Atletico Madrid v Viking FK — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 25 November 2026 · EUR-Champions League · 2627

Champions League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Atletico Madrid

20:00 UTC

Viking FK

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 801h before kick-off

Atletico Madrid win

79.2%

model 76.6%

Draw

10.5%

model 13.1%

Viking FK win

10.3%

model 10.3%

791110

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (68 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 8.6%
2-1 8.5%
3-0 8.3%
3-1 8.2%
1-0 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	74.3%	Under 2.5	25.7%
BTTS yes	59.0%	BTTS no	41.0%
Atletico Madrid 1+	94.4%	Atletico Madrid 2+	78.4%
Viking FK 1+	62.8%	Viking FK 2+	26.0%

Expected goals 2.89 – 0.99. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

73/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

91%

★ Best pick

Atletico Madrid (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 32%

57.0% fair odds 1.75

strong signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Viking FK not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
At home Atletico Madrid average 2.47 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Atletico Madrid have an estimated 79.2% win probability, against 10.5% for the draw and 10.3% for Viking FK. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.89 for Atletico Madrid and 0.99 for Viking FK.

Why Atletico Madrid

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. At home Atletico Madrid average 2.47 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 10.5%. Draws run at 15% in this competition.

Why Viking FK can win

Viking FK carry the stronger rating, 1739 Elo against 1702. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Atletico Madrid's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Jonathan Christian David (0.53), Alexander Sørloth (0.42), Julián Álvarez (0.42).

Availability

2 of Atletico Madrid's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Atletico Madrid's last eleven are new to the club this window. No lineup on record for Viking FK, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Atletico Madrid: 63% possession, 19.8 shots a match, 7.4 faced, 0.29 xG a match from set pieces. Viking FK: 48% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 19.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Atletico Madrid's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Atletico Madrid are the model's most likely outcome at 79.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 8.6%. Confidence 73/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Atletico Madrid have scored 20 from 19.1 expected and conceded 13 from 12.8 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

LWDWLWWWWW last 10 scored 20 from 19.1 xG conceded 13 from 12.8 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	771310	2.89–0.99	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	8695	3.50–0.85	3-0 9%	81%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid to win	85.8%	87.5%	51.0%	1.71×	1.14
Draw	8.7%	8.2%	15.6%	0.53×	12.21
Viking FK to win	5.5%	8.0%	33.7%	0.24×	12.48

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid & both teams score	44.0%	40.1%	26.8%	1.50×	2.49
Atletico Madrid & not both score	41.8%	40.0%	24.5%	1.63×	2.50
Draw & both teams score	7.6%	8.3%	10.7%	0.78×	12.01
Viking FK & both teams score	3.5%	4.9%	18.4%	0.26×	20.59
Viking FK & not both score	2.0%	4.8%	15.6%	0.31×	20.63
Draw & not both score	1.1%	4.8%	5.1%	0.95×	20.66

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid & over 1.5	81.0%	77.6%	42.9%	1.81×	1.29
Atletico Madrid & over 2.5	73.0%	67.6%	36.7%	1.84×	1.48
Atletico Madrid & over 3.5	57.0%	54.9%	24.5%	2.24×	1.82
Atletico Madrid & under 3.5	28.8%	26.1%	26.8%	0.97×	3.84
Atletico Madrid & under 2.5	12.8%	12.8%	14.5%	0.88×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Atletico Madrid & under 1.5	4.8%	4.8%	8.4%	0.57×	20.81
Draw & under 2.5	4.7%	4.8%	10.5%	0.46×	20.81
Draw & under 3.5	4.7%	4.8%	10.5%	0.46×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	4.0%	4.8%	5.4%	0.90×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	5.4%	0.90×	20.81
Viking FK & over 1.5	4.1%	4.8%	28.1%	0.17×	20.81
Viking FK & over 2.5	3.7%	4.8%	23.7%	0.20×	20.81
Viking FK & under 3.5	3.6%	4.8%	19.1%	0.25×	20.82
Viking FK & under 2.5	1.8%	4.8%	10.2%	0.47×	20.83
Viking FK & over 3.5	1.9%	4.8%	14.8%	0.32×	20.83
Draw & under 1.5	1.1%	4.8%	5.1%	0.94×	20.83
Viking FK & under 1.5	1.3%	4.8%	5.9%	0.82×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid (1UP)	91.7%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Viking FK (1UP)	22.4%	22.1%	—	—	4.53

