Boca Juniors v River Plate — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Boca Juniors

20:00 UTC

River Plate

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 129h before kick-off

Boca Juniors win

47.0%

model 46.9%

Draw

26.5%

model 27.5%

River Plate win

26.5%

model 25.6%

472726

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.1%
1-0 11.8%
0-0 9.1%
2-1 9.1%
2-0 9.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.6%	Under 2.5	55.4%
BTTS yes	49.2%	BTTS no	50.8%
Boca Juniors 1+	76.7%	Boca Juniors 2+	42.7%
River Plate 1+	63.5%	River Plate 2+	26.7%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.01. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

24/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Over 2 (void on exactly 2)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 47%

62.2% fair odds 1.61

strong signal · 872 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 4341 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Boca Juniors carry the stronger rating, 1624 Elo against 1565.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Boca Juniors have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 26.5% for the draw and 26.5% for River Plate. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.46 for Boca Juniors and 1.01 for River Plate.

Why Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors carry the stronger rating, 1624 Elo against 1565. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why River Plate can win

Nothing in the data singles out River Plate.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Boca Juniors, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for River Plate, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Boca Juniors: 57% possession, 17.4 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. River Plate: 59% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Boca Juniors are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%. Confidence 24/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	472826	1.46–1.01	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	492724	1.52–1.00	1-1 13%	46%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors to win	48.7%	47.4%	41.8%	1.13×	2.11
Draw	26.9%	27.9%	30.7%	0.91×	3.58
River Plate to win	24.4%	24.5%	27.6%	0.89×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors & not both score	28.1%	25.2%	27.7%	0.91×	3.97
Boca Juniors & both teams score	20.6%	21.8%	14.3%	1.53×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.56
River Plate & not both score	13.3%	13.3%	17.1%	0.78×	7.54
River Plate & both teams score	11.1%	13.3%	10.6%	1.25×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.6%	8.3%	14.8%	0.56×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors & over 1.5	37.1%	34.9%	27.8%	1.25×	2.87
Boca Juniors & under 3.5	34.9%	30.8%	34.8%	0.88×	3.25
Boca Juniors & over 2.5	27.8%	26.1%	18.4%	1.42×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	21.3%	21.6%	28.2%	0.77×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	21.3%	21.6%	28.2%	0.77×	4.63
Boca Juniors & under 2.5	20.9%	21.6%	23.6%	0.92×	4.63
River Plate & under 3.5	19.0%	18.0%	23.5%	0.77×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.56
River Plate & over 1.5	16.9%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Boca Juniors & over 3.5	13.8%	12.8%	7.2%	1.79×	7.79
River Plate & over 2.5	12.9%	12.8%	13.1%	0.98×	7.79
Boca Juniors & under 1.5	11.6%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
River Plate & under 2.5	11.5%	12.8%	14.6%	0.88×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	8.6%	7.9%	14.8%	0.53×	12.63
River Plate & under 1.5	7.5%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.5%	7.9%	2.6%	3.02×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	2.6%	3.02×	12.63
River Plate & over 3.5	5.4%	7.9%	4.2%	1.88×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors (1UP)	62.7%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
River Plate (1UP)	41.2%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors (2UP)	48.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
River Plate (2UP)	24.4%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors to win 2nd half	39.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
2nd half drawn	37.1%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
River Plate to win 2nd half	23.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.8%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
River Plate under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
River Plate over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
River Plate over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.2%	12.9%	—	—	7.78

