Augsburg v Bayern Munich — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 10 October 2026 · GER-Bundesliga · 2627

Bundesliga xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Augsburg

2–2

1.96 – 4.58 xG

Bayern Munich

Shots

12 – 30

On target

5 – 10

Shots in box

10 – 17

xG per shot

0.17 – 0.17

Set-piece xG

0.72 – 0.71

Goals − xG

-0.05 – -3.01

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 10 Oct, 10:59 · 3h before kick-off

Augsburg win

18.6%

model 18.0%

Draw

18.6%

model 18.2%

Bayern Munich win

62.9%

model 63.8%

191963

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-2 9.2%
1-3 7.6%
1-1 7.5%
0-2 7.4%
0-3 6.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	71.8%	Under 2.5	28.2%
BTTS yes	65.4%	BTTS no	34.6%
Augsburg 1+	71.5%	Augsburg 2+	35.8%
Bayern Munich 1+	91.5%	Bayern Munich 2+	70.5%

Expected goals 1.26 – 2.46. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

98/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Bayern Munich to lead by 2 at any time

Lead at any time · usually 24%

51.0% fair odds 1.96

strong signal · 1183 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Bayern Munich or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP · usually 65%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Bayern Munich carry the stronger rating, 1950 Elo against 1532.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Bayern Munich have an estimated 62.9% win probability, against 18.6% for the draw and 18.6% for Augsburg. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.26 for Augsburg and 2.46 for Bayern Munich.

Why Augsburg

At home Augsburg average 2.80 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.6%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Bayern Munich can win

Bayern Munich carry the stronger rating, 1950 Elo against 1532. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Augsburg's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Michael Gregoritsch (0.43), Anton Kade (0.40), Fabian Rieder (0.27). Bayern Munich's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Harry Kane (0.93), Michael Olise (0.71), Luis Díaz (0.61).

Availability

1 of Augsburg's top three contributors did not start their last match. Bayern Munich changed goalkeeper for their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Augsburg: 38% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 19.6 faced, 0.31 xG a match from set pieces. Bayern Munich: 70% possession, 21.2 shots a match, 6.4 faced, 0.61 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-10 14:48 · team_stats 2026-10-10 06:03 · availability 2026-10-10 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Bayern Munich are the model's most likely outcome at 62.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 9.2%. Confidence 98/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Augsburg are conceding fewer than expected — 3.3 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

DWWLWWDLDL last 10 scored 23 from 23.0 xG conceded 19 from 22.3 xG

Bayern Munich are finishing above their chances — 3.2 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 3.5 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WDWWWDWWDW last 10 scored 35 from 31.8 xG conceded 12 from 15.5 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	181864	1.26–2.46	0%	0%	0%	Away ✗
dc-xg	171766	1.30–2.66	1-2 9%	76%	68%	Away ✗
dc-xg-oos	171766	1.30–2.61	1-2 9%	75%	67%	Away ✗

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich to win	59.0%	54.0%	33.5%	1.61×	1.85
Augsburg to win	23.1%	24.4%	41.8%	0.58×	4.09
Draw	17.9%	19.4%	24.8%	0.78×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich & both teams score	41.5%	40.1%	18.5%	2.17×	2.50
Augsburg & both teams score	17.5%	18.0%	22.2%	0.81×	5.57
Bayern Munich & not both score	17.5%	18.0%	15.2%	1.18×	5.57
Draw & both teams score	16.6%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.57
Augsburg & not both score	5.6%	8.3%	19.8%	0.42×	12.01
Draw & not both score	1.3%	4.9%	5.8%	0.83×	20.53

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich & over 1.5	55.5%	54.7%	27.7%	1.98×	1.83
Bayern Munich & over 2.5	50.8%	48.8%	23.5%	2.07×	2.05
Bayern Munich & over 3.5	39.0%	34.8%	14.2%	2.46×	2.87
Augsburg & over 1.5	20.9%	21.6%	35.8%	0.60×	4.63
Bayern Munich & under 3.5	20.0%	21.6%	19.5%	1.11×	4.63
Augsburg & over 2.5	19.1%	18.0%	29.8%	0.60×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.6%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Augsburg & over 3.5	13.2%	12.9%	20.5%	0.63×	7.78
Draw & over 2.5	10.8%	12.9%	9.5%	1.35×	7.78
Draw & over 3.5	10.8%	12.9%	9.5%	1.35×	7.78
Augsburg & under 3.5	9.9%	7.9%	21.5%	0.37×	12.62
Bayern Munich & under 2.5	8.1%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.63
Draw & under 2.5	7.1%	7.9%	15.4%	0.51×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	7.1%	7.9%	15.4%	0.51×	12.63
Augsburg & under 2.5	4.0%	4.8%	12.2%	0.39×	20.83
Bayern Munich & under 1.5	3.5%	4.8%	6.0%	0.80×	20.84
Augsburg & under 1.5	2.2%	4.8%	6.2%	0.78×	20.85
Draw & under 1.5	1.3%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.85