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid (2UP)	85.8%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Viking FK (2UP)	5.5%	7.7%	—	—	12.96

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid to win 2nd half	72.7%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
2nd half drawn	18.8%	18.2%	—	—	5.50
Viking FK to win 2nd half	8.5%	7.2%	—	—	13.91

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Viking FK under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.7%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Viking FK under 0.5 in 2nd half	60.1%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Viking FK over 0.5 in 2nd half	39.9%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
Viking FK over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.3%	8.2%	—	—	12.17

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.3%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Atletico Madrid over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.1%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Atletico Madrid under 1.5 in 2nd half	41.0%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Atletico Madrid under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.7%	11.7%	—	—	8.51

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid (+0.5)	94.5%	92.1%	66.3%	1.39×	1.09
Atletico Madrid (-0.5)	85.8%	88.5%	51.0%	1.73×	1.13
Atletico Madrid (-1.5)	70.0%	68.7%	31.6%	2.17×	1.46
Atletico Madrid (-2.5)	50.5%	52.4%	18.4%	2.85×	1.91
Viking FK (+2.5)	49.5%	47.6%	81.6%	0.58×	2.10
Viking FK (+1.5)	30.0%	31.3%	68.4%	0.46×	3.19
Viking FK (+0.5)	14.2%	11.6%	49.0%	0.24×	8.66
Viking FK (-0.5)	5.5%	7.9%	33.7%	0.23×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Viking FK to concede	97.0%	96.5%	79.6%	1.21×	1.04
Viking FK clean sheet	3.0%	3.5%	20.4%	0.17×	28.68

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Viking FK to concede in 1st half	77.8%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Viking FK clean sheet in 1st half	22.2%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Viking FK to concede in 2nd half	86.3%	89.7%	—	—	1.11
Viking FK clean sheet in 2nd half	13.7%	10.3%	—	—	9.74

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Viking FK under 6.5 corners	79.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Viking FK over 2.5 corners	74.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Viking FK under 5.5 corners	69.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Viking FK over 3.5 corners	59.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Viking FK under 4.5 corners	56.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Viking FK over 4.5 corners	43.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Viking FK under 3.5 corners	41.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Viking FK over 5.5 corners	30.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Viking FK under 2.5 corners	25.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Viking FK over 6.5 corners	20.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Viking FK under 3.5 goals	98.9%	97.5%	92.3%	1.06×	1.03
Viking FK under 2.5 goals	94.5%	92.4%	79.1%	1.17×	1.08
Viking FK under 1.5 goals	79.1%	76.3%	59.9%	1.27×	1.31
Viking FK over 0.5 goals	57.2%	59.4%	70.7%	0.84×	1.68
Viking FK under 0.5 goals	42.8%	40.6%	29.3%	1.38×	2.46
Viking FK over 1.5 goals	20.9%	23.7%	40.1%	0.59×	4.22
Viking FK over 2.5 goals	5.5%	7.6%	20.9%	0.37×	13.08
Viking FK over 3.5 goals	1.1%	2.5%	7.7%	0.33×	39.98

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Viking FK under 1.5 in 1st half	95.4%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Viking FK under 0.5 in 1st half	71.2%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Viking FK over 0.5 in 1st half	28.8%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Viking FK over 1.5 in 1st half	4.6%	4.1%	—	—	24.66

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Viking FK scores equally in both	50.5%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Viking FK scores more in 2nd half	30.7%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
Viking FK scores more in 1st half	18.7%	18.1%	—	—	5.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid (away no bet)	90.8%	92.1%	76.6%	1.20×	1.09
Draw (away no bet)	9.2%	7.9%	23.4%	0.34×	12.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Viking FK even goals	59.2%	57.0%	53.6%	1.06×	1.76
Viking FK odd goals	40.8%	43.0%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	60.9%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Both halves over 1.5 goals	39.1%	35.9%	—	—	2.79

