Boca Juniors v Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 12 September 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627
ARG-Liga Profesional
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyBoca Juniors win
56.4%
model 59.6%
Draw
26.3%
model 25.3%
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) win
17.3%
model 15.2%
Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,262 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-0 15.7%
- 2-0 13.1%
- 1-1 11.5%
- 0-0 10.3%
- 2-1 9.0%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 40.6% | Under 2.5 | 59.4% |
| BTTS yes | 40.2% | BTTS no | 59.8% |
| Boca Juniors 1+ | 80.2% | Boca Juniors 2+ | 48.2% |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1+ | 49.6% | Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 2+ | 15.1% |
Expected goals 1.62 – 0.69. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
AI confidence
24/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Boca Juniors (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 42%
58.4% fair odds 1.71
strong signal · 11329 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Boca Juniors (+0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 72%
83.2% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 13611 settled matches behind the band
Positive factors
- Boca Juniors carry the stronger rating, 1615 Elo against 1439.
- Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0032 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Boca Juniors have an estimated 56.4% win probability, against 26.3% for the draw and 17.3% for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero). Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.62 for Boca Juniors and 0.69 for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero).
Why Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors carry the stronger rating, 1615 Elo against 1439. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.3%. A combined 2.31 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.
Why Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) can win
Nothing in the data singles out Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero).
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Boca Juniors, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero), so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Boca Juniors: 59% possession, 18.0 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero): 45% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 18.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Boca Juniors's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·
Boca Juniors are the model's most likely outcome at 56.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 15.7%. Confidence 24/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.62–0.69 | 0% | 0% | 0% | Home ✓ | |
| ai-blend-oos | 1.72–0.67 | 0% | 0% | 0% | Home ✓ | |
| dc-xg | 1.60–0.63 | 1-0 17% | 38% | 37% | Home ✓ | |
| dc-xg-oos | 1.71–0.64 | 1-0 16% | 42% | 39% | Home ✓ |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors to win | 60.6% | 58.1% | 41.8% | 1.39× | 1.72 |
| Draw | 25.4% | 27.7% | 30.7% | 0.90× | 3.61 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win | 14.0% | 13.6% | 27.7% | 0.49× | 7.34 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors & not both score | 42.3% | 39.2% | 27.7% | 1.42× | 2.55 |
| Boca Juniors & both teams score | 18.3% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 1.27× | 5.55 |
| Draw & both teams score | 14.2% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 0.83× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 0.89× | 7.55 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & not both score | 9.0% | 8.4% | 17.2% | 0.49× | 11.96 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & both teams score | 4.9% | 4.9% | 10.6% | 0.46× | 20.33 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors & under 3.5 | 46.8% | 44.8% | 34.8% | 1.29× | 2.23 |
| Boca Juniors & over 1.5 | 43.7% | 40.1% | 27.7% | 1.45× | 2.50 |
| Boca Juniors & under 2.5 | 30.8% | 31.0% | 23.6% | 1.32× | 3.22 |
| Boca Juniors & over 2.5 | 29.9% | 26.0% | 18.3% | 1.42× | 3.85 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 22.4% | 21.6% | 28.1% | 0.77× | 4.63 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 22.4% | 21.6% | 28.1% | 0.77× | 4.63 |
| Boca Juniors & under 1.5 | 16.9% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 1.27× | 5.57 |
| Boca Juniors & over 3.5 | 13.9% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 1.81× | 7.78 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 14.2% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 0.81× | 7.78 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & under 3.5 | 12.3% | 12.9% | 23.6% | 0.55× | 7.78 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 11.2% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 0.86× | 7.78 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & over 1.5 | 7.6% | 8.0% | 17.5% | 0.45× | 12.57 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & under 2.5 | 8.5% | 8.0% | 14.6% | 0.54× | 12.57 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & under 1.5 | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 0.77× | 12.57 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & over 2.5 | 5.4% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 0.60× | 12.57 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 3.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.85× | 20.58 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 3.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.85× | 20.58 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & over 3.5 | 1.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.15× | 20.59 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors (1UP) | 69.9% | 70.2% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (1UP) | 27.2% | 26.8% | — | — | 3.74 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors (2UP) | 60.6% | 67.4% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (2UP) | 14.0% | 13.6% | — | — | 7.38 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors to win 2nd half | 47.2% | 45.4% | — | — | 2.20 |
| 2nd half drawn | 38.2% | 36.0% | — | — | 2.78 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win 2nd half | 14.6% | 12.6% | — | — | 7.95 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 1.5 in 2nd half | 94.5% | 92.4% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 0.5 in 2nd half | 68.7% | 70.9% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 0.5 in 2nd half | 31.3% | 29.1% | — | — | 3.44 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 1.5 in 2nd half | 5.5% | 7.6% | — | — | 13.10 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors under 1.5 in 2nd half | 76.9% | 75.7% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Boca Juniors over 0.5 in 2nd half | 59.8% | 59.0% | — | — | 1.69 |
| Boca Juniors under 0.5 in 2nd half | 40.2% | 41.0% | — | — | 2.44 |
| Boca Juniors over 1.5 in 2nd half | 23.1% | 24.3% | — | — | 4.11 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors (+0.5) | 86.0% | 88.3% | 72.3% | 1.22× | 1.13 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (+2.5) | 85.5% | 88.3% | 95.0% | 0.93× | 1.13 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (+1.5) | 66.5% | 68.7% | 82.5% | 0.83× | 1.46 |
| Boca Juniors (-0.5) | 60.6% | 63.0% | 41.8% | 1.51× | 1.59 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (+0.5) | 39.4% | 37.0% | 58.2% | 0.63× | 2.71 |
| Boca Juniors (-1.5) | 33.5% | 31.3% | 17.5% | 1.79× | 3.20 |
| Boca Juniors (-2.5) | 14.5% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 2.32× | 8.57 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (-0.5) | 14.0% | 11.7% | 27.7% | 0.42× | 8.58 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to concede | 79.8% | 78.8% | 68.1% | 1.16× | 1.27 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) clean sheet | 20.2% | 21.2% | 31.9% | 0.66× | 4.72 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to concede in 1st half | 49.7% | 50.8% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) clean sheet in 1st half | 50.3% | 49.2% | — | — | 2.03 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to concede in 2nd half | 59.8% | 58.6% | — | — | 1.71 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) clean sheet in 2nd half | 40.2% | 41.4% | — | — | 2.42 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 6.5 corners | 94.3% | 90.0% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 5.5 corners | 88.5% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 4.5 corners | 78.6% | 76.0% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 3.5 corners | 63.4% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 2.5 corners | 56.4% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 2.5 corners | 43.6% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 3.5 corners | 36.6% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 4.5 corners | 21.4% | 24.0% | — | — | 4.16 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 5.5 corners | 11.5% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.77 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 6.5 corners | 5.7% | 10.0% | — | — | 9.98 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 3.5 goals | 99.6% | 97.4% | 98.9% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 2.5 goals | 97.4% | 97.4% | 93.4% | 1.04× | 1.03 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 1.5 goals | 87.0% | 87.9% | 78.1% | 1.12× | 1.14 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 0.5 goals | 53.5% | 53.6% | 42.4% | 1.26× | 1.87 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 0.5 goals | 46.5% | 46.4% | 57.6% | 0.81× | 2.15 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 1.5 goals | 13.0% | 12.1% | 21.9% | 0.55× | 8.26 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 2.5 goals | 2.6% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 0.39× | 38.87 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 3.5 goals | 0.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 2.24× | 38.96 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 1.5 in 1st half | 97.4% | 95.9% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 0.5 in 1st half | 77.9% | 76.3% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 0.5 in 1st half | 22.1% | 23.7% | — | — | 4.22 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 1.5 in 1st half | 2.7% | 4.1% | — | — | 24.41 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) scores equally in both | 58.7% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) scores more in 2nd half | 25.4% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.84 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) scores more in 1st half | 15.9% | 17.7% | — | — | 5.64 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors (away no bet) | 70.5% | 68.4% | 57.7% | 1.19× | 1.46 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 29.5% | 31.6% | 42.3% | 0.75× | 3.17 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) even goals | 64.3% | 58.5% | 58.5% | 1.00× | 1.71 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) odd goals | 35.7% | 41.5% | 41.5% | 1.00× | 2.41 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 91.1% | 92.3% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 8.9% | 7.7% | — | — | 13.06 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 52.2% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 47.8% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 49.1% | 46.0% | — | — | 2.18 |