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (1UP)	76.1%	78.8%	52.5%	1.50×	1.27
Augsburg (1UP)	47.8%	43.7%	59.9%	0.73×	2.29

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (2UP)	59.0%	55.3%	36.5%	1.51×	1.81
Augsburg (2UP)	23.1%	23.5%	45.1%	0.52×	4.26

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich to win 2nd half	54.4%	53.0%	29.3%	1.81×	1.89
2nd half drawn	25.3%	26.5%	33.7%	0.79×	3.77
Augsburg to win 2nd half	20.3%	23.7%	37.1%	0.64×	4.22

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.3%	78.9%	56.9%	1.39×	1.27
Bayern Munich under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.3%	52.8%	79.7%	0.66×	1.90
Bayern Munich over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.7%	47.2%	20.3%	2.32×	2.12
Bayern Munich under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.7%	21.1%	43.1%	0.49×	4.75

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.9%	75.6%	74.4%	1.02×	1.32
Augsburg over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.4%	57.8%	62.6%	0.92×	1.73
Augsburg under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.6%	42.2%	37.4%	1.13×	2.37
Augsburg over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.1%	24.4%	25.6%	0.95×	4.11

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (+2.5)	95.8%	96.3%	88.0%	1.09×	1.04
Bayern Munich (+1.5)	89.2%	88.5%	75.1%	1.18×	1.13
Bayern Munich (+0.5)	76.9%	78.5%	58.2%	1.35×	1.27
Bayern Munich (-0.5)	59.0%	57.1%	33.5%	1.70×	1.75
Augsburg (+0.5)	41.0%	43.0%	66.5%	0.65×	2.33
Augsburg (-0.5)	23.1%	21.5%	41.8%	0.51×	4.65
Augsburg (-1.5)	10.8%	11.5%	24.9%	0.46×	8.70
Augsburg (-2.5)	4.2%	3.7%	12.0%	0.31×	26.96

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich to concede	81.2%	81.4%	79.1%	1.03×	1.23
Bayern Munich clean sheet	18.8%	18.6%	20.9%	0.89×	5.39

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich to concede in 1st half	55.9%	57.9%	52.1%	1.11×	1.73
Bayern Munich clean sheet in 1st half	44.1%	42.1%	47.9%	0.88×	2.38

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich to concede in 2nd half	57.4%	57.5%	62.6%	0.92×	1.74
Bayern Munich clean sheet in 2nd half	42.6%	42.5%	37.4%	1.13×	2.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich over 2.5 corners	93.0%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Bayern Munich over 3.5 corners	85.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Bayern Munich over 4.5 corners	75.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Bayern Munich over 5.5 corners	64.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Bayern Munich over 6.5 corners	52.4%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Bayern Munich under 6.5 corners	47.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Bayern Munich under 5.5 corners	35.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Bayern Munich under 4.5 corners	24.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Bayern Munich under 3.5 corners	14.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Bayern Munich under 2.5 corners	7.0%	10.1%	—	—	9.95

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich over 0.5 goals	93.1%	92.3%	74.5%	1.24×	1.08
Bayern Munich over 1.5 goals	74.5%	71.9%	42.8%	1.68×	1.39
Bayern Munich under 3.5 goals	72.2%	71.9%	92.6%	0.78×	1.39
Bayern Munich under 2.5 goals	50.2%	53.5%	79.1%	0.68×	1.87
Bayern Munich over 2.5 goals	49.8%	46.5%	20.9%	2.22×	2.15
Bayern Munich over 3.5 goals	27.8%	28.1%	7.4%	3.80×	3.56
Bayern Munich under 1.5 goals	25.5%	28.1%	57.2%	0.49×	3.57
Bayern Munich under 0.5 goals	6.9%	7.7%	25.5%	0.30×	13.03

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich over 0.5 in 1st half	66.4%	69.1%	45.5%	1.52×	1.45
Bayern Munich under 1.5 in 1st half	70.2%	67.7%	85.7%	0.79×	1.48
Bayern Munich over 1.5 in 1st half	29.8%	32.3%	14.3%	2.25×	3.10
Bayern Munich under 0.5 in 1st half	33.6%	30.9%	54.5%	0.57×	3.24

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich scores more in 2nd half	48.6%	48.0%	36.7%	1.31×	2.09
Bayern Munich scores more in 1st half	26.3%	26.5%	24.0%	1.10×	3.77
Bayern Munich scores equally in both	25.1%	26.5%	39.4%	0.67×	3.77

