Belgrano (Córdoba) v Barracas Central — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Belgrano (Córdoba)

20:00 UTC

Barracas Central

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,366h before kick-off

Belgrano (Córdoba) win

48.6%

model 50.0%

Draw

32.3%

model 30.9%

Barracas Central win

19.1%

model 19.1%

493219

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 18.5%
0-0 15.8%
1-1 12.5%
2-0 11.6%
0-1 9.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	28.8%	Under 2.5	71.2%
BTTS yes	33.9%	BTTS no	66.1%
Belgrano (Córdoba) 1+	70.7%	Belgrano (Córdoba) 2+	34.7%
Barracas Central 1+	47.5%	Barracas Central 2+	13.7%

Expected goals 1.23 – 0.64. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Belgrano (Córdoba) carry the stronger rating, 1592 Elo against 1506.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Belgrano (Córdoba) have an estimated 48.6% win probability, against 32.3% for the draw and 19.1% for Barracas Central. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.23 for Belgrano (Córdoba) and 0.64 for Barracas Central.

Why Belgrano (Córdoba)

Belgrano (Córdoba) carry the stronger rating, 1592 Elo against 1506.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 32.3%. A combined 1.87 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Barracas Central can win

Nothing in the data singles out Barracas Central.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Belgrano (Córdoba), so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Barracas Central, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Belgrano (Córdoba): 57% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Barracas Central: 49% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Belgrano (Córdoba) are the model's most likely outcome at 48.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 18.5%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	453619	0.99–0.53	0-0 22%	20%	26%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win	45.4%	47.4%	41.8%	1.13×	2.11
Draw	35.7%	36.3%	30.7%	1.18×	2.75
Barracas Central to win	18.9%	19.4%	27.7%	0.70×	5.14

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) & not both score	36.5%	33.2%	27.7%	1.20×	3.02
Draw & not both score	22.2%	21.8%	14.9%	1.47×	4.58
Barracas Central & not both score	14.9%	13.3%	17.2%	0.77×	7.54
Draw & both teams score	13.5%	13.3%	15.9%	0.83×	7.54
Belgrano (Córdoba) & both teams score	8.9%	8.4%	14.2%	0.59×	11.93
Barracas Central & both teams score	4.0%	4.9%	10.6%	0.46×	20.34

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) & under 3.5	41.1%	40.3%	34.8%	1.16×	2.48
Draw & under 2.5	34.1%	30.8%	28.1%	1.10×	3.24
Draw & under 3.5	34.1%	30.8%	28.1%	1.10×	3.24
Belgrano (Córdoba) & under 2.5	31.9%	30.8%	23.6%	1.31×	3.24
Belgrano (Córdoba) & over 1.5	24.2%	21.6%	27.7%	0.78×	4.63
Draw & under 1.5	22.2%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
Belgrano (Córdoba) & under 1.5	21.2%	21.6%	14.2%	1.52×	4.63
Barracas Central & under 3.5	17.9%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
Belgrano (Córdoba) & over 2.5	13.5%	12.9%	18.3%	0.70×	7.76
Draw & over 1.5	13.5%	12.9%	15.9%	0.81×	7.76
Barracas Central & under 2.5	14.3%	12.9%	14.6%	0.88×	7.76
Barracas Central & under 1.5	11.2%	12.9%	10.3%	1.25×	7.76
Barracas Central & over 1.5	7.7%	7.9%	17.5%	0.45×	12.65
Barracas Central & over 2.5	4.6%	4.8%	13.2%	0.36×	20.85
Belgrano (Córdoba) & over 3.5	4.2%	4.8%	7.1%	0.68×	20.85
Draw & over 2.5	1.6%	4.8%	2.6%	1.82×	20.87
Draw & over 3.5	1.6%	4.8%	2.6%	1.82×	20.87
Barracas Central & over 3.5	1.0%	4.8%	4.2%	1.13×	20.87

