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Austria Vienna v Rapid Vienna — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · AUT-Bundesliga · 2627

AUT-Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Austria Vienna win
31.2%
model 33.6%
Draw
28.9%
model 27.9%
Rapid Vienna win
39.9%
model 38.5%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.2%
  2. 1-2 8.7%
  3. 2-1 8.0%
  4. 0-1 7.6%
  5. 0-0 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.552.8% Under 2.547.2%
BTTS yes57.8% BTTS no42.2%
Austria Vienna 1+73.8% Austria Vienna 2+38.7%
Rapid Vienna 1+76.5% Rapid Vienna 2+42.5%

Expected goals 1.34 – 1.45. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
23/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Rapid Vienna (+0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 57%
68.7% fair odds 1.46
moderate signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Rapid Vienna (0:2)
Handicap 0:2 · usually 77%
83.8% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Rapid Vienna carry the stronger rating, 1542 Elo against 1480.
  • Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0103 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Rapid Vienna have an estimated 39.9% win probability, against 31.2% for Austria Vienna and 28.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.34 for Austria Vienna and 1.45 for Rapid Vienna.

Why Austria Vienna

Nothing in the data singles out Austria Vienna.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.34 to 1.45. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Rapid Vienna can win

Rapid Vienna carry the stronger rating, 1542 Elo against 1480. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Austria Vienna, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Rapid Vienna, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Austria Vienna: 44% possession, 7.6 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Rapid Vienna: 58% possession, 18.0 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Rapid Vienna are the model's most likely outcome at 39.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 23/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.34–1.45 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.42–1.34 1-1 13% 52% 57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna to win 37.7% 36.4% 43.5% 0.84× 2.75
Rapid Vienna to win 34.2% 30.4% 31.4% 0.97× 3.29
Draw 28.1% 27.9% 25.4% 1.10× 3.58
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw & both teams score 20.5% 21.8% 18.3% 1.19× 4.59
Austria Vienna & both teams score 19.2% 18.0% 21.1% 0.85× 5.56
Austria Vienna & not both score 18.5% 18.0% 22.6% 0.80× 5.56
Rapid Vienna & both teams score 17.7% 18.0% 16.9% 1.07× 5.57
Rapid Vienna & not both score 16.6% 18.0% 14.7% 1.22× 5.57
Draw & not both score 7.6% 8.3% 7.4% 1.13× 12.01
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna & over 1.5 30.0% 30.7% 34.7% 0.89× 3.25
Rapid Vienna & over 1.5 27.1% 26.1% 25.4% 1.03× 3.84
Austria Vienna & under 3.5 25.6% 26.1% 30.4% 0.86× 3.84
Austria Vienna & over 2.5 23.7% 21.6% 27.6% 0.78× 4.63
Rapid Vienna & under 3.5 23.5% 21.6% 22.1% 0.98× 4.63
Rapid Vienna & over 2.5 21.4% 21.6% 20.0% 1.08× 4.63
Draw & under 2.5 21.0% 21.6% 19.7% 1.10× 4.63
Draw & under 3.5 21.0% 21.6% 19.7% 1.10× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 20.5% 21.6% 18.3% 1.18× 4.63
Austria Vienna & under 2.5 14.0% 12.8% 16.2% 0.79× 7.79
Rapid Vienna & under 2.5 12.9% 12.8% 11.6% 1.10× 7.79
Austria Vienna & over 3.5 12.1% 12.8% 13.3% 0.97× 7.79
Rapid Vienna & over 3.5 10.7% 12.8% 9.5% 1.35× 7.79
Austria Vienna & under 1.5 7.7% 7.9% 9.0% 0.88× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 7.6% 7.9% 7.4% 1.08× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 7.1% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 7.1% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
