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Blackburn Rovers v Charlton Athletic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Blackburn Rovers win
38.9%
model 36.5%
Draw
30.5%
model 31.7%
Charlton Athletic win
30.5%
model 31.8%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 14.9%
  2. 0-0 11.8%
  3. 1-0 10.6%
  4. 0-1 9.6%
  5. 2-1 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.539.9% Under 2.560.1%
BTTS yes47.8% BTTS no52.2%
Blackburn Rovers 1+69.5% Blackburn Rovers 2+33.3%
Charlton Athletic 1+66.4% Charlton Athletic 2+29.8%

Expected goals 1.19 – 1.09. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
43/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
94%
★ Best pick
Under 2.5 goals
Over/Under · usually 52%
62.0% fair odds 1.61
moderate signal · 1198 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Charlton Athletic (0:2)
Handicap 0:2 · usually 81%
83.7% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Blackburn Rovers.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Blackburn Rovers have an estimated 38.9% win probability, against 30.5% for Charlton Athletic and 30.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.19 for Blackburn Rovers and 1.09 for Charlton Athletic.

Why Blackburn Rovers

Nothing in the data singles out Blackburn Rovers.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.5%. A combined 2.28 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.19 to 1.09. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Charlton Athletic can win

Charlton Athletic carry the stronger rating, 1437 Elo against 1407. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Blackburn Rovers, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Charlton Athletic, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Blackburn Rovers: 50% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Charlton Athletic: 36% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Blackburn Rovers are the model's most likely outcome at 38.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.9%. Confidence 43/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.19–1.09 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.95–1.03 0-0 16% 32% 41%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic to win 34.9% 30.4% 29.1% 1.05× 3.29
Draw 34.3% 30.4% 27.6% 1.10× 3.29
Blackburn Rovers to win 30.7% 30.4% 43.4% 0.70× 3.29
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic & not both score 23.3% 21.8% 15.2% 1.43× 4.58
Blackburn Rovers & not both score 20.3% 21.8% 23.3% 0.94× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 18.8% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.56
Draw & not both score 15.5% 18.0% 7.3% 2.46× 5.57
Charlton Athletic & both teams score 11.7% 13.3% 13.9% 0.95× 7.54
Blackburn Rovers & both teams score 10.4% 13.3% 20.2% 0.66× 7.54
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw & under 2.5 30.7% 30.8% 21.8% 1.41× 3.25
Draw & under 3.5 30.7% 30.8% 21.8% 1.41× 3.25
Charlton Athletic & under 3.5 29.4% 26.1% 22.3% 1.17× 3.84
Blackburn Rovers & under 3.5 26.1% 26.1% 32.4% 0.80× 3.84
Charlton Athletic & over 1.5 22.3% 21.6% 21.4% 1.01× 4.63
Charlton Athletic & under 2.5 20.0% 18.0% 12.9% 1.39× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 18.8% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.56
Blackburn Rovers & over 1.5 19.2% 18.0% 32.5% 0.55× 5.56
Blackburn Rovers & under 2.5 17.8% 18.0% 17.1% 1.05× 5.56
Draw & under 1.5 15.5% 18.0% 7.3% 2.46× 5.56
Charlton Athletic & over 2.5 15.0% 12.8% 16.2% 0.79× 7.79
Charlton Athletic & under 1.5 12.7% 12.8% 7.7% 1.66× 7.79
Blackburn Rovers & over 2.5 13.0% 12.8% 26.4% 0.49× 7.79
Blackburn Rovers & under 1.5 11.5% 12.8% 11.0% 1.16× 7.79
Charlton Athletic & over 3.5 5.5% 7.9% 6.8% 1.16× 12.63
Blackburn Rovers & over 3.5 4.6% 4.8% 11.1% 0.43× 20.81
Draw & over 2.5 3.7% 4.8% 5.9% 0.81× 20.81
Draw & over 3.5 3.7% 4.8% 5.9% 0.81× 20.81
