Bayern Munich v Bodo/Glimt — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 10 September 2026 · EUR-Champions League · 2627

Champions League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 18:39 UTC

Bayern Munich

19:00 UTC

Bodo/Glimt

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 83h before kick-off

Bayern Munich win

63.5%

model 67.4%

Draw

18.2%

model 15.3%

Bodo/Glimt win

18.3%

model 17.3%

631818

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (147 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 7.6%
3-1 7.5%
2-2 5.7%
3-2 5.6%
4-1 5.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	82.4%	Under 2.5	17.6%
BTTS yes	73.7%	BTTS no	26.3%
Bayern Munich 1+	94.8%	Bayern Munich 2+	79.6%
Bodo/Glimt 1+	77.9%	Bodo/Glimt 2+	44.6%

Expected goals 2.97 – 1.51. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

75/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

87%

★ Best pick

Bayern Munich over 2.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 31%

56.2% fair odds 1.78

strong signal · 737 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Bayern Munich or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

84.1% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 419 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Bayern Munich carry the stronger rating, 1940 Elo against 1812.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.87).

Why the model thinks this

The price

Bayern Munich have an estimated 63.5% win probability, against 18.3% for Bodo/Glimt and 18.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.97 for Bayern Munich and 1.51 for Bodo/Glimt.

Why Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich carry the stronger rating, 1940 Elo against 1812. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.2%. Draws run at 16% in this competition.

Why Bodo/Glimt can win

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. They have had 11 days' rest to Bayern Munich's 5.

Key players

Bayern Munich's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Harry Kane (0.90), Michael Olise (0.69), Luis Díaz (0.64).

Availability

2 of Bayern Munich's top three contributors did not start their last match. No lineup on record for Bodo/Glimt, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Bayern Munich: 67% possession, 17.8 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.53 xG a match from set pieces. Bodo/Glimt: 62% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 8.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Bayern Munich are the model's most likely outcome at 63.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 7.6%. Confidence 75/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Bayern Munich are conceding fewer than expected — 3.2 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WWWWWDWWWD last 10 scored 34 from 32.8 xG conceded 12 from 15.2 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	671517	2.97–1.51	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	80119	3.60–1.26	3-1 8%	86%	70%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich to win	80.1%	80.3%	50.5%	1.59×	1.25
Draw	10.8%	13.3%	16.1%	0.83×	7.54
Bodo/Glimt to win	9.1%	8.3%	33.7%	0.25×	12.07

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich & both teams score	52.4%	48.5%	25.8%	1.88×	2.06
Bayern Munich & not both score	27.7%	25.2%	25.0%	1.01×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	10.1%	13.2%	11.1%	1.20×	7.55
Bodo/Glimt & both teams score	7.0%	8.4%	18.4%	0.45×	11.94
Bodo/Glimt & not both score	2.1%	4.9%	15.5%	0.31×	20.62
Draw & not both score	0.6%	4.8%	5.3%	0.92×	20.66

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich & over 1.5	77.2%	74.6%	42.4%	1.76×	1.34
Bayern Munich & over 2.5	72.1%	67.0%	36.1%	1.86×	1.49
Bayern Munich & over 3.5	59.7%	55.0%	23.9%	2.30×	1.82
Bayern Munich & under 3.5	20.4%	21.6%	26.8%	0.81×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	10.1%	12.9%	11.1%	1.16×	7.77
Bayern Munich & under 2.5	8.0%	7.9%	14.7%	0.53×	12.70
Bodo/Glimt & over 1.5	8.0%	7.9%	28.2%	0.28×	12.70
Bodo/Glimt & over 2.5	7.4%	7.9%	23.9%	0.33×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	6.7%	7.9%	5.5%	1.42×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.7%	7.9%	5.5%	1.42×	12.70
Bodo/Glimt & over 3.5	4.9%	4.8%	14.7%	0.32×	20.93
Draw & under 2.5	4.0%	4.8%	10.8%	0.44×	20.94
Draw & under 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	10.8%	0.44×	20.94
Bodo/Glimt & under 3.5	4.2%	4.8%	19.2%	0.25×	20.94
Bayern Munich & under 1.5	2.9%	4.8%	8.4%	0.57×	20.95
Bodo/Glimt & under 2.5	1.7%	4.8%	10.0%	0.48×	20.95
Bodo/Glimt & under 1.5	1.1%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.96
Draw & under 1.5	0.6%	4.8%	5.3%	0.91×	20.96