Rapid Vienna & under 1.5 7.2% 7.9% 6.2% 1.28× 12.63
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (1UP) 55.2% 58.0% — — 1.73
Rapid Vienna (1UP) 52.2% 52.5% — — 1.91
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (2UP) 37.7% 37.5% — — 2.67
Rapid Vienna (2UP) 34.2% 30.5% — — 3.28
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 36.0% 36.2% — — 2.76
Austria Vienna to win 2nd half 32.0% 34.1% — — 2.93
Rapid Vienna to win 2nd half 31.9% 34.1% — — 2.93
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna under 1.5 in 2nd half 80.7% 84.1% — — 1.19
Rapid Vienna over 0.5 in 2nd half 55.3% 54.2% — — 1.84
Rapid Vienna under 0.5 in 2nd half 44.7% 45.8% — — 2.19
Rapid Vienna over 1.5 in 2nd half 19.3% 15.9% — — 6.30
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna under 1.5 in 2nd half 80.6% 82.6% — — 1.21
Austria Vienna over 0.5 in 2nd half 55.4% 58.2% — — 1.72
Austria Vienna under 0.5 in 2nd half 44.6% 41.8% — — 2.39
Austria Vienna over 1.5 in 2nd half 19.4% 17.4% — — 5.73
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (+2.5) 93.2% 92.1% 90.7% 1.02× 1.09
Rapid Vienna (+1.5) 81.7% 82.5% 77.0% 1.07× 1.21
Austria Vienna (+0.5) 65.8% 68.7% 68.6% 1.00× 1.46
Rapid Vienna (+0.5) 62.3% 62.9% 56.5% 1.11× 1.59
Austria Vienna (-0.5) 37.7% 37.1% 43.5% 0.85× 2.70
Rapid Vienna (-0.5) 34.2% 31.3% 31.4% 1.00× 3.19
Austria Vienna (-1.5) 18.3% 17.5% 23.0% 0.76× 5.73
Austria Vienna (-2.5) 6.8% 7.9% 9.3% 0.85× 12.70
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to concede 75.8% 78.8% 78.1% 1.01× 1.27
Rapid Vienna clean sheet 24.2% 21.2% 21.9% 0.97× 4.71
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna clean sheet in 1st half 54.3% 50.6% — — 1.98
Rapid Vienna to concede in 1st half 45.7% 49.4% — — 2.03
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to concede in 2nd half 55.4% 57.5% — — 1.74
Rapid Vienna clean sheet in 2nd half 44.6% 42.5% — — 2.35
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna over 2.5 corners 79.6% 76.1% — — 1.32
Rapid Vienna under 6.5 corners 76.2% 76.0% — — 1.32
Rapid Vienna over 3.5 corners 64.7% 61.8% — — 1.62
Rapid Vienna under 5.5 corners 64.8% 61.8% — — 1.62
Rapid Vienna under 4.5 corners 50.8% 53.1% — — 1.89
Rapid Vienna over 4.5 corners 49.2% 46.9% — — 2.13
Rapid Vienna under 3.5 corners 35.3% 38.2% — — 2.62
Rapid Vienna over 5.5 corners 35.2% 38.2% — — 2.62
Rapid Vienna over 6.5 corners 23.8% 24.0% — — 4.18
Rapid Vienna under 2.5 corners 20.4% 23.9% — — 4.18
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna under 3.5 goals 95.3% 97.5% 96.9% 1.01× 1.03
Rapid Vienna under 2.5 goals 84.7% 81.5% 86.9% 0.94× 1.23
Rapid Vienna over 0.5 goals 73.9% 71.9% 70.3% 1.02× 1.39
Rapid Vienna under 1.5 goals 61.2% 63.2% 64.8% 0.97× 1.58
Rapid Vienna over 1.5 goals 38.8% 36.8% 35.2% 1.05× 2.72
Rapid Vienna under 0.5 goals 26.1% 28.1% 29.7% 0.95× 3.55
Rapid Vienna over 2.5 goals 15.3% 18.5% 13.1% 1.42× 5.41
Rapid Vienna over 3.5 goals 4.7% 2.5% 3.1% 0.81× 39.82
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna under 1.5 in 1st half 89.8% 89.5% — — 1.12
Rapid Vienna under 0.5 in 1st half 58.4% 62.1% — — 1.61
Rapid Vienna over 0.5 in 1st half 41.6% 37.9% — — 2.64
Rapid Vienna over 1.5 in 1st half 10.2% 10.5% — — 9.55
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna scores more in 2nd half 38.8% 37.5% — — 2.67
Rapid Vienna scores equally in both 38.7% 37.5% — — 2.67
Rapid Vienna scores more in 1st half 22.5% 21.8% — — 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (away no bet) 57.3% 57.4% 63.1% 0.91× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 42.7% 42.6% 36.9% 1.15× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna even goals 53.4% 52.6% 53.4% 0.98× 1.90
