5%	21.6%	17.4%	1.24×	4.63
Atlético Grau & under 2.5	20.1%	21.6%	19.2%	1.13×	4.63
Atlético Grau & over 1.5	16.9%	18.0%	38.0%	0.47×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.0%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	15.3%	18.0%	7.8%	2.31×	5.56
Universitario & under 1.5	16.1%	18.0%	8.2%	2.21×	5.56
Atlético Grau & under 1.5	14.2%	12.8%	12.0%	1.07×	7.79
Universitario & over 2.5	13.9%	12.8%	14.5%	0.89×	7.79
Atlético Grau & over 2.5	11.0%	12.8%	30.8%	0.42×	7.79
Universitario & over 3.5	4.8%	4.8%	6.2%	0.78×	20.81
Atlético Grau & over 3.5	3.6%	4.8%	16.3%	0.29×	20.82
Draw & over 2.5	3.1%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.1%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (1UP)	49.1%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Atlético Grau (1UP)	43.1%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (2UP)	37.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Atlético Grau (2UP)	31.1%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	44.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Universitario to win 2nd half	31.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Atlético Grau to win 2nd half	24.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.2%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Universitario under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.5%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Universitario over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Universitario over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.8%	12.8%	—	—	7.79

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.3%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Atlético Grau under 0.5 in 2nd half	61.3%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Atlético Grau over 0.5 in 2nd half	38.8%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Atlético Grau over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.29

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (+2.5)	97.4%	96.3%	88.6%	1.09×	1.04
Universitario (+1.5)	89.7%	88.5%	75.4%	1.17×	1.13
Universitario (+0.5)	68.9%	68.7%	50.2%	1.37×	1.46
Atlético Grau (+0.5)	62.4%	63.0%	74.6%	0.84×	1.59
Universitario (-0.5)	37.6%	37.1%	25.4%	1.46×	2.70
Atlético Grau (-0.5)	31.1%	31.3%	49.8%	0.63×	3.19
Atlético Grau (-1.5)	10.3%	11.5%	24.6%	0.47×	8.68
Atlético Grau (-2.5)	2.6%	3.7%	11.4%	0.32×	27.17

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to concede	57.7%	62.4%	80.1%	0.78×	1.60
Universitario clean sheet	42.3%	37.6%	19.9%	1.88×	2.66

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario clean sheet in 1st half	69.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Universitario to concede in 1st half	30.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.52

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario clean sheet in 2nd half	61.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Universitario to concede in 2nd half	38.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario under 6.5 corners	82.7%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Universitario over 2.5 corners	74.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Universitario under 5.5 corners	72.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Universitario under 4.5 corners	59.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Universitario over 3.5 corners	57.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Universitario under 3.5 corners	42.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Universitario over 4.5 corners	41.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Universitario over 5.5 corners	27.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Universitario under 2.5 corners	25.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Universitario over 6.5 corners	17.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario under 3.5 goals	98.2%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Universitario under 2.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Universitario under 1.5 goals	74.3%	71.8%	71.6%	1.00×	1.39
Universitario over 0.5 goals	62.5%	63.2%	65.9%	0.96×	1.58
Universitario under 0.5 goals	37.5%	36.8%	34.1%	1.08×	2.72
Universitario over 1.5 goals	25.7%	28.2%	28.4%	0.99×	3.55
Universitario over 2.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	8.0%	0.96×	13.07
Universitario over 3.5 goals	1.8%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.88

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario under 1.5 in 1st half	94.1%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Universitario under 0.5 in 1st half	67.6%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Universitario over 0.5 in 1st half	32.4%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Universitario over 1.5 in 1st half	5.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.63

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario scores equally in both	46.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Universitario scores more in 2nd half	33.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Universitario scores more in 1st half	20.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	50.2%	51.6%	33.4%	1.55×	1.94
Atlético Grau (away no bet)	49.8%	48.4%	66.6%	0.73×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario even goals	57.0%	56.9%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76
Universitario odd goals	43.0%	43.1%	43.1%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	94.8%	92.2%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	5.2%	7.8%	—	—	12.78

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	58.4%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Not both halves under 1.5	41.6%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	36.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Universitario to score 2+ in a row	21.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Atlético Grau to score 2+ in a row	17.1%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
Either team to score 3+ in a row	9.2%	5.5%	—	—	18.05
Universitario to score 3+ in a row	5.4%	5.5%	—	—	18.34
Atlético Grau to score 3+ in a row	3.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.66