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (1UP)	53.8%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Barracas Central (1UP)	28.8%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (2UP)	45.4%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Barracas Central (2UP)	18.9%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	49.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win 2nd half	33.9%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Barracas Central to win 2nd half	16.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.27

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central under 1.5 in 2nd half	95.9%	93.2%	—	—	1.07
Barracas Central under 0.5 in 2nd half	72.6%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Barracas Central over 0.5 in 2nd half	27.4%	24.8%	—	—	4.03
Barracas Central over 1.5 in 2nd half	4.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.76

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.9%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.8%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.2%	41.1%	—	—	2.44
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.1%	11.9%	—	—	8.40

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central (+2.5)	94.8%	92.1%	95.0%	0.97×	1.09
Barracas Central (+1.5)	82.0%	82.5%	82.5%	1.00×	1.21
Belgrano (Córdoba) (+0.5)	81.1%	82.4%	72.3%	1.14×	1.21
Barracas Central (+0.5)	54.6%	52.4%	58.2%	0.90×	1.91
Belgrano (Córdoba) (-0.5)	45.4%	47.6%	41.8%	1.14×	2.10
Barracas Central (-0.5)	18.9%	17.6%	27.7%	0.63×	5.70
Belgrano (Córdoba) (-1.5)	18.0%	17.5%	17.5%	1.00×	5.70
Belgrano (Córdoba) (-2.5)	5.2%	7.9%	5.0%	1.57×	12.62

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central to concede	62.9%	67.5%	68.1%	0.99×	1.48
Barracas Central clean sheet	37.1%	32.5%	31.9%	1.02×	3.08

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central clean sheet in 1st half	65.3%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Barracas Central to concede in 1st half	34.7%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central clean sheet in 2nd half	56.8%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Barracas Central to concede in 2nd half	43.2%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central under 6.5 corners	97.3%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Barracas Central under 5.5 corners	93.7%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Barracas Central under 4.5 corners	86.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Barracas Central under 3.5 corners	73.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Barracas Central under 2.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Barracas Central over 2.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Barracas Central over 3.5 corners	26.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Barracas Central over 4.5 corners	13.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Barracas Central over 5.5 corners	6.3%	10.0%	—	—	9.97
Barracas Central over 6.5 corners	2.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.12

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central under 3.5 goals	99.8%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Barracas Central under 2.5 goals	98.3%	97.5%	93.4%	1.04×	1.03
Barracas Central under 1.5 goals	90.0%	87.9%	78.1%	1.12×	1.14
Barracas Central under 0.5 goals	58.7%	59.4%	42.4%	1.40×	1.68
Barracas Central over 0.5 goals	41.3%	40.6%	57.6%	0.71×	2.46
Barracas Central over 1.5 goals	10.0%	12.1%	21.9%	0.55×	8.25
Barracas Central over 2.5 goals	1.7%	2.5%	6.6%	0.38×	40.09
Barracas Central over 3.5 goals	0.2%	2.5%	1.1%	2.18×	40.17

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central under 1.5 in 1st half	98.0%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Barracas Central under 0.5 in 1st half	80.8%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Barracas Central over 0.5 in 1st half	19.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.81
Barracas Central over 1.5 in 1st half	2.0%	4.0%	—	—	25.02

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central scores equally in both	62.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Barracas Central scores more in 2nd half	22.8%	22.4%	—	—	4.46
Barracas Central scores more in 1st half	14.4%	12.5%	—	—	7.98

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (away no bet)	56.0%	57.3%	57.7%	0.99×	1.75
Draw (away no bet)	44.0%	42.7%	42.3%	1.01×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central even goals	67.2%	65.1%	58.5%	1.11×	1.54
Barracas Central odd goals	32.8%	34.9%	41.5%	0.84×	2.86

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	97.0%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
Both halves over 1.5 goals	3.0%	2.9%	—	—	34.14