Rapid Vienna odd goals 46.6% 47.4% 46.6% 1.02× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 84.7% 82.9% — — 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 15.3% 17.1% — — 5.85
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 65.2% 68.2% — — 1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals 34.8% 31.8% — — 3.15
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 56.0% 55.0% — — 1.82
Austria Vienna to score 2+ in a row 32.7% 29.1% — — 3.44
Rapid Vienna to score 2+ in a row 30.0% 29.0% — — 3.45
Either team to score 3+ in a row 19.4% 16.3% — — 6.15
Austria Vienna to score 3+ in a row 10.6% 12.0% — — 8.35
Rapid Vienna to score 3+ in a row 9.2% 5.6% — — 17.94
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna corners (+3.5) 83.2% 79.8% — — 1.25
Rapid Vienna corners (+3.5) 82.4% 79.8% — — 1.25
Austria Vienna corners (+2.5) 75.8% 74.8% — — 1.34
Rapid Vienna corners (+2.5) 74.8% 70.7% — — 1.41
Austria Vienna corners (+1.5) 66.6% 65.9% — — 1.52
Rapid Vienna corners (+1.5) 65.4% 65.9% — — 1.52
Austria Vienna corners (-1.5) 34.6% 34.1% — — 2.93
Rapid Vienna corners (-1.5) 33.4% 34.1% — — 2.93
Austria Vienna corners (-2.5) 25.2% 29.3% — — 3.42
Rapid Vienna corners (-2.5) 24.2% 25.2% — — 3.97
Austria Vienna corners (-3.5) 17.6% 20.2% — — 4.95
Rapid Vienna corners (-3.5) 16.8% 20.2% — — 4.95
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 41.5% 38.3% — — 2.61
9-11 corners 29.5% 31.2% — — 3.20
12+ corners 29.0% 31.2% — — 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 78.5% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 11.5 corners 71.0% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 69.0% 67.8% — — 1.47
Under 10.5 corners 62.1% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 58.5% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 52.1% 53.1% — — 1.88
Over 9.5 corners 47.9% 46.9% — — 2.13
Under 8.5 corners 41.5% 42.1% — — 2.38
Over 10.5 corners 37.9% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 7.5 corners 31.0% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 11.5 corners 29.0% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 21.5% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.4% 11.5% 12.6% 0.91× 8.71
2-1 8.5% 7.4% 10.5% 0.71× 13.51
0-0 7.6% 7.4% 7.4% 1.01× 13.51
0-1 7.2% 7.4% 6.2% 1.20× 13.51
1-0 7.7% 7.4% 9.0% 0.82× 13.51
1-2 8.1% 7.4% 7.8% 0.94× 13.51
0-2 5.7% 7.4% 5.7% 1.30× 13.51
2-0 6.4% 7.4% 7.4% 1.01× 13.51
2-2 5.7% 7.4% 5.5% 1.35× 13.51
0-3 2.6% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.30
0-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.5% 3.61× 58.31
1-3 3.6% 1.7% 4.5% 0.38× 58.30
1-4 1.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.81× 58.31
2-3 2.6% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.30
2-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.5% 3.61× 58.31
3-0 3.0% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.30
3-1 4.0% 1.7% 4.5% 0.38× 58.30
3-2 2.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.03× 58.30
3-3 1.2% 1.7% 0.7% 2.41× 58.31
3-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.7% 2.41× 58.32
4-0 1.1% 1.7% 1.0% 1.80× 58.31
4-1 1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 0.90× 58.31
4-2 1.0% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.31
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.2% 7.22× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 7.22× 58.32
Any other score 2.7% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (2nd half DNB) 50.1% 53.2% — — 1.88
Rapid Vienna (2nd half DNB) 49.9% 46.8% — — 2.14
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna leading at HT (DNB) 54.1% 56.5% — — 1.77
Rapid Vienna leading at HT (DNB) 45.9% 43.5% — — 2.30
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna or Rapid Vienna (12) 71.9% 72.1% 74.6% 0.97× 1.39