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (1UP)	89.3%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Bodo/Glimt (1UP)	31.5%	32.6%	—	—	3.06

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (2UP)	80.1%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Bodo/Glimt (2UP)	9.1%	9.0%	—	—	11.07

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich to win 2nd half	67.4%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
2nd half drawn	19.7%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Bodo/Glimt to win 2nd half	12.8%	12.3%	—	—	8.12

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (+0.5)	90.9%	92.1%	66.3%	1.39×	1.09
Bayern Munich (-0.5)	80.1%	82.4%	50.5%	1.63×	1.21
Bayern Munich (-1.5)	63.7%	62.9%	31.6%	1.99×	1.59
Bodo/Glimt (+2.5)	55.0%	52.3%	81.6%	0.64×	1.91
Bayern Munich (-2.5)	45.0%	47.7%	18.4%	2.59×	2.10
Bodo/Glimt (+1.5)	36.3%	37.1%	68.4%	0.54×	2.70
Bodo/Glimt (+0.5)	19.9%	17.6%	49.5%	0.36×	5.68
Bodo/Glimt (-0.5)	9.1%	7.9%	33.7%	0.24×	12.62

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bodo/Glimt to concede	97.2%	96.4%	79.5%	1.21×	1.04
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet	2.8%	3.6%	20.5%	0.17×	28.02

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bodo/Glimt to concede in 1st half	78.7%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet in 1st half	21.3%	21.4%	—	—	4.68

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bodo/Glimt under 6.5 corners	84.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Bodo/Glimt under 5.5 corners	76.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Bodo/Glimt over 2.5 corners	68.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Bodo/Glimt under 4.5 corners	63.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Bodo/Glimt over 3.5 corners	51.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Bodo/Glimt under 3.5 corners	48.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Bodo/Glimt over 4.5 corners	36.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Bodo/Glimt under 2.5 corners	31.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Bodo/Glimt over 5.5 corners	24.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Bodo/Glimt over 6.5 corners	15.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bodo/Glimt under 3.5 goals	96.1%	97.5%	92.1%	1.06×	1.03
Bodo/Glimt under 2.5 goals	86.6%	87.9%	78.9%	1.11×	1.14
Bodo/Glimt over 0.5 goals	71.7%	72.0%	70.0%	1.03×	1.39
Bodo/Glimt under 1.5 goals	64.1%	63.0%	59.7%	1.05×	1.59
Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals	35.9%	37.0%	40.3%	0.92×	2.70
Bodo/Glimt under 0.5 goals	28.3%	28.1%	30.0%	0.94×	3.57
Bodo/Glimt over 2.5 goals	13.4%	12.1%	21.1%	0.58×	8.25
Bodo/Glimt over 3.5 goals	3.9%	2.5%	7.9%	0.31×	40.67

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bodo/Glimt under 1.5 in 1st half	90.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Bodo/Glimt under 0.5 in 1st half	60.4%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Bodo/Glimt over 0.5 in 1st half	39.6%	36.0%	—	—	2.77
Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 in 1st half	9.2%	5.9%	—	—	17.00

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (away no bet)	88.1%	84.8%	75.9%	1.12×	1.18
Draw (away no bet)	11.9%	15.2%	24.1%	0.63×	6.57

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bodo/Glimt even goals	54.0%	52.8%	54.5%	0.97×	1.89
Bodo/Glimt odd goals	46.0%	47.2%	45.5%	1.04×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	53.3%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Both halves over 1.5 goals	46.7%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	90.9%	92.2%	—	—	1.08
Both halves under 1.5 goals	9.1%	7.8%	—	—	12.85