| Boca Juniors to score 2+ in a row | 42.6% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 18.6% | 16.3% | — | — | 6.12 |
| Boca Juniors to score 3+ in a row | 17.3% | 16.3% | — | — | 6.13 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score 2+ in a row | 8.9% | 5.7% | — | — | 17.61 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score 3+ in a row | 1.3% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.83 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors corners (+3.5) | 97.5% | 95.8% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Boca Juniors corners (+2.5) | 95.3% | 95.8% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Boca Juniors corners (+1.5) | 91.6% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Boca Juniors corners (-1.5) | 68.8% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Boca Juniors corners (-2.5) | 58.0% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (+3.5) | 53.0% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Boca Juniors corners (-3.5) | 47.0% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (+2.5) | 42.0% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (+1.5) | 31.2% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.93 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (-1.5) | 8.4% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (-2.5) | 4.7% | 4.2% | — | — | 23.58 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (-3.5) | 2.5% | 4.2% | — | — | 23.65 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 42.1% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| 9-11 corners | 29.8% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 12+ corners | 28.1% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 79.4% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 71.9% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 68.6% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 63.0% | 63.3% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 57.9% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 52.9% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 47.1% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 42.1% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 37.0% | 36.7% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 31.4% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 28.1% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 20.6% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.1% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 16.9% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 0.96× | 7.37 |
| 2-0 | 13.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 1.20× | 8.80 |
| 0-0 | 11.2% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 0.76× | 8.80 |
| 1-1 | 11.2% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 0.85× | 8.80 |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 0.85× | 13.53 |
| 0-1 | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 0.72× | 13.53 |
| 3-0 | 7.4% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 2.69× | 13.53 |
| 0-2 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 0.39× | 57.67 |
| 0-3 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.84× | 57.68 |
| 0-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 3.03× | 57.68 |
| 1-2 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 7.1% | 0.24× | 57.66 |
| 1-3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.89× | 57.68 |
| 1-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.05× | 57.68 |
| 2-2 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.76× | 57.67 |
| 2-3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.17× | 57.68 |
| 2-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 15.15× | 57.68 |
| 3-1 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 0.58× | 57.66 |
| 3-2 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.08× | 57.67 |
| 3-3 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.05× | 57.68 |
| 3-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 15.15× | 57.68 |
| 4-0 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.52× | 57.66 |
| 4-1 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.17× | 57.67 |
| 4-2 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.05× | 57.68 |
| 4-3 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 7.58× | 57.68 |
| 4-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 7.58× | 57.68 |
| Any other score | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.89× | 57.67 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors (2nd half DNB) | 76.4% | 79.1% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (2nd half DNB) | 23.6% | 20.9% | — | — | 4.77 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors leading at HT (DNB) | 77.6% | 77.8% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) leading at HT (DNB) | 22.4% | 22.2% | — | — | 4.51 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors or draw (1X) | 86.0% | 86.4% | 72.3% | 1.19× | 1.16 |
