Boca Juniors v Defensa y Justicia — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Boca Juniors

20:00 UTC

Defensa y Justicia

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 297h before kick-off

Boca Juniors win

57.8%

model 56.5%

Draw

23.1%

model 24.3%

Defensa y Justicia win

19.1%

model 19.2%

582319

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.6%
1-0 11.3%
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.8%
0-0 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.8%	Under 2.5	49.2%
BTTS yes	50.9%	BTTS no	49.1%
Boca Juniors 1+	82.9%	Boca Juniors 2+	52.8%
Defensa y Justicia 1+	60.8%	Defensa y Justicia 2+	24.1%

Expected goals 1.77 – 0.94. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

23/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Boca Juniors over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 32%

52.6% fair odds 1.90

strong signal · 883 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Defensa y Justicia not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Boca Juniors carry the stronger rating, 1624 Elo against 1527.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Boca Juniors have an estimated 57.8% win probability, against 23.1% for the draw and 19.1% for Defensa y Justicia. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.77 for Boca Juniors and 0.94 for Defensa y Justicia.

Why Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors carry the stronger rating, 1624 Elo against 1527. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Defensa y Justicia can win

Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Boca Juniors, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Defensa y Justicia, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Boca Juniors: 57% possession, 17.4 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Defensa y Justicia: 48% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Boca Juniors's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Boca Juniors are the model's most likely outcome at 57.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%. Confidence 23/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	562419	1.77–0.94	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	602317	1.90–0.91	1-0 11%	53%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors to win	60.1%	58.1%	41.8%	1.39×	1.72
Draw	22.9%	24.5%	30.7%	0.80×	4.09
Defensa y Justicia to win	17.0%	19.4%	27.6%	0.70×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors & not both score	33.8%	29.6%	27.7%	1.07×	3.38
Boca Juniors & both teams score	26.3%	25.2%	14.3%	1.77×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	16.3%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.57
Defensa y Justicia & both teams score	8.5%	8.3%	10.6%	0.79×	12.00
Defensa y Justicia & not both score	8.5%	8.3%	17.1%	0.49×	12.00
Draw & not both score	6.5%	8.3%	14.8%	0.56×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors & over 1.5	49.1%	45.1%	27.8%	1.62×	2.22
Boca Juniors & under 3.5	38.7%	34.9%	34.8%	1.00×	2.87
Boca Juniors & over 2.5	38.2%	34.9%	18.4%	1.90×	2.87
Boca Juniors & under 2.5	21.9%	21.6%	23.6%	0.92×	4.63
Boca Juniors & over 3.5	21.4%	21.6%	7.2%	3.01×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	17.4%	18.0%	28.2%	0.64×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.4%	18.0%	28.2%	0.64×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.3%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.56
Defensa y Justicia & under 3.5	13.0%	12.8%	23.5%	0.55×	7.79
Defensa y Justicia & over 1.5	12.0%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
Boca Juniors & under 1.5	11.0%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Defensa y Justicia & over 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	13.1%	0.60×	12.63
Defensa y Justicia & under 2.5	7.5%	7.9%	14.6%	0.54×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.5%	7.9%	14.8%	0.53×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.4%	7.9%	2.6%	3.02×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.4%	7.9%	2.6%	3.02×	12.63
Defensa y Justicia & under 1.5	5.0%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.63
Defensa y Justicia & over 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	4.2%	1.14×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors (1UP)	72.3%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Defensa y Justicia (1UP)	34.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.02

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors (2UP)	60.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Defensa y Justicia (2UP)	17.0%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors to win 2nd half	48.3%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
2nd half drawn	33.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Defensa y Justicia to win 2nd half	18.3%	17.9%	—	—	5.58

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.6%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Defensa y Justicia under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.0%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Defensa y Justicia over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.20
Defensa y Justicia over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.4%	12.8%	—	—	7.84