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic (1UP) 48.4% 44.0% — — 2.28
Blackburn Rovers (1UP) 44.6% 38.7% — — 2.59
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic (2UP) 34.9% 30.6% — — 3.26
Blackburn Rovers (2UP) 30.7% 30.4% — — 3.29
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 44.0% 42.1% — — 2.37
Charlton Athletic to win 2nd half 30.5% 34.3% — — 2.92
Blackburn Rovers to win 2nd half 25.6% 25.8% — — 3.87
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 in 2nd half 87.3% 87.0% — — 1.15
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 in 2nd half 54.0% 52.5% — — 1.91
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 in 2nd half 46.0% 47.5% — — 2.10
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 in 2nd half 12.7% 13.0% — — 7.69
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers under 1.5 in 2nd half 89.8% 88.6% — — 1.13
Blackburn Rovers under 0.5 in 2nd half 58.3% 58.0% — — 1.73
Blackburn Rovers over 0.5 in 2nd half 41.7% 42.0% — — 2.38
Blackburn Rovers over 1.5 in 2nd half 10.2% 11.4% — — 8.78
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic (+2.5) 96.8% 96.3% 91.9% 1.05× 1.04
Charlton Athletic (+1.5) 88.3% 88.5% 80.7% 1.10× 1.13
Charlton Athletic (+0.5) 69.3% 68.7% 56.6% 1.21× 1.46
Blackburn Rovers (+0.5) 65.1% 68.6% 70.9% 0.97× 1.46
Charlton Athletic (-0.5) 34.9% 31.4% 29.1% 1.08× 3.19
Blackburn Rovers (-0.5) 30.7% 31.3% 43.4% 0.72× 3.19
Blackburn Rovers (-1.5) 11.7% 11.5% 19.3% 0.60× 8.67
Blackburn Rovers (-2.5) 3.2% 3.7% 8.1% 0.46× 27.10
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic to concede 61.2% 67.5% 77.6% 0.87× 1.48
Charlton Athletic clean sheet 38.8% 32.5% 22.4% 1.45× 3.08
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic clean sheet in 1st half 66.6% 70.7% — — 1.41
Charlton Athletic to concede in 1st half 33.4% 29.3% — — 3.41
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic clean sheet in 2nd half 58.3% 57.3% — — 1.75
Charlton Athletic to concede in 2nd half 41.7% 42.7% — — 2.34
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic under 6.5 corners 78.8% 76.0% — — 1.32
Charlton Athletic over 2.5 corners 72.7% 71.6% — — 1.40
Charlton Athletic under 5.5 corners 69.2% 67.6% — — 1.48
Charlton Athletic over 3.5 corners 57.5% 57.2% — — 1.75
Charlton Athletic under 4.5 corners 57.0% 57.2% — — 1.75
Charlton Athletic over 4.5 corners 43.0% 42.8% — — 2.33
Charlton Athletic under 3.5 corners 42.5% 42.8% — — 2.33
Charlton Athletic over 5.5 corners 30.8% 32.4% — — 3.09
Charlton Athletic under 2.5 corners 27.3% 28.4% — — 3.52
Charlton Athletic over 6.5 corners 21.2% 24.0% — — 4.17
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic under 3.5 goals 97.9% 97.5% 97.8% 1.00× 1.03
Charlton Athletic under 2.5 goals 91.5% 92.3% 90.6% 1.02× 1.08
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 goals 72.6% 71.9% 70.0% 1.03× 1.39
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 goals 64.2% 63.2% 69.5% 0.91× 1.58
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 goals 35.8% 36.8% 30.5% 1.21× 2.72
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 goals 27.4% 28.1% 30.0% 0.94× 3.56
Charlton Athletic over 2.5 goals 8.5% 7.7% 9.4% 0.81× 13.05
Charlton Athletic over 3.5 goals 2.1% 2.5% 2.2% 1.13× 39.93
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 in 1st half 93.6% 94.1% — — 1.06
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 in 1st half 66.3% 69.6% — — 1.44
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 in 1st half 33.7% 30.4% — — 3.29
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 in 1st half 6.4% 5.9% — — 16.81
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic scores equally in both 45.5% 47.7% — — 2.10
Charlton Athletic scores more in 2nd half 34.1% 33.5% — — 2.99
Charlton Athletic scores more in 1st half 20.4% 22.1% — — 4.53
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 52.8% 51.7% 38.9% 1.33× 1.94
