Blackburn Rovers v Stoke City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 3 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Blackburn Rovers

19:45 UTC

Stoke City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,413h before kick-off

Blackburn Rovers win

41.1%

model 40.1%

Draw

31.6%

model 31.3%

Stoke City win

27.3%

model 28.5%

413227

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.7%
0-0 11.7%
1-0 11.3%
0-1 8.9%
2-1 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	40.0%	Under 2.5	60.0%
BTTS yes	47.5%	BTTS no	52.5%
Blackburn Rovers 1+	71.6%	Blackburn Rovers 2+	35.9%
Stoke City 1+	64.1%	Stoke City 2+	27.3%

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.03. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

43/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Blackburn Rovers carry the stronger rating, 1424 Elo against 1330.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Blackburn Rovers have an estimated 41.1% win probability, against 31.6% for the draw and 27.3% for Stoke City. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.26 for Blackburn Rovers and 1.02 for Stoke City.

Why Blackburn Rovers

Blackburn Rovers carry the stronger rating, 1424 Elo against 1330.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.6%. A combined 2.29 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.26 to 1.02. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Stoke City can win

Nothing in the data singles out Stoke City.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Blackburn Rovers, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Stoke City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Blackburn Rovers: 48% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 19.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Stoke City: 42% possession, 10.4 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Blackburn Rovers are the model's most likely outcome at 41.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.7%. Confidence 43/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	353530	1.02–0.92	0-0 16%	31%	40%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers to win	35.1%	36.3%	43.4%	0.84×	2.76
Draw	34.8%	30.4%	27.6%	1.10×	3.29
Stoke City to win	30.1%	30.4%	29.1%	1.05×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers & not both score	23.7%	21.8%	23.2%	0.94×	4.58
Stoke City & not both score	20.1%	21.8%	15.2%	1.44×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	17.9%	20.4%	0.88×	5.58
Draw & not both score	16.1%	17.9%	7.3%	2.47×	5.58
Blackburn Rovers & both teams score	11.4%	13.3%	20.3%	0.65×	7.54
Stoke City & both teams score	10.0%	8.4%	13.9%	0.60×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & under 2.5	31.3%	30.8%	21.7%	1.42×	3.24
Draw & under 3.5	31.3%	30.8%	21.7%	1.42×	3.24
Blackburn Rovers & under 3.5	29.8%	26.0%	32.4%	0.80×	3.84
Stoke City & under 3.5	25.8%	26.0%	22.3%	1.17×	3.84
Blackburn Rovers & over 1.5	22.2%	21.6%	32.5%	0.66×	4.63
Blackburn Rovers & under 2.5	20.4%	21.6%	17.1%	1.26×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Stoke City & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	21.5%	0.84×	5.56
Stoke City & under 2.5	17.7%	18.0%	12.9%	1.39×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	16.1%	18.0%	7.3%	2.48×	5.56
Blackburn Rovers & over 2.5	14.7%	12.9%	26.4%	0.49×	7.76
Blackburn Rovers & under 1.5	13.0%	12.9%	11.0%	1.17×	7.76
Stoke City & over 2.5	12.4%	12.9%	16.2%	0.79×	7.76
Stoke City & under 1.5	11.6%	12.9%	7.7%	1.68×	7.76
Blackburn Rovers & over 3.5	5.4%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.65
Stoke City & over 3.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.85
Draw & over 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	6.0%	0.80×	20.86
Draw & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	6.0%	0.80×	20.86

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (1UP)	48.4%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Stoke City (1UP)	43.8%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (2UP)	35.1%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
Stoke City (2UP)	30.1%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	44.6%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
Blackburn Rovers to win 2nd half	28.6%	26.4%	—	—	3.78
Stoke City to win 2nd half	26.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.3%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
Stoke City under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.5%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Stoke City over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.5%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Stoke City over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.7%	13.2%	—	—	7.57

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Blackburn Rovers under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.0%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Blackburn Rovers over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.0%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Blackburn Rovers over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.36

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (+2.5)	95.9%	96.3%	92.0%	1.05×	1.04
Stoke City (+1.5)	85.8%	88.5%	80.7%	1.10×	1.13
Blackburn Rovers (+0.5)	69.9%	68.7%	70.9%	0.97×	1.46
Stoke City (+0.5)	64.9%	62.9%	56.6%	1.11×	1.59
Blackburn Rovers (-0.5)	35.1%	37.1%	43.4%	0.85×	2.70
Stoke City (-0.5)	30.1%	31.3%	29.1%	1.08×	3.20
Blackburn Rovers (-1.5)	14.2%	11.5%	19.3%	0.59×	8.72
Blackburn Rovers (-2.5)	4.1%	3.7%	8.0%	0.46×	26.79