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg (away no bet)	56.3%	57.3%	62.8%	0.91×	1.75
Draw (away no bet)	43.7%	42.7%	37.2%	1.15×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich even goals	50.2%	52.6%	53.4%	0.99×	1.90
Bayern Munich odd goals	49.8%	47.4%	46.6%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	60.3%	63.3%	75.3%	0.84×	1.58
Both halves over 1.5 goals	39.7%	36.7%	24.7%	1.49×	2.72

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	87.0%	83.9%	72.4%	1.16×	1.19
Both halves under 1.5 goals	13.0%	16.1%	27.6%	0.58×	6.21

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	79.5%	76.4%	66.9%	1.14×	1.31
Bayern Munich to score 2+ in a row	63.0%	60.1%	34.4%	1.75×	1.66
Either team to score 3+ in a row	41.1%	38.2%	29.6%	1.29×	2.62
Augsburg to score 2+ in a row	33.8%	29.3%	42.5%	0.69×	3.41
Bayern Munich to score 3+ in a row	32.4%	29.2%	12.6%	2.31×	3.42
Augsburg to score 3+ in a row	10.2%	12.0%	17.9%	0.67×	8.35

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich corners (+3.5)	94.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Bayern Munich corners (+2.5)	91.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Bayern Munich corners (+1.5)	86.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Bayern Munich corners (-1.5)	63.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Augsburg corners (+3.5)	56.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Bayern Munich corners (-2.5)	53.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Augsburg corners (+2.5)	46.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Bayern Munich corners (-3.5)	43.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Augsburg corners (+1.5)	36.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Augsburg corners (-1.5)	13.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Augsburg corners (-2.5)	8.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.57
Augsburg corners (-3.5)	5.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	43.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
0-8 corners	28.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
9-11 corners	28.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	80.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	71.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	64.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	62.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	56.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	53.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	46.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 11.5 corners	43.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	37.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	35.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	28.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	19.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	15.6%	13.8%	5.7%	2.43×	7.24
1-2	7.8%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.50
1-3	6.9%	7.4%	4.8%	1.55×	13.50
2-2	6.5%	7.4%	6.5%	1.15×	13.50
1-1	5.8%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.50
2-3	5.8%	7.4%	2.6%	2.83×	13.50
2-1	4.9%	1.7%	6.9%	0.25×	58.33
0-0	1.3%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.35
0-1	3.5%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.33
0-2	4.6%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.33
0-3	4.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.33
0-4	2.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.11×	58.34
1-0	2.2%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.34
1-4	4.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.33
2-0	1.8%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.34
2-4	3.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.33
3-0	1.0%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.35
3-1	2.7%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.34
3-2	3.6%	1.7%	3.5%	0.48×	58.33
3-3	3.2%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.33
3-4	2.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.11×	58.34
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	3.5%	0.48×	58.35
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	2.2%	0.80×	58.35
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.34
4-3	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
4-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.5%	3.71×	58.35

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (2nd half DNB)	72.8%	68.9%	44.1%	1.56×	1.45
Augsburg (2nd half DNB)	27.2%	31.1%	55.9%	0.56×	3.21

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich leading at HT (DNB)	60.5%	64.9%	44.2%	1.47×	1.54
Augsburg leading at HT (DNB)	39.5%	35.1%	55.8%	0.63×	2.85

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg or Bayern Munich (12)	82.1%	80.6%	75.2%	1.07×	1.24
Bayern Munich or draw (X2)	76.9%	75.6%	58.2%	1.30×	1.32
Augsburg or draw (1X)	41.0%	46.0%	66.5%	0.69×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich or draw at HT	72.9%	74.8%	62.9%	1.19×	1.34
Augsburg or Bayern Munich at HT	68.7%	66.6%	66.4%	1.00×	1.50
Augsburg or draw at HT	58.4%	57.0%	70.6%	0.81×	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich or draw (1UP)	76.9%	84.0%	64.9%	1.29×	1.19
Augsburg or draw (1UP)	47.8%	52.9%	73.7%	0.72×	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich or draw in 2nd half	79.7%	76.3%	62.9%	1.21×	1.31
Augsburg or Bayern Munich in 2nd half	74.7%	73.5%	66.3%	1.11×	1.36
Augsburg or draw in 2nd half	45.6%	47.0%	70.7%	0.66×	2.13

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	51.3%	50.1%	46.4%	1.08×	2.00
A half drawn	48.7%	49.9%	53.6%	0.93×	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (DNB)	71.8%	71.5%	44.5%	1.61×	1.40
Augsburg (DNB)	28.2%	28.5%	55.5%	0.51×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich to score first	60.7%	64.5%	43.3%	1.49×	1.55
Augsburg to score first	38.0%	32.8%	51.0%	0.64×	3.05
No goal scored	1.3%	4.3%	5.9%	0.73×	23.24