Blackburn Rovers (away no bet) 47.2% 48.3% 61.1% 0.79× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic even goals 56.4% 56.9% 52.4% 1.09× 1.76
Charlton Athletic odd goals 43.6% 43.1% 47.6% 0.91× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 93.7% 92.4% — — 1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals 6.3% 7.6% — — 13.15
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 53.7% 50.8% — — 1.97
Not both halves under 1.5 46.3% 49.2% — — 2.03
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 39.3% 36.7% — — 2.73
Charlton Athletic to score 2+ in a row 22.4% 19.6% — — 5.10
Blackburn Rovers to score 2+ in a row 19.5% 16.3% — — 6.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row 10.5% 12.0% — — 8.34
Charlton Athletic to score 3+ in a row 5.9% 5.5% — — 18.09
Blackburn Rovers to score 3+ in a row 4.7% 2.6% — — 37.91
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers corners (+3.5) 91.9% 89.6% — — 1.12
Blackburn Rovers corners (+2.5) 88.2% 84.5% — — 1.18
Blackburn Rovers corners (+1.5) 83.3% 79.8% — — 1.25
Blackburn Rovers corners (-1.5) 62.2% 61.8% — — 1.62
Charlton Athletic corners (+3.5) 54.3% 52.4% — — 1.91
Blackburn Rovers corners (-2.5) 53.9% 52.4% — — 1.91
Charlton Athletic corners (+2.5) 46.1% 47.6% — — 2.10
Blackburn Rovers corners (-3.5) 45.7% 47.6% — — 2.10
Charlton Athletic corners (+1.5) 37.8% 38.2% — — 2.62
Charlton Athletic corners (-1.5) 16.7% 20.2% — — 4.94
Charlton Athletic corners (-2.5) 11.8% 15.5% — — 6.45
Charlton Athletic corners (-3.5) 8.1% 10.4% — — 9.59
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 50.9% 45.2% — — 2.21
0-8 corners 25.5% 31.2% — — 3.21
9-11 corners 23.6% 25.7% — — 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 81.5% 80.7% — — 1.24
Over 8.5 corners 74.5% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 9.5 corners 66.8% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 10.5 corners 58.9% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 12.5 corners 56.7% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 11.5 corners 50.9% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 11.5 corners 49.1% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 12.5 corners 43.3% 42.1% — — 2.38
Under 10.5 corners 41.1% 42.1% — — 2.38
Under 9.5 corners 33.2% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 8.5 corners 25.5% 27.5% — — 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 18.5% 19.3% — — 5.18
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-0 15.5% 13.8% 7.3% 1.89× 7.24
1-1 15.1% 13.8% 14.5% 0.95× 7.24
0-1 12.7% 11.5% 7.7% 1.48× 8.72
1-0 11.5% 11.5% 11.0% 1.04× 8.72
0-2 7.3% 7.4% 5.3% 1.41× 13.51
1-2 6.9% 7.4% 8.0% 0.93× 13.51
2-0 6.2% 7.4% 6.1% 1.21× 13.51
2-1 6.4% 7.4% 11.5% 0.65× 13.51
0-3 2.5% 1.7% 1.6% 1.06× 58.31
0-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.4% 4.04× 58.32
1-3 2.4% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.31
1-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.6% 2.88× 58.32
2-2 3.3% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.30
2-3 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.01× 58.31
2-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.3% 6.73× 58.32
3-0 2.0% 1.7% 4.0% 0.43× 58.31
3-1 2.0% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.31
3-2 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 0.96× 58.31
3-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.9% 2.02× 58.32
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 6.73× 58.32
4-0 0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.01× 58.32
4-1 0.5% 1.7% 0.9% 2.02× 58.32
4-2 0.2% 1.7% 0.8% 2.24× 58.32
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 10.09× 58.32
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 20.18× 58.32
Any other score 0.7% 1.7% 3.0% 0.58× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic (2nd half DNB) 54.4% 53.0% — — 1.89