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario corners (+3.5)	91.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Universitario corners (+2.5)	85.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Atlético Grau corners (+3.5)	79.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Universitario corners (+1.5)	77.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Atlético Grau corners (+2.5)	70.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Atlético Grau corners (+1.5)	58.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Universitario corners (-1.5)	41.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Universitario corners (-2.5)	29.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Atlético Grau corners (-1.5)	22.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Universitario corners (-3.5)	20.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Atlético Grau corners (-2.5)	14.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Atlético Grau corners (-3.5)	8.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	63.7%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
9-11 corners	24.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
12+ corners	12.3%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	92.1%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	87.7%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 10.5 corners	81.7%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 9.5 corners	73.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	63.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 7.5 corners	52.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 7.5 corners	47.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	36.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	26.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 10.5 corners	18.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 11.5 corners	12.3%	16.9%	—	—	5.91
Over 12.5 corners	7.9%	16.6%	—	—	6.04

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	16.1%	13.8%	8.2%	1.70×	7.24
0-0	15.3%	13.8%	7.8%	1.77×	7.24
1-0	14.2%	11.5%	12.0%	0.96×	8.71
1-1	12.9%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.71
0-2	7.6%	7.4%	3.1%	2.40×	13.51
1-2	6.6%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
2-0	5.9%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
2-1	5.8%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
0-3	2.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.32
1-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
2-2	2.8%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-0	1.7%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.31
3-1	1.7%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.31
3-2	0.8%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.32
4-1	0.4%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.32
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32
Any other score	0.5%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (2nd half DNB)	55.8%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Atlético Grau (2nd half DNB)	44.2%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario leading at HT (DNB)	51.7%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Atlético Grau leading at HT (DNB)	48.3%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario or draw (X2)	68.9%	69.6%	50.2%	1.39×	1.44
Atlético Grau or Universitario (12)	68.7%	69.6%	75.0%	0.93×	1.44
Atlético Grau or draw (1X)	62.4%	63.7%	74.6%	0.85×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario or draw at HT	77.6%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Atlético Grau or draw at HT	75.9%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Atlético Grau or Universitario at HT	46.5%	51.2%	—	—	1.95

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario or draw (1UP)	68.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Atlético Grau or draw (1UP)	62.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario or draw in 2nd half	75.3%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Atlético Grau or draw in 2nd half	68.9%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
Atlético Grau or Universitario in 2nd half	55.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	74.6%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Neither half drawn	25.4%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (DNB)	54.7%	51.0%	33.7%	1.51×	1.96
Atlético Grau (DNB)	45.3%	49.0%	66.3%	0.74×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to score first	45.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Atlético Grau to score first	39.6%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	15.3%	16.6%	—	—	6.01

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	64.5%	56.7%	46.2%	1.23×	1.77
Both teams to score	35.5%	43.3%	53.8%	0.81×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	59.1%	47.5%	37.7%	1.26×	2.11
Both score & over 2.5	22.6%	27.9%	42.8%	0.65×	3.59
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	5.4%	8.3%	8.7%	0.95×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	94.5%	89.0%	85.7%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	5.5%	11.0%	14.3%	0.77×	9.12

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	83.0%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	17.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	74.8%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Both score 2nd half only	15.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Both score 1st half only	8.2%	6.8%	—	—	14.70
Both score in both halves	1.7%	4.8%	—	—	20.83

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	90.1%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Both teams to score by HT	9.9%	9.7%	—	—	10.32

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	65.1%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
A goal in each half	34.9%	34.8%	—	—	2.88

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	45.6%	47.2%	27.5%	1.71×	2.12
2-3 goals	42.8%	42.2%	44.2%	0.95×	2.37
4-6 goals	11.2%	16.9%	26.8%	0.63×	5.91
7+ goals	0.3%	1.8%	1.8%	1.01×	54.54

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to score exactly 0	37.5%	35.9%	34.1%	1.05×	2.78
Universitario to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	37.7%	0.95×	2.78
Universitario to score exactly 2	18.0%	19.5%	20.7%	0.95×	5.12
Universitario to score 3+	7.7%	8.5%	8.0%	1.07×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to score exactly 1	36.4%	35.5%	33.0%	1.08×	2.81
Atlético Grau to score exactly 0	42.3%	35.1%	19.9%	1.76×	2.85
Atlético Grau to score exactly 2	15.6%	18.8%	25.0%	0.75×	5.33
Atlético Grau to score 3+	5.6%	10.3%	22.5%	0.46×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	53.5%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Universitario leading at HT	24.1%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Atlético Grau leading at HT	22.4%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario -1: 1	62.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Universitario -1: X	23.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Universitario -1: 2	14.0%	14.0%	—	—	7.15

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (0:1)	68.9%	65.3%	50.2%	1.30×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	20.8%	24.2%	25.4%	0.95×	4.13
Atlético Grau (0:1)	10.3%	13.7%	24.6%	0.56×	7.31