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	75.6%	62.1%	59.4%	1.05×	1.61
Not both teams to score	24.4%	37.9%	40.6%	0.93×	2.64

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	69.8%	57.2%	49.8%	1.15×	1.75
Not both score & under 2.5	13.4%	12.4%	27.8%	0.44×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	11.0%	12.4%	12.9%	0.96×	8.10
Both score & under 2.5	5.8%	8.3%	9.7%	0.86×	12.05

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	62.8%	70.8%	79.7%	0.89×	1.41
Both teams to score 2+	37.2%	29.2%	20.3%	1.44×	3.43

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	54.4%	53.4%	65.2%	0.82×	1.87
Both teams to score in 2nd half	45.6%	46.6%	34.8%	1.34×	2.15

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	34.2%	27.8%	51.5%	0.54×	3.60
Both score 2nd half only	28.6%	26.9%	28.2%	0.95×	3.72
Both score 1st half only	20.2%	20.7%	13.9%	1.49×	4.84
Both score in both halves	16.9%	15.4%	6.8%	2.27×	6.51

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	62.9%	62.2%	79.5%	0.78×	1.61
Both teams to score by HT	37.1%	37.8%	20.5%	1.84×	2.65

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	77.7%	80.4%	67.5%	1.19×	1.24
A half without a goal	22.3%	19.6%	32.5%	0.60×	5.10

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	48.2%	47.2%	40.0%	1.18×	2.12
2-3 goals	30.0%	30.8%	38.6%	0.80×	3.25
7+ goals	14.8%	16.9%	4.0%	4.23×	5.92
0-1 goals	7.0%	7.6%	17.7%	0.43×	13.14

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich to score 3+	49.8%	43.1%	20.9%	2.06×	2.32
Bayern Munich to score exactly 2	24.7%	22.3%	22.0%	1.01×	4.48
Bayern Munich to score exactly 1	18.5%	19.6%	31.8%	0.61×	5.11
Bayern Munich to score exactly 0	6.9%	8.5%	25.5%	0.33×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg to score exactly 1	31.4%	32.5%	28.9%	1.12×	3.07
Augsburg to score exactly 2	26.3%	26.5%	22.8%	1.17×	3.77
Augsburg to score 3+	23.6%	23.3%	27.7%	0.84×	4.29
Augsburg to score exactly 0	18.8%	18.8%	20.9%	0.90×	5.31

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich leading at HT	41.6%	43.1%	29.4%	1.46×	2.32
Draw at HT	31.3%	33.4%	33.6%	0.99×	2.99
Augsburg leading at HT	27.1%	25.2%	37.1%	0.68×	3.96

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich -1: 1	41.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Bayern Munich -1: 2	39.2%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Bayern Munich -1: X	19.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (0:1)	76.9%	73.7%	58.2%	1.27×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	12.4%	13.7%	17.1%	0.80×	7.29
Augsburg (0:1)	10.8%	13.7%	24.9%	0.55×	7.30

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (0:2)	89.2%	87.1%	75.1%	1.16×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	6.6%	7.7%	13.1%	0.59×	13.02
Augsburg (0:2)	4.2%	3.8%	12.0%	0.31×	26.53

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (0:3)	95.8%	96.6%	88.0%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.8%	2.4%	5.1%	0.47×	42.25
Augsburg (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	7.1%	0.33×	42.31

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (0:4)	98.6%	98.1%	92.9%	1.06×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	5.1%	0.24×	82.74
Augsburg (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	2.2%	0.56×	82.81

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg (1:0)	41.0%	43.0%	66.5%	0.65×	2.33
Bayern Munich (1:0)	39.2%	37.8%	17.2%	2.20×	2.64
Draw (1:0)	19.7%	17.1%	16.5%	1.04×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg (2:0)	60.8%	66.1%	82.8%	0.80×	1.51
Bayern Munich (2:0)	22.4%	19.1%	7.4%	2.59×	5.24
Draw (2:0)	16.8%	15.7%	10.0%	1.57×	6.37

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.9%	48.3%	47.3%	1.02×	2.07
1st half highest scoring	30.8%	29.4%	25.7%	1.14×	3.41
Halves equal	19.3%	20.1%	27.1%	0.74×	4.98

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg to concede	93.1%	93.1%	74.5%	1.25×	1.07
Augsburg clean sheet	6.9%	6.9%	25.5%	0.27×	14.49