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors under 1.5 in 2nd half	70.6%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Boca Juniors over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
Boca Juniors under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Boca Juniors over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.4%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors (+0.5)	83.0%	82.6%	72.4%	1.14×	1.21
Defensa y Justicia (+2.5)	82.7%	82.6%	95.0%	0.87×	1.21
Defensa y Justicia (+1.5)	64.1%	63.0%	82.3%	0.76×	1.59
Boca Juniors (-0.5)	60.1%	62.9%	41.8%	1.50×	1.59
Defensa y Justicia (+0.5)	39.9%	37.1%	58.2%	0.64×	2.70
Boca Juniors (-1.5)	35.9%	37.0%	17.7%	2.10×	2.70
Boca Juniors (-2.5)	17.3%	17.4%	5.0%	3.47×	5.74
Defensa y Justicia (-0.5)	17.0%	17.4%	27.6%	0.63×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia to concede	85.0%	81.5%	68.2%	1.20×	1.23
Defensa y Justicia clean sheet	15.0%	18.5%	31.8%	0.58×	5.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia to concede in 1st half	55.8%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Defensa y Justicia clean sheet in 1st half	44.2%	43.6%	—	—	2.29

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia to concede in 2nd half	66.1%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Defensa y Justicia clean sheet in 2nd half	33.9%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia under 6.5 corners	93.1%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Defensa y Justicia under 5.5 corners	86.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Defensa y Justicia under 4.5 corners	76.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Defensa y Justicia under 3.5 corners	60.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Defensa y Justicia over 2.5 corners	59.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Defensa y Justicia under 2.5 corners	40.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Defensa y Justicia over 3.5 corners	39.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Defensa y Justicia over 4.5 corners	24.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Defensa y Justicia over 5.5 corners	13.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
Defensa y Justicia over 6.5 corners	6.9%	10.1%	—	—	9.91

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia under 3.5 goals	98.6%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Defensa y Justicia under 2.5 goals	93.6%	92.4%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Defensa y Justicia under 1.5 goals	77.0%	76.2%	78.2%	0.97×	1.31
Defensa y Justicia over 0.5 goals	59.7%	59.4%	57.6%	1.03×	1.68
Defensa y Justicia under 0.5 goals	40.3%	40.6%	42.4%	0.96×	2.47
Defensa y Justicia over 1.5 goals	23.0%	23.8%	21.8%	1.09×	4.21
Defensa y Justicia over 2.5 goals	6.4%	7.6%	6.6%	1.16×	13.08
Defensa y Justicia over 3.5 goals	1.4%	2.5%	1.1%	2.20×	39.90

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia under 1.5 in 1st half	94.8%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Defensa y Justicia under 0.5 in 1st half	69.5%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Defensa y Justicia over 0.5 in 1st half	30.5%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Defensa y Justicia over 1.5 in 1st half	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.70

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia scores equally in both	48.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Defensa y Justicia scores more in 2nd half	31.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Defensa y Justicia scores more in 1st half	19.4%	18.2%	—	—	5.50

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors (away no bet)	72.4%	68.4%	57.7%	1.19×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	27.6%	31.6%	42.3%	0.75×	3.16

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia even goals	58.1%	56.9%	58.4%	0.98×	1.76
Defensa y Justicia odd goals	41.9%	43.1%	41.6%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.1%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.7%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Boca Juniors to score 2+ in a row	49.4%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Boca Juniors to score 3+ in a row	22.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Defensa y Justicia to score 2+ in a row	15.6%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
Defensa y Justicia to score 3+ in a row	3.1%	2.6%	—	—	39.07

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors corners (+3.5)	96.8%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Boca Juniors corners (+2.5)	94.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Boca Juniors corners (+1.5)	89.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Boca Juniors corners (-1.5)	64.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Defensa y Justicia corners (+3.5)	57.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Boca Juniors corners (-2.5)	53.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Defensa y Justicia corners (+2.5)	46.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Boca Juniors corners (-3.5)	42.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Defensa y Justicia corners (+1.5)	35.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Defensa y Justicia corners (-1.5)	10.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Defensa y Justicia corners (-2.5)	5.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Defensa y Justicia corners (-3.5)	3.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.48

