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Bochum v Bayern Munich — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 27 October 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

0–5
0.21 – 3.15 xG
Shots
6 – 19
On target
1 – 10
Shots in box
1 – 11
xG per shot
0.03 – 0.17
Set-piece xG
0.09 – 0.73
Goals − xG
-0.20 – +1.85
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.91.82.63.50'15'30'45'60'75'90'Michael Olise 15' — goalJamal Musiala 25' — goalHarry Kane 56' — goalLeroy Sané 64' — goalKingsley Coman 70' — goal
Bochum 0.20 xGBayern Munich 3.15 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

João Palhinha 5' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Moritz Broschinski 7' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Michael Olise 15' — Goal (0.10 xG, Direct Freekick)Konrad Laimer 17' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Michael Olise 18' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 22' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Michael Olise 23' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Erhan Masovic 23' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Jamal Musiala 25' — Goal (0.49 xG, Set Piece)Jakov Medic 28' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Harry Kane 29' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Kingsley Coman 30' — Missed Shot (0.28 xG, Open Play)Jamal Musiala 35' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Jamal Musiala 38' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Jamal Musiala 39' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 53' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Harry Kane 56' — Goal (0.39 xG, Open Play)Leroy Sané 64' — Goal (0.04 xG, Open Play)Kingsley Coman 70' — Goal (0.04 xG, Open Play)Leon Goretzka 80' — Saved Shot (0.35 xG, Open Play)Leon Goretzka 81' — Missed Shot (0.38 xG, Open Play)Mathys Tel 81' — Saved Shot (0.43 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 85' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mathys Tel 86' — Blocked Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Mathys Tel 87' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)
Bochum attacking right Bayern Munich attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
5' Bayern Munich João Palhinha 0.02 From Corner — Saved Shot Joshua Kimmich
7' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Erhan Masovic
15' Bayern Munich Michael Olise 0.10 Direct Freekick Left Foot Goal —
17' Bayern Munich Konrad Laimer 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Kingsley Coman
18' Bayern Munich Michael Olise 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Jamal Musiala
22' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Ibrahima Sissoko
23' Bayern Munich Michael Olise 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Alphonso Davies
23' Bochum Erhan Masovic 0.03 From Corner — Missed Shot Maximilian Wittek
25' Bayern Munich Jamal Musiala 0.49 Set Piece — Goal Joshua Kimmich
28' Bochum Jakov Medic 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
29' Bayern Munich Harry Kane 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Alphonso Davies
30' Bayern Munich Kingsley Coman 0.28 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jamal Musiala
35' Bayern Munich Jamal Musiala 0.09 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Joshua Kimmich
38' Bayern Munich Jamal Musiala 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Joshua Kimmich
39' Bayern Munich Jamal Musiala 0.14 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Kingsley Coman
53' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.06 Direct Freekick Left Foot Saved Shot —
56' Bayern Munich Harry Kane 0.39 Open Play Left Foot Goal Jamal Musiala
64' Bayern Munich Leroy Sané 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Goal —
70' Bayern Munich Kingsley Coman 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Goal Alphonso Davies
80' Bayern Munich Leon Goretzka 0.35 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Thomas Müller
81' Bayern Munich Leon Goretzka 0.38 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Leroy Sané
81' Bayern Munich Mathys Tel 0.43 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Kingsley Coman
85' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Philipp Hofmann
86' Bayern Munich Mathys Tel 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Leroy Sané
87' Bayern Munich Mathys Tel 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Thomas Müller

Players

Bochum

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Maximilian Wittek DML 90 0 0 2 1 0.08 0.03 0.11
Erhan Masovic MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.05 0.07
Jakov Medic DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.05
Anthony Losilla MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Ivan Ordets DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Patrick Drewes GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ibrahima Sissoko MC 87 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.09
Moritz Broschinski FW 74 0 0 2 0 0.09 0.00 0.09
Dani de Wit FW 74 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tim Oermann DC 63 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Felix Passlack DMR 48 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cristian Gamboa Sub 42 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Lukas Daschner Sub 27 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Philipp Hofmann Sub 16 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Koji Miyoshi Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mats Pannewig Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02

Bayern Munich

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Kingsley Coman AML 90 1 0 2 3 0.32 0.60 1.80
Konrad Laimer DR 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 1.20
Dayotchanculle Upamecano DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.51
Joshua Kimmich DMC 90 0 1 0 4 0.00 0.63 1.29
Manuel Neuer GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.98
Alphonso Davies DL 90 0 1 0 3 0.00 0.14 1.76
Kim Min-Jae DC 80 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.78
Harry Kane FW 71 1 0 2 0 0.44 0.00 0.44
Jamal Musiala AMC 63 1 1 4 3 0.75 0.75 0.89
Michael Olise AMR 63 1 0 3 0 0.24 0.00 0.67
João Palhinha DMC 63 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.70
Leon Goretzka Sub 27 0 0 2 0 0.73 0.00 1.32
Leroy Sané Sub 27 1 0 1 2 0.04 0.51 1.37
Thomas Müller Sub 27 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.38 0.51
Mathys Tel Sub 19 0 0 3 0 0.59 0.00 1.01
Eric Dier Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.46
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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