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg to concede in 1st half	66.4%	69.2%	45.5%	1.52×	1.45
Augsburg clean sheet in 1st half	33.6%	30.8%	54.5%	0.56×	3.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg to concede in 2nd half	79.3%	83.4%	56.9%	1.47×	1.20
Augsburg clean sheet in 2nd half	20.7%	16.6%	43.1%	0.38×	6.03

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg under 6.5 corners	84.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Augsburg under 5.5 corners	75.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Augsburg over 2.5 corners	71.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Augsburg under 4.5 corners	61.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Augsburg over 3.5 corners	54.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Augsburg under 3.5 corners	45.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Augsburg over 4.5 corners	38.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Augsburg under 2.5 corners	28.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Augsburg over 5.5 corners	25.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Augsburg over 6.5 corners	15.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg under 3.5 goals	91.1%	92.2%	88.5%	1.04×	1.08
Augsburg over 0.5 goals	81.2%	82.2%	79.1%	1.04×	1.22
Augsburg under 2.5 goals	76.4%	77.7%	72.3%	1.07×	1.29
Augsburg under 1.5 goals	50.2%	53.2%	49.7%	1.07×	1.88
Augsburg over 1.5 goals	49.8%	46.8%	50.3%	0.93×	2.14
Augsburg over 2.5 goals	23.6%	22.3%	27.7%	0.80×	4.49
Augsburg under 0.5 goals	18.8%	17.8%	20.9%	0.85×	5.61
Augsburg over 3.5 goals	8.9%	7.8%	11.5%	0.68×	12.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg under 1.5 in 1st half	80.2%	83.9%	80.6%	1.04×	1.19
Augsburg over 0.5 in 1st half	55.9%	57.5%	52.1%	1.10×	1.74
Augsburg under 0.5 in 1st half	44.1%	42.5%	47.9%	0.89×	2.35
Augsburg over 1.5 in 1st half	19.8%	16.1%	19.4%	0.83×	6.20

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg scores equally in both	34.4%	33.1%	36.5%	0.91×	3.02
Augsburg scores more in 2nd half	33.8%	33.1%	38.2%	0.87×	3.02
Augsburg scores more in 1st half	31.8%	33.0%	25.4%	1.30×	3.03

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (home no bet)	76.7%	78.0%	57.5%	1.36×	1.28
Draw (home no bet)	23.3%	22.0%	42.5%	0.52×	4.54

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg even goals	51.8%	50.7%	52.2%	0.97×	1.97
Augsburg odd goals	48.2%	49.3%	47.8%	1.03×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-1	16.2%	18.9%	16.5%	1.15×	5.30
HT 0-0	14.8%	10.9%	23.0%	0.47×	9.20
Any other HT score	14.3%	10.9%	6.6%	1.64×	9.20
HT 1-1	13.2%	10.9%	9.6%	1.14×	9.21
HT 1-0	12.1%	10.8%	19.6%	0.55×	9.22
HT 0-2	8.8%	7.0%	7.2%	0.96×	14.33
HT 1-2	7.2%	7.0%	3.5%	1.97×	14.36
HT 2-1	5.4%	7.0%	4.3%	1.61×	14.38
HT 2-0	5.0%	2.4%	9.7%	0.24×	42.20
HT 2-2	3.0%	2.4%	1.2%	1.92×	42.33

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich at HT / Bayern Munich at FT	35.8%	40.6%	20.3%	2.00×	2.46
Draw at HT / Bayern Munich at FT	17.0%	16.8%	9.9%	1.70×	5.96
Augsburg at HT / Augsburg at FT	15.0%	12.7%	28.5%	0.44×	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	7.9%	6.1%	13.7%	0.44×	16.42
Draw at HT / Augsburg at FT	6.4%	6.1%	10.3%	0.59×	16.46
Augsburg at HT / Bayern Munich at FT	6.2%	6.1%	3.7%	1.64×	16.47
Augsburg at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.1%	5.2%	1.16×	16.47
Bayern Munich at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	6.0%	0.58×	28.85
Bayern Munich at HT / Augsburg at FT	1.8%	3.5%	3.4%	1.02×	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich to score last	60.6%	62.1%	44.4%	1.40×	1.61
Augsburg to score last	38.1%	38.9%	49.9%	0.78×	2.57
No goal scored	1.3%	4.3%	5.9%	0.73×	23.24

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.7%	95.6%	94.1%	1.02×	1.05
Bayern Munich to lead by 1 at any time	76.1%	78.1%	52.5%	1.49×	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	68.3%	69.6%	56.1%	1.24×	1.44
Bayern Munich to lead by 2 at any time	49.8%	44.4%	23.6%	1.88×	2.25
Augsburg to lead by 1 at any time	47.8%	44.4%	59.9%	0.74×	2.25
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	34.9%	29.7%	25.7%	1.15×	3.37
Bayern Munich to lead by 3 at any time	28.0%	25.4%	10.2%	2.49×	3.94
Augsburg to lead by 2 at any time	19.6%	15.1%	33.3%	0.45×	6.63
Augsburg to lead by 3 at any time	6.9%	6.7%	15.7%	0.43×	14.95