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	86.7%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Bayern Munich to score 2+ in a row	80.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Either team to score 3+ in a row	57.0%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Bayern Munich to score 3+ in a row	54.0%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Bodo/Glimt to score 2+ in a row	20.1%	19.4%	—	—	5.15
Bodo/Glimt to score 3+ in a row	4.2%	2.6%	—	—	38.08

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich corners (+3.5)	91.4%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Bayern Munich corners (+2.5)	86.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Bayern Munich corners (+1.5)	80.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Bodo/Glimt corners (+3.5)	66.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Bodo/Glimt corners (+2.5)	57.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Bayern Munich corners (-1.5)	52.6%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Bodo/Glimt corners (+1.5)	47.4%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Bayern Munich corners (-2.5)	42.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Bayern Munich corners (-3.5)	33.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Bodo/Glimt corners (-1.5)	19.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Bodo/Glimt corners (-2.5)	13.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Bodo/Glimt corners (-3.5)	8.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
12+ corners	31.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	27.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	69.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	68.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	60.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	50.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	49.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	40.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	39.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	31.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	31.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 12.5 corners	24.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	29.5%	20.8%	11.3%	1.84×	4.80
3-1	7.6%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.48
4-1	6.9%	7.4%	3.2%	2.35×	13.48
2-0	5.1%	7.4%	6.6%	1.13×	13.48
2-1	6.4%	7.4%	7.4%	1.01×	13.48
3-0	6.1%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.48
4-0	5.5%	7.4%	3.4%	2.17×	13.48
3-2	4.8%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.46
0-0	0.6%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.49
0-1	1.1%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.48
0-2	0.6%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.49
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	3.9%	0.43×	58.49
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.49
1-0	2.9%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.47
1-1	3.4%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.47
1-2	2.2%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.48
1-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.48
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.49
2-2	4.0%	1.7%	3.9%	0.43×	58.47
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	5.0%	0.34×	58.48
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.49
3-3	2.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.48
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.25×	58.49
4-2	4.3%	1.7%	1.3%	1.30×	58.46
4-3	1.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.48
4-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.25×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich leading at HT (DNB)	84.2%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Bodo/Glimt leading at HT (DNB)	15.8%	12.9%	—	—	7.77

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich or draw (1X)	90.9%	91.7%	66.3%	1.38×	1.09
Bayern Munich or Bodo/Glimt (12)	89.2%	86.7%	83.9%	1.03×	1.15
Bodo/Glimt or draw (X2)	19.9%	19.7%	49.5%	0.40×	5.07

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich or draw at HT	88.1%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
Bayern Munich or Bodo/Glimt at HT	75.0%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Bodo/Glimt or draw at HT	36.9%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich or draw (1UP)	90.9%	93.1%	—	—	1.07
Bodo/Glimt or draw (1UP)	31.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich or draw in 2nd half	87.2%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Bayern Munich or Bodo/Glimt in 2nd half	80.3%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Bodo/Glimt or draw in 2nd half	32.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.68

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	60.0%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
A half drawn	40.0%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (DNB)	89.8%	87.4%	60.0%	1.46×	1.15
Bodo/Glimt (DNB)	10.2%	12.6%	40.0%	0.32×	7.91

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich to score first	73.6%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Bodo/Glimt to score first	25.8%	28.0%	—	—	3.57
No goal scored	0.6%	4.2%	—	—	23.87

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	69.5%	58.3%	54.7%	1.06×	1.72
Not both teams to score	30.5%	41.7%	45.3%	0.92×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	66.1%	57.2%	49.2%	1.16×	1.75
Not both score & over 2.5	20.1%	27.7%	16.1%	1.72×	3.61
Not both score & under 2.5	10.4%	12.3%	29.5%	0.42×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	3.4%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.73

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	68.6%	70.9%	81.1%	0.87×	1.41
Both teams to score 2+	31.4%	29.1%	18.9%	1.54×	3.44

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	53.8%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Both teams to score in 2nd half	46.2%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	37.1%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Both score 2nd half only	31.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Both score 1st half only	16.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.40
Both score in both halves	14.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	68.9%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Both teams to score by HT	31.1%	29.4%	—	—	3.40

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	81.8%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
A half without a goal	18.2%	19.8%	—	—	5.06

