Austin v Portland Timbers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Austin

00:00 UTC

Portland Timbers

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 301h before kick-off

Austin win

36.7%

model 37.9%

Draw

26.6%

model 25.4%

Portland Timbers win

36.6%

model 36.7%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.7%
2-1 8.5%
1-2 8.3%
1-0 6.9%
0-1 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.9%	Under 2.5	42.1%
BTTS yes	61.1%	BTTS no	38.9%
Austin 1+	78.1%	Austin 2+	44.9%
Portland Timbers 1+	77.5%	Portland Timbers 2+	43.9%

Expected goals 1.52 – 1.49. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

60/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

2-4 goals

Multi goal · usually 59%

62.1% fair odds 1.61

moderate signal · 3852 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Portland Timbers (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 77%

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Austin.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Austin have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.6% for Portland Timbers and 26.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.52 for Austin and 1.49 for Portland Timbers.

Why Austin

Nothing in the data singles out Austin.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.52 to 1.49. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Portland Timbers can win

Portland Timbers carry the stronger rating, 1489 Elo against 1427.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Austin, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Portland Timbers, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Austin: 55% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Portland Timbers: 47% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 16.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Austin are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%. Confidence 60/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	382537	1.52–1.49	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	372538	1.55–1.59	1-1 11%	61%	63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to win	38.4%	36.4%	30.0%	1.21×	2.75
Austin to win	36.8%	36.3%	45.3%	0.80×	2.75
Draw	24.8%	24.5%	24.8%	0.99×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers & both teams score	22.1%	21.8%	18.0%	1.21×	4.59
Austin & both teams score	21.3%	21.8%	24.4%	0.89×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.9%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Portland Timbers & not both score	16.3%	18.0%	12.1%	1.49×	5.57
Austin & not both score	15.5%	18.0%	21.1%	0.85×	5.57
Draw & not both score	4.9%	4.9%	5.8%	0.85×	20.47

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers & over 1.5	32.1%	30.8%	23.7%	1.30×	3.25
Austin & over 1.5	30.7%	30.7%	37.2%	0.83×	3.25
Portland Timbers & over 2.5	26.6%	26.0%	20.5%	1.27×	3.84
Austin & over 2.5	25.4%	26.0%	31.0%	0.84×	3.84
Portland Timbers & under 3.5	23.1%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Austin & under 3.5	22.3%	21.6%	28.4%	0.76×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.9%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.55
Draw & under 2.5	16.1%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.1%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Portland Timbers & over 3.5	15.3%	18.0%	11.3%	1.60×	5.56
Austin & over 3.5	14.5%	12.8%	17.0%	0.75×	7.79
Austin & under 2.5	11.4%	12.8%	14.4%	0.89×	7.79
Portland Timbers & under 2.5	11.8%	12.8%	9.6%	1.34×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.7%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Austin & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.63
Portland Timbers & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.9%	4.8%	5.8%	0.84×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (1UP)	57.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Austin (1UP)	56.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (2UP)	38.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Austin (2UP)	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to win 2nd half	35.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
2nd half drawn	32.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Austin to win 2nd half	31.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.3%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Portland Timbers over 0.5 in 2nd half	61.5%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Portland Timbers under 0.5 in 2nd half	38.5%	39.8%	—	—	2.52
Portland Timbers over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.7%	20.7%	—	—	4.83