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to concede	63.8%	67.5%	77.6%	0.87×	1.48
Stoke City clean sheet	36.2%	32.5%	22.4%	1.45×	3.08

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City clean sheet in 1st half	64.6%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Stoke City to concede in 1st half	35.4%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City clean sheet in 2nd half	56.0%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Stoke City to concede in 2nd half	44.0%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City over 2.5 corners	82.7%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Stoke City over 3.5 corners	70.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Stoke City under 6.5 corners	65.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Stoke City over 4.5 corners	58.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Stoke City under 5.5 corners	54.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Stoke City over 5.5 corners	45.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Stoke City under 4.5 corners	41.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Stoke City over 6.5 corners	35.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Stoke City under 3.5 corners	29.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Stoke City under 2.5 corners	17.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City under 3.5 goals	98.5%	97.5%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Stoke City under 2.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	90.5%	1.02×	1.08
Stoke City under 1.5 goals	76.5%	76.2%	69.9%	1.09×	1.31
Stoke City over 0.5 goals	60.2%	63.1%	69.6%	0.91×	1.59
Stoke City under 0.5 goals	39.8%	36.9%	30.4%	1.21×	2.71
Stoke City over 1.5 goals	23.5%	23.8%	30.1%	0.79×	4.21
Stoke City over 2.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	9.5%	0.81×	13.01
Stoke City over 3.5 goals	1.5%	2.5%	2.2%	1.12×	40.10

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City under 1.5 in 1st half	94.7%	94.3%	—	—	1.06
Stoke City under 0.5 in 1st half	69.2%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Stoke City over 0.5 in 1st half	30.8%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Stoke City over 1.5 in 1st half	5.3%	5.7%	—	—	17.42

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City scores equally in both	48.3%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Stoke City scores more in 2nd half	32.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Stoke City scores more in 1st half	19.5%	18.1%	—	—	5.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (away no bet)	50.3%	51.5%	61.1%	0.84×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	49.7%	48.5%	38.9%	1.25×	2.06

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City even goals	57.9%	56.9%	52.4%	1.09×	1.76
Stoke City odd goals	42.1%	43.1%	47.6%	0.91×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	94.0%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.0%	7.0%	—	—	14.26

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	54.6%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Not both halves under 1.5	45.4%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	38.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Blackburn Rovers to score 2+ in a row	22.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Stoke City to score 2+ in a row	18.8%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	10.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Blackburn Rovers to score 3+ in a row	5.8%	5.6%	—	—	17.87
Stoke City to score 3+ in a row	4.4%	2.6%	—	—	37.93

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers corners (+3.5)	81.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Blackburn Rovers corners (+2.5)	75.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Stoke City corners (+3.5)	71.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Blackburn Rovers corners (+1.5)	68.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Stoke City corners (+2.5)	64.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Stoke City corners (+1.5)	56.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Blackburn Rovers corners (-1.5)	43.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Blackburn Rovers corners (-2.5)	35.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Stoke City corners (-1.5)	31.5%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Blackburn Rovers corners (-3.5)	28.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Stoke City corners (-2.5)	24.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Stoke City corners (-3.5)	18.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	51.3%	45.4%	—	—	2.21
0-8 corners	24.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.90
9-11 corners	23.8%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	82.0%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	75.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	67.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 10.5 corners	59.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 12.5 corners	56.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 11.5 corners	51.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 11.5 corners	48.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 12.5 corners	43.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 10.5 corners	40.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	32.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 8.5 corners	24.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Under 7.5 corners	18.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	16.1%	13.8%	7.3%	1.90×	7.25
1-1	15.2%	13.8%	14.5%	0.95×	7.26
1-0	13.0%	11.4%	11.0%	1.04×	8.74
0-1	11.6%	11.4%	7.7%	1.49×	8.74
2-0	7.4%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.50
2-1	6.9%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.50
0-2	6.1%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.50
1-2	6.2%	7.4%	7.9%	0.93×	13.50
0-3	1.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4.01×	58.32
1-3	1.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.87×	58.32
2-2	3.2%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.30
2-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.69×	58.32
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
3-1	2.3%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.31
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.31
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	2.01×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.69×	58.32
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	2.01×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.23×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	10.03×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	20.06×	58.32
Any other score	0.6%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (2nd half DNB)	51.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Stoke City (2nd half DNB)	48.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers leading at HT (DNB)	55.2%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Stoke City leading at HT (DNB)	44.8%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers or draw (1X)	69.9%	69.6%	70.9%	0.98×	1.44
Blackburn Rovers or Stoke City (12)	65.2%	69.6%	72.4%	0.96×	1.44
Stoke City or draw (X2)	64.9%	63.7%	56.6%	1.13×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers or draw at HT	78.8%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Stoke City or draw at HT	73.9%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Blackburn Rovers or Stoke City at HT	47.2%	52.2%	—	—	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers or draw (1UP)	69.9%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Stoke City or draw (1UP)	64.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers or draw in 2nd half	73.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Stoke City or draw in 2nd half	71.4%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Blackburn Rovers or Stoke City in 2nd half	55.4%	58.7%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	72.1%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Neither half drawn	27.9%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (DNB)	53.9%	50.9%	59.9%	0.85×	1.96
Stoke City (DNB)	46.1%	49.1%	40.1%	1.22×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers to score first	44.0%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Stoke City to score first	39.9%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	16.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	59.9%	54.9%	45.6%	1.21×	1.82
Both teams to score	40.1%	45.1%	54.4%	0.83×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	54.2%	47.1%	37.1%	1.27×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	24.9%	27.8%	40.0%	0.69×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	15.2%	21.6%	14.5%	1.49×	4.62
Not both score & over 2.5	5.7%	8.3%	8.5%	0.97×	12.01