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	50.0%	40.9%	37.1%	1.10×	2.44
2-3 goals	24.0%	22.8%	37.6%	0.61×	4.38
7+ goals	21.3%	22.8%	6.8%	3.33×	4.38
0-1 goals	4.7%	1.8%	18.9%	0.10×	54.31

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bodo/Glimt to score exactly 1	35.7%	36.0%	30.0%	1.20×	2.78
Bodo/Glimt to score exactly 0	28.3%	27.4%	30.0%	0.91×	3.65
Bodo/Glimt to score exactly 2	22.5%	22.4%	19.5%	1.15×	4.46
Bodo/Glimt to score 3+	13.4%	12.8%	21.1%	0.61×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich to score 3+	69.5%	59.3%	31.1%	1.91×	1.69
Bayern Munich to score exactly 2	17.8%	18.9%	23.4%	0.81×	5.29
Bayern Munich to score exactly 1	9.9%	10.3%	25.5%	0.40×	9.70
Bayern Munich to score exactly 0	2.8%	6.1%	20.5%	0.30×	16.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich leading at HT	63.1%	70.2%	—	—	1.42
Draw at HT	25.0%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Bodo/Glimt leading at HT	11.9%	11.8%	—	—	8.50

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich -1: 1	63.7%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Bayern Munich -1: 2	19.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.71
Bayern Munich -1: X	16.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (0:1)	63.7%	61.5%	31.6%	1.95×	1.63
Bodo/Glimt (0:1)	19.9%	17.8%	49.5%	0.36×	5.63
Draw (0:1)	16.4%	17.7%	19.2%	0.92×	5.64

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (0:2)	45.0%	51.1%	18.4%	2.77×	1.96
Bodo/Glimt (0:2)	36.3%	38.7%	68.4%	0.56×	2.59
Draw (0:2)	18.6%	15.3%	13.4%	1.14×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bodo/Glimt (0:3)	55.0%	48.9%	81.6%	0.60×	2.05
Bayern Munich (0:3)	28.1%	23.4%	9.5%	2.47×	4.28
Draw (0:3)	17.0%	16.1%	9.2%	1.74×	6.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bodo/Glimt (0:4)	71.9%	77.4%	90.5%	0.86×	1.29
Bayern Munich (0:4)	15.3%	10.2%	3.9%	2.58×	9.81
Draw (0:4)	12.7%	9.6%	5.8%	1.65×	10.45

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (1:0)	90.9%	92.6%	66.3%	1.40×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	5.9%	6.9%	16.6%	0.42×	14.47
Bodo/Glimt (1:0)	3.3%	3.2%	17.4%	0.18×	31.58

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich (2:0)	96.7%	96.9%	82.6%	1.17×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.3%	2.3%	7.9%	0.29×	44.25
Bodo/Glimt (2:0)	1.0%	2.3%	9.7%	0.23×	44.33

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	54.2%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
1st half highest scoring	28.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	17.6%	18.8%	—	—	5.33

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich to concede	71.7%	73.1%	70.0%	1.04×	1.37
Bayern Munich clean sheet	28.3%	26.9%	30.0%	0.90×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich clean sheet in 1st half	60.4%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Bayern Munich to concede in 1st half	39.6%	36.0%	—	—	2.78

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich over 2.5 corners	85.7%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Bayern Munich over 3.5 corners	74.5%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Bayern Munich under 6.5 corners	62.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Bayern Munich over 4.5 corners	61.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Bayern Munich under 5.5 corners	51.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Bayern Munich over 5.5 corners	49.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Bayern Munich under 4.5 corners	38.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Bayern Munich over 6.5 corners	37.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Bayern Munich under 3.5 corners	25.5%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Bayern Munich under 2.5 corners	14.3%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich over 0.5 goals	97.2%	96.4%	79.5%	1.21×	1.04
Bayern Munich over 1.5 goals	87.3%	87.3%	54.2%	1.61×	1.15
Bayern Munich over 2.5 goals	69.5%	67.9%	31.1%	2.19×	1.47
Bayern Munich under 3.5 goals	51.9%	53.2%	83.9%	0.63×	1.88
Bayern Munich over 3.5 goals	48.1%	46.8%	16.1%	2.91×	2.14
Bayern Munich under 2.5 goals	30.5%	32.1%	68.9%	0.47×	3.11
Bayern Munich under 1.5 goals	12.7%	12.7%	45.8%	0.28×	7.85
Bayern Munich under 0.5 goals	2.8%	3.6%	20.5%	0.18×	27.50

