Austin v Real Salt Lake — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 29 October 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Austin

00:30 UTC

Real Salt Lake

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 85h before kick-off

Austin win

43.1%

model 41.0%

Draw

27.3%

model 25.8%

Real Salt Lake win

29.5%

model 33.2%

432730

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.1%
2-1 8.9%
1-2 7.9%
1-0 7.8%
0-1 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.7%	Under 2.5	44.3%
BTTS yes	59.2%	BTTS no	40.8%
Austin 1+	78.6%	Austin 2+	45.7%
Real Salt Lake 1+	74.6%	Real Salt Lake 2+	39.7%

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.37. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

60/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 57%

62.1% fair odds 1.61

moderate signal · 3852 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Real Salt Lake not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 88%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Austin.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Austin have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 29.5% for Real Salt Lake and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.54 for Austin and 1.37 for Real Salt Lake.

Why Austin

Nothing in the data singles out Austin.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.54 to 1.37. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Real Salt Lake can win

Nothing in the data singles out Real Salt Lake.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Austin, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Real Salt Lake, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Austin: 55% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Real Salt Lake: 48% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Austin are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%. Confidence 60/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	412633	1.54–1.37	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	402634	1.51–1.38	1-1 12%	55%	59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to win	39.9%	36.4%	45.3%	0.80×	2.75
Real Salt Lake to win	34.1%	30.4%	30.0%	1.01×	3.29
Draw	26.0%	27.9%	24.8%	1.12×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin & both teams score	20.9%	21.8%	24.4%	0.90×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.8%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Austin & not both score	19.0%	18.0%	21.1%	0.85×	5.56
Real Salt Lake & both teams score	18.2%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.56
Real Salt Lake & not both score	15.9%	18.0%	12.1%	1.49×	5.57
Draw & not both score	6.2%	8.3%	5.8%	1.45×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin & over 1.5	32.1%	30.7%	37.2%	0.83×	3.25
Real Salt Lake & over 1.5	27.1%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Austin & under 3.5	26.0%	26.1%	28.4%	0.92×	3.84
Austin & over 2.5	25.8%	26.1%	31.0%	0.84×	3.84
Real Salt Lake & under 3.5	22.8%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Real Salt Lake & over 2.5	21.8%	21.6%	20.5%	1.05×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.8%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.4%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.4%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Austin & under 2.5	14.1%	12.8%	14.4%	0.89×	7.79
Austin & over 3.5	13.9%	12.8%	17.0%	0.75×	7.79
Real Salt Lake & under 2.5	12.4%	12.8%	9.6%	1.34×	7.79
Real Salt Lake & over 3.5	11.3%	12.8%	11.3%	1.14×	7.79
Austin & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.6%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.6%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.2%	7.9%	5.8%	1.38×	12.63
Real Salt Lake & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (1UP)	57.4%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Real Salt Lake (1UP)	52.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (2UP)	39.9%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Real Salt Lake (2UP)	34.1%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	34.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Austin to win 2nd half	33.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Real Salt Lake to win 2nd half	31.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Real Salt Lake over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.3%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Real Salt Lake under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.7%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Real Salt Lake over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.2%	20.6%	—	—	4.84

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.7%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Austin over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.7%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Austin under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Austin over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.3%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (+2.5)	92.3%	92.1%	89.4%	1.03×	1.09
Real Salt Lake (+1.5)	80.3%	82.5%	76.8%	1.08×	1.21
Austin (+0.5)	65.9%	68.7%	70.0%	0.98×	1.46
Real Salt Lake (+0.5)	60.1%	62.9%	54.7%	1.15×	1.59
Austin (-0.5)	39.9%	37.1%	45.3%	0.82×	2.70
Real Salt Lake (-0.5)	34.1%	31.3%	30.0%	1.04×	3.19
Austin (-1.5)	19.7%	17.5%	23.2%	0.75×	5.73
Austin (-2.5)	7.7%	7.9%	10.6%	0.74×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake to concede	77.9%	78.8%	82.3%	0.96×	1.27
Real Salt Lake clean sheet	22.1%	21.2%	17.7%	1.20×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake clean sheet in 1st half	52.2%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Real Salt Lake to concede in 1st half	47.8%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake to concede in 2nd half	57.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Real Salt Lake clean sheet in 2nd half	42.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake over 2.5 corners	79.3%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Real Salt Lake under 6.5 corners	76.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Real Salt Lake under 5.5 corners	65.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Real Salt Lake over 3.5 corners	64.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Real Salt Lake under 4.5 corners	51.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Real Salt Lake over 4.5 corners	48.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Real Salt Lake under 3.5 corners	35.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Real Salt Lake over 5.5 corners	34.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Real Salt Lake over 6.5 corners	23.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Real Salt Lake under 2.5 corners	20.7%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake under 3.5 goals	94.8%	92.4%	94.0%	0.98×	1.08
Real Salt Lake under 2.5 goals	83.8%	81.5%	83.3%	0.98×	1.23
Real Salt Lake over 0.5 goals	74.9%	71.9%	73.3%	0.98×	1.39
Real Salt Lake under 1.5 goals	59.8%	59.5%	61.2%	0.97×	1.68
Real Salt Lake over 1.5 goals	40.2%	40.5%	38.8%	1.05×	2.47
Real Salt Lake under 0.5 goals	25.1%	28.1%	26.7%	1.05×	3.55
Real Salt Lake over 2.5 goals	16.2%	18.5%	16.7%	1.11×	5.40
Real Salt Lake over 3.5 goals	5.2%	7.6%	6.0%	1.28×	13.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake under 1.5 in 1st half	89.4%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Real Salt Lake under 0.5 in 1st half	57.6%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Real Salt Lake over 0.5 in 1st half	42.4%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Real Salt Lake over 1.5 in 1st half	10.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.53