Austria Vienna or draw (1X) 65.8% 69.6% 68.6% 1.01× 1.44
Rapid Vienna or draw (X2) 62.3% 63.6% 56.5% 1.13× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna or draw at HT 74.1% 74.8% — — 1.34
Rapid Vienna or draw at HT 69.4% 67.2% — — 1.49
Austria Vienna or Rapid Vienna at HT 56.5% 57.6% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna or draw (1UP) 65.8% 76.2% — — 1.31
Rapid Vienna or draw (1UP) 62.3% 71.6% — — 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna or draw in 2nd half 68.1% 65.9% — — 1.52
Rapid Vienna or draw in 2nd half 68.0% 65.9% — — 1.52
Austria Vienna or Rapid Vienna in 2nd half 64.0% 63.8% — — 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 62.4% 61.3% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 37.6% 38.7% — — 2.59
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (DNB) 52.4% 50.9% 58.1% 0.88× 1.97
Rapid Vienna (DNB) 47.6% 49.1% 41.9% 1.17× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna to score first 47.4% 46.0% — — 2.17
Rapid Vienna to score first 44.9% 41.8% — — 2.39
No goal scored 7.6% 7.4% — — 13.43
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 57.3% 55.0% 55.8% 0.99× 1.82
Not both teams to score 42.7% 45.0% 44.2% 1.02× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 44.0% 41.6% 43.5% 0.96× 2.40
Not both score & under 2.5 34.5% 34.5% 34.7% 1.00× 2.89
Both score & under 2.5 13.4% 12.4% 12.6% 0.98× 8.08
Not both score & over 2.5 8.2% 8.3% 9.7% 0.85× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 83.9% 82.6% 86.9% 0.95× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 16.1% 17.4% 13.1% 1.33× 5.75
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 68.9% 67.2% — — 1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half 31.1% 32.8% — — 3.05
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 55.5% 59.8% — — 1.67
Both score 2nd half only 25.3% 27.1% — — 3.68
Both score 1st half only 13.4% 10.8% — — 9.26
Both score in both halves 5.8% 6.8% — — 14.74
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 80.8% 83.1% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 19.2% 16.9% — — 5.91
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 55.3% 56.9% — — 1.76
A half without a goal 44.7% 43.1% — — 2.32
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.6% 47.2% 49.9% 0.95× 2.12
4-6 goals 27.7% 26.6% 26.6% 1.00× 3.76
0-1 goals 22.5% 22.9% 22.1% 1.04× 4.37
7+ goals 2.3% 1.8% 1.9% 0.97× 54.30
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to score exactly 1 35.1% 35.9% 35.4% 1.01× 2.78
Rapid Vienna to score exactly 0 26.1% 27.4% 29.7% 0.92× 3.65
Rapid Vienna to score exactly 2 23.5% 22.3% 22.3% 1.00× 4.49
Rapid Vienna to score 3+ 15.3% 19.5% 13.1% 1.50× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna to score exactly 1 34.3% 32.6% 34.9% 0.93× 3.07
Austria Vienna to score exactly 0 24.2% 23.3% 21.9% 1.07× 4.29
Austria Vienna to score exactly 2 24.4% 23.3% 25.4% 0.92× 4.29
Austria Vienna to score 3+ 17.1% 18.8% 18.3% 1.03× 5.33
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 43.5% 42.4% — — 2.36
Austria Vienna leading at HT 30.6% 32.8% — — 3.05
Rapid Vienna leading at HT 25.9% 25.2% — — 3.97
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna -1: 2 62.3% 62.5% — — 1.60
Austria Vienna -1: X 19.4% 17.5% — — 5.70
Austria Vienna -1: 1 18.3% 17.5% — — 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (0:1) 62.3% 61.4% 56.5% 1.09× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 19.4% 17.8% 20.7% 0.86× 5.60
Austria Vienna (0:1) 18.3% 17.8% 23.0% 0.77× 5.61
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (0:2) 81.7% 82.9% 77.0% 1.08× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 11.5% 11.0% 14.0% 0.78× 9.11
Austria Vienna (0:2) 6.8% 7.7% 9.3% 0.83× 13.05