Blackburn Rovers (2nd half DNB) 45.6% 47.0% — — 2.13
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic leading at HT (DNB) 50.3% 55.6% — — 1.80
Blackburn Rovers leading at HT (DNB) 49.7% 44.4% — — 2.25
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic or draw (X2) 69.3% 69.6% 56.6% 1.23× 1.44
Blackburn Rovers or Charlton Athletic (12) 65.7% 69.6% 72.4% 0.96× 1.44
Blackburn Rovers or draw (1X) 65.1% 69.6% 70.9% 0.98× 1.44
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic or draw at HT 76.3% 79.2% — — 1.26
Blackburn Rovers or draw at HT 76.1% 79.2% — — 1.26
Blackburn Rovers or Charlton Athletic at HT 47.6% 52.3% — — 1.91
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic or draw (1UP) 69.3% 76.4% — — 1.31
Blackburn Rovers or draw (1UP) 65.1% 76.1% — — 1.32
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic or draw in 2nd half 74.4% 74.2% — — 1.35
Blackburn Rovers or draw in 2nd half 69.5% 65.7% — — 1.52
Blackburn Rovers or Charlton Athletic in 2nd half 56.0% 57.9% — — 1.73
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 71.7% 71.2% — — 1.41
Neither half drawn 28.3% 28.8% — — 3.47
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic (DNB) 53.2% 51.0% 40.1% 1.27× 1.96
Blackburn Rovers (DNB) 46.8% 49.0% 59.9% 0.82× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic to score first 43.9% 41.8% — — 2.40
Blackburn Rovers to score first 40.5% 41.6% — — 2.41
No goal scored 15.5% 16.7% — — 5.98
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 59.1% 55.0% 45.6% 1.21× 1.82
Both teams to score 40.9% 45.0% 54.4% 0.83× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 53.3% 47.3% 37.1% 1.27× 2.12
Both score & over 2.5 25.7% 33.3% 39.9% 0.83× 3.00
Both score & under 2.5 15.1% 21.5% 14.5% 1.48× 4.65
Not both score & over 2.5 5.8% 8.3% 8.6% 0.97× 12.08
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 93.3% 89.0% 89.0% 1.00× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 6.7% 11.0% 11.0% 1.00× 9.10
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 80.3% 72.2% — — 1.39
Both teams to score in 2nd half 19.7% 27.8% — — 3.60
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 70.9% 67.2% — — 1.49
Both score 2nd half only 17.6% 15.0% — — 6.67
Both score 1st half only 9.4% 6.9% — — 14.59
Both score in both halves 2.2% 4.8% — — 20.63
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 88.5% 85.5% — — 1.17
Both teams to score by HT 11.5% 14.5% — — 6.92
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 61.0% 59.6% — — 1.68
A goal in each half 39.0% 40.4% — — 2.48
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.5% 47.2% 50.5% 0.94× 2.12
0-1 goals 39.7% 35.2% 25.9% 1.36× 2.85
4-6 goals 13.4% 16.9% 22.4% 0.75× 5.91
7+ goals 0.4% 1.8% 1.4% 1.35× 54.46
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 1 36.8% 35.9% 39.6% 0.91× 2.78
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 0 35.8% 35.9% 30.5% 1.18× 2.78
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 2 18.9% 19.6% 20.6% 0.95× 5.11
Charlton Athletic to score 3+ 8.5% 8.6% 9.4% 0.91× 11.69
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers to score exactly 0 38.8% 35.6% 22.4% 1.59× 2.81
Blackburn Rovers to score exactly 1 36.7% 35.6% 37.0% 0.96× 2.81
Blackburn Rovers to score exactly 2 17.4% 18.8% 24.6% 0.76× 5.33
Blackburn Rovers to score 3+ 7.1% 10.3% 16.1% 0.64× 9.72
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 52.4% 47.7% — — 2.10
Charlton Athletic leading at HT 23.9% 20.8% — — 4.81
Blackburn Rovers leading at HT 23.7% 20.8% — — 4.81
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic -1: 1 65.1% 67.8% — — 1.48
Charlton Athletic -1: X 20.8% 23.5% — — 4.26
Charlton Athletic -1: 2 14.1% 14.0% — — 7.14
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:1) 69.3% 65.3% 56.6% 1.15× 1.53
Draw (0:1) 19.1% 17.8% 24.2% 0.74× 5.61
Blackburn Rovers (0:1) 11.7% 13.7% 19.3% 0.71× 7.30