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake scores more in 2nd half	39.3%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Real Salt Lake scores equally in both	38.0%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Real Salt Lake scores more in 1st half	22.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (away no bet)	60.6%	61.9%	64.6%	0.96×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.4%	38.1%	35.4%	1.08×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake even goals	53.2%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Real Salt Lake odd goals	46.8%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.0%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.0%	17.2%	—	—	5.83

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.4%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.6%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.5%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Austin to score 2+ in a row	35.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Real Salt Lake to score 2+ in a row	30.7%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Austin to score 3+ in a row	12.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Real Salt Lake to score 3+ in a row	9.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.91

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin corners (+3.5)	86.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Austin corners (+2.5)	80.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Real Salt Lake corners (+3.5)	76.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Austin corners (+1.5)	72.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Real Salt Lake corners (+2.5)	67.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Real Salt Lake corners (+1.5)	58.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Austin corners (-1.5)	42.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Austin corners (-2.5)	32.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Real Salt Lake corners (-1.5)	27.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Austin corners (-3.5)	23.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Real Salt Lake corners (-2.5)	19.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Real Salt Lake corners (-3.5)	13.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	35.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	72.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	64.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	64.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	55.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 10.5 corners	44.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	35.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	35.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	27.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	25.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.2%	11.5%	10.4%	1.11×	8.72
2-1	8.7%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
0-1	7.1%	7.4%	6.4%	1.15×	13.51
1-0	7.8%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.51
1-2	8.0%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.51
0-0	6.2%	7.4%	5.8%	1.29×	13.51
0-2	5.3%	7.4%	3.3%	2.26×	13.51
2-0	6.3%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.51
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.51
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.31
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.31
1-3	3.7%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.30
1-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
2-3	2.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
3-0	3.2%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.30
3-1	4.4%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.29
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.32
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.31
4-1	1.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.31
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32
Any other score	3.2%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (2nd half DNB)	51.4%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Real Salt Lake (2nd half DNB)	48.6%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin leading at HT (DNB)	55.3%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Real Salt Lake leading at HT (DNB)	44.7%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin or Real Salt Lake (12)	74.0%	72.1%	75.2%	0.96×	1.39
Austin or draw (1X)	65.9%	69.6%	70.0%	0.99×	1.44
Real Salt Lake or draw (X2)	60.1%	63.6%	54.7%	1.16×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin or draw at HT	74.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Real Salt Lake or draw at HT	68.0%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Austin or Real Salt Lake at HT	57.9%	57.7%	—	—	1.73

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin or draw (1UP)	65.9%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Real Salt Lake or draw (1UP)	60.1%	71.4%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin or draw in 2nd half	68.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Real Salt Lake or draw in 2nd half	66.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Austin or Real Salt Lake in 2nd half	65.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.4%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (DNB)	53.9%	50.9%	60.2%	0.85×	1.96
Real Salt Lake (DNB)	46.1%	49.1%	39.8%	1.23×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to score first	49.0%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Real Salt Lake to score first	44.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	6.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.52

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.9%	55.0%	61.3%	0.90×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.1%	45.0%	38.7%	1.16×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	46.7%	44.3%	51.1%	0.87×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	32.6%	34.5%	29.5%	1.17×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	12.2%	12.4%	10.4%	1.19×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	9.2%	0.90×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.1%	82.6%	79.5%	1.04×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.9%	17.4%	20.5%	0.85×	5.74