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	43.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	27.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	72.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	67.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	64.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	56.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	54.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	46.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	43.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	35.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	32.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	27.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	19.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	11.0%	11.5%	14.1%	0.81×	8.72
1-1	10.9%	11.5%	13.5%	0.85×	8.72
2-0	10.9%	11.5%	9.6%	1.20×	8.72
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-0	6.5%	7.4%	14.8%	0.50×	13.51
3-0	6.9%	7.4%	2.7%	2.70×	13.51
0-1	5.0%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.51
3-1	6.3%	7.4%	3.1%	2.40×	13.51
0-2	2.5%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.31
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.84×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.01×	58.32
1-2	4.7%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.29
1-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.29
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.30
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
4-0	3.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.30
4-1	3.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.15×	58.30
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
Any other score	4.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors (2nd half DNB)	72.6%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Defensa y Justicia (2nd half DNB)	27.4%	28.6%	—	—	3.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors leading at HT (DNB)	74.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Defensa y Justicia leading at HT (DNB)	25.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.96

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors or draw (1X)	83.0%	80.6%	72.4%	1.11×	1.24
Boca Juniors or Defensa y Justicia (12)	77.1%	75.5%	69.3%	1.09×	1.32
Defensa y Justicia or draw (X2)	39.9%	41.9%	58.2%	0.72×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors or draw at HT	84.6%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Boca Juniors or Defensa y Justicia at HT	59.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Defensa y Justicia or draw at HT	56.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors or draw (1UP)	83.0%	88.8%	—	—	1.13
Defensa y Justicia or draw (1UP)	39.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors or draw in 2nd half	81.7%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Boca Juniors or Defensa y Justicia in 2nd half	66.6%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Defensa y Justicia or draw in 2nd half	51.7%	54.7%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.0%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	40.0%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors (DNB)	77.9%	74.8%	60.3%	1.24×	1.34
Defensa y Justicia (DNB)	22.1%	25.2%	39.7%	0.64×	3.96

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors to score first	63.2%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Defensa y Justicia to score first	30.3%	27.6%	—	—	3.63
No goal scored	6.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.26

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.2%	51.3%	40.6%	1.26×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.8%	48.7%	59.4%	0.82×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.3%	41.6%	27.3%	1.52×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	35.9%	38.4%	52.8%	0.73×	2.60
Not both score & over 2.5	12.9%	12.4%	6.7%	1.84×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	10.9%	12.4%	13.5%	0.92×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.0%	85.6%	94.1%	0.91×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.0%	14.4%	5.9%	2.43×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.7%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.2%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.7%	5.0%	—	—	20.19

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.9%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.1%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.8%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	44.2%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.2%	47.3%	1.00×	2.12
4-6 goals	28.5%	26.6%	13.5%	1.98×	3.76
0-1 goals	22.6%	22.9%	39.0%	0.59×	4.36
7+ goals	2.4%	1.8%	0.5%	4.04×	54.32

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia to score exactly 0	40.3%	37.3%	42.4%	0.88×	2.68
Defensa y Justicia to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Defensa y Justicia to score exactly 2	16.6%	19.5%	15.3%	1.28×	5.12
Defensa y Justicia to score 3+	6.4%	8.5%	6.6%	1.29×	11.72

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors to score 3+	29.5%	26.6%	10.1%	2.62×	3.76
Boca Juniors to score exactly 1	28.5%	26.6%	36.5%	0.73×	3.77
Boca Juniors to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.6%	21.8%	1.22×	3.77
Boca Juniors to score exactly 0	15.0%	18.8%	31.8%	0.59×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors leading at HT	43.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Draw at HT	40.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Defensa y Justicia leading at HT	15.4%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors -1: 2	39.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Boca Juniors -1: 1	35.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Boca Juniors -1: X	24.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia (0:1)	39.9%	37.4%	58.2%	0.64×	2.68
Boca Juniors (0:1)	35.9%	37.3%	17.7%	2.11×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	24.2%	24.2%	24.3%	1.00×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia (0:2)	64.1%	67.2%	82.3%	0.82×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	18.7%	15.3%	12.8%	1.20×	6.55
Boca Juniors (0:2)	17.3%	15.3%	5.0%	3.04×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia (0:3)	82.7%	85.4%	95.0%	0.90×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.4%	9.9%	3.4%	2.88×	10.15
Boca Juniors (0:3)	6.9%	5.8%	1.7%	3.39×	17.25

