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Auxerre v Reims — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 October 2024 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

2–1
2.86 – 1.23 xG
Shots
10 – 14
On target
8 – 3
Shots in box
8 – 10
xG per shot
0.29 – 0.09
Set-piece xG
1.71 – 0.18
Goals − xG
-0.86 – -0.23
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.62.43.20'15'30'45'60'75'90'Sinaly Diomande 15' — goalHamed Junior Traore 51' — goalKeito Nakamura 94' — goal
Auxerre 2.86 xGReims 1.23 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Marshall Munetsi 4' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Florian Aye 6' — Saved Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Hamed Junior Traore 8' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Sinaly Diomande 15' — Goal (0.95 xG, Set Piece)Cédric Kipré 20' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Amine Salama 24' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Keito Nakamura 25' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Gaetan Perrin 33' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Jubal 35' — Saved Shot (0.76 xG, )Amine Salama 40' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Cédric Kipré 46' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Keito Nakamura 48' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Hamed Junior Traore 49' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Hamed Junior Traore 51' — Goal (0.45 xG, Open Play)Marshall Munetsi 58' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Hamed Junior Traore 64' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Keito Nakamura 65' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Sergio Akieme 66' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Keito Nakamura 70' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Lassine Sinayoko 75' — Saved Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Mamadou Diakhon 81' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Rayan Raveloson 82' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Niama Sissoko 91' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Keito Nakamura 94' — Goal (0.55 xG, Open Play)
Auxerre attacking right Reims attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Reims Marshall Munetsi 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Aurélio Buta
6' Auxerre Florian Aye 0.12 Open Play Saved Shot Kévin Danois
8' Auxerre Hamed Junior Traore 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Gaetan Perrin
15' Auxerre Sinaly Diomande 0.95 Set Piece Goal Gaetan Perrin
20' Reims Cédric Kipré 0.06 From Corner Blocked Shot Teddy Teuma
24' Reims Amine Salama 0.05 Direct Freekick Right Foot Saved Shot
25' Reims Keito Nakamura 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Sergio Akieme
33' Auxerre Gaetan Perrin 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Florian Aye
35' Auxerre Jubal 0.76 Right Foot Saved Shot
40' Reims Amine Salama 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Marshall Munetsi
46' Reims Cédric Kipré 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Emmanuel Agbadou
48' Reims Keito Nakamura 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
49' Auxerre Hamed Junior Traore 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Gaetan Perrin
51' Auxerre Hamed Junior Traore 0.45 Open Play Left Foot Goal Gideon Mensah
58' Reims Marshall Munetsi 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Sergio Akieme
64' Auxerre Hamed Junior Traore 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ki-Jana Hoever
65' Reims Keito Nakamura 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Junya Ito
66' Reims Sergio Akieme 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
70' Reims Keito Nakamura 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
75' Auxerre Lassine Sinayoko 0.14 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Theo Bair
81' Reims Mamadou Diakhon 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Emmanuel Agbadou
82' Auxerre Rayan Raveloson 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Kévin Danois
91' Reims Niama Sissoko 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Nhoa Sangui
94' Reims Keito Nakamura 0.55 Open Play Goal Junya Ito

Players

Reims

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Keito Nakamura AML 90 1 0 5 0 0.72 0.00 0.72
Marshall Munetsi DMC 90 0 0 2 1 0.14 0.07 0.16
Sergio Akieme DL 90 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.07 0.23
Yehvann Diouf GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.22
Emmanuel Agbadou DC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.09 0.93
Junya Ito AMR 90 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.61 0.93
Valentin Atangana Edoa DMC 89 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.25
Amine Salama FW 79 0 0 2 0 0.12 0.00 0.07
Cédric Kipré DC 65 0 0 2 0 0.07 0.00 0.08
Teddy Teuma AMC 65 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.17
Aurélio Buta DR 65 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.09 0.17
Mamadou Diakhon Sub 25 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.71
Nhoa Sangui Sub 25 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.08
Joseph Okumu Sub 25 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.76
Niama Sissoko Sub 11 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Amadou Koné Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08

Auxerre

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Sinaly Diomande DC 90 1 0 1 0 0.95 0.00 0.16
Jubal DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.76 0.00 0.13
Rayan Raveloson MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.28
Kévin Danois MC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.22 0.34
Ki-Jana Hoever DMR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.13 0.24
Gideon Mensah DML 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.45 0.70
Donovan Léon GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.45
Gaetan Perrin AMC 89 0 1 1 3 0.05 1.12 0.46
Florian Aye FW 81 0 0 1 1 0.12 0.05 0.16
Hamed Junior Traore AMC 80 1 0 4 0 0.75 0.00 0.87
Gabriel Osho DC 74 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.24
Clément Akpa Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Theo Bair Sub 10 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.14 0.24
Lassine Sinayoko Sub 9 0 0 1 0 0.14 0.00 0.24
Ado Onaiwu Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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