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.3%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.5%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	26.1%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	13.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.26
Both score in both halves	6.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.70

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.6%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.4%	18.8%	—	—	5.33

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.3%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	42.7%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.2%	47.2%	43.0%	1.10×	2.12
4-6 goals	30.0%	30.7%	33.0%	0.93×	3.26
0-1 goals	21.0%	22.9%	20.2%	1.13×	4.37
7+ goals	2.8%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.25

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake to score exactly 1	34.7%	33.8%	34.6%	0.98×	2.96
Real Salt Lake to score exactly 0	25.1%	27.4%	26.7%	1.02×	3.65
Real Salt Lake to score exactly 2	24.0%	22.3%	22.2%	1.00×	4.49
Real Salt Lake to score 3+	16.2%	19.6%	16.7%	1.17×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to score exactly 1	33.4%	32.6%	31.1%	1.05×	3.07
Austin to score exactly 2	25.2%	26.5%	26.4%	1.01×	3.77
Austin to score exactly 0	22.1%	23.3%	17.7%	1.32×	4.29
Austin to score 3+	19.4%	18.8%	25.0%	0.75×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.1%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
Austin leading at HT	32.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Real Salt Lake leading at HT	25.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin -1: 2	60.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Austin -1: X	20.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Austin -1: 1	19.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (0:1)	60.1%	61.3%	54.7%	1.12×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.1%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.13
Austin (0:1)	19.7%	17.8%	23.2%	0.77×	5.60

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (0:2)	80.3%	82.9%	76.8%	1.08×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.1%	11.0%	12.7%	0.86×	9.10
Austin (0:2)	7.7%	7.7%	10.6%	0.72×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (0:3)	92.3%	92.7%	89.4%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.2%	5.8%	6.7%	0.87×	17.26
Austin (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	4.1%	0.59×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (0:4)	97.5%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.8%	1.2%	2.0%	0.60×	81.97
Austin (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	82.10

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (1:0)	65.9%	70.1%	70.0%	1.00×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.4%	17.1%	17.1%	1.00×	5.85
Real Salt Lake (1:0)	15.8%	17.1%	13.0%	1.32×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (2:0)	84.2%	84.7%	87.0%	0.97×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.1%	10.3%	8.6%	1.20×	9.75
Real Salt Lake (2:0)	5.7%	6.4%	4.5%	1.41×	15.69

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.3%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	24.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to concede	74.9%	73.1%	73.3%	1.00×	1.37
Austin clean sheet	25.1%	26.9%	26.7%	1.01×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin clean sheet in 1st half	57.6%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Austin to concede in 1st half	42.4%	38.0%	—	—	2.63

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to concede in 2nd half	56.3%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Austin clean sheet in 2nd half	43.7%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin over 2.5 corners	85.4%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Austin over 3.5 corners	73.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Austin under 6.5 corners	66.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Austin over 4.5 corners	59.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Austin under 5.5 corners	54.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Austin over 5.5 corners	45.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Austin under 4.5 corners	40.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Austin over 6.5 corners	33.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Austin under 3.5 corners	26.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Austin under 2.5 corners	14.6%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin under 3.5 goals	93.3%	92.2%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Austin under 2.5 goals	80.6%	82.2%	75.0%	1.10×	1.22
Austin over 0.5 goals	77.9%	77.8%	82.3%	0.94×	1.29
Austin under 1.5 goals	55.5%	58.6%	48.7%	1.20×	1.71
Austin over 1.5 goals	44.5%	41.4%	51.3%	0.81×	2.42
Austin under 0.5 goals	22.1%	22.2%	17.7%	1.26×	4.50
Austin over 2.5 goals	19.4%	17.8%	25.0%	0.71×	5.62
Austin over 3.5 goals	6.7%	7.8%	9.4%	0.83×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin under 1.5 in 1st half	86.2%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Austin under 0.5 in 1st half	52.2%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Austin over 0.5 in 1st half	47.8%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Austin over 1.5 in 1st half	13.8%	9.9%	—	—	10.09

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin scores more in 2nd half	38.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Austin scores equally in both	36.3%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Austin scores more in 1st half	25.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (home no bet)	56.8%	56.4%	54.7%	1.03×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	43.2%	43.6%	45.3%	0.96×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin even goals	52.4%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
Austin odd goals	47.6%	49.3%	49.0%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.2%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
HT 1-0	19.4%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 0-1	16.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
HT 1-1	10.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	6.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
Any other HT score	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	41.91
HT 0-2	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	41.91
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	41.98
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.14