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	67.1%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Not both halves under 1.5	32.9%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	30.0%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score 2+ in a row	23.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Barracas Central to score 2+ in a row	7.8%	5.6%	—	—	17.70
Either team to score 3+ in a row	7.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.73
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score 3+ in a row	6.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.82
Barracas Central to score 3+ in a row	1.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.98

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (+3.5)	97.2%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (+2.5)	94.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (+1.5)	89.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Barracas Central corners (+3.5)	68.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (-1.5)	57.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Barracas Central corners (+2.5)	55.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (-2.5)	44.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Barracas Central corners (+1.5)	42.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (-3.5)	31.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Barracas Central corners (-1.5)	10.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Barracas Central corners (-2.5)	5.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Barracas Central corners (-3.5)	2.8%	4.2%	—	—	23.68

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	67.9%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
9-11 corners	22.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
12+ corners	9.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	93.9%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	90.3%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Under 10.5 corners	84.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 9.5 corners	77.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 8.5 corners	67.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 7.5 corners	56.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	43.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 8.5 corners	32.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 9.5 corners	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 10.5 corners	15.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Over 11.5 corners	9.7%	16.6%	—	—	6.01
Over 12.5 corners	6.1%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	22.2%	20.1%	14.9%	1.35×	4.97
1-0	21.2%	20.1%	14.2%	1.41×	4.99
1-1	11.9%	11.4%	13.4%	0.85×	8.74
0-1	11.2%	11.4%	10.3%	1.11×	8.74
2-0	10.7%	11.4%	9.5%	1.20×	8.74
2-1	5.7%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.50
0-2	3.1%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.30
0-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	3.00×	58.32
1-2	3.1%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.30
1-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.32
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.00×	58.32
2-2	1.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.32
2-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	14.99×	58.32
3-0	3.5%	1.7%	2.7%	0.62×	58.30
3-1	1.9%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.31
3-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.32
3-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.00×	58.32
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	14.99×	58.32
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.31
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.14×	58.32
4-2	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.00×	58.32
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.49×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.49×	58.32
Any other score	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (2nd half DNB)	66.9%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Barracas Central (2nd half DNB)	33.1%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) leading at HT (DNB)	69.2%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Barracas Central leading at HT (DNB)	30.8%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) or draw (1X)	81.1%	80.6%	72.3%	1.11×	1.24
Belgrano (Córdoba) or Barracas Central (12)	64.3%	63.7%	69.3%	0.92×	1.57
Barracas Central or draw (X2)	54.6%	52.6%	58.2%	0.90×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) or draw at HT	87.0%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Barracas Central or draw at HT	70.8%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Belgrano (Córdoba) or Barracas Central at HT	42.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) or draw (1UP)	81.1%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Barracas Central or draw (1UP)	54.6%	59.3%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) or draw in 2nd half	83.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.23
Barracas Central or draw in 2nd half	66.1%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Belgrano (Córdoba) or Barracas Central in 2nd half	50.7%	54.4%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	78.2%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Neither half drawn	21.8%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (DNB)	70.6%	71.4%	60.1%	1.19×	1.40
Barracas Central (DNB)	29.4%	28.6%	39.9%	0.72×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score first	50.6%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
Barracas Central to score first	27.2%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
No goal scored	22.2%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	73.6%	62.6%	59.5%	1.05×	1.60
Both teams to score	26.4%	37.4%	40.5%	0.92×	2.67

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	68.3%	57.5%	52.9%	1.09×	1.74
Both score & over 2.5	14.5%	12.3%	27.2%	0.45×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	11.9%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	5.3%	8.3%	6.8%	1.23×	12.01

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	97.4%	91.7%	94.1%	0.98×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	2.6%	8.3%	6.0%	1.39×	12.07

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	88.0%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Both teams to score in 2nd half	12.0%	11.7%	—	—	8.57

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	82.1%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both score 2nd half only	11.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.35
Both score 1st half only	5.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.85
Both score in both halves	0.8%	4.8%	—	—	20.62

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	93.3%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
Both teams to score by HT	6.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.22