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (0:3) 93.2% 92.7% 90.7% 1.02× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 4.7% 2.4% 6.2% 0.39× 42.02
Austria Vienna (0:3) 2.1% 2.4% 3.3% 0.71× 42.14
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (0:4) 97.9% 98.1% 96.7% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.5% 1.2% 1.7% 0.73× 82.00
Austria Vienna (0:4) 0.5% 1.2% 1.9% 0.64× 82.11
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (1:0) 65.8% 70.1% 68.6% 1.02× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 18.3% 17.1% 16.4% 1.04× 5.85
Rapid Vienna (1:0) 16.0% 17.1% 15.2% 1.12× 5.85
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna (2:0) 84.0% 84.7% 84.8% 1.00× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 10.3% 10.3% 10.2% 1.00× 9.75
Rapid Vienna (2:0) 5.7% 6.4% 5.2% 1.22× 15.69
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.1% 48.7% — — 2.05
Halves equal 26.7% 26.2% — — 3.82
1st half highest scoring 26.2% 26.2% — — 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna to concede 73.9% 73.1% 70.3% 1.04× 1.37
Austria Vienna clean sheet 26.1% 26.9% 29.7% 0.91× 3.72
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna clean sheet in 1st half 58.4% 62.1% — — 1.61
Austria Vienna to concede in 1st half 41.6% 37.9% — — 2.64
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna to concede in 2nd half 55.3% 54.5% — — 1.83
Austria Vienna clean sheet in 2nd half 44.7% 45.5% — — 2.20
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna over 2.5 corners 80.1% 81.0% — — 1.24
Austria Vienna under 6.5 corners 75.5% 76.5% — — 1.31
Austria Vienna over 3.5 corners 65.5% 66.7% — — 1.50
Austria Vienna under 5.5 corners 64.0% 62.3% — — 1.61
Austria Vienna over 4.5 corners 50.0% 52.6% — — 1.90
Austria Vienna under 4.5 corners 50.0% 47.4% — — 2.11
Austria Vienna over 5.5 corners 36.0% 37.7% — — 2.65
Austria Vienna under 3.5 corners 34.5% 33.3% — — 3.01
Austria Vienna over 6.5 corners 24.5% 23.5% — — 4.26
Austria Vienna under 2.5 corners 19.9% 19.0% — — 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna under 3.5 goals 94.4% 92.2% 92.4% 1.00× 1.08
Austria Vienna under 2.5 goals 82.9% 82.2% 81.7% 1.01× 1.22
Austria Vienna over 0.5 goals 75.8% 77.7% 78.1% 0.99× 1.29
Austria Vienna under 1.5 goals 58.6% 58.6% 56.5% 1.04× 1.71
Austria Vienna over 1.5 goals 41.4% 41.4% 43.5% 0.95× 2.42
Austria Vienna under 0.5 goals 24.2% 22.3% 21.9% 1.02× 4.49
Austria Vienna over 2.5 goals 17.1% 17.8% 18.3% 0.97× 5.63
Austria Vienna over 3.5 goals 5.6% 7.8% 7.6% 1.02× 12.88
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna under 1.5 in 1st half 87.5% 90.2% — — 1.11
Austria Vienna under 0.5 in 1st half 54.3% 50.4% — — 1.98
Austria Vienna over 0.5 in 1st half 45.7% 49.6% — — 2.02
Austria Vienna over 1.5 in 1st half 12.5% 9.8% — — 10.15
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna scores equally in both 37.7% 37.8% — — 2.64
Austria Vienna scores more in 2nd half 37.1% 37.8% — — 2.65
Austria Vienna scores more in 1st half 25.2% 27.8% — — 3.60
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (home no bet) 54.9% 51.4% 55.2% 0.93× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 45.1% 48.6% 44.8% 1.08× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna even goals 52.9% 50.7% 52.0% 0.98× 1.97
Austria Vienna odd goals 47.1% 49.3% 48.0% 1.03× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 32.0% 33.2% — — 3.01
HT 1-0 19.1% 18.5% — — 5.40
HT 0-1 16.8% 18.5% — — 5.41
HT 1-1 10.6% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 2-0 5.9% 6.9% — — 14.48
HT 0-2 4.6% 2.4% — — 41.91
Any other HT score 4.1% 2.4% — — 41.94
HT 2-1 3.2% 2.4% — — 42.00
HT 1-2 2.8% 2.4% — — 42.03
HT 2-2 0.9% 2.4% — — 42.15
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna at HT / Austria Vienna at FT 22.2% 21.7% — — 4.61