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin at HT / Austin at FT	23.6%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Real Salt Lake at HT / Real Salt Lake at FT	18.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Austin at FT	13.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Real Salt Lake at FT	13.0%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Austin at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Real Salt Lake at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Austin at HT / Real Salt Lake at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Real Salt Lake at HT / Austin at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to score last	49.0%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Real Salt Lake to score last	44.8%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	6.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.52

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.8%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Austin to lead by 1 at any time	57.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Real Salt Lake to lead by 1 at any time	52.5%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.5%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Austin to lead by 2 at any time	26.5%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Real Salt Lake to lead by 2 at any time	22.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Austin to lead by 3 at any time	9.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.85
Real Salt Lake to lead by 3 at any time	7.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.95

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin most corners	52.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Real Salt Lake most corners	37.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	83.4%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.2%	78.7%	73.2%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.2%	78.7%	75.9%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.7%	72.3%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.3%	63.3%	58.7%	1.08×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.0%	63.3%	57.4%	1.10×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.4%	53.2%	56.3%	0.95×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.9%	48.5%	49.4%	0.98×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.2%	48.5%	43.0%	1.13×	2.06
1-2 goals	38.6%	39.2%	34.2%	1.15×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.5%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.0%	35.2%	33.0%	1.07×	2.84
4-5 goals	25.5%	30.2%	26.2%	1.16×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.8%	14.8%	17.2%	0.86×	6.75
7+ goals	2.8%	2.6%	4.1%	0.63×	39.13

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin never behind	41.3%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Real Salt Lake never behind	36.4%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.6%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.4%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.7%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.8%	92.3%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	89.1%	1.04×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.3%	82.3%	78.8%	1.04×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	79.0%	77.3%	79.8%	0.97×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.2%	66.3%	63.0%	1.05×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.2%	58.6%	60.2%	0.97×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	44.8%	41.4%	39.8%	1.04×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	32.8%	33.7%	37.0%	0.91×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.0%	22.7%	20.2%	1.12×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	16.7%	17.7%	21.2%	0.83×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	10.9%	0.71×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.0%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.9%	92.4%	87.8%	1.05×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.1%	81.1%	74.8%	1.08×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.4%	72.4%	74.9%	0.97×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.7%	55.8%	51.8%	1.08×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.3%	44.2%	48.2%	0.92×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.6%	27.6%	25.1%	1.10×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.9%	18.9%	25.2%	0.75×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.1%	7.6%	12.2%	0.62×	13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.0%	2.8%	4.4%	0.64×	35.58

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.9%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.8%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.1%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.9%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.2%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.3%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.0%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.0%	20.4%	—	—	4.91
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.7%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake not to score in both halves	76.1%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Austin not to score in both halves	72.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Austin to score in both halves	27.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Real Salt Lake to score in both halves	23.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.9%	58.7%	61.3%	0.96×	1.70
Only Austin scores	19.0%	16.0%	21.1%	0.76×	6.23
Only Real Salt Lake scores	15.9%	16.0%	12.1%	1.33×	6.24
Neither team scores	6.2%	7.1%	5.8%	1.24×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.8%	22.6%	19.7%	1.14×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.2%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.8%	12.1%	14.5%	0.83×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	9.3%	7.6%	10.4%	0.73×	13.14
6 or more goals	7.3%	7.6%	10.9%	0.70×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.2%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	30.2%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	21.8%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	12.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.20

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.5%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.8%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	18.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake not to win both halves	91.7%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Austin not to win both halves	89.1%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Austin to win both halves	10.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Real Salt Lake to win both halves	8.3%	5.9%	—	—	16.99

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to win either half	54.8%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Real Salt Lake to win neither half	50.6%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
Real Salt Lake to win either half	49.4%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Austin to win neither half	45.2%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake not to win to nil	84.1%	83.1%	87.9%	0.95×	1.20
Austin not to win to nil	81.0%	83.1%	78.9%	1.05×	1.20
Austin to win to nil	19.0%	16.9%	21.1%	0.80×	5.91
Real Salt Lake to win to nil	15.9%	16.9%	12.1%	1.40×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.0%	27.9%	24.8%	1.12×	3.59
Austin by 1	20.1%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.15
Real Salt Lake by 1	18.4%	17.0%	17.1%	0.99×	5.87
Austin by 2	12.1%	11.8%	12.7%	0.92×	8.51
Real Salt Lake by 2	10.1%	11.7%	8.6%	1.37×	8.51
Austin by 3+	7.7%	7.2%	10.6%	0.68×	13.90
Real Salt Lake by 3+	5.7%	7.2%	4.5%	1.59×	13.91