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.8%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Austin over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.7%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Austin under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Austin over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.2%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (+2.5)	92.9%	92.1%	89.4%	1.03×	1.09
Portland Timbers (+1.5)	81.8%	82.6%	76.8%	1.08×	1.21
Portland Timbers (+0.5)	63.2%	62.9%	54.7%	1.15×	1.59
Austin (+0.5)	61.6%	62.9%	70.0%	0.90×	1.59
Portland Timbers (-0.5)	38.4%	37.1%	30.0%	1.24×	2.70
Austin (-0.5)	36.8%	37.1%	45.3%	0.82×	2.70
Austin (-1.5)	18.2%	17.4%	23.2%	0.75×	5.74
Austin (-2.5)	7.1%	7.9%	10.6%	0.74×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to concede	78.8%	78.8%	82.3%	0.96×	1.27
Portland Timbers clean sheet	21.2%	21.2%	17.7%	1.20×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers clean sheet in 1st half	51.3%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Portland Timbers to concede in 1st half	48.7%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to concede in 2nd half	58.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Portland Timbers clean sheet in 2nd half	41.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers over 2.5 corners	81.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Portland Timbers under 6.5 corners	74.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Portland Timbers over 3.5 corners	66.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Portland Timbers under 5.5 corners	62.5%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Portland Timbers over 4.5 corners	51.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Portland Timbers under 4.5 corners	48.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Portland Timbers over 5.5 corners	37.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Portland Timbers under 3.5 corners	33.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Portland Timbers over 6.5 corners	25.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Portland Timbers under 2.5 corners	19.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers under 3.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	94.0%	0.98×	1.08
Portland Timbers over 0.5 goals	79.6%	76.3%	73.3%	1.04×	1.31
Portland Timbers under 2.5 goals	78.6%	76.3%	83.3%	0.92×	1.31
Portland Timbers under 1.5 goals	52.9%	53.5%	61.2%	0.87×	1.87
Portland Timbers over 1.5 goals	47.1%	46.5%	38.8%	1.20×	2.15
Portland Timbers over 2.5 goals	21.4%	23.7%	16.7%	1.42×	4.21
Portland Timbers under 0.5 goals	20.4%	23.7%	26.7%	0.89×	4.21
Portland Timbers over 3.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	6.0%	1.28×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers under 1.5 in 1st half	86.6%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Portland Timbers under 0.5 in 1st half	53.0%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Portland Timbers over 0.5 in 1st half	47.0%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Portland Timbers over 1.5 in 1st half	13.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers scores more in 2nd half	41.7%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Portland Timbers scores equally in both	34.8%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
Portland Timbers scores more in 1st half	23.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (away no bet)	59.7%	57.4%	64.6%	0.89×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.3%	42.6%	35.4%	1.20×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers even goals	52.1%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Portland Timbers odd goals	47.9%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.5%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.5%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.7%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Portland Timbers to score 2+ in a row	36.6%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Austin to score 2+ in a row	35.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Portland Timbers to score 3+ in a row	12.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.23
Austin to score 3+ in a row	11.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.24

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin corners (+3.5)	84.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Austin corners (+2.5)	78.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Portland Timbers corners (+3.5)	77.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Austin corners (+1.5)	70.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Portland Timbers corners (+2.5)	69.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Portland Timbers corners (+1.5)	60.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Austin corners (-1.5)	40.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Austin corners (-2.5)	30.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Portland Timbers corners (-1.5)	30.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Austin corners (-3.5)	22.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Portland Timbers corners (-2.5)	21.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Portland Timbers corners (-3.5)	15.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	36.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	33.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	71.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	66.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	63.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	56.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	53.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	46.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	43.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	36.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	33.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	28.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	24.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.2%	11.5%	10.4%	1.11×	8.72
1-2	8.5%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.51
2-1	8.3%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
2-2	6.6%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.51
0-1	6.3%	7.4%	6.4%	1.15×	13.51
0-2	5.5%	7.4%	3.3%	2.26×	13.51
1-0	6.1%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.51
2-0	5.2%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.51
0-0	4.9%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.29
0-3	2.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.30
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.31
1-3	4.5%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.29
1-4	1.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
2-3	3.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
3-0	2.7%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.30
3-1	4.3%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.30
3-2	3.4%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
3-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.32
4-0	1.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.31
4-1	1.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.31
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.31
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32
Any other score	4.4%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (2nd half DNB)	52.8%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Austin (2nd half DNB)	47.2%	45.4%	—	—	2.21

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin leading at HT (DNB)	51.6%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Portland Timbers leading at HT (DNB)	48.4%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin or Portland Timbers (12)	75.2%	75.5%	75.2%	1.00×	1.32
Portland Timbers or draw (X2)	63.2%	63.7%	54.7%	1.16×	1.57
Austin or draw (1X)	61.6%	63.6%	70.0%	0.91×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin or draw at HT	71.1%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Portland Timbers or draw at HT	69.1%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Austin or Portland Timbers at HT	59.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers or draw (1UP)	63.2%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Austin or draw (1UP)	61.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers or draw in 2nd half	68.3%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Austin or Portland Timbers in 2nd half	67.2%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Austin or draw in 2nd half	64.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.2%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	40.8%	41.1%	—	—	2.44

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (DNB)	51.1%	50.9%	39.8%	1.28×	1.97
Austin (DNB)	48.9%	49.1%	60.2%	0.82×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to score first	48.1%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Austin to score first	47.0%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
No goal scored	4.9%	4.4%	—	—	22.68

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	63.3%	56.7%	61.3%	0.92×	1.77
Not both teams to score	36.7%	43.3%	38.7%	1.12×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	52.1%	47.2%	51.1%	0.92×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	28.0%	33.3%	29.5%	1.13×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	10.4%	1.19×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.7%	8.3%	9.2%	0.90×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.3%	79.8%	79.5%	1.00×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	21.7%	20.2%	20.5%	0.99×	4.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	63.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	36.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.0%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	28.0%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Both score 1st half only	14.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	8.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.69