| Boca Juniors or Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (12) | 74.6% | 72.3% | 69.3% | 1.04× | 1.38 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or draw (X2) | 39.4% | 41.9% | 58.2% | 0.72× | 2.38 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors or draw at HT | 88.0% | 88.2% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or draw at HT | 58.3% | 57.0% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Boca Juniors or Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at HT | 53.7% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors or draw (1UP) | 86.0% | 91.6% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or draw (1UP) | 39.4% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.35 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors or draw in 2nd half | 85.4% | 87.4% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Boca Juniors or Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) in 2nd half | 61.8% | 64.0% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or draw in 2nd half | 52.8% | 54.6% | — | — | 1.83 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 66.4% | 69.3% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Neither half drawn | 33.6% | 30.7% | — | — | 3.26 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors (DNB) | 81.3% | 80.3% | 60.1% | 1.34× | 1.25 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (DNB) | 18.7% | 19.7% | 39.9% | 0.49× | 5.08 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors to score first | 63.8% | 64.7% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score first | 25.0% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.28 |
| No goal scored | 11.2% | 9.7% | — | — | 10.29 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 62.6% | 56.6% | 59.5% | 0.95× | 1.77 |
| Both teams to score | 37.4% | 43.4% | 40.5% | 1.07× | 2.30 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 50.5% | 47.2% | 52.9% | 0.89× | 2.12 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 26.3% | 33.3% | 27.2% | 1.22× | 3.00 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 12.1% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 1.82× | 8.16 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 0.92× | 8.16 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 93.8% | 88.9% | 94.1% | 0.95× | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 6.2% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 1.86× | 9.02 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 81.2% | 73.0% | — | — | 1.37 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 18.8% | 27.0% | — | — | 3.71 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 72.2% | 68.3% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 16.8% | 15.6% | — | — | 6.40 |
| Both score 1st half only | 9.0% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.68 |
| Both score in both halves | 2.1% | 4.9% | — | — | 20.34 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 88.9% | 86.5% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 11.1% | 13.5% | — | — | 7.41 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 55.8% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| A goal in each half | 44.2% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.34 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 47.0% | 46.9% | 47.3% | 0.99× | 2.13 |
| 0-1 goals | 34.5% | 30.9% | 39.1% | 0.79× | 3.24 |
| 4-6 goals | 17.7% | 20.2% | 13.4% | 1.51× | 4.95 |
| 7+ goals | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 4.04× | 54.13 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score exactly 0 | 53.5% | 46.7% | 42.4% | 1.10× | 2.14 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score exactly 1 | 33.5% | 33.7% | 35.8% | 0.94× | 2.97 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score exactly 2 | 10.5% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 0.85× | 7.71 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score 3+ | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 0.69× | 21.78 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors to score exactly 1 | 32.3% | 32.6% | 36.5% | 0.89× | 3.06 |
| Boca Juniors to score exactly 2 | 25.8% | 26.2% | 21.7% | 1.20× | 3.82 |
| Boca Juniors to score 3+ | 21.6% | 23.3% | 10.1% | 2.32× | 4.28 |
| Boca Juniors to score exactly 0 | 20.2% | 23.3% | 31.9% | 0.73× | 4.29 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 46.3% | 52.3% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Boca Juniors leading at HT | 41.7% | 43.0% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) leading at HT | 12.0% | 11.8% | — | — | 8.49 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors -1: 2 | 39.4% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Boca Juniors -1: 1 | 33.5% | 29.2% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Boca Juniors -1: X | 27.1% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.76 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (0:1) | 39.4% | 37.4% | 58.2% | 0.64× | 2.68 |
| Boca Juniors (0:1) | 33.5% | 29.4% | 17.5% | 1.68× | 3.40 |
| Draw (0:1) | 27.1% | 27.1% | 24.4% | 1.11× | 3.69 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (0:2) | 66.5% | 72.5% | 82.5% | 0.88× | 1.38 |
| Draw (0:2) | 19.0% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.19× | 6.67 |