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia (0:4)	93.1%	94.5%	98.3%	0.96×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.6%	1.2%	1.3%	0.98×	81.46
Boca Juniors (0:4)	2.3%	1.2%	0.6%	2.15×	81.71

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors (1:0)	83.0%	81.4%	72.4%	1.12×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.3%	12.7%	18.6%	0.68×	7.88
Defensa y Justicia (1:0)	5.7%	6.9%	9.1%	0.75×	14.53

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors (2:0)	94.3%	94.0%	90.9%	1.03×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.3%	2.3%	6.3%	0.37×	43.66
Defensa y Justicia (2:0)	1.4%	2.3%	3.0%	0.77×	43.84

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.4%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors to concede	59.7%	60.7%	57.6%	1.05×	1.65
Boca Juniors clean sheet	40.3%	39.3%	42.4%	0.93×	2.55

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors clean sheet in 1st half	69.5%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Boca Juniors to concede in 1st half	30.5%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors clean sheet in 2nd half	58.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Boca Juniors to concede in 2nd half	42.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors over 2.5 corners	90.3%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Boca Juniors over 3.5 corners	80.5%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Boca Juniors over 4.5 corners	68.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Boca Juniors under 6.5 corners	58.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Boca Juniors over 5.5 corners	54.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Boca Juniors under 5.5 corners	45.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Boca Juniors over 6.5 corners	42.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Boca Juniors under 4.5 corners	31.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Boca Juniors under 3.5 corners	19.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Boca Juniors under 2.5 corners	9.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors under 3.5 goals	87.5%	87.3%	97.1%	0.90×	1.15
Boca Juniors over 0.5 goals	85.0%	82.2%	68.2%	1.21×	1.22
Boca Juniors under 2.5 goals	70.5%	74.2%	89.9%	0.83×	1.35
Boca Juniors over 1.5 goals	56.5%	58.6%	31.8%	1.84×	1.71
Boca Juniors under 1.5 goals	43.5%	41.4%	68.2%	0.61×	2.42
Boca Juniors over 2.5 goals	29.5%	25.8%	10.1%	2.54×	3.88
Boca Juniors under 0.5 goals	15.0%	17.8%	31.8%	0.56×	5.62
Boca Juniors over 3.5 goals	12.5%	12.7%	2.9%	4.47×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors under 1.5 in 1st half	80.3%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Boca Juniors over 0.5 in 1st half	55.8%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Boca Juniors under 0.5 in 1st half	44.2%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Boca Juniors over 1.5 in 1st half	19.7%	16.0%	—	—	6.27

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors scores more in 2nd half	41.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Boca Juniors scores equally in both	31.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
Boca Juniors scores more in 1st half	27.2%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.3%	56.4%	52.6%	1.07×	1.77
Defensa y Justicia (home no bet)	42.7%	43.6%	47.4%	0.92×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors even goals	51.1%	50.7%	55.6%	0.91×	1.97
Boca Juniors odd goals	48.9%	49.3%	44.4%	1.11×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.8%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
HT 1-0	25.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
HT 0-1	11.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	10.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 1-1	9.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
Any other HT score	5.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-1	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 0-2	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors at HT / Boca Juniors at FT	37.9%	41.4%	—	—	2.42
Draw at HT / Boca Juniors at FT	19.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Defensa y Justicia at HT / Defensa y Justicia at FT	8.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.45
Draw at HT / Defensa y Justicia at FT	7.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Boca Juniors at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Defensa y Justicia at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Defensa y Justicia at HT / Boca Juniors at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Boca Juniors at HT / Defensa y Justicia at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors to score last	63.3%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Defensa y Justicia to score last	30.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
No goal scored	6.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.26

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.5%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Boca Juniors to lead by 1 at any time	72.3%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.6%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Boca Juniors to lead by 2 at any time	42.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Defensa y Justicia to lead by 1 at any time	34.5%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Boca Juniors to lead by 3 at any time	19.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Defensa y Justicia to lead by 2 at any time	9.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.94
Defensa y Justicia to lead by 3 at any time	2.2%	1.6%	—	—	63.13

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors most corners	74.9%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Defensa y Justicia most corners	16.7%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Corners level	8.4%	8.3%	—	—	11.99