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.5%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Boca Juniors over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.0%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Boca Juniors under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.0%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Boca Juniors over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.5%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (+2.5)	89.9%	88.5%	95.0%	0.93×	1.13
Boca Juniors (+0.5)	75.6%	78.5%	72.4%	1.08×	1.27
River Plate (+1.5)	74.9%	73.7%	82.3%	0.89×	1.36
River Plate (+0.5)	51.3%	52.4%	58.2%	0.90×	1.91
Boca Juniors (-0.5)	48.7%	47.6%	41.8%	1.14×	2.10
Boca Juniors (-1.5)	25.1%	26.3%	17.7%	1.49×	3.80
River Plate (-0.5)	24.4%	21.5%	27.6%	0.78×	4.65
Boca Juniors (-2.5)	10.1%	11.5%	5.0%	2.30×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to concede	78.2%	78.8%	68.2%	1.16×	1.27
River Plate clean sheet	21.9%	21.2%	31.8%	0.67×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate clean sheet in 1st half	52.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
River Plate to concede in 1st half	48.0%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to concede in 2nd half	58.0%	57.3%	—	—	1.74
River Plate clean sheet in 2nd half	42.0%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate under 6.5 corners	88.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
River Plate under 5.5 corners	79.5%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
River Plate over 2.5 corners	68.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
River Plate under 4.5 corners	66.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
River Plate under 3.5 corners	50.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
River Plate over 3.5 corners	49.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
River Plate over 4.5 corners	33.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
River Plate under 2.5 corners	31.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
River Plate over 5.5 corners	20.5%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
River Plate over 6.5 corners	11.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate under 3.5 goals	98.1%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
River Plate under 2.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
River Plate under 1.5 goals	73.5%	71.8%	78.2%	0.92×	1.39
River Plate over 0.5 goals	63.3%	63.2%	57.6%	1.10×	1.58
River Plate under 0.5 goals	36.7%	36.8%	42.4%	0.87×	2.72
River Plate over 1.5 goals	26.5%	28.2%	21.8%	1.29×	3.55
River Plate over 2.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	6.6%	1.16×	13.06
River Plate over 3.5 goals	1.9%	2.5%	1.1%	2.20×	39.87

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate under 1.5 in 1st half	93.8%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
River Plate under 0.5 in 1st half	67.0%	70.2%	—	—	1.42
River Plate over 0.5 in 1st half	33.0%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
River Plate over 1.5 in 1st half	6.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.61

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate scores equally in both	46.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
River Plate scores more in 2nd half	33.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
River Plate scores more in 1st half	20.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors (away no bet)	64.4%	62.0%	57.7%	1.07×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.6%	38.1%	42.3%	0.90×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate even goals	56.7%	56.9%	58.4%	0.97×	1.76
River Plate odd goals	43.3%	43.1%	41.6%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.7%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.27

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.6%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.4%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.3%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Boca Juniors to score 2+ in a row	37.7%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
River Plate to score 2+ in a row	19.4%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.1%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Boca Juniors to score 3+ in a row	13.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
River Plate to score 3+ in a row	4.5%	2.6%	—	—	38.25

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors corners (+3.5)	91.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Boca Juniors corners (+2.5)	86.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Boca Juniors corners (+1.5)	79.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
River Plate corners (+3.5)	74.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
River Plate corners (+2.5)	65.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
River Plate corners (+1.5)	53.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Boca Juniors corners (-1.5)	46.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Boca Juniors corners (-2.5)	35.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Boca Juniors corners (-3.5)	25.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
River Plate corners (-1.5)	20.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
River Plate corners (-2.5)	13.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
River Plate corners (-3.5)	8.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	21.2%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.2%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	78.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	70.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	61.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	50.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	49.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	39.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	38.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	29.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	21.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	14.8%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.8%	11.5%	13.5%	0.85×	8.71
1-0	11.6%	11.5%	14.1%	0.81×	8.71
0-0	8.6%	7.4%	14.8%	0.50×	13.51
2-0	9.3%	7.4%	9.6%	0.77×	13.51
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-1	7.5%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.51
1-2	6.1%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
0-2	4.0%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.30
0-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.1%	0.84×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	3.01×	58.32
1-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.29
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
3-0	4.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.29
3-1	4.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.29
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
4-0	1.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.31
4-1	1.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.15×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
Any other score	2.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors (2nd half DNB)	62.4%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
River Plate (2nd half DNB)	37.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.70

