Audax Italiano v Palestino — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Audax Italiano

20:00 UTC

Palestino

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 801h before kick-off

Audax Italiano win

38.4%

model 38.0%

Draw

23.1%

model 22.5%

Palestino win

38.5%

model 39.5%

382338

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 12.3%
1-0 12.1%
1-1 10.6%
1-2 8.2%
2-1 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.6%	Under 2.5	53.4%
BTTS yes	49.5%	BTTS no	50.5%
Audax Italiano 1+	71.4%	Audax Italiano 2+	35.6%
Palestino 1+	72.3%	Palestino 2+	36.7%

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.28. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Palestino (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 51%

63.7% fair odds 1.57

moderate signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Palestino (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 77%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Palestino carry the stronger rating, 1556 Elo against 1473.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Palestino have an estimated 38.5% win probability, against 38.4% for Audax Italiano and 23.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.25 for Audax Italiano and 1.28 for Palestino.

Why Audax Italiano

Nothing in the data singles out Audax Italiano.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.25 to 1.28. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Palestino can win

Palestino carry the stronger rating, 1556 Elo against 1473. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Audax Italiano, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Palestino, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Audax Italiano: 47% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Palestino: 61% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 11.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Palestino are the model's most likely outcome at 38.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 12.3%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	382239	1.25–1.28	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	372241	1.27–1.35	0-1 12%	49%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to win	41.0%	42.9%	30.0%	1.43×	2.33
Audax Italiano to win	36.9%	36.3%	49.0%	0.74×	2.75
Draw	22.0%	24.5%	21.2%	1.15×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino & not both score	23.0%	21.8%	16.8%	1.29×	4.59
Audax Italiano & not both score	20.7%	21.8%	26.8%	0.81×	4.59
Palestino & both teams score	18.0%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	16.9%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.57
Audax Italiano & both teams score	16.3%	18.0%	22.4%	0.80×	5.57
Draw & not both score	5.2%	8.3%	4.9%	1.71×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino & under 3.5	30.1%	30.7%	23.4%	1.31×	3.25
Palestino & over 1.5	29.0%	26.1%	20.0%	1.30×	3.84
Audax Italiano & under 3.5	27.5%	26.1%	34.1%	0.76×	3.84
Audax Italiano & over 1.5	25.6%	26.1%	36.1%	0.72×	3.84
Palestino & over 2.5	22.4%	21.6%	16.6%	1.30×	4.63
Audax Italiano & over 2.5	19.8%	18.0%	29.3%	0.62×	5.55
Palestino & under 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	13.7%	1.32×	5.55
Audax Italiano & under 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.9%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.6%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.6%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Audax Italiano & under 1.5	11.3%	12.8%	13.2%	0.97×	7.79
Palestino & under 1.5	12.0%	12.8%	10.2%	1.25×	7.79
Palestino & over 3.5	10.9%	12.8%	6.8%	1.88×	7.79
Audax Italiano & over 3.5	9.4%	7.9%	15.1%	0.52×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	4.9%	1.62×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (1UP)	56.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Audax Italiano (1UP)	52.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (2UP)	41.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Audax Italiano (2UP)	36.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to win 2nd half	35.2%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
2nd half drawn	34.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Audax Italiano to win 2nd half	30.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.5%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Palestino over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.6%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Palestino under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.4%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Palestino over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.5%	16.0%	—	—	6.25

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.7%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Audax Italiano over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Audax Italiano under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Audax Italiano over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (+2.5)	94.9%	92.1%	89.5%	1.03×	1.09
Palestino (+1.5)	84.9%	82.6%	76.8%	1.08×	1.21
Palestino (+0.5)	63.1%	63.0%	51.0%	1.24×	1.59
Audax Italiano (+0.5)	59.0%	57.1%	70.0%	0.82×	1.75
Palestino (-0.5)	41.0%	42.9%	30.0%	1.43×	2.33
Audax Italiano (-0.5)	36.9%	37.0%	49.0%	0.76×	2.70
Audax Italiano (-1.5)	15.1%	17.4%	23.2%	0.75×	5.74
Audax Italiano (-2.5)	5.1%	7.9%	10.5%	0.75×	12.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to concede	71.8%	76.7%	78.5%	0.98×	1.30
Palestino clean sheet	28.2%	23.3%	21.5%	1.09×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino clean sheet in 1st half	58.0%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Palestino to concede in 1st half	42.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to concede in 2nd half	51.4%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Palestino clean sheet in 2nd half	48.6%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino under 6.5 corners	81.5%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Palestino over 2.5 corners	75.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Palestino under 5.5 corners	71.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Palestino over 3.5 corners	58.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Palestino under 4.5 corners	57.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Palestino over 4.5 corners	42.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Palestino under 3.5 corners	41.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Palestino over 5.5 corners	28.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Palestino under 2.5 corners	24.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Palestino over 6.5 corners	18.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino under 3.5 goals	95.1%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Palestino under 2.5 goals	84.5%	81.5%	88.3%	0.92×	1.23
Palestino over 0.5 goals	74.2%	71.8%	68.5%	1.05×	1.39
Palestino under 1.5 goals	60.8%	63.2%	68.5%	0.92×	1.58
Palestino over 1.5 goals	39.2%	36.8%	31.5%	1.17×	2.72
Palestino under 0.5 goals	25.8%	28.2%	31.5%	0.89×	3.55
Palestino over 2.5 goals	15.5%	18.5%	11.7%	1.58×	5.41
Palestino over 3.5 goals	4.9%	2.5%	2.9%	0.86×	39.72