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (0:2)	89.7%	87.1%	75.4%	1.16×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.7%	7.7%	13.4%	0.57×	13.05
Atlético Grau (0:2)	2.6%	3.7%	11.4%	0.33×	26.75

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (0:3)	97.4%	96.6%	88.6%	1.09×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.1%	2.4%	7.6%	0.31×	42.05
Atlético Grau (0:3)	0.5%	2.4%	4.0%	0.60×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (0:4)	99.5%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.92
Atlético Grau (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.96

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (1:0)	62.4%	65.3%	74.6%	0.87×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	23.6%	21.7%	17.9%	1.21×	4.61
Universitario (1:0)	14.0%	12.7%	7.6%	1.67×	7.86

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (2:0)	86.0%	88.5%	92.4%	0.96×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	10.0%	10.3%	5.6%	1.83×	9.74
Universitario (2:0)	3.9%	2.3%	2.2%	1.05×	43.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.0%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Halves equal	31.1%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
1st half highest scoring	25.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to concede	62.5%	63.6%	65.9%	0.97×	1.57
Atlético Grau clean sheet	37.5%	36.4%	34.1%	1.07×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau clean sheet in 1st half	67.6%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Atlético Grau to concede in 1st half	32.4%	29.4%	—	—	3.41

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau clean sheet in 2nd half	55.5%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Atlético Grau to concede in 2nd half	44.5%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau under 6.5 corners	91.5%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Atlético Grau under 5.5 corners	84.5%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Atlético Grau under 4.5 corners	73.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Atlético Grau over 2.5 corners	61.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Atlético Grau under 3.5 corners	57.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Atlético Grau over 3.5 corners	42.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Atlético Grau under 2.5 corners	38.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Atlético Grau over 4.5 corners	26.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Atlético Grau over 5.5 corners	15.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Atlético Grau over 6.5 corners	8.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau under 3.5 goals	98.8%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Atlético Grau under 2.5 goals	94.4%	92.2%	77.5%	1.19×	1.08
Atlético Grau under 1.5 goals	78.7%	77.8%	52.7%	1.48×	1.29
Atlético Grau over 0.5 goals	57.7%	58.7%	80.1%	0.73×	1.71
Atlético Grau under 0.5 goals	42.3%	41.3%	19.9%	2.07×	2.42
Atlético Grau over 1.5 goals	21.3%	22.2%	47.3%	0.47×	4.50
Atlético Grau over 2.5 goals	5.6%	7.8%	22.5%	0.35×	12.85
Atlético Grau over 3.5 goals	1.2%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.63

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau under 1.5 in 1st half	94.6%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
Atlético Grau under 0.5 in 1st half	69.1%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Atlético Grau over 0.5 in 1st half	30.9%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
Atlético Grau over 1.5 in 1st half	5.4%	5.1%	—	—	19.70

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau scores equally in both	50.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Atlético Grau scores more in 2nd half	29.1%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Atlético Grau scores more in 1st half	20.6%	20.9%	—	—	4.78

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (home no bet)	54.6%	51.5%	50.4%	1.02×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	45.4%	48.5%	49.6%	0.98×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau even goals	59.0%	55.3%	50.5%	1.09×	1.81
Atlético Grau odd goals	41.0%	44.7%	49.5%	0.90×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	46.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
HT 0-1	18.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	17.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	6.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 0-2	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-0	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.33
HT 2-1	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.34
Any other HT score	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.33
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.40

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	23.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Universitario at HT / Universitario at FT	19.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Universitario at FT	16.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Atlético Grau at HT / Atlético Grau at FT	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Atlético Grau at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Atlético Grau at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Universitario at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Atlético Grau at HT / Universitario at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.98
Universitario at HT / Atlético Grau at FT	1.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.00

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to score last	45.1%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Atlético Grau to score last	39.6%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	15.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.89

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	84.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Universitario to lead by 1 at any time	49.1%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Atlético Grau to lead by 1 at any time	43.1%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	30.6%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Universitario to lead by 2 at any time	17.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Atlético Grau to lead by 2 at any time	13.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.42
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	7.9%	6.7%	—	—	15.02
Universitario to lead by 3 at any time	4.7%	1.6%	—	—	60.76
Atlético Grau to lead by 3 at any time	3.2%	1.6%	—	—	62.17

