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Augsburg v Bochum — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 30 November 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

1–0
2.16 – 0.25 xG
Shots
16 – 7
On target
4 – 1
Shots in box
12 – 3
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.04
Set-piece xG
0.87 – 0.01
Goals − xG
-1.16 – -0.25
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.21.82.40'15'30'45'60'75'90'Phillip Tietz 37' — goal
Augsburg 2.16 xGBochum 0.25 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Alexis Claude Maurice 1' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 6' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Alexis Claude Maurice 12' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Lukas Daschner 17' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Alexis Claude Maurice 24' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Elvis Rexhbecaj 28' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Felix Passlack 32' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Marius Wolf 34' — Saved Shot (0.35 xG, Open Play)Phillip Tietz 37' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Felix Passlack 44' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Elvis Rexhbecaj 54' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Phillip Tietz 58' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Kristijan Jakic 59' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Samuel Essende 63' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Samuel Essende 66' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 69' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 73' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Ibrahima Sissoko 74' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Koji Miyoshi 78' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Steve Mounie 92' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Steve Mounie 93' — Saved Shot (0.34 xG, Open Play)Steve Mounie 93' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Samuel Essende 95' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)
Augsburg attacking right Bochum attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Augsburg Alexis Claude Maurice 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Phillip Tietz
6' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Anthony Losilla
12' Augsburg Alexis Claude Maurice 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
17' Bochum Lukas Daschner 0.01 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot —
24' Augsburg Alexis Claude Maurice 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Marius Wolf
28' Augsburg Elvis Rexhbecaj 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
32' Bochum Felix Passlack 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Maximilian Wittek
34' Augsburg Marius Wolf 0.35 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot —
37' Augsburg Phillip Tietz 0.76 Right Foot Goal —
44' Bochum Felix Passlack 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Lukas Daschner
54' Augsburg Elvis Rexhbecaj 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Marius Wolf
58' Augsburg Phillip Tietz 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
59' Augsburg Kristijan Jakic 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Henri Koudossou
63' Augsburg Samuel Essende 0.02 From Corner — Saved Shot —
66' Augsburg Samuel Essende 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Marius Wolf
69' Bochum Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Koji Miyoshi
73' Augsburg Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 0.03 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot —
74' Bochum Ibrahima Sissoko 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
78' Bochum Koji Miyoshi 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Philipp Hofmann
92' Augsburg Steve Mounie 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Frank Onyeka
93' Augsburg Steve Mounie 0.34 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Frank Onyeka
93' Augsburg Steve Mounie 0.01 From Corner — Missed Shot Marius Wolf
95' Augsburg Samuel Essende 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Arne Maier

Players

Augsburg

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Marius Wolf DMR 90 0 0 1 4 0.35 0.24 0.53
Kristijan Jakic MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.15
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.01
Nediljko Labrovic GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Chrislain Matsima DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximilian Bauer DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Frank Onyeka MC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.41 0.52
Henri Koudossou DML 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.08
Alexis Claude Maurice FW 81 0 0 3 0 0.17 0.00 0.17
Elvis Rexhbecaj MC 81 0 0 2 0 0.10 0.00 0.48
Phillip Tietz FW 60 1 0 2 1 0.84 0.01 0.20
Samuel Essende Sub 30 0 0 3 0 0.17 0.00 0.23
Steve Mounie Sub 9 0 0 3 0 0.42 0.00 0.41
Arne Maier Sub 9 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.08

Bochum

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Felix Passlack DMR 90 0 0 2 0 0.07 0.00 0.14
Jakov Medic DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Ivan Ordets DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Matús Bero MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Patrick Drewes GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Philipp Hofmann FW 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.14
Maximilian Wittek DML 76 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.07
Anthony Losilla MC 66 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.08
Moritz Broschinski FW 60 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.05
Lukas Daschner MC 60 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.05 0.08
Tim Oermann DC 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bernardo Sub 43 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Koji Miyoshi Sub 30 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.04 0.11
Moritz-Broni Kwarteng Sub 30 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Ibrahima Sissoko Sub 24 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.07
Gerrit Holtmann Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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