Atlético Tucumán v Barracas Central — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 3 October 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Atlético Tucumán

20:00 UTC

Barracas Central

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 584h before kick-off

Atlético Tucumán win

43.6%

model 40.1%

Draw

29.0%

model 34.5%

Barracas Central win

27.4%

model 25.4%

442927

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (554 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-0 18.7%
1-0 17.5%
1-1 13.3%
0-1 12.7%
2-0 8.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	24.3%	Under 2.5	75.7%
BTTS yes	32.5%	BTTS no	67.5%
Atlético Tucumán 1+	62.6%	Atlético Tucumán 2+	25.8%
Barracas Central 1+	51.3%	Barracas Central 2+	16.2%

Expected goals 0.98 – 0.72. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Under 2 (void on exactly 2)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 54%

67.9% fair odds 1.47

moderate signal · 878 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Barracas Central (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 83%

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 457 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

They have had 30 days' rest to Barracas Central's 26.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0032 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Atlético Tucumán have an estimated 43.6% win probability, against 29.0% for the draw and 27.4% for Barracas Central. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.98 for Atlético Tucumán and 0.72 for Barracas Central.

Why Atlético Tucumán

They have had 30 days' rest to Barracas Central's 26.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.0%. A combined 1.70 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Barracas Central can win

Barracas Central carry the stronger rating, 1514 Elo against 1455.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Atlético Tucumán, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Barracas Central, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Atlético Tucumán: 45% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 11.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Barracas Central: 46% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Atlético Tucumán are the model's most likely outcome at 43.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-0 at 18.7%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	403425	0.98–0.72	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	343828	0.80–0.69	0-0 23%	19%	28%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán to win	40.1%	43.8%	41.8%	1.05×	2.28
Draw	34.5%	29.1%	30.7%	0.95×	3.44
Barracas Central to win	25.4%	27.5%	27.7%	0.99×	3.64

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán & not both score	30.1%	32.9%	27.7%	1.19×	3.04
Draw & not both score	18.7%	17.8%	14.9%	1.20×	5.61
Barracas Central & not both score	18.7%	17.8%	17.2%	1.04×	5.61
Draw & both teams score	15.8%	17.8%	15.9%	1.12×	5.62
Atlético Tucumán & both teams score	10.1%	12.1%	14.2%	0.85×	8.27
Barracas Central & both teams score	6.7%	7.3%	10.6%	0.69×	13.72

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán & under 3.5	35.5%	37.6%	34.8%	1.08×	2.66
Draw & under 2.5	32.0%	33.1%	28.1%	1.17×	3.03
Draw & under 3.5	32.0%	33.1%	28.1%	1.17×	3.03
Atlético Tucumán & under 2.5	26.3%	25.5%	23.6%	1.08×	3.92
Barracas Central & under 3.5	23.1%	21.5%	23.6%	0.91×	4.66
Atlético Tucumán & over 1.5	22.7%	21.5%	27.7%	0.78×	4.66
Draw & under 1.5	18.7%	17.6%	14.9%	1.18×	5.68
Atlético Tucumán & under 1.5	17.5%	17.6%	14.2%	1.24×	5.68
Barracas Central & under 2.5	17.4%	17.6%	14.6%	1.20×	5.68
Draw & over 1.5	15.8%	17.6%	15.9%	1.11×	5.68
Atlético Tucumán & over 2.5	13.8%	12.7%	18.3%	0.69×	7.87
Barracas Central & over 1.5	12.7%	12.7%	17.5%	0.73×	7.88
Barracas Central & under 1.5	12.7%	12.7%	10.3%	1.23×	7.88
Barracas Central & over 2.5	8.0%	7.5%	13.2%	0.57×	13.34
Atlético Tucumán & over 3.5	4.6%	4.5%	7.1%	0.63×	22.30
Draw & over 2.5	2.5%	4.5%	2.6%	1.70×	22.39
Draw & over 3.5	2.5%	4.5%	2.6%	1.70×	22.39
Barracas Central & over 3.5	2.3%	4.5%	4.2%	1.05×	22.40

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán (1UP)	50.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Barracas Central (1UP)	37.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán (2UP)	40.1%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Barracas Central (2UP)	25.4%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	46.9%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Atlético Tucumán to win 2nd half	30.9%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Barracas Central to win 2nd half	22.2%	22.2%	—	—	4.50