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino under 1.5 in 1st half	89.7%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
Palestino under 0.5 in 1st half	58.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Palestino over 0.5 in 1st half	41.8%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Palestino over 1.5 in 1st half	10.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino scores more in 2nd half	38.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Palestino scores equally in both	38.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Palestino scores more in 1st half	22.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano (away no bet)	62.6%	61.9%	69.8%	0.89×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	37.4%	38.1%	30.2%	1.26×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino even goals	53.3%	52.6%	53.7%	0.98×	1.90
Palestino odd goals	46.7%	47.4%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.6%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.22

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.4%	57.3%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.6%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.3%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Palestino to score 2+ in a row	31.1%	28.9%	—	—	3.47
Audax Italiano to score 2+ in a row	28.0%	25.0%	—	—	4.01
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.8%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Palestino to score 3+ in a row	9.8%	5.6%	—	—	18.00
Audax Italiano to score 3+ in a row	8.2%	5.5%	—	—	18.12

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino corners (+3.5)	85.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Audax Italiano corners (+3.5)	83.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Palestino corners (+2.5)	78.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Audax Italiano corners (+2.5)	75.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Palestino corners (+1.5)	68.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Audax Italiano corners (+1.5)	66.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Palestino corners (-1.5)	34.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Audax Italiano corners (-1.5)	31.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Palestino corners (-2.5)	24.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Audax Italiano corners (-2.5)	21.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Palestino corners (-3.5)	16.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Audax Italiano corners (-3.5)	14.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	52.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	19.4%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.6%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	80.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	72.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	63.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	58.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	52.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	41.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	36.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	27.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	13.4%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	12.0%	11.5%	10.2%	1.12×	8.71
1-0	11.3%	11.5%	13.2%	0.87×	8.72
1-1	10.4%	11.5%	9.3%	1.24×	8.72
1-2	8.4%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-2	6.7%	7.4%	3.7%	2.02×	13.51
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
0-0	5.2%	7.4%	4.9%	1.52×	13.51
2-0	5.8%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
2-2	5.3%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.51
0-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
1-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.30
1-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.31
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.31
3-1	3.3%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.31
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32
Any other score	2.2%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (2nd half DNB)	54.0%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Audax Italiano (2nd half DNB)	46.0%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano leading at HT (DNB)	50.2%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Palestino leading at HT (DNB)	49.8%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano or Palestino (12)	78.0%	75.5%	78.8%	0.96×	1.32
Palestino or draw (X2)	63.1%	63.7%	51.0%	1.25×	1.57
Audax Italiano or draw (1X)	59.0%	57.1%	70.0%	0.82×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano or draw at HT	72.0%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Palestino or draw at HT	71.8%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Audax Italiano or Palestino at HT	56.2%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino or draw (1UP)	63.1%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Audax Italiano or draw (1UP)	59.0%	63.1%	—	—	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino or draw in 2nd half	70.0%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Audax Italiano or Palestino in 2nd half	65.2%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Audax Italiano or draw in 2nd half	64.8%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.6%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	34.4%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (DNB)	52.6%	50.9%	38.0%	1.34×	1.96
Audax Italiano (DNB)	47.4%	49.1%	62.0%	0.79×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to score first	49.0%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Audax Italiano to score first	45.8%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
No goal scored	5.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.34

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.1%	51.3%	52.0%	0.99×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.9%	48.7%	48.0%	1.01×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.0%	41.6%	38.0%	1.09×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	40.8%	41.6%	42.9%	0.97×	2.41
Both score & under 2.5	10.4%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.9%	8.3%	10.2%	0.81×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.9%	85.6%	84.6%	1.01×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.1%	14.4%	15.4%	0.94×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.0%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	22.8%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	5.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.86

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.8%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.2%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
A half without a goal	49.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.7%	42.2%	43.4%	0.97×	2.37
0-1 goals	28.5%	26.6%	27.8%	0.96×	3.76
4-6 goals	25.0%	26.6%	26.8%	0.99×	3.76
7+ goals	1.8%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	54.38