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.0%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	23.0%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.5%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
A half without a goal	38.5%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.2%	42.2%	43.0%	0.98×	2.37
4-6 goals	34.3%	30.8%	33.0%	0.93×	3.25
0-1 goals	17.3%	20.2%	20.2%	1.00×	4.94
7+ goals	4.1%	1.8%	4.1%	0.46×	54.15

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to score exactly 1	32.4%	33.8%	34.6%	0.98×	2.96
Portland Timbers to score exactly 2	25.8%	27.4%	22.2%	1.23×	3.65
Portland Timbers to score 3+	21.4%	22.3%	16.7%	1.33×	4.49
Portland Timbers to score exactly 0	20.4%	22.3%	26.7%	0.83×	4.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to score exactly 1	32.9%	32.6%	31.1%	1.05×	3.07
Austin to score exactly 2	25.5%	26.5%	26.4%	1.01×	3.77
Austin to score exactly 0	21.2%	23.3%	17.7%	1.32×	4.29
Austin to score 3+	20.4%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Austin leading at HT	30.9%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Portland Timbers leading at HT	28.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers -1: 1	61.6%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Portland Timbers -1: 2	19.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.71
Portland Timbers -1: X	19.1%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (0:1)	63.2%	61.5%	54.7%	1.12×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	18.6%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.61
Austin (0:1)	18.2%	17.8%	23.2%	0.77×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (0:2)	81.8%	83.0%	76.8%	1.08×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.1%	11.0%	12.7%	0.86×	9.11
Austin (0:2)	7.1%	7.7%	10.6%	0.72×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (0:3)	92.9%	92.7%	89.4%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.8%	2.4%	6.7%	0.36×	41.93
Austin (0:3)	2.3%	2.4%	4.1%	0.59×	42.04

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (0:4)	97.7%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	2.0%	0.60×	81.72
Austin (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	81.83

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (1:0)	61.6%	65.2%	70.0%	0.93×	1.53
Portland Timbers (1:0)	19.3%	17.1%	13.0%	1.32×	5.84
Draw (1:0)	19.1%	17.1%	17.1%	1.00×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (2:0)	80.7%	84.5%	87.0%	0.97×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.6%	10.3%	8.6%	1.20×	9.72
Portland Timbers (2:0)	7.7%	6.4%	4.5%	1.42×	15.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.5%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.6%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to concede	79.6%	76.1%	73.3%	1.04×	1.31
Austin clean sheet	20.4%	23.9%	26.7%	0.89×	4.19

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin clean sheet in 1st half	53.0%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Austin to concede in 1st half	47.0%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to concede in 2nd half	61.5%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Austin clean sheet in 2nd half	38.5%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin over 2.5 corners	85.2%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Austin over 3.5 corners	72.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Austin under 6.5 corners	67.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Austin over 4.5 corners	58.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Austin under 5.5 corners	54.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Austin over 5.5 corners	45.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Austin under 4.5 corners	41.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Austin over 6.5 corners	32.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Austin under 3.5 corners	27.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Austin under 2.5 corners	14.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin under 3.5 goals	92.8%	92.2%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Austin under 2.5 goals	79.6%	77.8%	75.0%	1.04×	1.29
Austin over 0.5 goals	78.8%	77.8%	82.3%	0.94×	1.29
Austin under 1.5 goals	54.1%	53.2%	48.7%	1.09×	1.88
Austin over 1.5 goals	45.9%	46.8%	51.3%	0.91×	2.14
Austin under 0.5 goals	21.2%	22.2%	17.7%	1.26×	4.50
Austin over 2.5 goals	20.4%	22.2%	25.0%	0.89×	4.50
Austin over 3.5 goals	7.2%	7.8%	9.4%	0.83×	12.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin under 1.5 in 1st half	85.5%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Austin under 0.5 in 1st half	51.3%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Austin over 0.5 in 1st half	48.7%	49.4%	—	—	2.03
Austin over 1.5 in 1st half	14.5%	9.9%	—	—	10.09

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin scores more in 2nd half	38.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Austin scores equally in both	35.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Austin scores more in 1st half	25.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (home no bet)	60.8%	60.0%	54.7%	1.10×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	39.2%	40.0%	45.3%	0.88×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin even goals	52.2%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
Austin odd goals	47.8%	49.3%	49.0%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 1-0	18.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	17.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	11.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 2-0	6.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
Any other HT score	5.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-2	5.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 1-2	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 2-1	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.32

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin at HT / Austin at FT	21.8%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Portland Timbers at HT / Portland Timbers at FT	21.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Portland Timbers at FT	13.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Austin at FT	12.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Austin at HT / Draw at FT	5.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Portland Timbers at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Austin at HT / Portland Timbers at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Portland Timbers at HT / Austin at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to score last	48.1%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
Austin to score last	47.0%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
No goal scored	4.9%	4.4%	—	—	22.68