| Boca Juniors (0:2) | 14.5% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.16× | 9.22 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (0:3) | 85.5% | 90.5% | 95.0% | 0.95× | 1.11 |
| Draw (0:3) | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.72× | 16.89 |
| Boca Juniors (0:3) | 5.1% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 3.44× | 16.96 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (0:4) | 94.9% | 94.5% | 98.3% | 0.96× | 1.06 |
| Draw (0:4) | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.98× | 81.46 |
| Boca Juniors (0:4) | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.14× | 81.67 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors (1:0) | 86.0% | 86.1% | 72.3% | 1.19× | 1.16 |
| Draw (1:0) | 10.4% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 0.68× | 7.85 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (1:0) | 3.6% | 3.5% | 9.2% | 0.38× | 28.85 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors (2:0) | 96.4% | 96.5% | 90.8% | 1.06× | 1.04 |
| Draw (2:0) | 2.9% | 2.4% | 6.3% | 0.38× | 41.40 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (2:0) | 0.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 0.81× | 41.52 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 44.2% | 48.7% | — | — | 2.05 |
| Halves equal | 28.9% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.9% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors clean sheet | 53.5% | 53.4% | 42.4% | 1.26× | 1.87 |
| Boca Juniors to concede | 46.5% | 46.6% | 57.6% | 0.81× | 2.15 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors clean sheet in 1st half | 77.9% | 79.2% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Boca Juniors to concede in 1st half | 22.1% | 20.8% | — | — | 4.81 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors clean sheet in 2nd half | 68.7% | 68.5% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Boca Juniors to concede in 2nd half | 31.3% | 31.5% | — | — | 3.17 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors over 2.5 corners | 91.4% | 89.2% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Boca Juniors over 3.5 corners | 82.5% | 81.0% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Boca Juniors over 4.5 corners | 71.0% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Boca Juniors over 5.5 corners | 58.1% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Boca Juniors under 6.5 corners | 54.7% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Boca Juniors over 6.5 corners | 45.3% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
| Boca Juniors under 5.5 corners | 41.9% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
| Boca Juniors under 4.5 corners | 29.0% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Boca Juniors under 3.5 corners | 17.5% | 19.0% | — | — | 5.26 |
| Boca Juniors under 2.5 corners | 8.6% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.29 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors under 3.5 goals | 92.2% | 92.1% | 97.1% | 0.95× | 1.09 |
| Boca Juniors over 0.5 goals | 79.8% | 77.4% | 68.1% | 1.14× | 1.29 |
| Boca Juniors under 2.5 goals | 78.4% | 77.4% | 89.9% | 0.86× | 1.29 |
| Boca Juniors under 1.5 goals | 52.6% | 52.8% | 68.3% | 0.77× | 1.90 |
| Boca Juniors over 1.5 goals | 47.4% | 47.2% | 31.7% | 1.49× | 2.12 |
| Boca Juniors over 2.5 goals | 21.6% | 22.6% | 10.1% | 2.24× | 4.43 |
| Boca Juniors under 0.5 goals | 20.2% | 22.6% | 31.9% | 0.71× | 4.43 |
| Boca Juniors over 3.5 goals | 7.8% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 2.75× | 12.70 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors under 1.5 in 1st half | 84.9% | 84.4% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Boca Juniors over 0.5 in 1st half | 49.7% | 51.0% | — | — | 1.96 |
| Boca Juniors under 0.5 in 1st half | 50.3% | 49.0% | — | — | 2.04 |
| Boca Juniors over 1.5 in 1st half | 15.1% | 15.6% | — | — | 6.40 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors scores more in 2nd half | 38.9% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Boca Juniors scores equally in both | 35.0% | 37.6% | — | — | 2.66 |
| Boca Juniors scores more in 1st half | 26.1% | 28.0% | — | — | 3.57 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 64.6% | 60.0% | 52.5% | 1.14× | 1.67 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (home no bet) | 35.4% | 40.0% | 47.5% | 0.84× | 2.50 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors even goals | 52.0% | 50.4% | 55.7% | 0.90× | 1.98 |
| Boca Juniors odd goals | 48.0% | 49.6% | 44.3% | 1.12× | 2.02 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 39.2% | 38.9% | — | — | 2.57 |
| HT 1-0 | 26.9% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.47 |
| HT 0-1 | 9.7% | 7.2% | — | — | 13.99 |
| HT 2-0 | 9.2% | 7.1% | — | — | 13.99 |
| HT 1-1 | 6.8% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.03 |
| Any other HT score | 3.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.45 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.3% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.53 |
| HT 0-2 | 1.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.61 |
| HT 1-2 | 0.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.64 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.3% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.68 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors at HT / Boca Juniors at FT | 37.0% | 41.0% | — | — | 2.44 |