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich most corners	72.3%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Augsburg most corners	19.9%	19.1%	—	—	5.24
Corners level	7.9%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	78.2%	78.7%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
1-5 goals	71.7%	72.4%	83.2%	0.87×	1.38
2-5 goals	66.1%	68.8%	71.4%	0.96×	1.45
3-6 goals	66.0%	68.8%	58.8%	1.17×	1.45
1-4 goals	55.0%	53.2%	72.2%	0.74×	1.88
3-5 goals	53.8%	53.2%	51.7%	1.03×	1.88
2-4 goals	49.3%	48.6%	60.3%	0.81×	2.06
4-6 goals	48.2%	48.5%	40.0%	1.21×	2.06
3-4 goals	37.1%	39.2%	40.6%	0.96×	2.55
4-5 goals	36.1%	39.2%	32.9%	1.19×	2.55
1-3 goals	35.7%	39.2%	50.5%	0.78×	2.55
2-3 goals	30.0%	35.2%	38.6%	0.91×	2.84
5-6 goals	28.9%	30.3%	18.3%	1.65×	3.30
1-2 goals	17.9%	18.8%	31.7%	0.59×	5.32
7+ goals	14.8%	14.8%	4.0%	3.71×	6.74

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich never behind	50.9%	62.5%	40.1%	1.56×	1.60
Augsburg never behind	22.6%	24.5%	47.5%	0.52×	4.08

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	45.1%	1.13×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	54.9%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.1%	51.6%	52.2%	0.99×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.9%	48.4%	47.8%	1.01×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.4%	51.9%	53.2%	0.98×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.6%	48.1%	46.8%	1.03×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.7%	95.4%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	82.3%	1.12×	1.08
Over 2.5 goals	80.8%	82.3%	62.6%	1.31×	1.22
Under 5.5 goals	73.1%	72.5%	88.9%	0.81×	1.38
Over 3.5 goals	63.0%	61.7%	43.8%	1.41×	1.62
Under 4.5 goals	56.3%	58.6%	77.8%	0.75×	1.71
Over 4.5 goals	43.7%	41.4%	22.2%	1.87×	2.42
Under 3.5 goals	37.0%	38.3%	56.2%	0.68×	2.61
Over 5.5 goals	26.9%	27.6%	11.1%	2.49×	3.63
Under 2.5 goals	19.2%	17.7%	37.4%	0.47×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	17.7%	0.44×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	1.3%	4.6%	5.8%	0.78×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	92.1%	92.4%	78.0%	1.19×	1.08
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	83.1%	81.1%	95.7%	0.85×	1.23
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.6%	75.9%	54.0%	1.41×	1.32
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	67.6%	67.4%	87.5%	0.77×	1.48
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	54.2%	51.9%	28.3%	1.83×	1.93
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	45.8%	48.1%	71.7%	0.67×	2.08
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	32.4%	32.6%	12.5%	2.61×	3.07
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.4%	24.1%	46.0%	0.52×	4.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	16.9%	18.9%	4.3%	4.39×	5.29
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	7.9%	7.6%	22.0%	0.34×	13.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	85.2%	88.8%	77.0%	1.15×	1.13
Under 2.5 in 1st half	70.1%	71.5%	84.7%	0.84×	1.40
Over 1.5 in 1st half	56.9%	63.5%	41.3%	1.54×	1.57
Under 1.5 in 1st half	43.1%	36.5%	58.7%	0.62×	2.74
Over 2.5 in 1st half	29.9%	28.5%	15.3%	1.87×	3.50
Under 0.5 in 1st half	14.8%	11.2%	23.0%	0.49×	8.93

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	91.2%	88.7%	84.6%	1.05×	1.13
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	69.8%	67.8%	55.8%	1.22×	1.48
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	56.2%	55.1%	73.2%	0.75×	1.82
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	43.8%	44.9%	26.8%	1.68×	2.23
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	30.2%	32.2%	44.2%	0.73×	3.11
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	8.8%	11.3%	15.4%	0.74×	8.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg not to score in both halves	67.9%	70.2%	64.4%	1.09×	1.43
Bayern Munich to score in both halves	52.7%	55.7%	27.9%	2.00×	1.80
Bayern Munich not to score in both halves	47.3%	44.3%	72.1%	0.61×	2.26
Augsburg to score in both halves	32.1%	29.8%	35.6%	0.84×	3.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	75.6%	67.3%	59.4%	1.13×	1.49
Only Bayern Munich scores	17.5%	16.0%	15.2%	1.05×	6.24
Only Augsburg scores	5.6%	7.1%	19.8%	0.36×	14.05
Neither team scores	1.3%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.63