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.1%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Portland Timbers to lead by 1 at any time	57.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Austin to lead by 1 at any time	56.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.0%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Portland Timbers to lead by 2 at any time	26.8%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Austin to lead by 2 at any time	25.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Portland Timbers to lead by 3 at any time	10.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Austin to lead by 3 at any time	9.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.95

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin most corners	50.2%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Portland Timbers most corners	39.5%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.2%	87.4%	83.4%	1.05×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.6%	78.7%	75.9%	1.04×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.2%	72.3%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.8%	72.3%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.8%	63.3%	58.7%	1.08×	1.58
1-3 goals	56.7%	59.1%	57.4%	1.03×	1.69
3-6 goals	56.7%	59.1%	56.3%	1.05×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.9%	53.2%	49.4%	1.08×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.2%	43.6%	43.0%	1.02×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.9%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
1-2 goals	34.4%	35.2%	34.2%	1.03×	2.84
4-6 goals	34.3%	35.2%	33.0%	1.07×	2.84
4-5 goals	28.6%	30.2%	26.2%	1.15×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.8%	18.8%	17.2%	1.09×	5.31
7+ goals	4.1%	2.6%	4.1%	0.63×	39.08

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers never behind	39.2%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Austin never behind	37.8%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.8%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.2%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.1%	95.4%	94.3%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.1%	92.3%	89.1%	1.04×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	82.7%	82.3%	79.8%	1.03×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	79.1%	77.3%	78.8%	0.98×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	61.6%	61.7%	63.0%	0.98×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	60.8%	61.7%	60.2%	1.02×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	39.2%	38.3%	39.8%	0.96×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	38.4%	38.3%	37.0%	1.04×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	20.9%	22.7%	21.2%	1.07×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	17.3%	17.7%	20.2%	0.88×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	9.9%	7.7%	10.9%	0.71×	12.92
Under 0.5 goals	4.9%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.6%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.9%	86.7%	87.8%	0.99×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	77.8%	75.9%	74.9%	1.01×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	74.7%	72.4%	74.8%	0.97×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.5%	51.8%	51.8%	1.00×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.5%	48.2%	48.2%	1.00×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	25.3%	27.6%	25.2%	1.10×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	22.2%	24.1%	25.1%	0.96×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.1%	13.3%	12.2%	1.09×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.4%	2.8%	4.4%	0.65×	35.56

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.6%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.7%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.3%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.05

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.9%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.0%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.0%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.0%	45.0%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.0%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.1%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin not to score in both halves	71.4%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Portland Timbers not to score in both halves	71.1%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Portland Timbers to score in both halves	28.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Austin to score in both halves	28.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	63.3%	60.3%	61.3%	0.98×	1.66
Only Portland Timbers scores	16.3%	16.0%	12.1%	1.33×	6.24
Only Austin scores	15.5%	16.0%	21.1%	0.76×	6.24
Neither team scores	4.9%	4.6%	5.8%	0.81×	21.52

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.9%	22.6%	19.7%	1.14×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.5%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	12.5%	12.1%	14.5%	0.83×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	11.0%	12.1%	10.4%	1.17×	8.26
6 or more goals	9.9%	7.6%	10.9%	0.70×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.9%	4.5%	5.8%	0.78×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	27.3%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
2 goals in 1st half	23.2%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	14.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.0%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
1 goal in 2nd half	28.9%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	16.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.99

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin not to win both halves	90.1%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Portland Timbers not to win both halves	89.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Portland Timbers to win both halves	10.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Austin to win both halves	9.9%	5.9%	—	—	16.95

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to win either half	54.0%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Austin to win either half	52.7%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Austin to win neither half	47.3%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Portland Timbers to win neither half	46.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin not to win to nil	84.5%	83.1%	78.9%	1.05×	1.20
Portland Timbers not to win to nil	83.7%	83.1%	87.9%	0.94×	1.20
Portland Timbers to win to nil	16.3%	16.9%	12.1%	1.40×	5.92
Austin to win to nil	15.5%	16.9%	21.1%	0.80×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.8%	24.1%	24.8%	0.97×	4.15
Portland Timbers by 1	19.1%	17.0%	17.1%	0.99×	5.87
Austin by 1	18.6%	17.0%	22.2%	0.77×	5.87
Portland Timbers by 2	11.6%	11.8%	8.6%	1.37×	8.51
Austin by 2	11.1%	11.8%	12.7%	0.92×	8.51
Portland Timbers by 3+	7.7%	7.2%	4.5%	1.59×	13.91
Austin by 3+	7.1%	7.2%	10.6%	0.68×	13.91