| Draw at HT / Boca Juniors at FT | 21.7% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.60 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 18.1% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at HT / Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at FT | 6.6% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.69 |
| Draw at HT / Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at FT | 6.6% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.69 |
| Boca Juniors at HT / Draw at FT | 3.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.77 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at HT / Draw at FT | 3.4% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.79 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at HT / Boca Juniors at FT | 1.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.85 |
| Boca Juniors at HT / Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at FT | 0.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.89 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors to score last | 63.9% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score last | 24.9% | 26.9% | — | — | 3.72 |
| No goal scored | 11.2% | 9.1% | — | — | 10.98 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 88.8% | 90.9% | — | — | 1.10 |
| Boca Juniors to lead by 1 at any time | 69.9% | 69.6% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 43.5% | 39.3% | — | — | 2.55 |
| Boca Juniors to lead by 2 at any time | 37.8% | 34.9% | — | — | 2.87 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to lead by 1 at any time | 27.2% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.93 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 17.0% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.73 |
| Boca Juniors to lead by 3 at any time | 16.0% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.74 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to lead by 2 at any time | 5.8% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.18 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to lead by 3 at any time | 1.0% | 1.6% | — | — | 63.47 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors most corners | 78.3% | 74.3% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) most corners | 14.0% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
| Corners level | 7.7% | 8.4% | — | — | 11.92 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.2% | 87.4% | 84.2% | 1.04× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 81.3% | 83.3% | 79.9% | 1.04× | 1.20 |
| 1-3 goals | 70.3% | 72.3% | 71.5% | 1.01× | 1.38 |
| 2-6 goals | 64.7% | 63.2% | 60.5% | 1.04× | 1.58 |
| 2-5 goals | 62.9% | 63.2% | 60.0% | 1.05× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 58.0% | 59.3% | 55.6% | 1.07× | 1.69 |
| 1-2 goals | 50.5% | 53.4% | 51.4% | 1.04× | 1.87 |
| 2-3 goals | 47.0% | 48.5% | 47.3% | 1.03× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 37.6% | 39.3% | 33.5% | 1.17× | 2.55 |
| 3-5 goals | 35.7% | 39.3% | 33.0% | 1.19× | 2.55 |
| 3-4 goals | 30.8% | 35.3% | 28.6% | 1.23× | 2.83 |
| 4-6 goals | 17.7% | 18.8% | 13.4% | 1.41× | 5.31 |
| 4-5 goals | 15.9% | 18.8% | 12.8% | 1.47× | 5.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 6.7% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.78× | 11.16 |
| 7+ goals | 0.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 5.60× | 39.03 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors never behind | 61.6% | 67.4% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) never behind | 18.8% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.31 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 48.7% | 51.0% | 49.1% | 1.04× | 1.96 |
| Even number of goals | 51.3% | 49.0% | 50.9% | 0.96× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 57.8% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 42.2% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 54.1% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 45.9% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 97.4% | 95.4% | 99.0% | 0.96× | 1.05 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92.5% | 92.2% | 94.6% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 88.8% | 87.5% | 85.1% | 1.03× | 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81.5% | 82.2% | 86.3% | 0.95× | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.5% | 66.0% | 60.9% | 1.08× | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61.7% | 62.0% | 66.1% | 0.94× | 1.61 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38.3% | 38.0% | 33.9% | 1.12× | 2.63 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 34.5% | 34.0% | 39.1% | 0.87× | 2.94 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18.5% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 1.30× | 5.61 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 11.2% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 0.84× | 7.97 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 1.45× | 12.84 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 2.6% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 4.46× | 21.77 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 99.2% | 97.2% | 99.5% | 0.98× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 97.3% | 97.2% | 98.9% | 0.98× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 91.6% | 92.4% | 94.1% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 76.9% | 75.9% | 82.8% | 0.92× | 1.32 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 52.6% | 52.4% | 46.4% | 1.13× | 1.91 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 47.4% | 47.6% | 53.6% | 0.89× | 2.10 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 23.1% | 24.1% | 17.2% | 1.40× | 4.15 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.30× | 13.15 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 2.64× | 35.13 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 0.