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	26.9%	24.9%	11.1%	2.24×	4.02
Exactly 4 goals	19.3%	17.4%	21.8%	0.80×	5.73
Exactly 3 goals	17.8%	17.4%	18.9%	0.92×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	16.8%	17.4%	11.2%	1.55×	5.74
Exactly 2 goals	12.3%	12.1%	19.8%	0.61×	8.26
Exactly 1 goals	5.7%	7.6%	12.0%	0.63×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	1.3%	4.5%	5.8%	0.76×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
3+ goals in 1st half	29.9%	28.4%	15.3%	1.86×	3.52
1 goal in 1st half	28.3%	28.3%	35.9%	0.79×	3.53
2 goals in 1st half	27.0%	28.3%	26.2%	1.08×	3.54
No goals in 1st half	14.8%	11.1%	23.0%	0.48×	9.01

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	69.8%	60.6%	55.8%	1.09×	1.65
1 goal in 2nd half	21.4%	22.4%	29.0%	0.77×	4.47
No goals in 2nd half	8.8%	10.8%	15.4%	0.70×	9.25

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg not to win both halves	94.5%	94.2%	83.8%	1.12×	1.06
Bayern Munich not to win both halves	77.4%	75.2%	90.8%	0.83×	1.33
Bayern Munich to win both halves	22.6%	24.8%	9.2%	2.68×	4.03
Augsburg to win both halves	5.5%	5.8%	16.2%	0.36×	17.10

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich to win either half	73.4%	73.1%	49.5%	1.48×	1.37
Augsburg to win neither half	58.1%	59.1%	41.9%	1.41×	1.69
Augsburg to win either half	41.9%	40.9%	58.1%	0.70×	2.44
Bayern Munich to win neither half	26.6%	26.9%	50.5%	0.53×	3.71

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Augsburg not to win to nil	94.4%	92.1%	80.2%	1.15×	1.09
Bayern Munich not to win to nil	82.5%	83.1%	84.8%	0.98×	1.20
Bayern Munich to win to nil	17.5%	16.9%	15.2%	1.11×	5.91
Augsburg to win to nil	5.6%	7.9%	19.8%	0.40×	12.68

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich by 3+	22.4%	24.1%	7.4%	3.26×	4.15
Bayern Munich by 1	19.7%	17.0%	16.5%	1.03×	5.87
Draw	17.9%	17.0%	24.8%	0.69×	5.87
Bayern Munich by 2	16.8%	17.0%	10.0%	1.70×	5.87
Augsburg by 1	12.4%	11.8%	17.1%	0.69×	8.51
Augsburg by 2	6.6%	7.2%	13.1%	0.55×	13.90
Augsburg by 3+	4.2%	2.7%	12.0%	0.23×	36.65

Reading the xG timeline

Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

Augsburg 2.05 xGBayern Munich 5.01 xG

Reading the shot map

Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Augsburg attacking right Bayern Munich attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