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors leading at HT (DNB)	65.1%	73.3%	—	—	1.36
River Plate leading at HT (DNB)	34.9%	26.7%	—	—	3.75

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors or draw (1X)	75.6%	75.5%	72.4%	1.04×	1.32
Boca Juniors or River Plate (12)	73.1%	72.1%	69.3%	1.04×	1.39
River Plate or draw (X2)	51.3%	52.6%	58.2%	0.90×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors or draw at HT	80.7%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
River Plate or draw at HT	64.0%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Boca Juniors or River Plate at HT	55.2%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors or draw (1UP)	75.6%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
River Plate or draw (1UP)	51.3%	58.6%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors or draw in 2nd half	76.3%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Boca Juniors or River Plate in 2nd half	62.9%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
River Plate or draw in 2nd half	60.7%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	35.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors (DNB)	66.6%	67.4%	60.3%	1.12×	1.48
River Plate (DNB)	33.4%	32.6%	39.7%	0.82×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors to score first	55.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
River Plate to score first	36.3%	32.6%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	8.6%	7.6%	—	—	13.14

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.0%	51.3%	40.6%	1.26×	1.95
Not both teams to score	50.0%	48.7%	59.4%	0.82×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.0%	41.6%	52.8%	0.79×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	37.3%	38.4%	27.3%	1.41×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.8%	12.4%	13.5%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.0%	8.3%	6.7%	1.23×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.1%	85.6%	94.1%	0.91×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.9%	14.4%	5.9%	2.42×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.6%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.4%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	22.2%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	11.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	4.2%	4.9%	—	—	20.31

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.0%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.0%	16.5%	—	—	6.06

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
A half without a goal	49.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.6%	47.2%	47.3%	1.00×	2.12
0-1 goals	27.7%	26.6%	39.0%	0.68×	3.76
4-6 goals	23.3%	22.9%	13.5%	1.70×	4.36
7+ goals	1.5%	1.8%	0.5%	4.03×	54.41

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to score exactly 0	36.7%	35.9%	42.4%	0.85×	2.78
River Plate to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
River Plate to score exactly 2	18.4%	19.5%	15.3%	1.28×	5.12
River Plate to score 3+	8.1%	8.5%	6.6%	1.29×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors to score exactly 1	33.2%	32.6%	36.5%	0.89×	3.07
Boca Juniors to score exactly 2	25.3%	26.6%	21.8%	1.22×	3.77
Boca Juniors to score exactly 0	21.9%	23.3%	31.8%	0.73×	4.29
Boca Juniors to score 3+	19.6%	18.8%	10.1%	1.85×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.8%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Boca Juniors leading at HT	36.0%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
River Plate leading at HT	19.3%	16.0%	—	—	6.24

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors -1: 2	51.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Boca Juniors -1: 1	25.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Boca Juniors -1: X	23.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (0:1)	51.3%	51.3%	58.2%	0.88×	1.95
Boca Juniors (0:1)	25.1%	27.0%	17.7%	1.53×	3.71
Draw (0:1)	23.6%	24.2%	24.3%	1.00×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (0:2)	74.9%	75.7%	82.3%	0.92×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.0%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.09
Boca Juniors (0:2)	10.1%	11.0%	5.0%	2.19×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (0:3)	89.9%	90.7%	95.0%	0.95×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	6.8%	5.8%	3.4%	1.69×	17.25
Boca Juniors (0:3)	3.3%	2.4%	1.7%	1.39×	41.99

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (0:4)	96.7%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.4%	1.2%	1.3%	0.98×	81.70
Boca Juniors (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	0.6%	2.14×	81.87

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors (1:0)	75.6%	78.5%	72.4%	1.08×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	15.4%	17.1%	18.6%	0.92×	5.85
River Plate (1:0)	9.0%	6.9%	9.1%	0.76×	14.47