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.6%	89.1%	89.0%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.4%	10.9%	11.0%	0.99×	9.17

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	80.8%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Both teams to score in 2nd half	19.2%	27.2%	—	—	3.67

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	71.6%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Both score 2nd half only	17.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.39
Both score 1st half only	9.2%	6.8%	—	—	14.67
Both score in both halves	2.0%	4.9%	—	—	20.34

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.8%	86.5%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	11.2%	13.5%	—	—	7.40

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	61.7%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
A goal in each half	38.3%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.2%	47.3%	50.5%	0.94×	2.12
0-1 goals	40.7%	42.0%	25.8%	1.63×	2.38
4-6 goals	12.8%	16.9%	22.5%	0.75×	5.92
7+ goals	0.4%	1.8%	1.4%	1.33×	54.86

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to score exactly 0	39.8%	36.0%	30.4%	1.18×	2.78
Stoke City to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	39.6%	0.91×	2.78
Stoke City to score exactly 2	16.9%	19.6%	20.7%	0.95×	5.10
Stoke City to score 3+	6.6%	8.5%	9.5%	0.90×	11.73

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	37.0%	0.96×	2.81
Blackburn Rovers to score exactly 0	36.2%	35.6%	22.4%	1.59×	2.81
Blackburn Rovers to score exactly 2	18.7%	18.9%	24.6%	0.77×	5.29
Blackburn Rovers to score 3+	8.3%	10.4%	16.2%	0.64×	9.66

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	52.8%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Blackburn Rovers leading at HT	26.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
Stoke City leading at HT	21.2%	20.0%	—	—	5.01

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers -1: 2	64.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Blackburn Rovers -1: X	21.0%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Blackburn Rovers -1: 1	14.2%	14.0%	—	—	7.15

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (0:1)	64.9%	61.6%	56.6%	1.09×	1.62
Draw (0:1)	21.0%	24.3%	24.2%	1.00×	4.12
Blackburn Rovers (0:1)	14.2%	13.8%	19.3%	0.72×	7.23

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (0:2)	85.8%	87.0%	80.7%	1.08×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	10.0%	10.9%	11.4%	0.96×	9.18
Blackburn Rovers (0:2)	4.1%	3.8%	8.0%	0.47×	26.37

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (0:3)	95.9%	96.6%	92.0%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.2%	2.4%	4.8%	0.50×	42.09
Blackburn Rovers (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	3.3%	0.71×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (0:4)	99.1%	98.1%	96.7%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	2.4%	0.50×	83.66
Blackburn Rovers (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.16×	83.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (1:0)	69.9%	70.1%	70.9%	0.99×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.9%	17.0%	17.4%	0.98×	5.88
Stoke City (1:0)	11.2%	12.8%	11.8%	1.08×	7.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (2:0)	88.8%	88.4%	88.2%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.3%	6.5%	8.6%	0.75×	15.49
Stoke City (2:0)	3.0%	2.3%	3.2%	0.71×	43.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	41.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	33.4%	30.2%	—	—	3.32
1st half highest scoring	24.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers to concede	60.2%	63.5%	69.6%	0.91×	1.58
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet	39.8%	36.5%	30.4%	1.20×	2.74