Min	Team	Player	xG	Situation	Body part	Result	Assisted by
0'	Augsburg	Robin Fellhauer	0.40	Open Play	Right Foot	Goal	—
3'	Augsburg	Calvin Brackelmann	0.05	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	—
3'	Augsburg	Robin Fellhauer	0.02	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	—
8'	Bayern Munich	Harry Kane	0.03	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Luis Díaz
11'	Bayern Munich	Harry Kane	0.03	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Michael Olise
12'	Bayern Munich	Michael Olise	0.02	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Aleksandar Pavlovic
13'	Bayern Munich	Harry Kane	0.45	From Corner	—	Missed Shot	—
14'	Bayern Munich	Ismael Saibari	0.04	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Luis Díaz
15'	Bayern Munich	Alphonso Davies	0.04	From Corner	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Michael Olise
16'	Augsburg	Robin Fellhauer	0.06	From Corner	Right Foot	Missed Shot	—
31'	Bayern Munich	Dayotchanculle Upamecano	0.14	From Corner	Right Foot	Saved Shot	—
33'	Bayern Munich	Harry Kane	0.12	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Michael Olise
34'	Augsburg	Chrislain Matsima	0.07	From Corner	—	Missed Shot	—
34'	Augsburg	Juma Bah	0.59	From Corner	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Chrislain Matsima
36'	Bayern Munich	Ismael Saibari	0.13	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Josip Stanisic
37'	Augsburg	Rodrigo Ribeiro	0.06	Open Play	—	Missed Shot	Seol Young-Woo
46'	Bayern Munich	Ismael Saibari	0.05	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Dayotchanculle Upamecano
49'	Bayern Munich	Harry Kane	0.54	Open Play	Right Foot	Shot On Post	Aleksandar Pavlovic
54'	Bayern Munich	Ismael Saibari	0.46	Open Play	Right Foot	Goal	Harry Kane
56'	Bayern Munich	Ismael Saibari	0.14	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Luis Díaz
57'	Bayern Munich	Harry Kane	0.02	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Aleksandar Pavlovic
58'	Bayern Munich	Harry Kane	0.09	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Michael Olise
60'	Augsburg	Seol Young-Woo	0.08	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Robin Fellhauer
62'	Bayern Munich	Joshua Kimmich	0.01	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Alphonso Davies
63'	Augsburg	Calvin Brackelmann	0.10	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Hennes Behrens
63'	Augsburg	Rodrigo Ribeiro	0.50	Open Play	Left Foot	Goal	—
63'	Bayern Munich	Ismael Saibari	0.03	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Aleksandar Pavlovic
69'	Bayern Munich	Michael Olise	0.03	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Alphonso Davies
77'	Bayern Munich	Nathaniel Brown	0.03	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Michael Olise
78'	Bayern Munich	Harry Kane	0.49	Open Play	—	Saved Shot	Serge Gnabry
79'	Augsburg	Arijon Ibrahimovic	0.08	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Han-Noah Massengo
79'	Bayern Munich	Nathaniel Brown	0.48	Open Play	Left Foot	Goal	Harry Kane
82'	Bayern Munich	Serge Gnabry	0.66	Open Play	Right Foot	Shot On Post	Luis Díaz
82'	Bayern Munich	Serge Gnabry	0.65	Open Play	Right Foot	Saved Shot	—
83'	Bayern Munich	Michael Olise	0.04	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Joshua Kimmich
84'	Bayern Munich	Dayotchanculle Upamecano	0.09	From Corner	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Nathaniel Brown
85'	Bayern Munich	Serge Gnabry	0.08	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Luis Díaz
88'	Bayern Munich	Lennart Karl	0.04	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	—
88'	Bayern Munich	Michael Olise	0.02	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Tom Bischof
90'	Bayern Munich	Tom Bischof	0.02	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Lennart Karl
91'	Bayern Munich	Michael Olise	0.04	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Serge Gnabry
94'	Augsburg	Anton Kade	0.04	Open Play	Right Foot	Saved Shot	—

Players

Augsburg

Player	Min	G	Sh	KP	xG	xA	xGChain
Robin Fellhauer AMC	90	1	3	1	0.47	0.08	0.66
Calvin Brackelmann DC	90	0	2	0	0.16	0.00	0.22
Chrislain Matsima DC	90	0	1	1	0.07	0.59	0.10
Hennes Behrens DML	90	0	0	1	0.00	0.10	0.10
Han-Noah Massengo MC	90	0	0	1	0.00	0.08	0.14
Finn Dahmen GK	90	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Fabian Rieder MC	90	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Juma Bah DC	86	0	1	0	0.59	0.00	0.10
Arijon Ibrahimovic AMC	86	0	1	0	0.08	0.00	0.14
Rodrigo Ribeiro FW	79	1	2	0	0.56	0.00	0.56
Seol Young-Woo DMR	66	0	1	1	0.08	0.06	0.14
Anton Kade Sub	24	0	1	0	0.04	0.00	0.04
Mert Kömür Sub	11	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.04
Michael Gregoritsch Sub	4	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Sub	4	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00

Bayern Munich

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	KP	xG	xA	xGChain
Harry Kane FW	90	0	2	8	2	1.78	0.94	2.28
Dayotchanculle Upamecano DC	90	0	0	2	1	0.23	0.05	2.39
Michael Olise AMR	90	0	0	5	5	0.15	0.31	1.50
Alphonso Davies DL	90	0	0	1	2	0.04	0.04	2.03
Joshua Kimmich DMC	90	0	0	1	1	0.01	0.04	2.75
Manuel Neuer GK	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.79
Luis Díaz AML	90	0	0	0	5	0.00	0.95	2.10
Jonathan Tah DC	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.68
Aleksandar Pavlovic DMC	90	0	0	0	4	0.00	0.62	2.69
Ismael Saibari AMC	71	1	0	6	0	0.84	0.00	0.84
Josip Stanisic DR	71	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.13	0.70
Serge Gnabry Sub	19	0	0	3	2	1.40	0.52	2.44
Nathaniel Brown Sub	19	1	0	2	1	0.51	0.09	1.79
Lennart Karl Sub	1	0	0	1	1	0.04	0.02	0.06
Tom Bischof Sub	1	0	0	1	1	0.02	0.02	0.04

Augsburg v Bayern Munich — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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Every shot

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