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich over 0.5 in 1st half	78.7%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Bayern Munich over 1.5 in 1st half	45.7%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Bayern Munich under 1.5 in 1st half	54.3%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Bayern Munich under 0.5 in 1st half	21.3%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.2%	51.6%	32.3%	1.60×	1.94
Bodo/Glimt (home no bet)	45.8%	48.4%	67.7%	0.71×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich even goals	50.0%	50.6%	53.2%	0.95×	1.98
Bayern Munich odd goals	50.0%	49.4%	46.8%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other HT score	21.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 1-0	19.9%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 2-0	15.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 0-0	12.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	10.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 2-1	7.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 0-1	6.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 1-2	2.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.52
HT 2-2	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.56
HT 0-2	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.58

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich at HT / Bayern Munich at FT	58.7%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Draw at HT / Bayern Munich at FT	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Bodo/Glimt at HT / Bayern Munich at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.75
Bodo/Glimt at HT / Bodo/Glimt at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Bayern Munich at HT / Draw at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Draw at HT / Bodo/Glimt at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Bodo/Glimt at HT / Draw at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Bayern Munich at HT / Bodo/Glimt at FT	1.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich to score last	73.5%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Bodo/Glimt to score last	25.9%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
No goal scored	0.6%	4.2%	—	—	23.87

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	99.4%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Bayern Munich to lead by 1 at any time	89.3%	91.0%	—	—	1.10
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	79.3%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Bayern Munich to lead by 2 at any time	71.6%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	52.9%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Bayern Munich to lead by 3 at any time	50.7%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Bodo/Glimt to lead by 1 at any time	31.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Bodo/Glimt to lead by 2 at any time	8.9%	6.7%	—	—	15.03
Bodo/Glimt to lead by 3 at any time	2.2%	1.6%	—	—	62.19

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich most corners	62.8%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Bodo/Glimt most corners	27.8%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	9.5%	8.4%	—	—	11.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	74.0%	72.4%	74.5%	0.97×	1.38
3-6 goals	65.0%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
1-5 goals	63.8%	63.4%	81.3%	0.78×	1.58
2-5 goals	59.8%	59.2%	67.6%	0.88×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.7%	53.2%	51.6%	1.03×	1.88
4-6 goals	50.0%	53.2%	37.1%	1.43×	1.88
1-4 goals	46.2%	48.7%	67.6%	0.72×	2.06
2-4 goals	42.1%	43.6%	53.9%	0.81×	2.30
4-5 goals	35.8%	39.1%	30.3%	1.29×	2.56
3-4 goals	33.1%	35.4%	37.9%	0.93×	2.83
5-6 goals	31.9%	35.4%	20.8%	1.70×	2.83
1-3 goals	28.1%	30.2%	51.3%	0.59×	3.31
2-3 goals	24.0%	24.5%	37.6%	0.65×	4.09
7+ goals	21.3%	24.5%	6.8%	3.58×	4.09
1-2 goals	13.2%	14.9%	30.0%	0.50×	6.72

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich never behind	67.9%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Bodo/Glimt never behind	10.0%	12.3%	—	—	8.13

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.7%	50.8%	45.8%	1.11×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.3%	49.2%	54.2%	0.91×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	50.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	49.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	99.4%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	95.3%	95.5%	81.1%	1.18×	1.05
Over 2.5 goals	86.2%	87.6%	65.0%	1.35×	1.14
Over 3.5 goals	71.3%	72.5%	43.7%	1.66×	1.38
Under 5.5 goals	64.5%	61.8%	86.3%	0.72×	1.62
Over 4.5 goals	53.1%	52.5%	27.4%	1.92×	1.91
Under 4.5 goals	46.9%	47.5%	72.6%	0.65×	2.11
Over 5.5 goals	35.5%	38.2%	13.7%	2.79×	2.62
Under 3.5 goals	28.7%	27.5%	56.3%	0.49×	3.64
Under 2.5 goals	13.8%	12.4%	35.0%	0.35×	8.09
Under 1.5 goals	4.7%	4.5%	18.9%	0.24×	22.19
Under 0.5 goals	0.6%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.26