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario most corners	54.1%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Atlético Grau most corners	33.4%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	12.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.5%	83.4%	87.1%	0.96×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.7%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	73.1%	72.3%	63.9%	1.13×	1.38
1-2 goals	56.6%	59.1%	41.1%	1.44×	1.69
2-6 goals	54.1%	53.2%	70.8%	0.75×	1.88
2-5 goals	53.2%	53.2%	67.4%	0.79×	1.88
2-4 goals	50.4%	53.1%	58.3%	0.91×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.8%	43.6%	44.2%	0.99×	2.29
3-6 goals	27.7%	30.2%	49.6%	0.61×	3.31
3-5 goals	26.9%	30.2%	46.2%	0.65×	3.31
3-4 goals	24.1%	24.5%	37.1%	0.66×	4.09
4-6 goals	11.2%	14.8%	26.8%	0.55×	6.76
4-5 goals	10.4%	14.8%	23.4%	0.63×	6.76
5-6 goals	3.6%	2.6%	12.7%	0.20×	39.10
7+ goals	0.3%	2.5%	1.8%	1.41×	39.26

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario never behind	41.6%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Atlético Grau never behind	35.6%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	53.3%	0.96×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	46.7%	1.05×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	60.7%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 1st half	39.3%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.4%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.6%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.9%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	96.1%	95.4%	85.7%	1.11×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	88.5%	87.6%	71.6%	1.22×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	84.7%	82.3%	92.2%	0.89×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	72.0%	72.5%	48.7%	1.49×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	54.4%	52.5%	72.5%	0.72×	1.90
Under 1.5 goals	45.6%	47.5%	27.5%	1.72×	2.11
Over 2.5 goals	28.0%	27.5%	51.3%	0.54×	3.63
Under 0.5 goals	15.3%	17.7%	7.8%	2.27×	5.65
Over 3.5 goals	11.5%	12.4%	28.4%	0.44×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	3.9%	4.6%	14.3%	0.32×	21.81
Over 5.5 goals	1.1%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.7%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.8%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	95.7%	97.2%	83.3%	1.17×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	86.2%	86.7%	63.1%	1.37×	1.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.0%	61.9%	34.9%	1.77×	1.62
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	38.0%	38.1%	65.1%	0.59×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	13.8%	13.3%	36.9%	0.36×	7.53
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	4.3%	2.8%	16.7%	0.17×	35.57
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.2%	2.8%	5.8%	0.49×	35.66
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.3%	2.8%	1.9%	1.49×	35.69

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.8%	96.6%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half	82.3%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	53.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 0.5 in 1st half	46.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 1.5 in 1st half	17.7%	14.3%	—	—	6.99
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.11

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	90.5%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	70.9%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.2%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.8%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.1%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	9.5%	10.1%	—	—	9.92

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau not to score in both halves	88.0%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Universitario not to score in both halves	85.6%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Universitario to score in both halves	14.4%	14.5%	—	—	6.89
Atlético Grau to score in both halves	12.0%	14.4%	—	—	6.97

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	35.5%	39.9%	53.8%	0.74×	2.51
Only Universitario scores	27.0%	26.1%	12.3%	2.12×	3.84
Only Atlético Grau scores	22.2%	22.2%	26.4%	0.84×	4.50
Neither team scores	15.3%	16.0%	7.8%	2.06×	6.24

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	30.3%	25.3%	19.9%	1.27×	3.95
Exactly 2 goals	26.4%	24.9%	21.4%	1.16×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	16.5%	17.5%	23.0%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	15.3%	17.5%	7.8%	2.24×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	7.6%	7.6%	14.3%	0.53×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	2.8%	4.5%	9.2%	0.48×	22.36
6 or more goals	1.1%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	46.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
1 goal in 1st half	35.7%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	13.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
3+ goals in 1st half	4.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.11

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	37.0%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
No goals in 2nd half	33.8%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
2+ goals in 2nd half	29.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau not to win both halves	94.5%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Universitario not to win both halves	92.6%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Universitario to win both halves	7.4%	5.8%	—	—	17.12
Atlético Grau to win both halves	5.5%	5.8%	—	—	17.26

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to win neither half	58.4%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Universitario to win neither half	52.2%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Universitario to win either half	47.8%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Atlético Grau to win either half	41.6%	40.9%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau not to win to nil	77.8%	78.1%	73.6%	1.06×	1.28
Universitario not to win to nil	73.0%	75.3%	87.7%	0.86×	1.33
Universitario to win to nil	27.0%	24.7%	12.3%	2.01×	4.05
Atlético Grau to win to nil	22.2%	21.9%	26.4%	0.83×	4.57

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.3%	27.7%	25.0%	1.11×	3.61
Universitario by 1	23.6%	24.1%	17.9%	1.34×	4.15
Atlético Grau by 1	20.8%	24.1%	25.4%	0.95×	4.15
Universitario by 2	10.0%	11.8%	5.6%	2.09×	8.51
Atlético Grau by 2	7.7%	7.2%	13.4%	0.54×	13.91
Universitario by 3+	3.9%	2.7%	2.2%	1.25×	36.85
Atlético Grau by 3+	2.6%	2.7%	11.4%	0.24×	36.89