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	72.0%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
A goal in each half	28.0%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	54.5%	41.7%	39.1%	1.07×	2.40
2-3 goals	38.6%	35.1%	47.3%	0.74×	2.85
4-6 goals	6.8%	7.6%	13.4%	0.57×	13.16
7+ goals	0.1%	1.8%	0.5%	3.98×	54.89

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central to score exactly 0	58.7%	52.2%	42.4%	1.23×	1.92
Barracas Central to score exactly 1	31.3%	33.7%	35.8%	0.94×	2.96
Barracas Central to score exactly 2	8.3%	8.5%	15.3%	0.56×	11.71
Barracas Central to score 3+	1.7%	4.5%	6.6%	0.68×	22.13

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score exactly 0	37.1%	35.6%	31.9%	1.12×	2.81
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	36.5%	0.98×	2.81
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score exactly 2	18.2%	18.9%	21.7%	0.87×	5.29
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score 3+	7.9%	10.3%	10.1%	1.03×	9.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	57.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Belgrano (Córdoba) leading at HT	29.2%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Barracas Central leading at HT	13.0%	11.9%	—	—	8.41

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) -1: 2	54.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Belgrano (Córdoba) -1: X	27.4%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Belgrano (Córdoba) -1: 1	18.0%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central (0:1)	54.6%	51.3%	58.2%	0.88×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	27.4%	27.0%	24.4%	1.11×	3.70
Belgrano (Córdoba) (0:1)	18.0%	17.8%	17.5%	1.02×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central (0:2)	82.0%	82.9%	82.5%	1.01×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.7%	10.9%	12.6%	0.87×	9.16
Belgrano (Córdoba) (0:2)	5.2%	7.7%	5.0%	1.53×	13.00

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central (0:3)	94.8%	92.7%	95.0%	0.98×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.0%	2.4%	3.4%	0.69×	42.05
Belgrano (Córdoba) (0:3)	1.2%	2.4%	1.7%	1.38×	42.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central (0:4)	98.8%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	1.3%	0.95×	83.64
Belgrano (Córdoba) (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	0.6%	2.09×	83.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (1:0)	81.1%	81.3%	72.3%	1.12×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	14.5%	12.8%	18.7%	0.69×	7.82
Barracas Central (1:0)	4.4%	3.3%	9.2%	0.36×	30.74

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (2:0)	95.6%	96.8%	90.8%	1.07×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.7%	2.3%	6.3%	0.36×	43.62
Barracas Central (2:0)	0.7%	2.3%	3.0%	0.77×	43.81

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	38.8%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Halves equal	36.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
1st half highest scoring	24.6%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) clean sheet	58.7%	60.9%	42.4%	1.43×	1.64
Belgrano (Córdoba) to concede	41.3%	39.1%	57.6%	0.68×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) clean sheet in 1st half	80.8%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Belgrano (Córdoba) to concede in 1st half	19.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.73

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) clean sheet in 2nd half	72.6%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Belgrano (Córdoba) to concede in 2nd half	27.4%	26.9%	—	—	3.72

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 2.5 corners	80.0%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 6.5 corners	77.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 5.5 corners	65.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 3.5 corners	64.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 4.5 corners	51.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 4.5 corners	48.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 3.5 corners	35.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 5.5 corners	34.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 6.5 corners	22.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 2.5 corners	20.0%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 3.5 goals	98.2%	96.3%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 2.5 goals	92.1%	92.2%	89.9%	1.03×	1.08
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 1.5 goals	73.9%	74.2%	68.3%	1.09×	1.35
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 0.5 goals	62.9%	63.5%	68.1%	0.93×	1.57
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 0.5 goals	37.1%	36.5%	31.9%	1.14×	2.74
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 1.5 goals	26.1%	25.8%	31.7%	0.81×	3.88
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 2.5 goals	7.9%	7.8%	10.1%	0.77×	12.87
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 3.5 goals	1.9%	3.7%	2.9%	1.28×	27.36

