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Auxerre v Saint-Etienne — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 24 January 2025 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

1–1
0.58 – 1.19 xG
Shots
11 – 8
On target
5 – 3
Shots in box
7 – 4
xG per shot
0.05 – 0.20
Set-piece xG
0.20 – 1.33
Goals − xG
+0.42 – -0.57
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.91.31.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Hamed Junior Traore 26' — goalLucas Stassin 44' — goal
Auxerre 0.58 xGSaint-Etienne 1.57 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Han-Noah Massengo 2' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Set Piece)Augustine Boakye 8' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Paul Joly 13' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Lassine Sinayoko 21' — Shot On Post (0.06 xG, Open Play)Hamed Junior Traore 26' — Goal (0.04 xG, Open Play)Mathis Amougou 40' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Pierre Ekwah 40' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Augustine Boakye 44' — Saved Shot (0.33 xG, Set Piece)Lucas Stassin 44' — Goal (0.93 xG, Set Piece)Zuriko Davitashvili 44' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Direct Freekick)Jubal 48' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Jubal 48' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Paul Joly 51' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Lassine Sinayoko 53' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Jubal 54' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Han-Noah Massengo 75' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Mathis Amougou 76' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Lucas Stassin 80' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Ado Onaiwu 88' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)
Auxerre attacking right Saint-Etienne attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
2' Auxerre Han-Noah Massengo 0.08 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot
8' Saint-Etienne Augustine Boakye 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Lucas Stassin
13' Auxerre Paul Joly 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Hamed Junior Traore
21' Auxerre Lassine Sinayoko 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Gaetan Perrin
26' Auxerre Hamed Junior Traore 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Goal Elisha Owusu
40' Saint-Etienne Mathis Amougou 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Zuriko Davitashvili
40' Saint-Etienne Pierre Ekwah 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
44' Saint-Etienne Augustine Boakye 0.33 Set Piece Right Foot Saved Shot
44' Saint-Etienne Lucas Stassin 0.93 Set Piece Goal
44' Saint-Etienne Zuriko Davitashvili 0.07 Direct Freekick Right Foot Saved Shot
48' Auxerre Jubal 0.01 From Corner Blocked Shot Gideon Mensah
48' Auxerre Jubal 0.07 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Hamed Junior Traore
51' Auxerre Paul Joly 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Gideon Mensah
53' Auxerre Lassine Sinayoko 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Paul Joly
54' Auxerre Jubal 0.03 From Corner Missed Shot Gaetan Perrin
75' Auxerre Han-Noah Massengo 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Hamed Junior Traore
76' Saint-Etienne Mathis Amougou 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Augustine Boakye
80' Saint-Etienne Lucas Stassin 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Florian Tardieu
88' Auxerre Ado Onaiwu 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Theo Bair

Players

Saint-Etienne

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Lucas Stassin FW 90 1 0 2 1 1.01 0.03 0.11
Mathis Amougou MC 90 0 0 2 0 0.11 0.00 0.14
Zuriko Davitashvili FWL 90 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.08 0.11
Gautier Larsonneur GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Mickael Nade DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dennis Appiah DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Dylan Batubinsika DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Leo Petrot DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Augustine Boakye FWR 87 0 0 2 1 0.36 0.03 0.06
Pierre Ekwah MC 87 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.10
Lamine Fomba MC 61 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Florian Tardieu Sub 29 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.11
Igor Miladinovic Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mathieu Cafaro Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Auxerre

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Han-Noah Massengo MC 90 0 0 2 0 0.13 0.00 0.09
Jubal DC 90 0 0 3 0 0.12 0.00 0.10
Sinaly Diomande DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Clément Akpa DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Donovan Léon GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.27
Elisha Owusu MC 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.25
Gideon Mensah DL 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.07 0.31
Hamed Junior Traore ML 89 1 0 1 3 0.04 0.16 0.19
Gaetan Perrin MR 85 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.09 0.06
Paul Joly DR 71 0 0 2 1 0.10 0.04 0.17
Lassine Sinayoko FW 70 0 0 2 0 0.09 0.00 0.15
Theo Bair Sub 20 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.15
Ki-Jana Hoever Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ado Onaiwu Sub 5 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.10
Florian Aye Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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