Bayern Munich v Holstein Kiel — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 1 February 2025 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425
Bundesliga
xG
Shots
29 – 10
On target
11 – 5
Shots in box
19 – 9
xG per shot
0.17 – 0.22
Set-piece xG
0.70 – 0.03
Goals − xG
-0.95 – +0.83
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Bayern Munich 4.95 xGHolstein Kiel 2.17 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Bayern Munich attacking right
Holstein Kiel attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1' |
 Bayern Munich |
Kingsley Coman | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Jamal Musiala |
| 5' |
 Holstein Kiel |
Lasse Rosenboom | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Dominik Javorcek |
| 11' |
Holstein Kiel |
Phil Harres | 0.47 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Timo Becker |
| 14' |
Bayern Munich |
Kingsley Coman | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Michael Olise |
| 18' |
Bayern Munich |
Jamal Musiala | 0.46 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Michael Olise |
| 24' |
Bayern Munich |
Joshua Kimmich | 0.04 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Shot On Post | — |
| 25' |
Holstein Kiel |
Armin Gigovic | 0.13 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | David Zec |
| 25' |
Holstein Kiel |
Lewis Holtby | 0.58 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Armin Gigovic |
| 28' |
Bayern Munich |
Michael Olise | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Joshua Kimmich |
| 30' |
Bayern Munich |
Jamal Musiala | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Kim Min-Jae |
| 31' |
Bayern Munich |
Kingsley Coman | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Joshua Kimmich |
| 32' |
Bayern Munich |
Aleksandar Pavlovic | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Kingsley Coman |
| 32' |
Bayern Munich |
Raphael Guerreiro | 0.02 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Michael Olise |
| 43' |
Bayern Munich |
Konrad Laimer | 0.03 | From Corner | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Jamal Musiala |
| 43' |
Bayern Munich |
Michael Olise | 0.11 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Konrad Laimer |
| 45' |
Bayern Munich |
Harry Kane | 0.38 | Open Play | — | Goal | Raphael Guerreiro |
| 47' |
Bayern Munich |
Harry Kane | 0.64 | Open Play | — | Goal | Kingsley Coman |
| 48' |
Bayern Munich |
Jamal Musiala | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Kingsley Coman |
| 49' |
Bayern Munich |
Aleksandar Pavlovic | 0.38 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Joshua Kimmich |
| 51' |
Bayern Munich |
Harry Kane | 0.10 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Kingsley Coman |
| 53' |
Bayern Munich |
Kingsley Coman | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Serge Gnabry |
| 53' |
Bayern Munich |
Serge Gnabry | 0.43 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 54' |
Bayern Munich |
Harry Kane | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Aleksandar Pavlovic |
| 55' |
Bayern Munich |
Jamal Musiala | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Raphael Guerreiro |
| 55' |
Bayern Munich |
Serge Gnabry | 0.43 | Open Play | — | Blocked Shot | — |
| 59' |
Bayern Munich |
Kim Min-Jae | 0.05 | From Corner | — | Blocked Shot | Raphael Guerreiro |
| 61' |
Holstein Kiel |
Finn Porath | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Timo Becker |
| 68' |
Bayern Munich |
Thomas Müller | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 68' |
Holstein Kiel |
Timo Becker | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Steven Skrzybski |
| 69' |
Bayern Munich |
Dayotchanculle Upamecano | 0.05 | From Corner | — | Saved Shot | Joshua Kimmich |
| 70' |
Bayern Munich |
Serge Gnabry | 0.03 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Jamal Musiala |
| 78' |
Holstein Kiel |
Jann-Fiete Arp | 0.03 | Set Piece | — | Saved Shot | John Tolkin |
| 82' |
Bayern Munich |
Serge Gnabry | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Joshua Kimmich |
| 83' |
Bayern Munich |
Jamal Musiala | 0.39 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Serge Gnabry |
| 83' |
Bayern Munich |
Leroy Sané | 0.30 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Thomas Müller |
| 90' |
Holstein Kiel |
Steven Skrzybski | 0.12 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Timo Becker |
| 92' |
Holstein Kiel |
Jann-Fiete Arp | 0.29 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Marco Komenda |
| 92' |
Holstein Kiel |
Steven Skrzybski | 0.39 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 93' |
Bayern Munich |
Serge Gnabry | 0.58 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Jamal Musiala |
Players
Holstein Kiel
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Holtby MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 1.47 |
| Finn Porath MR | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Timo Becker DC | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0.65 | 0.95 |
| Timon Weiner GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| David Zec DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.42 |
| Marco Komenda DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0.85 |
| Phil Harres FW | 86 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.57 |
| John Tolkin DL | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.57 |
| Lasse Rosenboom DR | 74 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Armin Gigovic MC | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.58 | 1.18 |
| Dominik Javorcek ML | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| Steven Skrzybski Sub | 26 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.51 | 0.01 | 0.81 |
| Magnus Knudsen Sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Jann-Fiete Arp Sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.29 |
| Marko Ivezic Sub | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.41 |
| Andu Kelati Sub | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Bayern Munich
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala AMC | 90 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1.04 | 0.68 | 2.57 |
| Dayotchanculle Upamecano DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.21 |
| Kim Min-Jae DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.99 |
| Joshua Kimmich DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.04 | 0.55 | 1.95 |
| Konrad Laimer DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.11 | 1.65 |
| Manuel Neuer GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Raphael Guerreiro DL | 88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.02 | 0.48 | 1.39 |
| Harry Kane FW | 61 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1.15 | 0.00 | 1.31 |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic DMC | 61 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.41 | 0.02 | 0.78 |
| Kingsley Coman AML | 61 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0.17 | 0.85 | 1.97 |
| Michael Olise AMR | 49 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.13 | 0.52 | 0.66 |
| Serge Gnabry Sub | 41 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1.53 | 0.46 | 2.39 |
| Leroy Sané Sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Thomas Müller Sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| João Palhinha Sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Adam Aznou Sub | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |