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Atletico Madrid v Leganes — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 October 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

3–1
5.21 – 0.27 xG
Shots
23 – 5
On target
8 – 2
Shots in box
14 – 2
xG per shot
0.23 – 0.05
Set-piece xG
0.06 – 0.04
Goals − xG
-2.33 – +0.73
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.53.04.56.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Yvan Neyou 33' — goalAlexander Sørloth 68' — goalAntoine Griezmann 80' — goalAlexander Sørloth 98' — goal
Atletico Madrid 5.33 xGLeganes 0.27 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Rodrigo Riquelme 8' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Alexander Sørloth 10' — Saved Shot (0.60 xG, Open Play)Antoine Griezmann 10' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Pablo Barrios Rivas 12' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ángel Correa 15' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Ángel Correa 20' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Juan Cruz 31' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Yvan Neyou 33' — Goal (0.08 xG, Open Play)Javi Galán 35' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Raba 40' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Alexander Sørloth 42' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ángel Correa 42' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Rodrigo Riquelme 44' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Ángel Correa 45' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Juan Cruz 45' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Alexander Sørloth 49' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Ángel Correa 51' — Missed Shot (0.45 xG, Open Play)Samuel Lino 57' — Missed Shot (0.55 xG, Open Play)Seydouba Cissé 63' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Alexander Sørloth 68' — Goal (0.82 xG, Open Play)Rodrigo de Paul 76' — Blocked Shot (0.36 xG, Open Play)Julián Álvarez 77' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Antoine Griezmann 80' — Goal (0.57 xG, Open Play)Julián Álvarez 82' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Pablo Barrios Rivas 90' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Alexander Sørloth 96' — Blocked Shot (0.52 xG, Open Play)Alexander Sørloth 96' — Blocked Shot (0.15 xG, Open Play)Alexander Sørloth 98' — Goal (0.60 xG, Open Play)
Atletico Madrid attacking right Leganes attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
8' Atletico Madrid Rodrigo Riquelme 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
10' Atletico Madrid Alexander Sørloth 0.60 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Antoine Griezmann
10' Atletico Madrid Antoine Griezmann 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Koke
12' Atletico Madrid Pablo Barrios Rivas 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Clement Lenglet
15' Atletico Madrid Ángel Correa 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Pablo Barrios Rivas
20' Atletico Madrid Ángel Correa 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Antoine Griezmann
31' Leganes Juan Cruz 0.04 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot
33' Leganes Yvan Neyou 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Goal Raba
35' Atletico Madrid Javi Galán 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
40' Leganes Raba 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Juan Cruz
42' Atletico Madrid Alexander Sørloth 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Clement Lenglet
42' Atletico Madrid Ángel Correa 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
44' Atletico Madrid Rodrigo Riquelme 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Pablo Barrios Rivas
45' Atletico Madrid Ángel Correa 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Pablo Barrios Rivas
45' Leganes Juan Cruz 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Raba
49' Atletico Madrid Alexander Sørloth 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Ángel Correa
51' Atletico Madrid Ángel Correa 0.45 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Antoine Griezmann
57' Atletico Madrid Samuel Lino 0.55 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
63' Leganes Seydouba Cissé 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Yvan Neyou
68' Atletico Madrid Alexander Sørloth 0.82 Open Play Right Foot Goal Axel Witsel
76' Atletico Madrid Rodrigo de Paul 0.36 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
77' Atletico Madrid Julián Álvarez 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Rodrigo de Paul
80' Atletico Madrid Antoine Griezmann 0.57 Open Play Left Foot Goal Giuliano Simeone
82' Atletico Madrid Julián Álvarez 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Antoine Griezmann
90' Atletico Madrid Pablo Barrios Rivas 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
96' Atletico Madrid Alexander Sørloth 0.52 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Samuel Lino
96' Atletico Madrid Alexander Sørloth 0.15 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
98' Atletico Madrid Alexander Sørloth 0.60 Open Play Left Foot Goal Julián Álvarez

Players

Leganes

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Yvan Neyou MC 90 1 0 1 1 0.08 0.07 0.15
Marko Dmitrovic GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Renato Tapia MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Matija Nastasic DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sergio González DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Valentin Rosier DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Seydouba Cissé ML 85 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.12
Javi Hernández DL 85 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Miguel De la Fuente FW 79 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Juan Cruz MR 70 0 0 2 1 0.09 0.03 0.15
Raba AMC 70 0 1 1 2 0.03 0.14 0.17
Munir Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Roberto López Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sébastien Haller Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Enric Franquesa Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Diego García Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Atletico Madrid

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Alexander Sørloth FW 90 2 0 7 0 2.79 0.00 2.79
Antoine Griezmann AMC 90 1 0 2 4 0.63 1.16 2.00
Pablo Barrios Rivas MC 90 0 0 2 3 0.05 0.24 1.43
Javi Galán DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.17
Axel Witsel DC 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.82 1.02
Jan Oblak GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Clement Lenglet DC 66 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.06 0.21
Ángel Correa FW 59 0 0 5 1 0.75 0.05 0.92
Rodrigo Riquelme MC 59 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.29
Koke DMC 59 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.33
Nahuel Molina DR 48 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.29
Samuel Lino Sub 42 0 0 1 1 0.55 0.52 1.11
Rodrigo de Paul Sub 31 0 0 1 1 0.36 0.04 1.52
Julián Álvarez Sub 31 0 1 2 1 0.11 0.60 1.77
Giuliano Simeone Sub 31 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.57 0.57
Giménez Sub 24 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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