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 1.5 in 1st half	93.1%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 0.5 in 1st half	65.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 0.5 in 1st half	34.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 1.5 in 1st half	6.9%	4.5%	—	—	22.02

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) scores equally in both	46.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Belgrano (Córdoba) scores more in 2nd half	31.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Belgrano (Córdoba) scores more in 1st half	22.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	65.3%	63.9%	52.5%	1.22×	1.57
Barracas Central (home no bet)	34.7%	36.1%	47.5%	0.76×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) even goals	56.9%	55.3%	55.7%	0.99×	1.81
Belgrano (Córdoba) odd goals	43.1%	44.7%	44.3%	1.01×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	52.8%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
HT 1-0	22.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	11.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 1-1	4.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.35
HT 2-0	4.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.35
HT 0-2	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.62
HT 2-1	1.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.63
Any other HT score	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.63
HT 1-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.67
HT 2-2	0.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.70

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	28.9%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Belgrano (Córdoba) at HT / Belgrano (Córdoba) at FT	25.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Draw at HT / Belgrano (Córdoba) at FT	19.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Barracas Central at FT	9.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
Barracas Central at HT / Barracas Central at FT	8.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
Belgrano (Córdoba) at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Barracas Central at HT / Draw at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Barracas Central at HT / Belgrano (Córdoba) at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Belgrano (Córdoba) at HT / Barracas Central at FT	0.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score last	50.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Barracas Central to score last	27.1%	27.0%	—	—	3.71
No goal scored	22.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	77.8%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Belgrano (Córdoba) to lead by 1 at any time	53.8%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Barracas Central to lead by 1 at any time	28.8%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	26.3%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Belgrano (Córdoba) to lead by 2 at any time	20.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	6.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.13
Barracas Central to lead by 2 at any time	5.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.17
Belgrano (Córdoba) to lead by 3 at any time	5.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.18
Barracas Central to lead by 3 at any time	0.9%	1.6%	—	—	63.53

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) most corners	70.2%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Barracas Central most corners	18.9%	19.1%	—	—	5.24
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	77.4%	78.6%	84.2%	0.93×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.9%	78.6%	79.9%	0.98×	1.27
1-3 goals	71.0%	72.4%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
1-2 goals	58.1%	59.1%	51.4%	1.15×	1.69
2-6 goals	45.4%	48.6%	60.5%	0.80×	2.06
2-5 goals	45.0%	43.6%	60.0%	0.73×	2.30
2-4 goals	43.5%	43.6%	55.6%	0.78×	2.30
2-3 goals	38.6%	39.2%	47.3%	0.83×	2.55
3-6 goals	19.6%	18.7%	33.5%	0.56×	5.34
3-5 goals	19.3%	18.7%	33.0%	0.57×	5.34
3-4 goals	17.8%	18.7%	28.6%	0.66×	5.34
4-6 goals	6.8%	8.8%	13.4%	0.66×	11.32
4-5 goals	6.4%	8.8%	12.8%	0.69×	11.33
5-6 goals	1.9%	2.6%	5.0%	0.51×	39.16
7+ goals	0.1%	2.5%	0.5%	5.57×	39.24

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) never behind	49.1%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Barracas Central never behind	24.1%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.8%	50.8%	49.1%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.2%	49.2%	50.9%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	64.0%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Odd goals in 1st half	36.0%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	58.8%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Odd goals in 2nd half	41.2%	38.9%	—	—	2.57

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	99.5%	95.4%	99.0%	0.96×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	98.0%	95.4%	94.6%	1.01×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	93.1%	92.2%	86.3%	1.07×	1.08
Under 2.5 goals	80.3%	82.3%	66.1%	1.24×	1.22
Over 0.5 goals	77.8%	77.4%	85.1%	0.91×	1.29
Under 1.5 goals	54.5%	52.6%	39.1%	1.34×	1.90
Over 1.5 goals	45.5%	47.4%	60.9%	0.78×	2.11
Under 0.5 goals	22.2%	22.6%	14.9%	1.52×	4.42
Over 2.5 goals	19.7%	17.7%	33.9%	0.52×	5.65
Over 3.5 goals	6.9%	7.8%	13.7%	0.57×	12.87
Over 4.5 goals	2.0%	4.6%	5.4%	0.85×	21.95
Over 5.5 goals	0.5%	4.6%	1.0%	4.42×	21.98