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central under 1.5 in 2nd half	93.0%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Barracas Central under 0.5 in 2nd half	65.0%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Barracas Central over 0.5 in 2nd half	35.0%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Barracas Central over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.0%	8.2%	—	—	12.27

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Atlético Tucumán under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.1%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Atlético Tucumán over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.9%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Atlético Tucumán over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.28

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central (+2.5)	95.6%	97.1%	95.0%	1.02×	1.03
Barracas Central (+1.5)	84.5%	82.6%	82.5%	1.00×	1.21
Atlético Tucumán (+0.5)	74.6%	73.2%	72.3%	1.01×	1.37
Barracas Central (+0.5)	59.9%	57.0%	58.2%	0.98×	1.76
Atlético Tucumán (-0.5)	40.1%	43.0%	41.8%	1.03×	2.32
Barracas Central (-0.5)	25.4%	26.8%	27.7%	0.97×	3.73
Atlético Tucumán (-1.5)	15.5%	17.4%	17.5%	1.00×	5.74
Atlético Tucumán (-2.5)	4.4%	2.9%	5.0%	0.57×	34.63

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central to concede	62.6%	63.8%	68.1%	0.94×	1.57
Barracas Central clean sheet	37.4%	36.2%	31.9%	1.14×	2.76

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central clean sheet in 1st half	65.5%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Barracas Central to concede in 1st half	34.5%	31.9%	—	—	3.13

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central clean sheet in 2nd half	57.1%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Barracas Central to concede in 2nd half	42.9%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central under 6.5 corners	98.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Barracas Central under 5.5 corners	95.5%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Barracas Central under 4.5 corners	89.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Barracas Central under 3.5 corners	78.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Barracas Central under 2.5 corners	60.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Barracas Central over 2.5 corners	39.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Barracas Central over 3.5 corners	21.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Barracas Central over 4.5 corners	10.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
Barracas Central over 5.5 corners	4.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.01
Barracas Central over 6.5 corners	1.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central under 3.5 goals	99.4%	97.3%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Barracas Central under 2.5 goals	96.4%	97.2%	93.4%	1.04×	1.03
Barracas Central under 1.5 goals	83.8%	81.8%	78.1%	1.05×	1.22
Barracas Central over 0.5 goals	51.3%	51.9%	57.6%	0.90×	1.93
Barracas Central under 0.5 goals	48.7%	48.1%	42.4%	1.13×	2.08
Barracas Central over 1.5 goals	16.2%	18.2%	21.9%	0.83×	5.50
Barracas Central over 2.5 goals	3.6%	2.8%	6.6%	0.42×	36.30
Barracas Central over 3.5 goals	0.6%	2.7%	1.1%	2.36×	37.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central under 1.5 in 1st half	96.6%	96.2%	—	—	1.04
Barracas Central under 0.5 in 1st half	75.0%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Barracas Central over 0.5 in 1st half	25.0%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
Barracas Central over 1.5 in 1st half	3.4%	3.8%	—	—	26.20

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central scores equally in both	55.0%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Barracas Central scores more in 2nd half	27.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.63
Barracas Central scores more in 1st half	17.2%	18.2%	—	—	5.48

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán (away no bet)	53.8%	51.5%	57.7%	0.89×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	46.2%	48.5%	42.3%	1.14×	2.06

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central even goals	61.9%	63.9%	58.5%	1.09×	1.57
Barracas Central odd goals	38.1%	36.1%	41.5%	0.87×	2.77

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	95.8%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Both halves over 1.5 goals	4.2%	4.0%	—	—	25.21

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	61.9%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Not both halves under 1.5	38.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	33.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
Atlético Tucumán to score 2+ in a row	22.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Barracas Central to score 2+ in a row	12.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row	8.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.60
Atlético Tucumán to score 3+ in a row	5.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.71
Barracas Central to score 3+ in a row	2.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.78

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán corners (+3.5)	98.7%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Atlético Tucumán corners (+2.5)	97.0%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Atlético Tucumán corners (+1.5)	93.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Atlético Tucumán corners (-1.5)	69.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Atlético Tucumán corners (-2.5)	57.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Barracas Central corners (+3.5)	54.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Atlético Tucumán corners (-3.5)	45.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Barracas Central corners (+2.5)	42.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Barracas Central corners (+1.5)	30.2%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Barracas Central corners (-1.5)	6.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Barracas Central corners (-2.5)	3.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.67
Barracas Central corners (-3.5)	1.3%	4.2%	—	—	23.73