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to score exactly 1	35.0%	33.8%	37.3%	0.91×	2.96
Palestino to score exactly 0	25.8%	27.4%	31.5%	0.87×	3.64
Palestino to score exactly 2	23.7%	22.3%	20.0%	1.11×	4.49
Palestino to score 3+	15.5%	19.5%	11.7%	1.67×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano to score exactly 1	35.7%	35.5%	31.7%	1.12×	2.81
Audax Italiano to score exactly 0	28.2%	26.6%	21.5%	1.24×	3.77
Audax Italiano to score exactly 2	22.6%	23.3%	26.3%	0.88×	4.29
Audax Italiano to score 3+	13.5%	14.3%	21.0%	0.68×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.8%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Audax Italiano leading at HT	28.2%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Palestino leading at HT	28.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino -1: 1	59.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Palestino -1: X	23.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Palestino -1: 2	17.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (0:1)	63.1%	61.5%	51.0%	1.21×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	21.8%	24.2%	26.1%	0.93×	4.13
Audax Italiano (0:1)	15.1%	17.8%	23.2%	0.77×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (0:2)	84.9%	83.0%	76.8%	1.08×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.0%	7.7%	12.9%	0.59×	13.03
Audax Italiano (0:2)	5.1%	7.6%	10.5%	0.73×	13.08

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (0:3)	94.9%	92.7%	89.5%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.7%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	41.98
Audax Italiano (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.08

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (0:4)	98.6%	98.1%	94.6%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	4.1%	0.29×	81.85
Audax Italiano (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	81.93

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano (1:0)	59.0%	58.4%	70.0%	0.83×	1.71
Draw (1:0)	23.2%	21.7%	20.0%	1.08×	4.61
Palestino (1:0)	17.8%	17.1%	10.2%	1.67×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano (2:0)	82.2%	84.6%	89.8%	0.94×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.4%	10.3%	6.3%	1.62×	9.73
Palestino (2:0)	6.4%	6.4%	4.1%	1.54×	15.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.4%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	28.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.4%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano to concede	74.2%	73.0%	68.5%	1.07×	1.37
Audax Italiano clean sheet	25.8%	27.0%	31.5%	0.86×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano clean sheet in 1st half	58.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Audax Italiano to concede in 1st half	41.8%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano to concede in 2nd half	55.6%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Audax Italiano clean sheet in 2nd half	44.4%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano under 6.5 corners	83.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Audax Italiano over 2.5 corners	73.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Audax Italiano under 5.5 corners	73.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Audax Italiano under 4.5 corners	59.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Audax Italiano over 3.5 corners	56.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Audax Italiano under 3.5 corners	43.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Audax Italiano over 4.5 corners	40.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Audax Italiano over 5.5 corners	27.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Audax Italiano under 2.5 corners	26.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Audax Italiano over 6.5 corners	16.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano under 3.5 goals	96.0%	96.4%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
Audax Italiano under 2.5 goals	86.5%	87.3%	79.0%	1.10×	1.15
Audax Italiano over 0.5 goals	71.8%	74.2%	78.5%	0.95×	1.35
Audax Italiano under 1.5 goals	63.9%	63.6%	52.9%	1.20×	1.57
Audax Italiano over 1.5 goals	36.1%	36.4%	47.1%	0.77×	2.75
Audax Italiano under 0.5 goals	28.2%	25.8%	21.5%	1.20×	3.88
Audax Italiano over 2.5 goals	13.5%	12.7%	21.0%	0.61×	7.85
Audax Italiano over 3.5 goals	4.0%	3.6%	9.0%	0.40×	27.51

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano under 1.5 in 1st half	89.6%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Audax Italiano under 0.5 in 1st half	58.0%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Audax Italiano over 0.5 in 1st half	42.0%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Audax Italiano over 1.5 in 1st half	10.4%	9.8%	—	—	10.18

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano scores equally in both	40.4%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Audax Italiano scores more in 2nd half	35.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Audax Italiano scores more in 1st half	24.3%	21.0%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (home no bet)	65.0%	64.1%	58.6%	1.09×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	35.0%	35.9%	41.4%	0.87×	2.78

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano even goals	54.0%	50.8%	54.4%	0.93×	1.97
Audax Italiano odd goals	46.0%	49.2%	45.6%	1.08×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.4%	33.5%	—	—	2.98
HT 1-0	18.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	18.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	9.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	5.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 0-2	4.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
Any other HT score	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 1-2	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 2-1	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino at HT / Palestino at FT	21.8%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Audax Italiano at HT / Audax Italiano at FT	20.8%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Palestino at FT	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Audax Italiano at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Audax Italiano at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Palestino at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Audax Italiano at HT / Palestino at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Palestino at HT / Audax Italiano at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to score last	48.9%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
Audax Italiano to score last	45.9%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
No goal scored	5.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.34