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.9%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	99.5%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	97.9%	97.2%	94.1%	1.03×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	92.1%	92.4%	82.8%	1.12×	1.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	73.4%	72.5%	53.6%	1.35×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	26.6%	27.5%	46.4%	0.59×	3.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	7.9%	7.6%	17.2%	0.44×	13.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	2.1%	2.8%	5.9%	0.48×	35.86
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	0.5%	2.8%	1.1%	2.59×	35.91
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.1%	2.8%	0.5%	6.05×	35.92

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	97.3%	97.7%	—	—	1.02
Under 1.5 in 1st half	86.4%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Under 0.5 in 1st half	52.8%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Over 0.5 in 1st half	47.2%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Over 1.5 in 1st half	13.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
Over 2.5 in 1st half	2.7%	2.3%	—	—	44.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	94.0%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	6.0%	10.2%	—	—	9.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central not to score in both halves	94.7%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Belgrano (Córdoba) not to score in both halves	85.0%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score in both halves	15.0%	14.4%	—	—	6.96
Barracas Central to score in both halves	5.3%	9.2%	—	—	10.93

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Belgrano (Córdoba) scores	36.5%	39.8%	27.7%	1.44×	2.51
Both teams score	26.4%	26.0%	40.5%	0.64×	3.84
Neither team scores	22.2%	22.3%	14.9%	1.50×	4.49
Only Barracas Central scores	14.9%	11.0%	17.2%	0.64×	9.09

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	32.4%	25.4%	24.4%	1.04×	3.94
Exactly 2 goals	25.7%	24.9%	27.1%	0.92×	4.02
Exactly 0 goals	22.2%	22.6%	14.9%	1.52×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	12.9%	12.1%	20.3%	0.60×	8.27
Exactly 4 goals	4.9%	4.5%	8.5%	0.53×	22.40
Exactly 5 goals	1.5%	4.5%	4.5%	1.00×	22.45
6 or more goals	0.5%	4.5%	1.0%	4.32×	22.47

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	52.8%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 1st half	33.6%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	10.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.23
3+ goals in 1st half	2.7%	2.3%	—	—	44.08

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 2nd half	41.4%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
1 goal in 2nd half	36.3%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
2+ goals in 2nd half	22.3%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central not to win both halves	97.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Belgrano (Córdoba) not to win both halves	90.0%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win both halves	10.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.41
Barracas Central to win both halves	2.2%	2.8%	—	—	36.33

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central to win neither half	72.4%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win either half	53.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win neither half	46.9%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Barracas Central to win either half	27.6%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central not to win to nil	85.1%	88.1%	82.8%	1.06×	1.14
Belgrano (Córdoba) not to win to nil	63.5%	66.8%	72.3%	0.92×	1.50
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win to nil	36.5%	33.2%	27.7%	1.20×	3.01
Barracas Central to win to nil	14.9%	11.9%	17.2%	0.69×	8.43

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	35.7%	34.6%	30.7%	1.13×	2.89
Belgrano (Córdoba) by 1	27.4%	27.9%	24.4%	1.14×	3.59
Barracas Central by 1	14.5%	11.8%	18.7%	0.63×	8.49
Belgrano (Córdoba) by 2	12.7%	11.8%	12.6%	0.94×	8.49
Belgrano (Córdoba) by 3+	5.2%	7.2%	5.0%	1.44×	13.82
Barracas Central by 2	3.7%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	36.64
Barracas Central by 3+	0.7%	2.7%	3.0%	0.92×	36.73