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	60.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
9-11 corners	25.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	14.3%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	90.5%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	85.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 10.5 corners	79.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	70.6%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	60.3%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	51.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 7.5 corners	48.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	39.7%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	29.4%	27.4%	—	—	3.64
Over 10.5 corners	20.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	14.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.87
Over 12.5 corners	9.5%	16.6%	—	—	6.01

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	18.7%	12.1%	14.9%	0.81×	8.27
1-0	17.5%	11.9%	14.2%	0.84×	8.38
1-1	13.3%	11.6%	13.4%	0.87×	8.61
0-1	12.7%	11.6%	10.3%	1.13×	8.61
2-0	8.8%	7.3%	9.5%	0.77×	13.76
2-1	6.3%	7.3%	8.7%	0.84×	13.77
0-2	4.7%	1.8%	4.5%	0.40×	55.39
1-2	4.6%	1.8%	7.1%	0.25×	55.39
3-0	2.9%	1.8%	2.7%	0.66×	55.44
2-2	2.3%	1.8%	2.3%	0.79×	55.45
3-1	2.1%	1.8%	3.0%	0.61×	55.46
3-2	0.7%	1.8%	1.6%	1.13×	55.49
3-3	0.2%	1.8%	0.3%	5.25×	55.50
3-4	0.0%	1.8%	0.1%	15.75×	55.51
4-0	0.7%	1.8%	1.1%	1.58×	55.49
4-1	0.5%	1.8%	0.8%	2.25×	55.50
4-2	0.2%	1.8%	0.3%	5.25×	55.50
4-3	0.0%	1.8%	0.2%	7.87×	55.51
4-4	0.0%	1.8%	0.2%	7.87×	55.51
Any other score	0.4%	1.8%	0.9%	1.97×	55.50
0-3	1.1%	1.8%	2.1%	0.88×	55.48
0-4	0.2%	1.8%	0.6%	3.15×	55.50
1-3	1.1%	1.8%	1.9%	0.93×	55.48
1-4	0.2%	1.8%	0.3%	5.25×	55.50
2-3	0.5%	1.8%	1.5%	1.21×	55.49
2-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.1%	15.75×	55.51

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán (2nd half DNB)	58.2%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Barracas Central (2nd half DNB)	41.8%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán leading at HT (DNB)	61.3%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Barracas Central leading at HT (DNB)	38.7%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán or draw (1X)	74.6%	72.5%	72.3%	1.00×	1.38
Atlético Tucumán or Barracas Central (12)	65.5%	70.9%	69.3%	1.02×	1.41
Barracas Central or draw (X2)	59.9%	56.2%	58.2%	0.97×	1.78

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán or draw at HT	82.7%	81.7%	—	—	1.22
Barracas Central or draw at HT	72.7%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Atlético Tucumán or Barracas Central at HT	44.5%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán or draw (1UP)	74.6%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Barracas Central or draw (1UP)	59.9%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán or draw in 2nd half	77.8%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Barracas Central or draw in 2nd half	69.1%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Atlético Tucumán or Barracas Central in 2nd half	53.1%	55.4%	—	—	1.81

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	75.9%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Neither half drawn	24.1%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán (DNB)	61.2%	61.7%	60.1%	1.03×	1.62
Barracas Central (DNB)	38.8%	38.3%	39.9%	0.96×	2.61

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán to score first	47.0%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Barracas Central to score first	34.3%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
No goal scored	18.7%	15.1%	—	—	6.61

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	67.5%	60.9%	59.5%	1.02×	1.64
Both teams to score	32.5%	39.1%	40.5%	0.96×	2.56

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	62.3%	59.6%	52.9%	1.13×	1.68
Both score & over 2.5	19.2%	17.9%	27.2%	0.66×	5.59
Both score & under 2.5	13.3%	11.7%	13.4%	0.88×	8.53
Not both score & over 2.5	5.1%	8.6%	6.8%	1.27×	11.62

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	95.8%	96.1%	94.1%	1.02×	1.04
Both teams to score 2+	4.2%	3.9%	6.0%	0.66×	25.65

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	84.8%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Both teams to score in 2nd half	15.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	77.4%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Both score 2nd half only	13.9%	11.6%	—	—	8.62
Both score 1st half only	7.4%	6.4%	—	—	15.57
Both score in both halves	1.3%	4.8%	—	—	20.81

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	91.3%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Both teams to score by HT	8.7%	7.4%	—	—	13.52