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet in 1st half	69.2%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Blackburn Rovers to concede in 1st half	30.8%	31.0%	—	—	3.22

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet in 2nd half	57.5%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Blackburn Rovers to concede in 2nd half	42.5%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers over 2.5 corners	87.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Blackburn Rovers over 3.5 corners	77.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Blackburn Rovers over 4.5 corners	66.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Blackburn Rovers under 6.5 corners	55.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Blackburn Rovers over 5.5 corners	55.0%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Blackburn Rovers under 5.5 corners	45.0%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Blackburn Rovers over 6.5 corners	44.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Blackburn Rovers under 4.5 corners	33.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Blackburn Rovers under 3.5 corners	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Blackburn Rovers under 2.5 corners	12.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.31

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers under 3.5 goals	98.0%	96.3%	94.9%	1.02×	1.04
Blackburn Rovers under 2.5 goals	91.7%	92.2%	83.8%	1.10×	1.08
Blackburn Rovers under 1.5 goals	73.0%	74.2%	59.3%	1.25×	1.35
Blackburn Rovers over 0.5 goals	63.8%	63.5%	77.6%	0.82×	1.57
Blackburn Rovers under 0.5 goals	36.2%	36.5%	22.4%	1.63×	2.74
Blackburn Rovers over 1.5 goals	27.0%	25.8%	40.7%	0.63×	3.88
Blackburn Rovers over 2.5 goals	8.3%	7.8%	16.2%	0.48×	12.87
Blackburn Rovers over 3.5 goals	2.0%	3.7%	5.1%	0.71×	27.36

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers under 1.5 in 1st half	92.8%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
Blackburn Rovers under 0.5 in 1st half	64.6%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Blackburn Rovers over 0.5 in 1st half	35.4%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Blackburn Rovers over 1.5 in 1st half	7.2%	4.6%	—	—	21.91

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers scores equally in both	46.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Blackburn Rovers scores more in 2nd half	31.8%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Blackburn Rovers scores more in 1st half	22.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.64

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	53.6%	51.5%	48.7%	1.06×	1.94
Stoke City (home no bet)	46.4%	48.5%	51.3%	0.95×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers even goals	56.6%	55.3%	50.4%	1.10×	1.81
Blackburn Rovers odd goals	43.4%	44.7%	49.6%	0.90×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	45.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
HT 1-0	19.2%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 0-1	16.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	7.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 2-0	4.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.39
HT 0-2	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 2-1	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.59
Any other HT score	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.58
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.61
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.68

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	25.2%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Blackburn Rovers at HT / Blackburn Rovers at FT	19.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Stoke City at HT / Stoke City at FT	15.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Blackburn Rovers at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Stoke City at FT	13.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Blackburn Rovers at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Stoke City at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.75
Blackburn Rovers at HT / Stoke City at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Stoke City at HT / Blackburn Rovers at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers to score last	44.1%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
Stoke City to score last	39.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	16.1%	11.9%	—	—	8.37

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	83.9%	87.5%	—	—	1.14
Blackburn Rovers to lead by 1 at any time	48.4%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Stoke City to lead by 1 at any time	43.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	32.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Blackburn Rovers to lead by 2 at any time	17.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Stoke City to lead by 2 at any time	14.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	8.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.04
Blackburn Rovers to lead by 3 at any time	5.0%	1.7%	—	—	59.56
Stoke City to lead by 3 at any time	3.7%	1.6%	—	—	60.74

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers most corners	52.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Stoke City most corners	39.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	8.4%	8.4%	—	—	11.90