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	86.9%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves under 1.5 goals	13.1%	17.0%	—	—	5.90

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	84.9%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Atletico Madrid to score 2+ in a row	81.4%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
Either team to score 3+ in a row	57.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Atletico Madrid to score 3+ in a row	56.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Viking FK to score 2+ in a row	10.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Viking FK to score 3+ in a row	1.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.75

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid corners (+3.5)	89.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Atletico Madrid corners (+2.5)	85.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Atletico Madrid corners (+1.5)	78.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Viking FK corners (+3.5)	66.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Viking FK corners (+2.5)	57.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Atletico Madrid corners (-1.5)	52.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Viking FK corners (+1.5)	47.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Atletico Madrid corners (-2.5)	42.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Atletico Madrid corners (-3.5)	33.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Viking FK corners (-1.5)	21.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Viking FK corners (-2.5)	15.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Viking FK corners (-3.5)	10.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	40.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	32.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	27.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	68.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	67.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	60.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	58.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	51.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	48.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	42.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	40.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	32.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	32.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	23.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	27.2%	20.4%	11.5%	1.78×	4.91
3-0	9.3%	7.4%	5.1%	1.45×	13.50
2-0	8.0%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.50
2-1	6.8%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.51
3-1	7.9%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.50
4-0	8.1%	7.4%	3.3%	2.23×	13.50
4-1	6.9%	7.4%	3.1%	2.42×	13.51
1-0	4.8%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.29
0-0	1.1%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.31
0-1	1.3%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.31
0-2	0.5%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.32
0-3	0.1%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.32
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.32
1-1	3.6%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
1-2	1.6%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
1-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.32
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.32
2-2	2.9%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
2-3	0.8%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.32
3-2	3.3%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.32
4-2	2.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.34×	58.30
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.31
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid (2nd half DNB)	89.5%	87.4%	—	—	1.14
Viking FK (2nd half DNB)	10.5%	12.6%	—	—	7.96

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid leading at HT (DNB)	89.2%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Viking FK leading at HT (DNB)	10.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid or draw (1X)	94.5%	92.0%	66.3%	1.39×	1.09
Atletico Madrid or Viking FK (12)	91.3%	91.8%	84.4%	1.09×	1.09
Viking FK or draw (X2)	14.2%	12.5%	49.0%	0.26×	7.97

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid or draw at HT	91.9%	91.4%	—	—	1.10
Atletico Madrid or Viking FK at HT	75.1%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
Viking FK or draw at HT	33.1%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid or draw (1UP)	94.5%	94.4%	—	—	1.06
Viking FK or draw (1UP)	22.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid or draw in 2nd half	91.5%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Atletico Madrid or Viking FK in 2nd half	81.2%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
Viking FK or draw in 2nd half	27.3%	23.8%	—	—	4.21

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	60.7%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
A half drawn	39.3%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid (DNB)	94.0%	93.5%	60.2%	1.55×	1.07
Viking FK (DNB)	6.0%	6.5%	39.8%	0.16×	15.28

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid to score first	79.6%	81.9%	—	—	1.22
Viking FK to score first	19.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
No goal scored	1.1%	4.2%	—	—	23.77

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.2%	55.0%	55.4%	0.99×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.8%	45.0%	44.6%	1.01×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	51.6%	47.2%	50.0%	0.94×	2.12
Not both score & over 2.5	29.2%	33.4%	15.6%	2.14×	3.00
Not both score & under 2.5	15.6%	21.5%	29.3%	0.73×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	3.6%	4.7%	5.6%	0.83×	21.36

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.0%	82.6%	80.9%	1.02×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	18.0%	17.4%	19.1%	0.91×	5.74

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.7%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.0%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	26.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Both score 1st half only	14.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	7.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.68

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.7%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.3%	18.8%	—	—	5.32