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:2) 88.3% 87.1% 80.7% 1.08× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 8.5% 7.7% 11.3% 0.68× 13.03
Blackburn Rovers (0:2) 3.2% 3.7% 8.1% 0.46× 26.69
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:3) 96.8% 96.6% 91.9% 1.05× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 2.5% 2.4% 4.8% 0.50× 42.10
Blackburn Rovers (0:3) 0.7% 2.4% 3.4% 0.70× 42.18
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:4) 99.3% 98.1% 96.6% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.6% 1.2% 2.4% 0.51× 82.04
Blackburn Rovers (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.10× 82.09
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers (1:0) 65.1% 70.1% 70.9% 0.99× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 20.8% 21.7% 17.4% 1.24× 4.61
Charlton Athletic (1:0) 14.1% 12.7% 11.7% 1.08× 7.87
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers (2:0) 85.9% 88.5% 88.3% 1.00× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 10.0% 10.3% 8.6% 1.20× 9.74
Charlton Athletic (2:0) 4.1% 2.3% 3.2% 0.71× 43.57
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 42.3% 44.3% — — 2.26
Halves equal 32.9% 30.5% — — 3.28
1st half highest scoring 24.8% 24.5% — — 4.08
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers to concede 64.2% 63.7% 69.5% 0.92× 1.57
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet 35.8% 36.3% 30.5% 1.19× 2.75
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet in 1st half 66.3% 69.9% — — 1.43
Blackburn Rovers to concede in 1st half 33.7% 30.1% — — 3.32
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet in 2nd half 54.0% 52.6% — — 1.90
Blackburn Rovers to concede in 2nd half 46.0% 47.4% — — 2.11
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers over 2.5 corners 91.5% 89.2% — — 1.12
Blackburn Rovers over 3.5 corners 84.3% 81.0% — — 1.24
Blackburn Rovers over 4.5 corners 75.5% 76.5% — — 1.31
Blackburn Rovers over 5.5 corners 65.7% 66.7% — — 1.50
Blackburn Rovers over 6.5 corners 55.8% 57.5% — — 1.74
Blackburn Rovers under 6.5 corners 44.2% 42.5% — — 2.35
Blackburn Rovers under 5.5 corners 34.3% 33.3% — — 3.01
Blackburn Rovers under 4.5 corners 24.5% 23.5% — — 4.26
Blackburn Rovers under 3.5 corners 15.7% 19.0% — — 5.25
Blackburn Rovers under 2.5 corners 8.5% 10.8% — — 9.27
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers under 3.5 goals 98.4% 96.4% 94.8% 1.02× 1.04
Blackburn Rovers under 2.5 goals 92.9% 92.2% 83.9% 1.10× 1.08
Blackburn Rovers under 1.5 goals 75.6% 77.7% 59.4% 1.31× 1.29
Blackburn Rovers over 0.5 goals 61.2% 63.6% 77.6% 0.82× 1.57
Blackburn Rovers under 0.5 goals 38.8% 36.4% 22.4% 1.62× 2.75
Blackburn Rovers over 1.5 goals 24.4% 22.3% 40.6% 0.55× 4.49
Blackburn Rovers over 2.5 goals 7.1% 7.8% 16.1% 0.48× 12.89
Blackburn Rovers over 3.5 goals 1.6% 3.6% 5.2% 0.70× 27.59
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers under 1.5 in 1st half 93.7% 94.8% — — 1.06
Blackburn Rovers under 0.5 in 1st half 66.6% 69.0% — — 1.45
Blackburn Rovers over 0.5 in 1st half 33.4% 31.0% — — 3.23
Blackburn Rovers over 1.5 in 1st half 6.3% 5.2% — — 19.29
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers scores equally in both 47.8% 47.2% — — 2.12
Blackburn Rovers scores more in 2nd half 30.6% 33.1% — — 3.02
Blackburn Rovers scores more in 1st half 21.6% 21.2% — — 4.71
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic (home no bet) 50.4% 51.3% 51.3% 1.00× 1.95
Draw (home no bet) 49.6% 48.7% 48.7% 1.00× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers even goals 57.5% 55.3% 50.5% 1.10× 1.81
Blackburn Rovers odd goals 42.5% 44.7% 49.5% 0.90× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 44.4% 40.4% — — 2.47
HT 0-1 17.8% 18.6% — — 5.37
HT 1-0 17.7% 18.6% — — 5.37
HT 1-1 7.7% 6.9% — — 14.47
HT 0-2 3.7% 2.4% — — 42.05
HT 2-0 3.7% 2.4% — — 42.06
HT 1-2 1.5% 2.4% — — 42.20
HT 2-1 1.5% 2.4% — — 42.20
Any other HT score 1.7% 2.4% — — 42.19