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 6.18× | 35.18 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 93.1% | 92.8% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 75.8% | 78.8% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 60.8% | 63.5% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 39.2% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 24.2% | 21.2% | — | — | 4.71 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 6.9% | 7.2% | — | — | 13.81 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 86.0% | 85.3% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 72.2% | 77.7% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 63.1% | 61.7% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 36.9% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 27.8% | 22.3% | — | — | 4.48 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 14.0% | 14.7% | — | — | 6.81 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) not to score in both halves | 93.1% | 90.4% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Boca Juniors not to score in both halves | 70.3% | 73.6% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Boca Juniors to score in both halves | 29.7% | 26.4% | — | — | 3.79 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score in both halves | 6.9% | 9.6% | — | — | 10.47 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Only Boca Juniors scores | 42.3% | 46.7% | 27.7% | 1.69× | 2.14 |
| Both teams score | 37.4% | 39.8% | 40.5% | 0.98× | 2.52 |
| Neither team scores | 11.2% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 0.75× | 9.02 |
| Only Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) scores | 9.0% | 7.1% | 17.2% | 0.42× | 14.04 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 27.1% | 24.7% | 27.1% | 0.91× | 4.05 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 23.3% | 22.4% | 24.4% | 0.92× | 4.46 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 19.8% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 0.87× | 5.70 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 0.81× | 8.30 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 11.0% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 1.42× | 8.30 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.01× | 22.22 |
| 6 or more goals | 2.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 4.36× | 22.25 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No goals in 1st half | 39.2% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.69 |
| 1 goal in 1st half | 36.6% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.70 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 17.3% | 15.2% | — | — | 6.56 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 6.9% | 7.2% | — | — | 13.81 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 36.9% | 40.0% | — | — | 2.50 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 35.3% | 39.8% | — | — | 2.51 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 27.8% | 29.8% | — | — | 3.36 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) not to win both halves | 98.2% | 97.3% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Boca Juniors not to win both halves | 80.2% | 84.1% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Boca Juniors to win both halves | 19.8% | 15.9% | — | — | 6.27 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win both halves | 1.8% | 2.7% | — | — | 36.53 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win neither half | 75.2% | 79.5% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Boca Juniors to win either half | 69.1% | 68.1% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Boca Juniors to win neither half | 30.9% | 31.9% | — | — | 3.14 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win either half | 24.8% | 20.5% | — | — | 4.87 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) not to win to nil | 91.0% | 92.1% | 82.8% | 1.11× | 1.09 |
| Boca Juniors not to win to nil | 57.7% | 59.8% | 72.3% | 0.83× | 1.67 |
| Boca Juniors to win to nil | 42.3% | 40.2% | 27.7% | 1.45× | 2.49 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win to nil | 9.0% | 7.9% | 17.2% | 0.46× | 12.62 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors by 1 | 27.1% | 27.7% | 24.4% | 1.14× | 3.61 |
| Draw | 25.4% | 27.7% | 30.7% | 0.90× | 3.61 |
| Boca Juniors by 2 | 19.0% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 1.34× | 5.92 |
| Boca Juniors by 3+ | 14.5% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 2.33× | 8.52 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) by 1 | 10.4% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 0.63× | 8.53 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) by 2 | 2.9% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 0.45× | 35.60 |
| Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) by 3+ | 0.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.94× | 35.66 |
Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run
python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.