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	77.1%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
A half without a goal	22.9%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	48.4%	47.2%	37.5%	1.26×	2.12
2-3 goals	29.9%	26.6%	37.2%	0.72×	3.76
7+ goals	14.5%	16.9%	6.9%	2.46×	5.91
0-1 goals	7.2%	7.6%	18.9%	0.40×	13.13

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Viking FK to score exactly 0	42.8%	37.3%	29.3%	1.27×	2.68
Viking FK to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.9%	30.9%	1.16×	2.78
Viking FK to score exactly 2	15.4%	19.6%	19.4%	1.01×	5.11
Viking FK to score 3+	5.5%	8.5%	20.9%	0.41×	11.72

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid to score 3+	67.7%	60.3%	31.4%	1.92×	1.66
Atletico Madrid to score exactly 2	18.6%	18.8%	23.7%	0.79×	5.33
Atletico Madrid to score exactly 1	10.6%	14.3%	25.0%	0.57×	7.00
Atletico Madrid to score exactly 0	3.0%	6.2%	20.4%	0.30×	16.24

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid leading at HT	67.0%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Draw at HT	24.9%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Viking FK leading at HT	8.1%	8.6%	—	—	11.58

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid -1: 1	70.0%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Atletico Madrid -1: X	15.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.71
Atletico Madrid -1: 2	14.2%	14.0%	—	—	7.14

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid (0:1)	70.0%	65.3%	31.6%	2.06×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	15.9%	17.8%	19.6%	0.91×	5.61
Viking FK (0:1)	14.2%	13.7%	49.0%	0.28×	7.28

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid (0:2)	50.5%	57.9%	18.4%	3.15×	1.73
Viking FK (0:2)	30.0%	28.4%	68.4%	0.42×	3.52
Draw (0:2)	19.4%	15.3%	13.5%	1.13×	6.53

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Viking FK (0:3)	49.5%	50.4%	81.6%	0.62×	1.99
Atletico Madrid (0:3)	31.9%	26.5%	9.7%	2.74×	3.77
Draw (0:3)	18.6%	16.2%	8.9%	1.82×	6.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Viking FK (0:4)	68.1%	75.6%	90.3%	0.84×	1.32
Atletico Madrid (0:4)	17.6%	10.7%	4.1%	2.62×	9.36
Draw (0:4)	14.3%	10.1%	5.9%	1.72×	9.88

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid (1:0)	94.5%	92.8%	66.3%	1.40×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	4.0%	3.3%	16.8%	0.19×	30.48
Viking FK (1:0)	1.5%	3.2%	17.1%	0.19×	30.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid (2:0)	98.5%	96.8%	82.9%	1.17×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	1.1%	2.3%	7.9%	0.29×	43.76
Viking FK (2:0)	0.3%	2.3%	9.4%	0.24×	43.81

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.6%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	18.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid to concede	57.2%	60.7%	70.7%	0.86×	1.65
Atletico Madrid clean sheet	42.8%	39.3%	29.3%	1.34×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid clean sheet in 1st half	71.2%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Atletico Madrid to concede in 1st half	28.8%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid clean sheet in 2nd half	60.1%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Atletico Madrid to concede in 2nd half	39.9%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid over 2.5 corners	88.2%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Atletico Madrid over 3.5 corners	78.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Atletico Madrid over 4.5 corners	66.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Atletico Madrid under 6.5 corners	57.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Atletico Madrid over 5.5 corners	54.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Atletico Madrid under 5.5 corners	45.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Atletico Madrid over 6.5 corners	42.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Atletico Madrid under 4.5 corners	33.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Atletico Madrid under 3.5 corners	21.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Atletico Madrid under 2.5 corners	11.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid over 0.5 goals	97.0%	96.4%	79.6%	1.21×	1.04
Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals	86.3%	87.3%	54.8%	1.59×	1.15
Atletico Madrid over 2.5 goals	67.7%	68.0%	31.4%	2.17×	1.47
Atletico Madrid under 3.5 goals	54.0%	53.2%	83.9%	0.63×	1.88
Atletico Madrid over 3.5 goals	46.0%	46.8%	16.1%	2.91×	2.14
Atletico Madrid under 2.5 goals	32.3%	32.0%	68.6%	0.47×	3.12
Atletico Madrid under 1.5 goals	13.7%	12.8%	45.2%	0.28×	7.84
Atletico Madrid under 0.5 goals	3.0%	3.6%	20.4%	0.18×	27.52