HT 2-2 0.3% 2.4% — — 42.28
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 24.7% 21.7% — — 4.60
Charlton Athletic at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT 18.2% 16.8% — — 5.97
Blackburn Rovers at HT / Blackburn Rovers at FT 16.9% 16.7% — — 5.97
Draw at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT 15.1% 16.7% — — 5.98
Draw at HT / Blackburn Rovers at FT 12.6% 12.7% — — 7.90
Blackburn Rovers at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.0% — — 16.68
Charlton Athletic at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.5% — — 28.63
Blackburn Rovers at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT 1.7% 3.5% — — 28.73
Charlton Athletic at HT / Blackburn Rovers at FT 1.2% 3.5% — — 28.74
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic to score last 44.0% 40.1% — — 2.49
Blackburn Rovers to score last 40.5% 39.9% — — 2.51
No goal scored 15.5% 12.8% — — 7.83
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 84.5% 88.0% — — 1.14
Charlton Athletic to lead by 1 at any time 48.4% 44.6% — — 2.24
Blackburn Rovers to lead by 1 at any time 44.6% 39.2% — — 2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 33.0% 29.9% — — 3.35
Charlton Athletic to lead by 2 at any time 17.9% 14.9% — — 6.69
Blackburn Rovers to lead by 2 at any time 15.2% 14.9% — — 6.71
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 8.9% 6.7% — — 14.85
Charlton Athletic to lead by 3 at any time 5.0% 6.7% — — 15.02
Blackburn Rovers to lead by 3 at any time 3.9% 1.6% — — 60.90
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers most corners 70.1% 70.5% — — 1.42
Charlton Athletic most corners 22.8% 25.9% — — 3.87
Corners level 7.1% 8.3% — — 11.98
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 82.9% 83.4% 88.8% 0.94× 1.20
1-4 goals 79.4% 78.7% 83.3% 0.94× 1.27
1-3 goals 70.7% 72.4% 69.1% 1.05× 1.38
2-6 goals 59.8% 59.1% 72.8% 0.81× 1.69
2-5 goals 58.7% 59.1% 70.2% 0.84× 1.69
2-4 goals 55.2% 59.1% 64.7% 0.91× 1.69
1-2 goals 52.9% 53.2% 44.4% 1.20× 1.88
2-3 goals 46.5% 48.5% 50.5% 0.96× 2.06
3-6 goals 31.2% 35.2% 47.2% 0.75× 2.84
3-5 goals 30.0% 35.2% 44.5% 0.79× 2.84
3-4 goals 26.6% 30.2% 39.1% 0.77× 3.31
4-6 goals 13.4% 14.8% 22.4% 0.66× 6.75
4-5 goals 12.2% 14.8% 19.8% 0.75× 6.75
5-6 goals 4.6% 2.6% 8.2% 0.31× 39.02
7+ goals 0.4% 2.6% 1.4% 1.88× 39.21
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic never behind 39.9% 44.2% — — 2.26
Blackburn Rovers never behind 36.0% 44.0% — — 2.28
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 45.8% 50.9% 49.4% 1.03× 1.97
Even number of goals 54.2% 49.1% 50.6% 0.97× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 60.3% 58.1% — — 1.72
Odd goals in 1st half 39.7% 41.9% — — 2.38
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 56.1% 59.2% — — 1.69
Odd goals in 2nd half 43.9% 40.8% — — 2.45
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 98.4% 95.4% 96.0% 0.99× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 95.0% 92.3% 90.6% 1.02× 1.08
Under 3.5 goals 86.2% 87.6% 76.3% 1.15× 1.14
Over 0.5 goals 84.5% 82.3% 92.7% 0.89× 1.22
Under 2.5 goals 68.4% 66.3% 51.6% 1.29× 1.51
Over 1.5 goals 60.3% 61.7% 74.1% 0.83× 1.62
Under 1.5 goals 39.7% 38.3% 25.9% 1.48× 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 31.6% 33.7% 48.4% 0.70× 2.97
Under 0.5 goals 15.5% 17.7% 7.3% 2.42× 5.65
Over 3.5 goals 13.8% 12.4% 23.7% 0.52× 8.06
Over 4.5 goals 5.0% 7.7% 9.4% 0.82× 12.95
Over 5.5 goals 1.6% 4.6% 4.0% 1.14× 21.90
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.6% 97.2% 98.6% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 98.4% 97.2% 95.8% 1.01× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 94.5% 92.4% 89.0% 1.04× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 83.2% 81.1% 68.5% 1.18× 1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 55.7% 55.8% 34.9% 1.60× 1.79