Rapid Vienna at HT / Rapid Vienna at FT 18.5% 16.8% — — 5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 17.1% 16.8% — — 5.96
Draw at HT / Austria Vienna at FT 13.2% 12.7% — — 7.91
Draw at HT / Rapid Vienna at FT 13.1% 12.6% — — 7.91
Austria Vienna at HT / Draw at FT 5.9% 6.1% — — 16.48
Rapid Vienna at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.1% — — 16.50
Austria Vienna at HT / Rapid Vienna at FT 2.6% 3.5% — — 28.88
Rapid Vienna at HT / Austria Vienna at FT 2.2% 3.5% — — 28.89
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna to score last 47.5% 46.5% — — 2.15
Rapid Vienna to score last 44.9% 40.3% — — 2.48
No goal scored 7.6% 7.4% — — 13.43
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.4% 92.7% — — 1.08
Austria Vienna to lead by 1 at any time 55.2% 54.8% — — 1.82
Rapid Vienna to lead by 1 at any time 52.2% 50.8% — — 1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 46.4% 44.4% — — 2.26
Austria Vienna to lead by 2 at any time 24.6% 19.6% — — 5.10
Rapid Vienna to lead by 2 at any time 22.1% 19.6% — — 5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 16.1% 14.9% — — 6.73
Austria Vienna to lead by 3 at any time 8.7% 6.7% — — 14.90
Rapid Vienna to lead by 3 at any time 7.4% 6.7% — — 14.96
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna most corners 45.1% 46.9% — — 2.13
Rapid Vienna most corners 43.9% 43.5% — — 2.30
Corners level 11.0% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.2% 87.4% 86.2% 1.01× 1.14
1-4 goals 77.7% 78.7% 79.3% 0.99× 1.27
2-6 goals 75.3% 78.7% 76.2% 1.03× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.4% 72.3% 71.5% 1.01× 1.38
2-4 goals 62.9% 63.3% 64.6% 0.98× 1.58
1-3 goals 62.4% 63.3% 64.6% 0.98× 1.58
3-6 goals 49.8% 48.5% 51.3% 0.94× 2.06
2-3 goals 47.6% 48.5% 49.9% 0.97× 2.06
3-5 goals 45.9% 48.5% 46.6% 1.04× 2.06
1-2 goals 40.2% 43.6% 39.9% 1.09× 2.29
3-4 goals 37.5% 39.2% 39.7% 0.99× 2.55
4-6 goals 27.7% 30.2% 26.6% 1.14× 3.31
4-5 goals 23.8% 24.5% 21.9% 1.12× 4.09
5-6 goals 12.3% 14.8% 11.9% 1.25× 6.76
7+ goals 2.3% 2.6% 1.9% 1.34× 39.15
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna never behind 40.1% 48.4% — — 2.06
Rapid Vienna never behind 37.2% 44.1% — — 2.27
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.2% 50.9% 47.7% 1.07× 1.96
Even number of goals 52.8% 49.1% 52.3% 0.94× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.5% 57.6% — — 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 44.5% 42.4% — — 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.9% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.1% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 93.8% 92.3% 93.3% 0.99× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 92.4% 92.3% 92.6% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 85.4% 87.6% 86.5% 1.01× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 77.5% 77.3% 77.9% 0.99× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 70.1% 72.5% 71.7% 1.01× 1.38
Over 2.5 goals 52.1% 52.5% 53.0% 0.99× 1.90
Under 2.5 goals 47.9% 47.5% 47.0% 1.01× 2.11
Over 3.5 goals 29.9% 27.5% 28.3% 0.97× 3.63
Under 1.5 goals 22.5% 22.7% 22.1% 1.03× 4.40
Over 4.5 goals 14.6% 12.4% 13.5% 0.92× 8.05
Under 0.5 goals 7.6% 7.7% 7.4% 1.05× 12.95
Over 5.5 goals 6.2% 7.7% 6.7% 1.16× 12.95
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.6% 97.2% 98.0% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 93.3% 92.4% 92.9% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 82.7% 81.1% 84.1% 0.96× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 69.9% 67.5% 70.6% 0.96× 1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 61.5% 61.9% 62.5% 0.99× 1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 38.5% 38.1% 37.5% 1.01× 2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 30.1% 32.5% 29.4% 1.11× 3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 17.3% 18.9% 15.9% 1.19× 5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 6.7% 7.6% 7.1% 1.06× 13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.4% 2.8% 2.0% 1.41× 35.60