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid over 0.5 in 1st half	77.8%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Atletico Madrid under 1.5 in 1st half	55.7%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Atletico Madrid over 1.5 in 1st half	44.3%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Atletico Madrid under 0.5 in 1st half	22.2%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid scores more in 2nd half	49.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Atletico Madrid scores more in 1st half	29.3%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Atletico Madrid scores equally in both	21.8%	21.2%	—	—	4.72

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	61.4%	60.0%	31.6%	1.90×	1.67
Viking FK (home no bet)	38.6%	40.0%	68.4%	0.59×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid even goals	50.1%	50.7%	53.3%	0.95×	1.97
Atletico Madrid odd goals	49.9%	49.3%	46.7%	1.06×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	23.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.09
Any other HT score	19.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 2-0	17.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-0	15.8%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	8.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-1	6.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 0-1	5.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 1-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 0-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.21

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid at HT / Atletico Madrid at FT	64.0%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Draw at HT / Atletico Madrid at FT	18.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.60
Viking FK at HT / Atletico Madrid at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Viking FK at HT / Viking FK at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.67
Atletico Madrid at HT / Draw at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.68
Draw at HT / Viking FK at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.68
Viking FK at HT / Draw at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.69
Atletico Madrid at HT / Viking FK at FT	0.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.74

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid to score last	79.5%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Viking FK to score last	19.4%	14.7%	—	—	6.80
No goal scored	1.1%	4.2%	—	—	23.77

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.9%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Atletico Madrid to lead by 1 at any time	91.7%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	79.3%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Atletico Madrid to lead by 2 at any time	75.5%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	55.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Atletico Madrid to lead by 3 at any time	54.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Viking FK to lead by 1 at any time	22.4%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Viking FK to lead by 2 at any time	4.5%	1.7%	—	—	60.42
Viking FK to lead by 3 at any time	0.8%	1.6%	—	—	63.93

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid most corners	61.7%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Viking FK most corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	9.0%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	78.3%	78.7%	74.5%	1.06×	1.27
1-5 goals	72.2%	72.4%	81.4%	0.89×	1.38
2-5 goals	66.1%	68.8%	67.6%	1.02×	1.45
3-6 goals	66.2%	68.8%	58.7%	1.17×	1.45
1-4 goals	55.4%	59.1%	67.3%	0.88×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.0%	53.2%	51.8%	1.03×	1.88
2-4 goals	49.3%	48.5%	53.6%	0.90×	2.06
4-6 goals	48.4%	48.5%	37.5%	1.29×	2.06
3-4 goals	37.2%	39.2%	37.8%	1.04×	2.55
4-5 goals	36.2%	39.2%	30.6%	1.28×	2.55
1-3 goals	36.0%	39.2%	51.0%	0.77×	2.55
2-3 goals	29.9%	30.2%	37.2%	0.81×	3.31
5-6 goals	29.0%	30.2%	21.2%	1.43×	3.31
1-2 goals	18.2%	18.8%	29.8%	0.63×	5.31
7+ goals	14.5%	14.8%	6.9%	2.15×	6.75

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid never behind	76.5%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Viking FK never behind	7.2%	4.1%	—	—	24.50

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.5%	50.9%	45.4%	1.12×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.5%	49.1%	54.6%	0.90×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.2%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.8%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.2%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.9%	95.4%	94.9%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	92.8%	92.3%	81.1%	1.14×	1.08
Over 2.5 goals	80.7%	82.3%	65.3%	1.26×	1.22
Under 5.5 goals	73.3%	72.5%	86.2%	0.84×	1.38
Over 3.5 goals	62.9%	61.7%	44.1%	1.40×	1.62
Under 4.5 goals	56.5%	58.6%	72.2%	0.81×	1.71
Over 4.5 goals	43.5%	41.4%	27.8%	1.49×	2.42
Under 3.5 goals	37.1%	38.3%	55.9%	0.68×	2.61
Over 5.5 goals	26.7%	27.5%	13.8%	2.00×	3.63
Under 2.5 goals	19.3%	17.7%	34.7%	0.51×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	7.2%	7.7%	18.9%	0.41×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	1.1%	4.6%	5.1%	0.89×	21.90