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.9%	87.4%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.2%	78.7%	79.9%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.0%	72.3%	60.7%	1.19×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.9%	72.3%	60.1%	1.20×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.6%	63.3%	71.5%	0.89×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.1%	63.3%	55.8%	1.14×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.7%	53.1%	33.5%	1.59×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.4%	47.3%	1.02×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.6%	48.4%	33.0%	1.47×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.3%	43.6%	51.4%	0.85×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.9%	39.2%	28.6%	1.37×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.5%	30.2%	13.5%	2.25×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.4%	24.5%	12.9%	1.90×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.9%	14.8%	5.0%	2.95×	6.75
7+ goals	2.4%	2.6%	0.5%	5.60×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors never behind	59.0%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Defensa y Justicia never behind	21.2%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.9%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.1%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.9%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.1%	48.2%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.5%	92.3%	85.2%	1.08×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.5%	92.3%	99.0%	0.93×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.7%	82.3%	94.6%	0.87×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	77.4%	77.3%	61.0%	1.27×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.1%	66.3%	86.2%	0.77×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.2%	52.5%	33.9%	1.55×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	46.8%	47.5%	66.1%	0.72×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	30.9%	33.7%	13.8%	2.44×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	22.6%	22.7%	39.0%	0.58×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	15.3%	17.7%	5.4%	3.30×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	6.5%	7.7%	14.8%	0.52×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	6.5%	7.7%	1.0%	7.53×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.5%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.8%	92.4%	98.9%	0.93×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.9%	81.1%	94.1%	0.86×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.2%	72.3%	46.5%	1.56×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.2%	61.9%	82.7%	0.75×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.8%	38.1%	17.3%	2.21×	2.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.8%	27.7%	53.5%	0.52×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.1%	18.9%	5.9%	3.23×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.2%	7.6%	1.1%	7.07×	13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.6%	2.8%	0.5%	6.12×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.4%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.2%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.9%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.1%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.8%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.7%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.3%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia not to score in both halves	87.2%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Boca Juniors not to score in both halves	63.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Boca Juniors to score in both halves	36.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Defensa y Justicia to score in both halves	12.8%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.2%	53.8%	40.6%	1.33×	1.86
Only Boca Juniors scores	33.8%	33.3%	27.7%	1.20×	3.00
Only Defensa y Justicia scores	8.5%	7.1%	17.1%	0.42×	13.99
Neither team scores	6.5%	7.1%	14.8%	0.48×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.3%	22.6%	27.3%	0.83×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	20.2%	1.12×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	16.0%	17.5%	24.3%	0.72×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.6%	17.5%	8.6%	2.04×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.8%	7.6%	4.4%	1.71×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.5%	7.6%	14.8%	0.51×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.5%	7.6%	1.0%	7.42×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	30.8%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	21.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.23

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.5%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.7%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	19.8%	16.9%	—	—	5.93

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia not to win both halves	97.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Boca Juniors not to win both halves	78.7%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Boca Juniors to win both halves	21.3%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
Defensa y Justicia to win both halves	2.8%	2.8%	—	—	36.06

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors to win either half	70.9%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Defensa y Justicia to win neither half	69.2%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Defensa y Justicia to win either half	30.8%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
Boca Juniors to win neither half	29.1%	27.1%	—	—	3.70

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Defensa y Justicia not to win to nil	91.5%	92.1%	82.9%	1.11×	1.09
Boca Juniors not to win to nil	66.2%	69.7%	72.3%	0.96×	1.44
Boca Juniors to win to nil	33.8%	30.3%	27.7%	1.10×	3.30
Defensa y Justicia to win to nil	8.5%	7.9%	17.1%	0.46×	12.63

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors by 1	24.2%	24.1%	24.3%	0.99×	4.15
Draw	22.9%	24.1%	30.7%	0.79×	4.15
Boca Juniors by 2	18.7%	17.1%	12.8%	1.34×	5.86
Boca Juniors by 3+	17.3%	17.0%	5.0%	3.40×	5.87
Defensa y Justicia by 1	11.3%	11.8%	18.6%	0.63×	8.51
Defensa y Justicia by 2	4.3%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	36.84
Defensa y Justicia by 3+	1.4%	2.7%	3.0%	0.91×	36.93