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.8%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Palestino to lead by 1 at any time	56.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Audax Italiano to lead by 1 at any time	52.6%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.2%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Palestino to lead by 2 at any time	23.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Audax Italiano to lead by 2 at any time	20.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.8%	10.6%	—	—	9.39
Palestino to lead by 3 at any time	8.1%	6.7%	—	—	15.01
Audax Italiano to lead by 3 at any time	6.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.07

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino most corners	45.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Audax Italiano most corners	42.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	89.8%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	82.3%	83.4%	81.2%	1.03×	1.20
2-6 goals	69.8%	68.8%	70.0%	0.98×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.0%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.5%	68.8%	64.4%	1.07×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.0%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
3-6 goals	46.9%	48.4%	50.7%	0.95×	2.06
1-2 goals	46.2%	48.4%	42.4%	1.14×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.7%	43.6%	43.4%	1.00×	2.29
3-5 goals	43.6%	43.6%	45.1%	0.97×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.1%	39.2%	39.0%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	25.0%	30.2%	26.8%	1.13×	3.31
4-5 goals	21.8%	24.4%	21.2%	1.15×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.8%	14.8%	12.0%	1.24×	6.76
7+ goals	1.8%	2.6%	2.4%	1.05×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino never behind	42.2%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Audax Italiano never behind	38.7%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	46.1%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	53.9%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.0%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.0%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	95.1%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.5%	87.6%	85.9%	1.02×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	73.2%	72.5%	71.0%	1.02×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	71.5%	72.5%	72.2%	1.00×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	51.4%	52.5%	47.1%	1.12×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	48.6%	47.5%	52.9%	0.90×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	28.5%	27.5%	27.8%	0.99×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	26.8%	27.5%	29.0%	0.95×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	12.5%	12.4%	14.1%	0.88×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	4.9%	1.58×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	5.0%	7.7%	8.0%	0.96×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.2%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.6%	92.4%	91.4%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.4%	86.7%	83.4%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.7%	67.5%	61.9%	1.09×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	63.1%	61.9%	65.6%	0.94×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	36.9%	38.1%	34.4%	1.11×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.3%	32.5%	38.1%	0.85×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.6%	13.3%	16.6%	0.80×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.4%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.8%	2.8%	2.6%	1.09×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.3%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.8%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.2%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.7%	7.3%	—	—	13.61

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.0%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.1%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.4%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.9%	20.4%	—	—	4.91
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.0%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano not to score in both halves	78.4%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Palestino not to score in both halves	76.8%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Palestino to score in both halves	23.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Audax Italiano to score in both halves	21.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.1%	53.8%	52.0%	1.04×	1.86
Only Palestino scores	23.0%	22.3%	16.8%	1.32×	4.49
Only Audax Italiano scores	20.7%	22.2%	26.8%	0.83×	4.50
Neither team scores	5.2%	7.1%	4.9%	1.46×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	23.3%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	22.9%	22.6%	19.5%	1.16×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	14.3%	12.1%	15.1%	0.80×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	7.5%	7.6%	6.3%	1.20×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.2%	7.6%	4.9%	1.56×	13.15
6 or more goals	5.0%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	37.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	33.4%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	19.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	9.7%	7.3%	—	—	13.61

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.6%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	34.5%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	20.9%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano not to win both halves	91.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Palestino not to win both halves	90.5%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Palestino to win both halves	9.5%	5.9%	—	—	16.97
Audax Italiano to win both halves	8.2%	5.9%	—	—	17.07

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to win either half	53.7%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Audax Italiano to win either half	50.1%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Audax Italiano to win neither half	49.9%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Palestino to win neither half	46.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Audax Italiano not to win to nil	79.3%	78.1%	73.2%	1.07×	1.28
Palestino not to win to nil	77.0%	78.1%	83.2%	0.94×	1.28
Palestino to win to nil	23.0%	21.9%	16.8%	1.30×	4.57
Audax Italiano to win to nil	20.7%	21.9%	26.8%	0.81×	4.58

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino by 1	23.2%	24.1%	20.0%	1.21×	4.15
Audax Italiano by 1	21.8%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Draw	22.0%	24.1%	21.2%	1.14×	4.15
Palestino by 2	11.4%	11.8%	6.3%	1.85×	8.51
Audax Italiano by 2	10.0%	7.2%	12.9%	0.56×	13.90
Palestino by 3+	6.4%	7.2%	4.1%	1.73×	13.91
Audax Italiano by 3+	5.1%	7.2%	10.5%	0.69×	13.92