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 44.3% 44.2% 65.1% 0.68× 2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 16.8% 18.9% 31.5% 0.60× 5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 5.5% 7.6% 11.0% 0.69× 13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 1.6% 2.8% 4.2% 0.67× 35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.4% 2.8% 1.4% 2.01× 35.64
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 95.0% 95.9% — — 1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half 80.0% 78.5% — — 1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half 55.6% 63.6% — — 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 44.4% 36.4% — — 2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half 20.0% 21.5% — — 4.65
Over 2.5 in 1st half 5.0% 4.1% — — 24.54
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 88.9% 85.6% — — 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 67.9% 68.8% — — 1.45
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 67.3% 68.8% — — 1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 32.7% 31.2% — — 3.20
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 32.1% 31.2% — — 3.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 11.1% 14.4% — — 6.92
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers not to score in both halves 86.1% 85.5% — — 1.17
Charlton Athletic not to score in both halves 84.5% 84.4% — — 1.19
Charlton Athletic to score in both halves 15.5% 15.6% — — 6.40
Blackburn Rovers to score in both halves 13.9% 14.5% — — 6.88
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 40.9% 46.5% 54.4% 0.86× 2.15
Only Charlton Athletic scores 23.3% 22.3% 15.2% 1.46× 4.49
Only Blackburn Rovers scores 20.3% 22.2% 23.3% 0.96× 4.50
Neither team scores 15.5% 16.0% 7.3% 2.19× 6.25
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 28.7% 24.9% 25.7% 0.97× 4.02
Exactly 1 goals 24.2% 22.6% 18.7% 1.21× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 17.8% 17.5% 24.8% 0.70× 5.73
Exactly 0 goals 15.5% 17.5% 7.3% 2.39× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 8.8% 7.6% 14.4% 0.53× 13.13
Exactly 5 goals 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 0.81× 22.39
6 or more goals 1.6% 4.5% 4.0% 1.12× 22.42
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 44.4% 40.4% — — 2.47
1 goal in 1st half 35.5% 37.3% — — 2.68
2 goals in 1st half 15.0% 15.6% — — 6.42
3+ goals in 1st half 5.0% 4.1% — — 24.54
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 2nd half 35.3% 38.8% — — 2.58
2+ goals in 2nd half 32.7% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 32.1% 33.8% — — 2.95
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers not to win both halves 93.7% 94.1% — — 1.06
Charlton Athletic not to win both halves 92.5% 94.1% — — 1.06
Charlton Athletic to win both halves 7.5% 5.9% — — 16.98
Blackburn Rovers to win both halves 6.3% 5.9% — — 17.07
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers to win neither half 57.0% 59.1% — — 1.69
Charlton Athletic to win neither half 53.1% 54.3% — — 1.84
Charlton Athletic to win either half 46.9% 45.7% — — 2.19
Blackburn Rovers to win either half 43.0% 40.9% — — 2.45
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Blackburn Rovers not to win to nil 79.7% 78.2% 76.7% 1.02× 1.28
Charlton Athletic not to win to nil 76.7% 78.1% 84.8% 0.92× 1.28
Charlton Athletic to win to nil 23.3% 21.9% 15.2% 1.44× 4.57
Blackburn Rovers to win to nil 20.3% 21.8% 23.3% 0.94× 4.58
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 34.3% 27.7% 27.6% 1.00× 3.61
Charlton Athletic by 1 20.8% 24.1% 17.4% 1.38× 4.15
Blackburn Rovers by 1 19.1% 17.1% 24.2% 0.70× 5.87
Charlton Athletic by 2 10.0% 11.7% 8.6% 1.37× 8.51
Blackburn Rovers by 2 8.5% 7.2% 11.3% 0.64× 13.90
Charlton Athletic by 3+ 4.1% 2.7% 3.2% 0.84× 36.77
Blackburn Rovers by 3+ 3.2% 2.7% 8.1% 0.34× 36.81
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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