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.5%	83.4%	88.9%	0.94×	1.20
1-4 goals	79.2%	78.6%	83.4%	0.94×	1.27
1-3 goals	70.7%	72.4%	69.1%	1.05×	1.38
2-6 goals	59.0%	59.1%	72.9%	0.81×	1.69
2-5 goals	57.9%	59.1%	70.3%	0.84×	1.69
2-4 goals	54.6%	53.2%	64.9%	0.82×	1.88
1-2 goals	53.3%	53.2%	44.4%	1.20×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.2%	48.6%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
3-6 goals	30.2%	35.3%	47.2%	0.75×	2.83
3-5 goals	29.2%	30.3%	44.6%	0.68×	3.30
3-4 goals	25.9%	30.3%	39.1%	0.77×	3.30
4-6 goals	12.8%	14.9%	22.5%	0.66×	6.73
4-5 goals	11.7%	14.9%	19.9%	0.75×	6.73
5-6 goals	4.3%	2.6%	8.1%	0.32×	39.04
7+ goals	0.4%	2.5%	1.4%	1.86×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers never behind	40.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Stoke City never behind	35.5%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	45.6%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	54.4%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	60.6%	57.3%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	39.4%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	56.4%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Odd goals in 2nd half	43.6%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.6%	95.4%	96.1%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	95.3%	95.4%	90.6%	1.05×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	86.8%	87.6%	76.2%	1.15×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	83.9%	82.3%	92.7%	0.89×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	69.4%	66.3%	51.5%	1.29×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	59.4%	58.7%	74.2%	0.79×	1.70
Under 1.5 goals	40.7%	41.3%	25.8%	1.60×	2.42
Over 2.5 goals	30.6%	33.7%	48.5%	0.70×	2.96
Under 0.5 goals	16.1%	17.7%	7.3%	2.43×	5.66
Over 3.5 goals	13.2%	12.4%	23.8%	0.52×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	4.7%	4.6%	9.4%	0.49×	21.90
Over 5.5 goals	1.4%	4.6%	3.9%	1.16×	21.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.6%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.5%	97.2%	95.8%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	94.9%	92.4%	89.0%	1.04×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	84.0%	81.0%	68.4%	1.18×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	57.0%	55.6%	34.8%	1.60×	1.80
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.0%	44.4%	65.2%	0.68×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	16.0%	19.0%	31.6%	0.60×	5.27
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	5.2%	7.6%	11.0%	0.69×	13.18
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.5%	2.8%	4.2%	0.67×	35.88
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.4%	2.8%	1.4%	1.98×	35.91

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.2%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half	80.4%	86.1%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	55.0%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Under 0.5 in 1st half	45.0%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Over 1.5 in 1st half	19.6%	13.9%	—	—	7.22
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.8%	4.0%	—	—	24.90

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	89.4%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	68.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.2%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.8%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	31.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	10.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City not to score in both halves	86.9%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Blackburn Rovers not to score in both halves	84.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Blackburn Rovers to score in both halves	15.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.43
Stoke City to score in both halves	13.1%	14.2%	—	—	7.03

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	40.1%	46.6%	54.4%	0.86×	2.15
Only Blackburn Rovers scores	23.7%	22.3%	23.2%	0.96×	4.49
Only Stoke City scores	20.1%	22.3%	15.2%	1.46×	4.49
Neither team scores	16.1%	16.0%	7.3%	2.21×	6.24

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.7%	24.9%	25.8%	0.97×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	24.6%	22.6%	18.6%	1.21×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	17.5%	17.4%	24.8%	0.70×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	16.1%	17.4%	7.3%	2.40×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	8.5%	7.6%	14.4%	0.53×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	3.3%	4.5%	5.6%	0.80×	22.42
6 or more goals	1.4%	4.5%	3.9%	1.13×	22.45

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	45.0%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
1 goal in 1st half	35.4%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
2 goals in 1st half	14.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
3+ goals in 1st half	4.8%	4.0%	—	—	24.90

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.3%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
No goals in 2nd half	32.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
2+ goals in 2nd half	31.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.00

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City not to win both halves	94.1%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Blackburn Rovers not to win both halves	92.3%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Blackburn Rovers to win both halves	7.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.57
Stoke City to win both halves	5.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.71

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to win neither half	57.9%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Blackburn Rovers to win neither half	53.0%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Blackburn Rovers to win either half	47.0%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Stoke City to win either half	42.1%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City not to win to nil	79.9%	78.1%	84.8%	0.92×	1.28
Blackburn Rovers not to win to nil	76.3%	78.1%	76.8%	1.02×	1.28
Blackburn Rovers to win to nil	23.7%	21.9%	23.2%	0.94×	4.56
Stoke City to win to nil	20.1%	21.9%	15.2%	1.44×	4.57

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	34.8%	27.7%	27.6%	1.00×	3.62
Blackburn Rovers by 1	21.0%	24.2%	24.2%	1.00×	4.14
Stoke City by 1	18.9%	16.9%	17.4%	0.98×	5.91
Blackburn Rovers by 2	10.0%	11.8%	11.4%	1.04×	8.50
Stoke City by 2	8.3%	7.2%	8.6%	0.84×	13.80
Blackburn Rovers by 3+	4.1%	2.7%	8.0%	0.34×	36.63
Stoke City by 3+	3.0%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.66