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors (2:0)	91.0%	94.0%	90.9%	1.03×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.5%	6.4%	6.3%	1.02×	15.67
River Plate (2:0)	2.5%	2.3%	3.0%	0.77×	43.77

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.2%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors to concede	63.3%	63.7%	57.6%	1.11×	1.57
Boca Juniors clean sheet	36.7%	36.3%	42.4%	0.86×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors clean sheet in 1st half	67.0%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Boca Juniors to concede in 1st half	33.0%	29.4%	—	—	3.40

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors clean sheet in 2nd half	54.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Boca Juniors to concede in 2nd half	45.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors over 2.5 corners	82.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Boca Juniors under 6.5 corners	73.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Boca Juniors over 3.5 corners	68.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Boca Juniors under 5.5 corners	61.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Boca Juniors over 4.5 corners	53.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Boca Juniors under 4.5 corners	46.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Boca Juniors over 5.5 corners	38.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Boca Juniors under 3.5 corners	31.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Boca Juniors over 6.5 corners	26.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Boca Juniors under 2.5 corners	17.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors under 3.5 goals	93.2%	92.2%	97.1%	0.95×	1.08
Boca Juniors under 2.5 goals	80.4%	82.2%	89.9%	0.91×	1.22
Boca Juniors over 0.5 goals	78.2%	77.8%	68.2%	1.14×	1.29
Boca Juniors under 1.5 goals	55.1%	58.6%	68.2%	0.86×	1.71
Boca Juniors over 1.5 goals	44.9%	41.4%	31.8%	1.30×	2.42
Boca Juniors under 0.5 goals	21.9%	22.2%	31.8%	0.70×	4.50
Boca Juniors over 2.5 goals	19.6%	17.8%	10.1%	1.76×	5.61
Boca Juniors over 3.5 goals	6.8%	7.8%	2.9%	2.73×	12.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors under 1.5 in 1st half	86.0%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Boca Juniors under 0.5 in 1st half	52.0%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Boca Juniors over 0.5 in 1st half	48.0%	49.4%	—	—	2.03
Boca Juniors over 1.5 in 1st half	14.0%	10.0%	—	—	10.01

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors scores more in 2nd half	38.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Boca Juniors scores equally in both	36.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Boca Juniors scores more in 1st half	25.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.4%	51.4%	52.6%	0.98×	1.94
River Plate (home no bet)	47.6%	48.6%	47.4%	1.03×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors even goals	52.4%	50.8%	55.6%	0.91×	1.97
Boca Juniors odd goals	47.6%	49.2%	44.4%	1.11×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.9%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
HT 1-0	22.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	13.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	9.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 2-0	7.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
Any other HT score	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 0-2	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.30
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors at HT / Boca Juniors at FT	29.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Draw at HT / Boca Juniors at FT	17.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
River Plate at HT / River Plate at FT	12.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / River Plate at FT	10.3%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Boca Juniors at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
River Plate at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
River Plate at HT / Boca Juniors at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Boca Juniors at HT / River Plate at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors to score last	55.2%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
River Plate to score last	36.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	8.6%	7.6%	—	—	13.14

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.4%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Boca Juniors to lead by 1 at any time	62.7%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.1%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
River Plate to lead by 1 at any time	41.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Boca Juniors to lead by 2 at any time	30.8%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
River Plate to lead by 2 at any time	13.4%	10.6%	—	—	9.42
Boca Juniors to lead by 3 at any time	12.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
River Plate to lead by 3 at any time	3.5%	1.6%	—	—	61.91