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	67.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
A goal in each half	32.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	48.8%	45.9%	39.1%	1.17×	2.18
2-3 goals	41.8%	43.1%	47.3%	0.91×	2.32
4-6 goals	9.2%	5.8%	13.4%	0.43×	17.29
7+ goals	0.2%	1.9%	0.5%	4.14×	52.78

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central to score exactly 0	48.7%	45.3%	42.4%	1.07×	2.21
Barracas Central to score exactly 1	35.0%	34.6%	35.8%	0.97×	2.89
Barracas Central to score exactly 2	12.6%	13.4%	15.3%	0.87×	7.48
Barracas Central to score 3+	3.6%	4.1%	6.6%	0.62×	24.26

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán to score exactly 0	37.4%	36.2%	31.9%	1.13×	2.76
Atlético Tucumán to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.2%	36.5%	0.99×	2.77
Atlético Tucumán to score exactly 2	18.1%	18.5%	21.7%	0.85×	5.40
Atlético Tucumán to score 3+	7.7%	8.0%	10.1%	0.79×	12.54

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	55.5%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Atlético Tucumán leading at HT	27.3%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Barracas Central leading at HT	17.3%	18.3%	—	—	5.47

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán -1: 2	59.9%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Atlético Tucumán -1: X	24.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Atlético Tucumán -1: 1	15.5%	18.7%	—	—	5.34

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central (0:1)	59.9%	55.4%	58.2%	0.95×	1.81
Draw (0:1)	24.6%	24.6%	24.4%	1.01×	4.07
Atlético Tucumán (0:1)	15.5%	18.2%	17.5%	1.04×	5.50

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central (0:2)	84.5%	83.9%	82.5%	1.02×	1.19
Draw (0:2)	11.1%	11.6%	12.6%	0.92×	8.66
Atlético Tucumán (0:2)	4.4%	3.0%	5.0%	0.61×	32.81

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central (0:3)	95.6%	97.1%	95.0%	1.02×	1.03
Draw (0:3)	3.4%	2.3%	3.4%	0.68×	43.08
Atlético Tucumán (0:3)	1.0%	2.3%	1.7%	1.34×	43.62

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central (0:4)	99.0%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.3%	0.97×	81.71
Atlético Tucumán (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	0.6%	2.13×	82.05

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán (1:0)	74.6%	73.8%	72.3%	1.02×	1.36
Draw (1:0)	17.9%	16.4%	18.7%	0.88×	6.09
Barracas Central (1:0)	7.5%	8.6%	9.2%	0.94×	11.67

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán (2:0)	92.5%	91.6%	90.8%	1.01×	1.09
Draw (2:0)	5.9%	6.5%	6.3%	1.03×	15.42
Barracas Central (2:0)	1.6%	2.7%	3.0%	0.90×	37.22

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	40.7%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
1st half highest scoring	25.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Halves equal	34.2%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán to concede	51.3%	52.8%	57.6%	0.92×	1.89
Atlético Tucumán clean sheet	48.7%	47.2%	42.4%	1.11×	2.12

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán clean sheet in 1st half	75.0%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Atlético Tucumán to concede in 1st half	25.0%	23.2%	—	—	4.32

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán clean sheet in 2nd half	65.0%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Atlético Tucumán to concede in 2nd half	35.0%	38.9%	—	—	2.57

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán over 2.5 corners	87.0%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Atlético Tucumán over 3.5 corners	75.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Atlético Tucumán under 6.5 corners	65.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Atlético Tucumán over 4.5 corners	61.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Atlético Tucumán under 5.5 corners	53.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Atlético Tucumán over 5.5 corners	47.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Atlético Tucumán under 4.5 corners	38.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Atlético Tucumán over 6.5 corners	34.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Atlético Tucumán under 3.5 corners	24.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Atlético Tucumán under 2.5 corners	13.0%	13.7%	—	—	7.31

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán under 3.5 goals	98.2%	97.8%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Atlético Tucumán under 2.5 goals	92.3%	92.2%	89.9%	1.03×	1.09
Atlético Tucumán under 1.5 goals	74.2%	72.8%	68.3%	1.07×	1.37
Atlético Tucumán over 0.5 goals	62.6%	62.8%	68.1%	0.92×	1.59
Atlético Tucumán under 0.5 goals	37.4%	37.2%	31.9%	1.17×	2.69
Atlético Tucumán over 1.5 goals	25.8%	27.2%	31.7%	0.86×	3.68
Atlético Tucumán over 2.5 goals	7.7%	7.8%	10.1%	0.78×	12.81
Atlético Tucumán over 3.5 goals	1.8%	2.2%	2.9%	0.77×	45.16