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	91.8%	92.4%	77.6%	1.19×	1.08
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	83.5%	81.1%	92.6%	0.88×	1.23
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.6%	75.9%	56.0%	1.36×	1.32
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	67.9%	67.5%	84.0%	0.80×	1.48
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	54.0%	51.9%	33.2%	1.56×	1.93
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	46.0%	48.1%	66.8%	0.72×	2.08
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	32.1%	32.5%	16.0%	2.03×	3.07
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.4%	24.1%	44.0%	0.55×	4.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	16.5%	18.9%	7.4%	2.56×	5.29
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	8.2%	7.6%	22.4%	0.34×	13.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	84.2%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Under 2.5 in 1st half	72.0%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Over 1.5 in 1st half	54.9%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Under 1.5 in 1st half	45.1%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Over 2.5 in 1st half	28.0%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Under 0.5 in 1st half	15.8%	14.1%	—	—	7.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	91.9%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	71.1%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	54.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	45.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	28.9%	22.7%	—	—	4.41
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	8.1%	10.1%	—	—	9.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Viking FK not to score in both halves	88.5%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Atletico Madrid to score in both halves	67.1%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Atletico Madrid not to score in both halves	32.9%	30.2%	—	—	3.32
Viking FK to score in both halves	11.5%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.2%	58.6%	55.4%	1.06×	1.71
Only Atletico Madrid scores	41.8%	46.6%	24.5%	1.90×	2.15
Only Viking FK scores	2.0%	4.6%	15.6%	0.30×	21.76
Neither team scores	1.1%	4.6%	5.1%	0.90×	21.80

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	26.7%	24.9%	13.8%	1.81×	4.02
Exactly 4 goals	19.4%	17.5%	16.6%	1.05×	5.73
Exactly 3 goals	17.8%	17.5%	21.4%	0.81×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	16.8%	17.5%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	12.1%	12.1%	16.1%	0.75×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	6.1%	7.6%	14.0%	0.54×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	1.1%	4.5%	5.1%	0.87×	22.42

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	29.3%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
3+ goals in 1st half	28.0%	28.3%	—	—	3.54
2 goals in 1st half	26.9%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
No goals in 1st half	15.8%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	71.1%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
1 goal in 2nd half	20.7%	22.7%	—	—	4.41
No goals in 2nd half	8.1%	10.3%	—	—	9.73

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Viking FK not to win both halves	99.3%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Atletico Madrid to win both halves	48.6%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Atletico Madrid not to win both halves	51.4%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Viking FK to win both halves	0.7%	2.7%	—	—	36.50

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid to win either half	91.1%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Viking FK to win neither half	84.1%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Viking FK to win either half	15.9%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Atletico Madrid to win neither half	8.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Viking FK not to win to nil	98.0%	96.2%	84.4%	1.14×	1.04
Atletico Madrid not to win to nil	58.2%	59.3%	75.5%	0.78×	1.69
Atletico Madrid to win to nil	41.8%	40.7%	24.5%	1.66×	2.46
Viking FK to win to nil	2.0%	3.8%	15.6%	0.24×	26.29

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atletico Madrid by 3+	50.5%	45.0%	18.4%	2.45×	2.22
Atletico Madrid by 2	19.4%	17.1%	13.5%	1.26×	5.86
Atletico Madrid by 1	15.9%	17.0%	19.6%	0.87×	5.87
Draw	8.7%	7.2%	15.6%	0.46×	13.90
Viking FK by 1	4.0%	2.7%	16.8%	0.16×	36.78
Viking FK by 2	1.1%	2.7%	7.9%	0.34×	36.87
Viking FK by 3+	0.3%	2.7%	9.4%	0.29×	36.89