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors most corners	58.2%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
River Plate most corners	30.6%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.4%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.2%	83.4%	79.9%	1.04×	1.20
2-6 goals	70.8%	72.3%	60.7%	1.19×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.9%	68.8%	60.1%	1.15×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.7%	68.8%	71.5%	0.96×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.1%	63.3%	55.8%	1.14×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.6%	48.4%	47.3%	1.02×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.2%	48.4%	51.4%	0.94×	2.06
3-6 goals	44.7%	43.6%	33.5%	1.30×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.9%	43.6%	33.0%	1.32×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.0%	39.2%	28.6%	1.37×	2.55
4-6 goals	23.3%	24.5%	13.5%	1.82×	4.09
4-5 goals	20.4%	24.4%	12.9%	1.90×	4.09
5-6 goals	9.7%	8.9%	5.0%	1.77×	11.25
7+ goals	1.5%	2.6%	0.5%	5.59×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boca Juniors never behind	50.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
River Plate never behind	28.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.6%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.4%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.6%	95.4%	99.0%	0.96×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.4%	92.3%	85.2%	1.08×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.8%	87.6%	94.6%	0.93×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	75.2%	77.3%	86.2%	0.90×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	72.3%	72.5%	61.0%	1.19×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	53.8%	52.5%	66.1%	0.79×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	46.2%	47.5%	33.9%	1.40×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	27.7%	27.5%	39.0%	0.71×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	24.8%	22.7%	13.8%	1.65×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	11.2%	12.4%	5.4%	2.31×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	8.6%	7.7%	14.8%	0.52×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.4%	4.6%	1.0%	4.47×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.5%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.3%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.0%	86.7%	94.1%	0.92×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	68.5%	67.5%	82.7%	0.82×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.5%	61.9%	46.5%	1.33×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.5%	38.1%	53.5%	0.71×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	31.5%	32.5%	17.3%	1.88×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.0%	13.3%	5.9%	2.27×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.7%	2.8%	1.1%	2.62×	35.56
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.5%	2.8%	0.5%	6.12×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.9%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	71.5%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.1%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.9%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.5%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.1%	7.3%	—	—	13.69

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.8%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.2%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate not to score in both halves	85.1%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Boca Juniors not to score in both halves	72.2%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Boca Juniors to score in both halves	27.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
River Plate to score in both halves	14.9%	14.6%	—	—	6.87

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.0%	53.8%	40.6%	1.32×	1.86
Only Boca Juniors scores	28.1%	26.1%	27.7%	0.94×	3.83
Only River Plate scores	13.3%	11.0%	17.1%	0.65×	9.06
Neither team scores	8.6%	7.1%	14.8%	0.48×	13.99

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.1%	24.9%	27.3%	0.91×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.5%	22.6%	20.2%	1.12×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	19.1%	17.5%	24.3%	0.72×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.6%	12.1%	8.6%	1.42×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.6%	7.6%	14.8%	0.51×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.8%	7.6%	4.4%	1.71×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.4%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	34.9%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	19.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	9.1%	7.3%	—	—	13.69

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.4%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	23.2%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate not to win both halves	95.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Boca Juniors not to win both halves	85.8%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Boca Juniors to win both halves	14.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
River Plate to win both halves	4.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.34

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to win neither half	61.7%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Boca Juniors to win either half	61.0%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Boca Juniors to win neither half	39.0%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
River Plate to win either half	38.3%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate not to win to nil	86.7%	88.1%	82.9%	1.06×	1.14
Boca Juniors not to win to nil	71.9%	75.3%	72.3%	1.04×	1.33
Boca Juniors to win to nil	28.1%	24.7%	27.7%	0.89×	4.05
River Plate to win to nil	13.3%	11.9%	17.1%	0.70×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.9%	27.9%	30.7%	0.91×	3.59
Boca Juniors by 1	23.6%	24.1%	24.3%	0.99×	4.15
River Plate by 1	15.4%	17.0%	18.6%	0.92×	5.87
Boca Juniors by 2	15.0%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.50
Boca Juniors by 3+	10.1%	11.8%	5.0%	2.34×	8.51
River Plate by 2	6.5%	7.2%	6.3%	1.15×	13.91
River Plate by 3+	2.5%	2.7%	3.0%	0.91×	36.89