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán under 1.5 in 1st half	93.2%	93.2%	—	—	1.07
Atlético Tucumán under 0.5 in 1st half	65.5%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Atlético Tucumán over 0.5 in 1st half	34.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
Atlético Tucumán over 1.5 in 1st half	6.8%	6.8%	—	—	14.65

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán scores equally in both	46.8%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Atlético Tucumán scores more in 2nd half	31.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Atlético Tucumán scores more in 1st half	21.9%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.6%	54.5%	52.5%	1.04×	1.84
Barracas Central (home no bet)	42.4%	45.5%	47.5%	0.96×	2.20

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán even goals	57.0%	58.0%	55.7%	1.04×	1.72
Atlético Tucumán odd goals	43.0%	42.0%	44.3%	0.95×	2.38

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	49.2%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
HT 1-0	20.7%	22.6%	—	—	4.42
HT 0-1	14.1%	11.2%	—	—	8.92
HT 1-1	6.1%	7.7%	—	—	13.02
HT 2-0	4.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.75
HT 0-2	2.0%	2.5%	—	—	39.88
HT 2-1	1.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.93
Any other HT score	1.2%	2.5%	—	—	39.93
HT 1-2	0.9%	2.5%	—	—	39.95
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.5%	—	—	39.99

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	26.5%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Atlético Tucumán at HT / Atlético Tucumán at FT	22.0%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Draw at HT / Atlético Tucumán at FT	16.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Barracas Central at HT / Barracas Central at FT	12.3%	11.9%	—	—	8.38
Draw at HT / Barracas Central at FT	12.1%	11.9%	—	—	8.38
Atlético Tucumán at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.32
Barracas Central at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.35
Barracas Central at HT / Atlético Tucumán at FT	1.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.45
Atlético Tucumán at HT / Barracas Central at FT	1.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.46

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán to score last	47.0%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Barracas Central to score last	34.3%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
No goal scored	18.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.85

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	81.3%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Atlético Tucumán to lead by 1 at any time	50.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Barracas Central to lead by 1 at any time	37.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	28.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Atlético Tucumán to lead by 2 at any time	18.5%	17.6%	—	—	5.67
Barracas Central to lead by 2 at any time	9.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	7.1%	7.0%	—	—	14.21
Atlético Tucumán to lead by 3 at any time	5.1%	7.0%	—	—	14.29
Barracas Central to lead by 3 at any time	2.0%	2.6%	—	—	38.54

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán most corners	80.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Barracas Central most corners	11.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Corners level	8.1%	8.4%	—	—	11.91

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	80.5%	81.5%	84.2%	0.97×	1.23
1-4 goals	78.3%	78.9%	79.9%	0.99×	1.27
1-3 goals	72.0%	73.6%	71.5%	1.03×	1.36
1-2 goals	57.0%	58.9%	51.4%	1.15×	1.70
2-6 goals	51.0%	52.3%	60.5%	0.86×	1.91
2-5 goals	50.4%	52.3%	60.0%	0.87×	1.91
2-4 goals	48.2%	48.0%	55.6%	0.86×	2.08
2-3 goals	41.8%	43.6%	47.3%	0.92×	2.29
3-6 goals	24.1%	24.8%	33.5%	0.74×	4.04
3-5 goals	23.5%	24.8%	33.0%	0.75×	4.04
3-4 goals	21.4%	24.7%	28.6%	0.86×	4.05
4-6 goals	9.2%	8.9%	13.4%	0.66×	11.25
4-5 goals	8.5%	8.9%	12.8%	0.69×	11.27
5-6 goals	2.8%	2.0%	5.0%	0.40×	49.67
7+ goals	0.2%	2.0%	0.5%	4.31×	50.68

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán never behind	44.4%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Barracas Central never behind	30.7%	36.2%	—	—	2.77