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	94.8%	92.5%	77.4%	1.19×	1.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	83.8%	81.1%	55.5%	1.46×	1.23
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	75.2%	75.9%	92.7%	0.82×	1.32
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	64.9%	62.1%	32.7%	1.90×	1.61
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	56.9%	55.4%	84.1%	0.66×	1.80
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	43.1%	44.6%	15.9%	2.81×	2.24
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	35.1%	37.9%	67.3%	0.56×	2.64
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	24.8%	24.1%	7.3%	3.28×	4.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	16.2%	18.9%	44.5%	0.43×	5.29
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	5.2%	7.5%	22.6%	0.33×	13.29

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	87.2%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Under 2.5 in 1st half	66.3%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	60.7%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 1.5 in 1st half	39.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Over 2.5 in 1st half	33.7%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half	12.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	94.0%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	76.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	53.0%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	47.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	23.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	6.0%	10.2%	—	—	9.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bodo/Glimt not to score in both halves	79.0%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Bayern Munich to score in both halves	68.5%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Bayern Munich not to score in both halves	31.5%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Bodo/Glimt to score in both halves	21.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	69.5%	59.7%	54.7%	1.09×	1.68
Only Bayern Munich scores	27.7%	26.1%	25.0%	1.05×	3.83
Only Bodo/Glimt scores	2.1%	4.6%	15.5%	0.29×	21.91
Neither team scores	0.6%	4.6%	5.3%	0.86×	21.97

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	35.5%	26.9%	13.7%	1.97×	3.72
Exactly 4 goals	18.1%	17.4%	16.6%	1.05×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	17.6%	17.4%	13.9%	1.25×	5.74
Exactly 3 goals	14.9%	12.1%	21.6%	0.56×	8.27
Exactly 2 goals	9.1%	7.6%	16.3%	0.47×	13.08
Exactly 1 goals	4.1%	4.4%	13.9%	0.32×	22.66
Exactly 0 goals	0.6%	4.4%	5.3%	0.84×	22.71

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	76.9%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
1 goal in 2nd half	17.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.81
No goals in 2nd half	6.0%	9.6%	—	—	10.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bodo/Glimt not to win both halves	98.5%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Bayern Munich not to win both halves	57.5%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Bayern Munich to win both halves	42.5%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Bodo/Glimt to win both halves	1.5%	2.7%	—	—	36.64

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich to win either half	88.0%	92.3%	—	—	1.08
Bodo/Glimt to win neither half	76.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Bodo/Glimt to win either half	23.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.91
Bayern Munich to win neither half	12.0%	7.7%	—	—	12.97

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bodo/Glimt not to win to nil	97.9%	96.2%	84.5%	1.14×	1.04
Bayern Munich not to win to nil	72.3%	75.3%	75.0%	1.00×	1.33
Bayern Munich to win to nil	27.7%	24.7%	25.0%	0.99×	4.04
Bodo/Glimt to win to nil	2.1%	3.8%	15.5%	0.24×	26.37

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bayern Munich by 3+	45.0%	47.0%	18.4%	2.55×	2.13
Bayern Munich by 2	18.6%	16.9%	13.4%	1.26×	5.91
Bayern Munich by 1	16.4%	16.9%	19.2%	0.88×	5.91
Draw	10.8%	11.8%	16.1%	0.73×	8.48
Bodo/Glimt by 1	5.9%	7.3%	16.6%	0.44×	13.79
Bodo/Glimt by 2	2.3%	2.7%	7.9%	0.34×	37.02
Bodo/Glimt by 3+	1.0%	2.7%	9.7%	0.28×	37.07