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 89.1% 89.1% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 68.0% 68.6% — — 1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half 68.0% 68.6% — — 1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half 32.0% 31.4% — — 3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half 32.0% 31.4% — — 3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half 10.9% 10.9% — — 9.15
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 79.6% 79.8% — — 1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 78.0% 79.7% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 51.6% 53.3% — — 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 48.4% 46.7% — — 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 22.0% 20.3% — — 4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 20.4% 20.2% — — 4.94
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna not to score in both halves 77.0% 78.5% — — 1.27
Austria Vienna not to score in both halves 74.7% 74.0% — — 1.35
Austria Vienna to score in both halves 25.3% 26.0% — — 3.85
Rapid Vienna to score in both halves 23.0% 21.5% — — 4.65
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 57.3% 58.7% 55.8% 1.05× 1.71
Only Austria Vienna scores 18.5% 16.0% 22.6% 0.71× 6.24
Only Rapid Vienna scores 16.6% 16.0% 14.7% 1.09× 6.24
Neither team scores 7.6% 7.1% 7.4% 0.97× 14.03
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 25.4% 24.9% 25.2% 0.99× 4.02
Exactly 3 goals 22.2% 22.6% 24.9% 0.91× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 15.3% 17.5% 15.0% 1.17× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 14.8% 12.1% 15.0% 0.81× 8.24
Exactly 5 goals 8.5% 7.6% 7.1% 1.07× 13.14
Exactly 0 goals 7.6% 7.6% 7.4% 1.03× 13.14
6 or more goals 6.2% 7.6% 6.7% 1.14× 13.15
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.0% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 32.0% 35.6% — — 2.81
2 goals in 1st half 21.1% 21.4% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 10.9% 10.8% — — 9.23
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 48.4% 44.9% — — 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 31.2% 33.7% — — 2.97
No goals in 2nd half 20.4% 22.5% — — 4.44
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna not to win both halves 91.5% 94.1% — — 1.06
Austria Vienna not to win both halves 90.0% 88.1% — — 1.14
Austria Vienna to win both halves 10.0% 11.9% — — 8.37
Rapid Vienna to win both halves 8.5% 5.9% — — 16.98
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Austria Vienna to win either half 52.6% 54.3% — — 1.84
Rapid Vienna to win neither half 50.6% 54.2% — — 1.84
Rapid Vienna to win either half 49.4% 45.8% — — 2.18
Austria Vienna to win neither half 47.4% 45.7% — — 2.19
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna not to win to nil 83.4% 83.1% 85.3% 0.97× 1.20
Austria Vienna not to win to nil 81.5% 83.1% 77.4% 1.07× 1.20
Austria Vienna to win to nil 18.5% 16.9% 22.6% 0.75× 5.91
Rapid Vienna to win to nil 16.6% 16.9% 14.7% 1.15× 5.92
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 28.1% 27.9% 25.4% 1.10× 3.59
Austria Vienna by 1 19.4% 17.1% 20.7% 0.83× 5.86
Rapid Vienna by 1 18.3% 17.0% 16.4% 1.04× 5.87
Austria Vienna by 2 11.5% 11.7% 14.0% 0.84× 8.51
Rapid Vienna by 2 10.3% 11.7% 10.2% 1.15× 8.51
Austria Vienna by 3+ 6.8% 7.2% 9.3% 0.78× 13.91
Rapid Vienna by 3+ 5.7% 7.2% 5.2% 1.38× 13.91
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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