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Bochum v Bayer Leverkusen — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 9 November 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

1–1
0.78 – 1.41 xG
Shots
15 – 11
On target
3 – 3
Shots in box
6 – 8
xG per shot
0.05 – 0.13
Set-piece xG
0.09 – 0.11
Goals − xG
+0.20 – -0.41
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.81.21.60'15'30'45'60'75'90'Patrik Schick 17' — goalKoji Miyoshi 88' — goal
Bochum 0.80 xGBayer Leverkusen 1.41 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Tim Oermann 6' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Patrik Schick 17' — Goal (0.32 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 17' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Patrik Schick 25' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 25' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Florian Wirtz 29' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Jeremie Frimpong 29' — Saved Shot (0.38 xG, Open Play)Piero Hincapié 35' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Anthony Losilla 39' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 41' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Álex Grimaldo 47' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Patrik Schick 51' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Gerrit Holtmann 51' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Álex Grimaldo 53' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 54' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Patrik Schick 56' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 62' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Matús Bero 65' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 65' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Cristian Gamboa 74' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Victor Boniface 77' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, From Corner)Ibrahima Sissoko 78' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Matús Bero 78' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Florian Wirtz 83' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Dani de Wit 88' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Koji Miyoshi 88' — Goal (0.30 xG, Open Play)
Bochum attacking right Bayer Leverkusen attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
6' Bochum Tim Oermann 0.01 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
17' Bayer Leverkusen Patrik Schick 0.32 Open Play Left Foot Goal Florian Wirtz
17' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Maximilian Wittek
25' Bayer Leverkusen Patrik Schick 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Jonas Hofmann
25' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.04 Open Play — Missed Shot Ibrahima Sissoko
29' Bayer Leverkusen Florian Wirtz 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Granit Xhaka
29' Bayer Leverkusen Jeremie Frimpong 0.38 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Patrik Schick
35' Bayer Leverkusen Piero Hincapié 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Jonas Hofmann
39' Bochum Anthony Losilla 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
41' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Felix Passlack
47' Bayer Leverkusen Álex Grimaldo 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Patrik Schick
51' Bayer Leverkusen Patrik Schick 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Álex Grimaldo
51' Bochum Gerrit Holtmann 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
53' Bayer Leverkusen Álex Grimaldo 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Patrik Schick
54' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Maximilian Wittek
56' Bayer Leverkusen Patrik Schick 0.14 Open Play — Missed Shot Álex Grimaldo
62' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ibrahima Sissoko
65' Bochum Matús Bero 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
65' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Maximilian Wittek
74' Bochum Cristian Gamboa 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Philipp Hofmann
77' Bayer Leverkusen Victor Boniface 0.11 From Corner — Missed Shot Álex Grimaldo
78' Bochum Ibrahima Sissoko 0.07 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Matús Bero
78' Bochum Matús Bero 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
83' Bayer Leverkusen Florian Wirtz 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Nathan Tella
88' Bochum Dani de Wit 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
88' Bochum Koji Miyoshi 0.30 Open Play Right Foot Goal —

Players

Bayer Leverkusen

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Álex Grimaldo DML 90 0 0 2 3 0.18 0.35 0.47
Florian Wirtz AMC 90 0 1 2 1 0.09 0.32 0.82
Piero Hincapié DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.50
Lukas Hradecky GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.17
Robert Andrich MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.72
Jonathan Tah DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.42
Granit Xhaka MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.56
Edmond Tapsoba DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.56
Jeremie Frimpong DMR 89 0 0 1 0 0.38 0.00 0.56
Patrik Schick FW 79 1 0 4 3 0.62 0.56 1.22
Jonas Hofmann AMC 66 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.08 0.40
Nathan Tella Sub 24 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.06
Victor Boniface Sub 11 0 0 1 0 0.11 0.00 0.06
Aleix García Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Bochum

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Matús Bero MR 90 0 0 2 1 0.10 0.07 0.20
Ibrahima Sissoko MC 90 0 0 1 2 0.07 0.06 0.17
Maximilian Wittek DC 90 0 0 1 3 0.02 0.06 0.08
Tim Oermann DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.00
Philipp Hofmann FW 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.09
Patrick Drewes GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Jakov Medic DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Felix Passlack DR 80 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.10
Moritz Broschinski ML 71 0 0 5 0 0.15 0.00 0.15
Gerrit Holtmann DL 71 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.10
Anthony Losilla MC 71 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.05
Koji Miyoshi Sub 19 1 0 1 0 0.30 0.00 0.30
Cristian Gamboa Sub 19 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Lukas Daschner Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dani de Wit Sub 10 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Ivan Ordets Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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