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.4%	50.2%	49.1%	1.02×	1.99
Even number of goals	52.6%	49.8%	50.9%	0.98×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	62.2%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Odd goals in 1st half	37.8%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	57.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Odd goals in 2nd half	42.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	99.2%	95.7%	99.0%	0.97×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	97.0%	95.7%	94.6%	1.01×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	90.6%	93.0%	86.3%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	81.3%	81.0%	85.1%	0.95×	1.24
Under 2.5 goals	75.7%	78.1%	66.1%	1.18×	1.28
Over 1.5 goals	51.2%	53.5%	60.9%	0.88×	1.87
Under 1.5 goals	48.8%	46.5%	39.1%	1.19×	2.15
Over 2.5 goals	24.3%	21.9%	33.9%	0.65×	4.56
Under 0.5 goals	18.7%	19.0%	14.9%	1.28×	5.26
Over 3.5 goals	9.4%	7.0%	13.7%	0.51×	14.21
Over 4.5 goals	3.0%	4.3%	5.4%	0.80×	23.15
Over 5.5 goals	0.8%	4.3%	1.0%	4.15×	23.42

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.8%	97.3%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	99.2%	97.3%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	96.8%	97.2%	94.1%	1.03×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	89.0%	88.3%	82.8%	1.07×	1.13
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.7%	67.9%	53.6%	1.27×	1.47
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.3%	32.1%	46.4%	0.69×	3.12
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	11.0%	11.7%	17.2%	0.68×	8.52
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	3.2%	2.8%	5.9%	0.47×	36.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	0.8%	2.7%	1.1%	2.53×	36.65
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.2%	2.7%	0.5%	5.91×	36.75

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	96.5%	97.8%	—	—	1.02
Under 1.5 in 1st half	84.0%	83.7%	—	—	1.19
Over 0.5 in 1st half	50.8%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	49.2%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Over 1.5 in 1st half	16.0%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Over 2.5 in 1st half	3.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.47

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	92.1%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.7%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.8%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.2%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.3%	23.8%	—	—	4.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	7.9%	8.4%	—	—	11.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central not to score in both halves	91.2%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Atlético Tucumán not to score in both halves	85.2%	84.4%	—	—	1.18
Atlético Tucumán to score in both halves	14.8%	15.6%	—	—	6.43
Barracas Central to score in both halves	8.8%	10.0%	—	—	10.00

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	32.5%	36.2%	40.5%	0.89×	2.77
Only Atlético Tucumán scores	30.1%	36.0%	27.7%	1.30×	2.78
Only Barracas Central scores	18.7%	16.3%	17.2%	0.95×	6.15
Neither team scores	18.7%	16.3%	14.9%	1.09×	6.15

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	30.1%	27.9%	24.4%	1.14×	3.59
Exactly 2 goals	26.9%	24.7%	27.1%	0.91×	4.06
Exactly 0 goals	18.7%	18.6%	14.9%	1.25×	5.38
Exactly 3 goals	15.0%	12.4%	20.3%	0.61×	8.09
Exactly 4 goals	6.4%	7.6%	8.5%	0.90×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	2.2%	4.3%	4.5%	0.97×	23.22
6 or more goals	0.8%	4.3%	1.0%	4.16×	23.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	49.2%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
1 goal in 1st half	34.8%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
2 goals in 1st half	12.5%	11.9%	—	—	8.41
3+ goals in 1st half	3.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.47

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 2nd half	37.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
1 goal in 2nd half	36.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
2+ goals in 2nd half	26.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central not to win both halves	96.1%	96.6%	—	—	1.04
Atlético Tucumán not to win both halves	91.5%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
Atlético Tucumán to win both halves	8.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.17
Barracas Central to win both halves	3.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.23

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central to win neither half	64.4%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Atlético Tucumán to win neither half	50.3%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
Atlético Tucumán to win either half	49.7%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Barracas Central to win either half	35.6%	36.2%	—	—	2.76

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central not to win to nil	81.3%	83.4%	82.8%	1.01×	1.20
Atlético Tucumán not to win to nil	69.9%	64.8%	72.3%	0.90×	1.54
Atlético Tucumán to win to nil	30.1%	35.2%	27.7%	1.27×	2.84
Barracas Central to win to nil	18.7%	16.6%	17.2%	0.97×	6.03

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	34.5%	27.8%	30.7%	0.91×	3.60
Atlético Tucumán by 1	24.6%	23.9%	24.4%	0.98×	4.18
Barracas Central by 1	17.9%	17.1%	18.7%	0.92×	5.86
Atlético Tucumán by 2	11.1%	11.7%	12.6%	0.93×	8.55
Barracas Central by 2	5.9%	7.0%	6.3%	1.11×	14.26
Atlético Tucumán by 3+	4.4%	2.9%	5.0%	0.57×	35.08
Barracas Central by 3+	1.6%	2.8%	3.0%	0.95×	35.49